At the Washington Post, Brian Gifford from UC Berkeley uses “media math” to explain why, even though US casualties in Iraq are amazingly light compared to any other war the US has ever fought, we’re still trapped in a horrible quagmire and we’re doomed: The Costs of Staying the Course.

More than 1,200 U.S. military personnel have died in Iraq so far. In the face of rising casualties, polls taken throughout the election season revealed the public’s discomfort with our progress in Iraq but gave little indication of weakening support for the mission. This ambivalence about the war’s human costs reflects perhaps both a belief in the cause for which our troops are fighting and a perception that in the aggregate their sacrifices — while always tragic on an individual level — are historically light. A glance at earlier wars seemingly confirms this latter sentiment. Compared with the more than 405,000 American personnel killed in World War II and the 58,000 killed in Vietnam, Iraq hardly seems like a war at all.

But focusing on how few military deaths we’ve suffered conceals the difficulty of the mission and the determination of the forces arrayed against the American presence in Iraq. A closer look at these deaths — 1,232 as I write — reveals a real rate of manpower attrition that raises questions about our ability to sustain our presence there in the long run.

To better understand the difficulty of the fighting in Iraq, consider not just the current body count but the combat intensity of previous wars. During World War II, the United States lost an average of 300 military personnel per day. The daily figure in Vietnam was about 15. Compared with two per day so far in Iraq, the daily grinds of those earlier conflicts were worse than what our forces are currently experiencing.

On the other hand, improved body armor, field medical procedures and medevac capabilities are allowing wounded soldiers to survive injuries that would have killed them in earlier wars. In World War II there were 1.7 wounded for every fatality, and 2.6 in Vietnam; in Iraq the ratio of wounded to killed is 7.6. This means that if our wounded today had the same chances of survival as their fathers did in Vietnam, we would probably now have more than 3,500 deaths in the Iraq war.