Mark Steyn sums it all up pretty well in this one: It’s a shame one of them has to win.

Another colleague of mine, Michael Ledeen, suggests that the rise of McCain through New Hampshire, South Carolina and Florida indicates that for many voters “the war” is still the issue, because, after all, what else has the senator got going for him? Surely, it’s not his global-warming hysteria or illegal-immigration amnesty or demonization of capitalism. It’s because he’s Mister Surge.

Well, maybe.

The senator is an eloquent defender of the U.S. armed forces. A President McCain will not permit a military defeat in Iraq. But it’s not clear to me he has much of a strategic vision for the ideological struggle, for the real long-term battlefield in the mosques and madrassahs of Pakistan and Indonesia and Western Europe. McCain’s lead is no evidence of popular commitment to “the long war,” and, absent any surprising developments, this will not be a war election.

The Clintons are nothing if not lucky, and Hillary must occasionally be enjoying a luxury-length cackle at the thought of being pitted against a 71-year-old “maverick” whose record seems designed to antagonize just enough of the base into staying home on Election Day. In the 2000 campaign season, running in a desultory fashion for the New York Senate seat, Rudy Giuliani waged a brief half-hearted campaign just long enough to leave the Republican Party with no one to run against Hillary except a candidate who wasn’t up to the job.

Has he managed to do the same this time round?