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Bank of America to Buy Merrill Lynch

Business | Sun, Sep 14, 2008 at 9:32:50 pm PDT

Huge financial news today; it’s anybody’s guess how the market is going to react tomorrow: Bank of America to buy Merrill for $44 billion.

WASHINGTON/NEW YORK (Reuters) - Bank of America Corp (BAC.N) has agreed to acquire Merrill Lynch & Co Inc (MER.N) for $44 billion, according to people briefed on the matter, in a deal that will give the U.S. bank the world’s largest brokerage.

The deal came after a weekend of tense negotiations over Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc (LEH.N), which late Sunday teetered on the brink of liquidation, triggering concern that market participants would lose faith in other investment banks.

A Merrill Lynch spokeswoman declined comment and a Bank of America spokesman could not immediately be reached for comment.

“It catapults Bank of America into positions of strength in three businesses where they were weak,” said James Ellman, portfolio manager at hedge fund Seacliff Capital.“

”Now Bank of America has one of the best and largest retail brokerages in the country, one of the top investment banks in the world, and a large stake in one of the best investment managers in the world," Ellman said.

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304 comments

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1 Kragar (Proud to be Kafir)  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:33:55pm

My prediction; DOGS AND CATS, LIVING TOGETHER, MASS HYSTERIA!

2 rawmuse  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:34:09pm

Wow, great San Francisco legends live on.

3 The Other Les  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:34:40pm

They're used to picking up the pieces.

4 Sharmuta  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:35:14pm

The Bank of America must be feeling bullish.

5 Dar ul Harb  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:35:19pm

BIG MONEY IS RIPPING US OFF!

6 Racer X  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:35:26pm

The end is near!

er

7 Dream  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:35:48pm

Better the private sector than the government.

8 Sharmuta  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:36:06pm

Better the Bank of America than some saudi outfit.

9 Sharmuta  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:36:20pm

re: #7 Dream

Better the private sector than the government.

That too.

10 zombie  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:36:54pm

I was gonna buy Merrill Lynch -- but no one could give me change for a $50 billion bill. So I just said "Screw it" and bought Luxembourg instead.

11 Racer X  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:37:30pm

Lots of bad shit has been happening in the world's financial markets lately. Who has been profiting?

And what has Soros been up to?

12 karmic_inquisitor  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:37:31pm

Financial Services sector is so screwed up with people who have gone from the business of managing capital into the business of three card monty. With Lehman, it is about time one of the guys running the game was stuck with the bill. As for ML, this is a huge loss of ego for them. They used to dictate terms to anyone doing business with them. Hat in hand now.

I just hope wall street gets back into the business of capitalizing American industry after this and gets out of the business of leveraging the crap out of any deal that can turn a penny.

13 itellu3times  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:37:54pm

I just posted a paniced rant on the end of the last thread.

Unbelievable news.

Remember, Lehman is going down tomorrow, too.

Dow is opening down 300, so far.

No idea how this will work out, but it strikes me like Iowa sailing down the Mississippi and falling into the sea, not very promising.

14 realwest  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:38:05pm

Uh, not to be contrarian here* but

”Now Bank of America has one of the best and largest retail brokerages in the country, one of the top investment banks in the world, and a large stake in one of the best investment managers in the world," Ellman said.

then why the hell is Merrill looking to be bought out? I mean if they are one of the top investment banks in the world and one of the best investment managers in the world, why are they going under (but for BofA's action)?!


*Bank of America's headquarters is in Charlotte!

15 zombie  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:38:13pm

re: #2 rawmuse

Wow, great San Francisco legends live on.

Yeah, changing the name from "Bank of Italy" to "Bank of America" was perhaps the greatest marketing gimmick ever.

16 RTLM  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:38:38pm

That is a relief. Wasn't China sniffing around this one?

17 SpartanWoman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:38:43pm

Fortunately the street has had some time to prepare for the demise of Lehman and maybe the damage will be less. Some firms will make a killing picking the bones of Lehman.

As for Merrill, Thain did the right thing and not screw around like Fuld did.
I wonder how Fuld can justify his 71mil compensation package? (Fuld family are big O donors btw)

18 lummox  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:38:57pm
19 rawmuse  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:39:01pm

re: #3 The Other Les

They're used to picking up the pieces.

Right you are. Mr. Giannini started business after the 1906 quake, writing loans from an ironing board set up in the very ruins of San Francisco, before the smoke even cleared.

20 beatcanvas  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:39:14pm

Ask BofA how that Countrywide buyout is working for them...

21 realwest  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:39:25pm

re: #11 Racer X
"And what has Soros been up to?"
Making money off other peoples misery, as usual.

22 Pepper  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:39:34pm

Beware the consolidation of power in a small number of financial institutions. The market is based on individual stockholders reacting to the conditions, not the control of our markets in the hands of megaliths.

Beware!

23 itellu3times  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:39:58pm

re: #14 realwest

then why the hell is Merrill looking to be bought out? I mean if they are one of the top investment banks in the world and one of the best investment managers in the world, why are they going under (but for BofA's action)?!

They are so f'ing brilliant they are like $50b under water, so BofA buys them at a $40b discount and tries to make good on what's left.

Truth is, there is no public data on just why this is happening, so assume the worst.

24 itellu3times  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:40:26pm

re: #20 beatcanvas

Ask BofA how that Countrywide buyout is working for them...

Nobody outside BofA knows, first report is due in about 50 days.

25 Dahveed  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:40:38pm

Merrill Lynch being bought is the good news. Lehman filing for bankruptcy is the bad. The questions now: what will happen to WaMu and AIG?

26 Pawn of the Oppressor  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:40:57pm

I blame McBush

or something.

OT and speaking of the word "McBush" -

A couple of days ago I linked to an artist's blog where people were commenting about how Maureen Dowd's column on Palin had been "devastating". Just now I found a link to that column on an unrelated site, read about two paragraphs out of morbid curiosity (and a real desire to see substantial criticism of Gov. Palin)... skipped the rest... What trash. Silly, frivolous, obnoxious stuff, about 90% of what we'd call "snark", and I'd call 90% a conservative estimate. Precious little substance in that "devastating" article. I guess making fun of how somebody blinks on television is what passes for "devastating"?

When we do it to Pelosi, we don't pretend that we're serious.

27 zombie  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:41:14pm

I just checked the coffee can under my bed. Still there. So my money's safe.

28 Killian Bundy  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:41:23pm

SHOW ME THE CAPITULATION!

/I smell bottom

29 Cognito  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:41:32pm

Huh.

Honestly I haven't the faintest clue how to read this -- fingers crossed, hoping for a better marketplace. First clue comes tomorrow morning, I suppose.

30 Colonel Panik  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:42:29pm

re: #19 rawmuse

Right you are. Mr. Giannini started business after the 1906 quake, writing loans from an ironing board set up in the very ruins of San Francisco, before the smoke even cleared.

Wasn't Giannini a fan of Mussolini (not trying to rhyme here it just happened) in the 1920's and 30's?

I seem to remember reading that somewhere.

31 Racer X  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:42:32pm

re: #18 lummox

Scroll down to pic

That is nice!

I love this comment from Bubba Thudd: I fucking love that photo of McCain - once again, the Left scores an own-goal!

32 MandyManners  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:43:23pm

That's the same bank that refused to take me off the X's account after he dropped me as a signatory and left me with

Oh, whatever.

Just bumped it to $125,000.00 that it took me to get rid of that twit.

33 itellu3times  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:43:30pm

re: #25 Dahveed

Merrill Lynch being bought is the good news. Lehman filing for bankruptcy is the bad. The questions now: what will happen to WaMu and AIG?

They will be torn apart by the end of the year, both piss-poor managed for a long time.

Then, Wachovia also on the line.

The "funny" thing is, I believe most of this is happening too late, that the underlying real estate market has already been purged, to all intents and purposes. Perhaps I'm mistaken, hey. Or just perhaps, the strong hands here, like BofA, are going to make a gigantic killing here.

But the risk, is unbelievable, like betting the federal budget double or nothing on red.

34 realwest  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:43:31pm

re: #22 Pepper
Ah hell, the overwhelming majority of stock in places like Merrill is held by Retirement Funds - it was a favorite of many IRA fund managers. That way, instead of just a few poor souls losing, a whole lot of poor souls are losing out.
I think AIG is a potentially MUCH bigger story, btw.

35 karmic_inquisitor  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:44:00pm

re: #11 Racer X

Lots of bad shit has been happening in the world's financial markets lately. Who has been profiting?

And what has Soros been up to?

A lot of this is simply due to people having taken an old standard, stable credit risk (American homeowners) and turned it into a scheme that Michael Milken would have been proud to take credit for.

Just like the "junk bonds" crisis in the late 80s, we have people skimming money out of the credit system by selling high risk debt and packaging it as lower risk debt. Thing is that most everyone in business borrows money, and most people who lend money are lending money they have borrowed. When you start screwing up that system with large scale misrepresentation of risk, you get collapse - first guy to go to cash wins. Everyone else loses. And that will continue to squeeze many people and businesses who had no idea they were tied into this.

36 rawmuse  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:44:08pm

re: #30 Colonel Panik

Seems to me that everyone loved Mussolini, up to a point.

37 Cognito  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:44:15pm

re: #18 lummox

Scroll down to pic

From the site:

Lee suggested that the gay gossip site and antisemitic conspiracy newsletter The Atlantic had photographed McCain to look just like Lex Luthor...

That's just ignorant.

38 SpartanWoman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:44:27pm

If the government subsidizes and bails out risky investment, we will just get more...let Lehman go. Once again Kudos to Thain. ML will now be subject to BoA accounting standards and scrutiny.

39 Racer X  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:44:29pm

re: #32 MandyManners

Just bumped it to $125,000.00 that it took me to get rid of that twit.


Think of it as money well spent.

40 Colonel Panik  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:44:46pm

re: #26 Pawn of the Oppressor

The leftists seem to think "snark" is a stand in for intelligent thinking and substantive criticism. Witness the popularity of one John Stewart.

With regards to Sarah Palin the Mainstream Media and the left in general has jumped the snark.

41 jcm  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:44:54pm

re: #25 Dahveed

Merrill Lynch being bought is the good news. Lehman filing for bankruptcy is the bad. The questions now: what will happen to WaMu and AIG?

WaMu has plenty of cash, as long as people don't panic it'll be fine.

42 itellu3times  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:45:19pm

re: #35 karmic_inquisitor

Yeah, I'd like the top 100 or maybe 1000 officers of Merrill Lynch stripped of all assets and imprisoned for 20 years, for starters.

43 realwest  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:45:39pm

re: #25 Dahveed
I agree, but I think AIG is the more important story and probably the biggest risk here.

44 zombie  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:45:48pm

re: #29 Cognito

Honestly I haven't the faintest clue how to read this

The entire topic is completely beyond my ken. I'm just glad I don't need to know what it's all about.

Money these days is nothing but bits and bytes in a database somewhere -- a mutually agreed upon illusion of purchasing power. There is no actual "money" anymore. Just electrons arranged on a magnetic disk -- nothing more.

45 Cartman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:45:57pm

I have some investments with ML. They've done pretty well in the past two years, all things considered. Of course, I've kept a pretty sharp eye on them recently. I was considering pumping just a bit more ML's way, but I think I'll hold off for awhile, and see how this shakes out. Hell, everything could be gone tomorrow moring, anyway. ;)

46 Sharmuta  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:46:19pm

re: #41 jcm

WaMu has plenty of cash, as long as people don't panic it'll be fine.

WaMu also already dumped it's mortgages on Wells Fargo.

47 Killian Bundy  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:47:02pm

re: #13 itellu3times

Dow is opening down 300, so far.

No idea how this will work out, but it strikes me like Iowa sailing down the Mississippi and falling into the sea, not very promising.

My guess is that it won't end up down that far. If it does, let's just tack on another 300 and clear the decks. When this hits the front page of the New York Times, which it probably do tomorrow, the bottom is in.

/then again, it's just a guess

48 MandyManners  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:47:03pm

re: #39 Racer X

Think of it as money well spent.

Just a penny!

49 Cognito  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:47:12pm

re: #44 zombie

I've got a Mason Jar stuffed full of RAM and optic fiber, under my mattress.

Bring on the e-Dustbowl.

50 Slumbering Behemoth  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:47:31pm

My grandma told me today that we are on the tipping edge of another great depression, and that no one is willing to admit it. FWIW, she's lived through one already.

Maybe she's right, maybe she's wrong, I don't know. I am no economist, and she's getting on in years.

I'm not worried. Worse comes to worst, I now know I can cook squirrel in a popcorn popper.
/

51 beatcanvas  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:47:42pm

I expect that with credit tightening (less money available), massive institutional re-alignment (less trust in the marketplace), and people looking for safe harbor (less certainty), we'll see some very disruptive innovations in the financial markets in the next five years. Too much opportunity and technology.

And what if it came from some international outfit?

52 Sharmuta  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:48:04pm

re: #50 Slumbering Behemoth

I'm not worried. Worse comes to worst, I now know I can cook squirrel in a popcorn popper.

LOL!

53 itellu3times  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:48:56pm

I can't wait until the story of all this is told, with numbers.

Hope I can still afford to buy the book, when it comes out.

54 Dahveed  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:49:01pm

re: #46 Sharmuta

WaMu also already dumped it's mortgages on Wells Fargo.

Washington Mutual has too many problems with Option ARMs that are resetting. The rates on those loans will squeeze a lot of people.

55 rawmuse  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:49:55pm

re: #44 zombie


Money these days is nothing but bits and bytes in a database somewhere -- a mutually agreed upon illusion of purchasing power. There is no actual "money" anymore. Just electrons arranged on a magnetic disk -- nothing more.

It is the Full Faith and Credit of the United States Government.
That is all, really.

56 Dar ul Harb  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:50:42pm

Shouldn't this make the price of oil retreat further, if traders believe we're headed for a precipitous drop in demand due to a slowing economy?

/Not a dismal scientist

57 itellu3times  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:50:47pm

re: #51 beatcanvas

I expect that with credit tightening (less money available), massive institutional re-alignment (less trust in the marketplace), and people looking for safe harbor (less certainty), we'll see some very disruptive innovations in the financial markets in the next five years. Too much opportunity and technology.

Yeah, I think they might call it, "gold".

Or maybe we can follow the Saudis, and start bartering with camels and goats, we could be a net exporter there.

58 BlueCanuck  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:50:48pm

Glad up here in Canada we don't have the same sort of mortgage mess. Unfortunately our economy is too closely tied to the American economy. I just hope this blows over soon.

59 Dahveed  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:51:26pm

re: #41 jcm

WaMu has plenty of cash, as long as people don't panic it'll be fine.

Cash is not as big a problem as the capital issues. One analyst is thinking that they may take up to $32.5 billion in losses on their home loans. They don't have the capital to sustain those losses.

60 MandyManners  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:51:38pm

re: #39 Racer X

But, really. In my mid-30s, and I was paying out $10,000.00/mo. for about 15 months? Then, that cocksuckingmotherfuckingbastard stiffs his CS by about $80,000.00?

Me? Bitter? Whythefuck are you asking?

61 Walter L. Newton  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:52:23pm

OT

I don't know what is so important about Golden, Co. but 3 weeks ago we got Al-Jazeera for two days and this week, on Monday, we get Palin at the fairgrounds and on Tues we get Obama at the School of Mines.

[Link: www.coloradodaily.com...]

Go away, leave us alone.

Walter in Golden, Co.

62 Pvt Bin Jammin  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:53:00pm

Sh_t. We have an IRA with AIG.

63 Killian Bundy  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:53:04pm

re: #58 BlueCanuck

I just hope this blows over soon.

/anything over a one day 400 point drop in the Dow ought to do it

64 Dar ul Harb  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:53:13pm

If you think U.S. financials are in bad shape, don't look at China. They're desperate to grow their way out of their bad debt, but if we have a significant slowdown in the U.S., their major export market, the cash just isn't going to be there...

65 twincitiesgirl  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:53:25pm

Just read this today on MSN:

5 Banks Safe From the Storm

66 Racer X  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:54:03pm

re: #60 MandyManners

Ha!

Sounds like your are doing better in life now.

67 Miss Molly  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:54:33pm

Wow, we will find out soon enough if this was a good idea or not when we see the shake out of the market tomorrow.

68 realwest  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:54:44pm

re: #42 itellu3times
At the very least - long story short - when I was still married to the most recent former Mrs. Realwest she had stock in Merrill and so we got the Shareholders reports.
In one year Merrill - very quietly - fired OVER 15,000 employees. So the next year I looked up "Personnel" under operating expenses, expecting to see a significant drop in Merrill's expenses and what do I see?
The President, CEO and Chairman of the Board (at the time three separate individuals) received BONUSES totaling something close to $400 MILLION! Bonuses for a year in which Merrill lost not just the 15,000 + employees, but about $650 MILLION dollars (back when a Million was really a million).
So we wrote to the Board and the President (well, I wrote the letter, she signed it) asking why did they get ANY bonuses when Merrill lost a lot of money and had to fire 15,000 people. The answer was - I'm not joking here - because without the tireless efforts of all three men, Merrill would have lost MORE MONEY THAN IT DID!
"We" wrote back a letter that really ripped them up and sent copies to the top 10 shareholders (all institutional investors).
A year later all three were "retired" and three more bozos were hired at a combined TRIPLE INCREASE IN PAY!
Fuck Merrill - sorry for any folks who lost money by investing in Merrill, but not sorry for Merrill at all.

69 beatcanvas  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:55:37pm

re: #57 itellu3times

Yeah, I think they might call it, "gold".

Um, yeah. Nobody will see that one coming...

70 The Other Les  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:56:09pm

re: #40 Colonel Panik

The leftists seem to think "snark" is a stand in for intelligent thinking and substantive criticism. Witness the popularity of one John Stewart.

With regards to Sarah Palin the Mainstream Media and the left in general has jumped the snark.

The Snark didn't work very well.

[Link: en.wikipedia.org...]

71 itellu3times  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:56:26pm

re: #65 twincitiesgirl

Just read this today on MSN:

5 Banks Safe From the Storm

They are maybe a little optimistic.

72 solomonpanting  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:56:56pm

When Merrill Lynch speaks, people listen

I guess they're not talking now.

73 twincitiesgirl  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:57:04pm

re: #71 itellu3times

What would be your picks?

74 Wishing  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:57:26pm

Fascism......oy

75 Colonel Panik  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:57:32pm

re: #36 rawmuse

Seems to me that everyone loved Mussolini, up to a point.

Well, he was pretty good with the mass transit thing. Seems like he was really popular in a lot of circles that would surprise most people today, until he bombed and invaded Ethiopia and started hanging out with that Schickelgruber character.

76 realwest  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:58:16pm

re: #45 Cartman
Hey my friend - please see my #68; I wouldn't necessarily panic sell what you have invested (assuming you do have other - safer and stronger - investments) but I sure as HELL wouldn't put more money in it!

77 Cartman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:58:30pm

re: #63 Killian Bundy

Pardon my thickness, but are you saying that drop will precipitate the end of the bear market, or something else really ugly?

78 Palandine  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:58:36pm

From previous thread, which died almost immediately after I posted it:
***************
CNBC is about wetting its pants. Usually this late at night they'd be running infomercials with that squinty guy pimping Sham-Wows. Instead, they're talking about how the foreign markets are doing now.

/Not good.

79 SpartanWoman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:58:54pm

re: #72 solomonpanting

When Merrill Lynch speaks, people listen

I guess they're not talking now.

Maybe not, but I still think Thain took a better route than Fuld and maybe Merrill's work force will not taking the beating that Lehman's will.

80 Piglet-U93  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:58:58pm

re: #71 itellu3times

These 5 banks are all in liberal land, coincidence?

81 rawmuse  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:58:58pm

re: #75 Colonel Panik


I have that book. I have read it twice. Excellent scholarship therein.

82 EIDE_Interface  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:59:09pm

Let the free market sort itself out! The more the government interferes the worse the pain will be.

83 karmic_inquisitor  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:59:20pm

re: #44 zombie

The entire topic is completely beyond my ken. I'm just glad I don't need to know what it's all about.

Money these days is nothing but bits and bytes in a database somewhere -- a mutually agreed upon illusion of purchasing power. There is no actual "money" anymore. Just electrons arranged on a magnetic disk -- nothing more.

Here is a sample type of "investment" that these guys like to make.

It is called a "carry trade". Say that you can borrow money in Japan at 4% interest, and you can buy a bond in Brazil at 6% interest. You borrow money and put it in the bond. Now you have a bond and an IOU. If the currencies between the two counties (Yen and Real) are stable, you sit back and skim 2%.

But wait - you have that bond. That bond could be used as collateral on another loan. So you do it again - this time borrowing dollars to buy a Euro denominated bond. Another 2%. Now you are getting 4%, and you have that Euro bond that you can still borrow against.

Do this on the scale of billions of dollars, and make some of those bonds be made up a bunch of sub-prime mortgages, and then see an unexpected currency shift. That +4% can go to -10% fast.

Now you start seeing what these players are are up against and when they try to get out of the deals they did by selling the bond and paying the note before it gets worse, they call it "unwinding the trade."

84 Sharmuta  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:59:29pm

re: #74 Wishing

Fascism......oy

Huh?

85 Colonel Panik  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:59:31pm

re: #50 Slumbering Behemoth

I'm not worried. Worse comes to worst, I now know I can cook squirrel in a popcorn popper.
/

I think that after the collapse, .22LR rounds will take the place of currency as a medium of exchange.

86 EIDE_Interface  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 9:59:51pm

re: #70 The Other Les

The Snark didn't work very well.

[Link: en.wikipedia.org...]

And Bill Maher. He's even worse then Stewart. Called Palin a "Jesus freak" last week.

87 Opilio  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:00:05pm

re: #44 zombie

The entire topic is completely beyond my ken. I'm just glad I don't need to know what it's all about.

Money these days is nothing but bits and bytes in a database somewhere -- a mutually agreed upon illusion of purchasing power. There is no actual "money" anymore. Just electrons arranged on a magnetic disk -- nothing more.

We were just discussing that very thing a work a couple weeks back. Most of our assets are numbers on paper, and magnetic patterns stored redundantly who knows where. If some cosmic EMP were to come along and corrupt all mass storage in one swell foop... then what? Talk about your mass hysteria...

88 SpartanWoman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:00:06pm

re: #82 EIDE_Interface

Let the free market sort itself out! The more the government interferes the worse the pain will be.

Yep, subsidizing stupidity is never a good idea.

89 itellu3times  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:00:37pm

re: #73 twincitiesgirl

What would be your picks?

I'm not that smart, I'm just saying the sector is being hit so hard, I wouldn't talk of any safe havens.

90 Colonel Panik  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:00:41pm

re: #77 Cartman

Pardon my thickness, but are you saying that drop will precipitate the end of the bear market, or something else really ugly?

Sarah Palin is gonna shoot the g_d d_mned bear!

91 Macker  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:00:58pm

re: #68 realwest

Dang! So are you saying you favor BofA buying them out?

92 realwest  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:01:44pm

re: #51 beatcanvas
"And what if it came from some international outfit?"
Then that international outfit would be running the same risks as we are!
Wonder how the Magic Kingdom and especially the Arab Emirates are feeling about the BILLONS AND BILLONS of bucks they invested in US financial companies late last year?!

93 itellu3times  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:01:56pm

re: #91 Macker

Dang! So are you saying you favor BofA buying them out?

Don't know about rw, but I'd say they are scum, and BofA better be getting a super-good price and all sorts of goodies from the fed under the table.

94 Racer X  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:01:59pm

re: #78 Palandine

From previous thread, which died almost immediately after I posted it:
***************
CNBC is about wetting its pants. Usually this late at night they'd be running infomercials with that squinty guy pimping Sham-Wows. Instead, they're talking about how the foreign markets are doing now.

/Not good.

Yeah - the left is having wet dreams over market collapse just so they can say "See! See! McCain will be bad for the economy! We need Obama to save us!"

95 hazzyday  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:02:23pm

This root cause of this is corruption. Same as Enron. McCain/Palin are the better ticket to work on it.

96 itellu3times  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:02:29pm

re: #92 realwest

"And what if it came from some international outfit?"
Then that international outfit would be running the same risks as we are!
Wonder how the Magic Kingdom and especially the Arab Emirates are feeling about the BILLONS AND BILLONS of bucks they invested in US financial companies late last year?!

Well, in theory, this is trying to save their bucks.

97 rawmuse  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:02:51pm

At the risk of sounding naive, I only recently learned what a short sale is.
The entire concept seemed wrong to me. How do you sell something that you do not own? It is a convoluted affair, and I only understand it enough to know that I never want to be involved with one.

98 Catttt  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:02:51pm

Tomorrow is definitely going to be a busy work day.

99 The Other Les  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:03:04pm

re: #86 EIDE_Interface

And Bill Maher. He's even worse then Stewart. Called Palin a "Jesus freak" last week.

Some people seem to be under the impression that atheism is a holy cause.

100 itellu3times  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:03:26pm

re: #97 rawmuse

At the risk of sounding naive, I only recently learned what a short sale is.
The entire concept seemed wrong to me. How do you sell something that you do not own? It is a convoluted affair, and I only understand it enough to know that I never want to be involved with one.

Turns out there are short sales, and then there are naked shorts.

101 Killian Bundy  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:03:28pm

At some point, the values become ridiculously low and the cash levee will be overtopped.

/FCX is being unfairly punished like it was a bank

102 Wishing  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:03:43pm

re: #84 Sharmuta

goverment bailouts....huge multinationals..who owns whom?

103 realwest  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:03:55pm

re: #91 Macker
I'm not saying that, Charles thread is saying it - and if there ever was a thread/link you should read, it's this one!

104 twincitiesgirl  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:03:57pm

They are already saying the Asian Markets are way down today with all the bad news from the US economy.

105 Clemente  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:03:58pm

re: #43 realwest

I agree, but I think AIG is the more important story and probably the biggest risk here.

Don't follow such matters as I used to, but on reading your comment I goog'ed AIG:

Like other insurers, AIG has been hit hard by deterioration in the credit markets amid concerns that complex, structured investments it insures will increasingly default. For the three quarters ended in June, AIG lost about $25 billion in the value of credit default swaps -- or default protection for bondholders -- and about $15 billion on other investments.

How complex a pyramid scheme are we to believe the senior partners built for themselves, anyway? Maybe I'm wrong, but I think the difficulties borne of recent mortgage lending practices will dwarf all the Enrons, Tycos, etc., from which we sought to recover.

106 Dahveed  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:04:05pm

re: #63 Killian Bundy

/anything over a one day 400 point drop in the Dow ought to do it

I agree. The big drops are followed by bull markets that last many more months.

107 Cartman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:04:15pm

re: #76 realwest

I agree, R-Dubs, but the million dollar (thousand, in my case) question is where do I put my money? I don't have much faith in any financial institution, at this point.

108 Dar ul Harb  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:04:21pm

re: #97 rawmuse

At the risk of sounding naive, I only recently learned what a short sale is.
The entire concept seemed wrong to me. How do you sell something that you do not own? It is a convoluted affair, and I only understand it enough to know that I never want to be involved with one.

Are you talking stock options or real estate?

109 rawmuse  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:04:58pm

re: #108 Dar ul Harb

Are you talking stock options or real estate?

Stocks.

110 Piglet-U93  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:05:07pm

re: #83 karmic_inquisitor

I would then guess that collateral is not applicable in this market. Dangerous indeed.

111 hazzyday  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:05:23pm

re: #99 The Other Les

Bill Maher is angry from being unable to pick up cool chicks in bars. That is the whole method to him.

112 Killian Bundy  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:05:49pm

re: #77 Cartman

Pardon my thickness, but are you saying that drop will precipitate the end of the bear market, or something else really ugly?

/you need to run all the crack head cash out of the market before there will be a rebound

113 beatcanvas  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:06:03pm

re: #92 realwest

Wonder how the Magic Kingdom and especially the Arab Emirates are feeling about the BILLONS AND BILLONS of bucks they invested in US financial companies late last year?!

I expect they feel like they want to find a way to wring out return on their investment. But Banking 2.0 most likely won't come from the institutional players we know today.

114 EIDE_Interface  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:06:13pm

The left's big mistake in going after Palin on religion and abortion is that she doesn't thrust these issues down people's throats to begin with. It's more of a private thing to her, her personal values. So when the left calls her a "Jesus freak" or compares her to Pontius Pilate, they are basically telling all values-voters to f*ck off.

115 karmic_inquisitor  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:06:22pm

BTW - part of the dynamic here is that these companies have to report their assets as they change in value.

How do you do that when some of the assets are bundles of sub prime mortgages? You don't know who will pay and who won't. If you foreclose, you don't know what value to place the property at. So you are forced to reprice downward until you don't have enough assets to stay in the black.

So these reforms are actually adding to the problem and creating downward / panic momentum. Houses are worth something. Most people are paying their mortgages. Just the same, they are on the balance sheet at a discount.

Some of these reforms are proving unhelpful - "bad facts make for bad laws"

116 Abu Al-Poopypants  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:06:30pm
Global Financial System Reacts to Wall Street Meltdown
World stock markets sunk on Monday morning amid a tidal wave of disastrous news out of Wall Street that pointed towards rougher seas ahead.

Although markets in Tokyo, Shanghai, Seoul, and Hong Kong were closed for holiday, the Sydney All Ordinaries and the stock exchange in Taipei headed down as trading advanced early Monday morning. The BBC Global 30 was also down in early Monday trading. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is expected to plunge 300 points or more at the opening bell signaling the start of trading on markets in New York that have been shaken by a series of barely imaginable economic events over the past weekend. ...

117 Opilio  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:06:41pm

re: #107 Cartman

I agree, R-Dubs, but the million dollar (thousand, in my case) question is where do I put my money? I don't have much faith in any financial institution, at this point.

How about a nice credit union?

118 Cartman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:06:59pm

re: #85 Colonel Panik

I think that after the collapse, .22LR rounds will take the place of currency as a medium of exchange.

I'm outta luck, then. All my ammo is...uh...a little bigger. ;)

119 MandyManners  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:07:09pm

I let the shock of the implications of Sharia courts in G.B. push me a wee-bit to the edge, Lizards. I apologize.

Good night, and God bless.

120 Colonel Panik  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:07:36pm

Bloody hell, I don't understand all this financial gobbledegook, what the hell is everyone talking about the IRA for, are those bloody Fenians setting off car bombs again?

/

121 Dahveed  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:07:50pm

re: #107 Cartman

I agree, R-Dubs, but the million dollar (thousand, in my case) question is where do I put my money? I don't have much faith in any financial institution, at this point.

Your deposits are insured by the FDIC up to $100,000 for personal accounts and $250,000 in retirement accounts.

122 Cartman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:08:23pm

re: #112 Killian Bundy

So, the market needs an enema, so to speak?

123 The Other Les  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:08:27pm
124 realwest  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:08:37pm

re: #50 Slumbering BehemothWell,

My grandma told me today that we are on the tipping edge of another great depression, and that no one is willing to admit it. FWIW, she's lived through one already.

Maybe she's right, maybe she's wrong, I don't know. I am no economist, and she's getting on in years.

I'm not worried. Worse comes to worst, I now know I can cook squirrel in a popcorn popper.
/


I don't think the worst will come to pass (though don't put away that varmit rifle just yet) - your'e grandma is right; left to it's own devices the "free market forces" could very well lead us all down the path to doom and destruction. But the Fed won't allow that to happen. It CAN'T allow that to happen.
See what T-Bills are going for at the beginning of tomorrow's session and then again at the closing bell.

125 Wishing  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:08:41pm

re: #121 Dahveed

that USED TO sound comforting....

126 Cognito  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:08:47pm

re: #116 Abu Al-Poopypants

Well. That's sunny news.

127 reggie  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:08:58pm

re: #27 zombie

I just checked the coffee can under my bed. Still there. So my money's safe.

Good to hear it! By the way, what's your address again? I seem to have misplaced it. Thanks in advance.

128 BlueCanuck  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:09:05pm

Night Mandy, get yourself some good sleeping in and the morning will look at least a little better.

129 The Other Les  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:09:40pm

re: #111 hazzyday

Bill Maher is angry from being unable to pick up cool chicks in bars. That is the whole method to him.

Think of it as evolution in action.

130 Racer X  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:10:10pm

Well, it's all Bush's fault!

131 Cognito  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:10:24pm

Well, the Wall Street Journal seems to have a fairly clear take on things:

Crisis on Wall Street as Lehman Brothers Totters, Merrill Lynch Is Sold, AIG Seeks to Raise Cash

132 Colonel Panik  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:10:29pm

re: #118 Cartman

I'm outta luck, then. All my ammo is...uh...a little bigger. ;)

The reason I say that is, .22LR is the most efficient and quiet way of putting squirrels in the popcorn popper, so to speak, but unlike larger caliber rounds or shotgun shells it cannot be reloaded.

133 Cartman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:10:38pm

re: #121 Dahveed

Your deposits are insured by the FDIC up to $100,000 for personal accounts and $250,000 in retirement accounts.

Hell, I'm getting more and more partial to the idea of just stuffing it in my mattress.

134 Killian Bundy  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:10:46pm

re: #122 Cartman

So, the market needs an enema, so to speak?

/catharsis

135 Slumbering Behemoth  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:11:01pm

re: #85 Colonel Panik

I think that after the collapse, .22LR rounds will take the place of currency as a medium of exchange.

Just slightly behind water, food, and (sorry ladies) vaginas.

136 The Other Les  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:11:37pm

Well ... good night.

137 Piglet-U93  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:11:53pm

re: #95 hazzyday

This root cause of this is corruption. Same as Enron. McCain/Palin are the better ticket to work on it.

The source of corruption: many get it wrong - "Money is the root of all evil" when actually it is - "The love of money is the root of all evil*".

* Islam is an exception being evil regardless.

138 realwest  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:13:09pm

re: #107 Cartman
Well my friend, I'm sure some folks would criticize this, but I think buying bonds in Fanniemae or Freddiemac would be wise at this point in time for three reasons:
a) the Fed bailed and will continue to pour in whatever cash the Fannie/Freddie's need - they HAVE to for the same reason they put them into receivership: More than 50% of ALL home mortgages are owned by them.
b) Most - probably 90+% of those loans haven't and won't go bad
c) Bond holders get paid before anyone else if something terrible happens - they get first dibs at the assests if for some STUPID reason the Feds don't keep pumping money in.
And, btw, I'd suggest buying Bank of America Bonds as well.

139 SpartanWoman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:13:31pm

re: #130 Racer X

Well, it's all Bush's fault!

LOL, of course. Sadly Fuld will keep his hundreds of millions.

140 BlueCanuck  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:13:50pm

Night Les, btw. Always liked that "Think of if as evolution in action" line. :)

141 Dahveed  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:13:59pm

re: #133 Cartman

Hell, I'm getting more and more partial to the idea of just stuffing it in my mattress.

Well, if your mattress catches on fire, you have no insurance to cover the cash you lost. The FDIC has a good track record of covering deposit accounts.

142 Racer X  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:14:23pm

re: #138 realwest

When Realwest speaks, people listen!

143 Racer X  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:15:22pm

I'm buggin the F out.

Nite Lizards!

144 Opilio  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:15:59pm

re: #142 Racer X

When Realwest speaks, people listen!

How many acquisition/mergers/takeovers ago did EF Hutton disappear?

145 Cartman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:16:01pm

re: #132 Colonel Panik

Well, if the SHTF, I doubt I'll be lugging a Dillon 1050 around with me. ;)

146 Colonel Panik  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:17:17pm

re: #143 Racer X

I'm buggin the F out.

Nite Lizards!

Yo! Keep it real!

147 Catttt  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:18:57pm

re: #43 realwest

I agree, but I think AIG is the more important story and probably the biggest risk here.

I think that AIG will end up getting a bridge loan from the Federal Reserve.

148 SpartanWoman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:19:02pm

Lehman Bros, had since the fall of Bear to come to some resolution. And they have been very stubborn about coming to terms with their situation. NY employees have been furious with "the Gorilla" for a while now and are packing up and hoping to be picked up by solvent firms. Today's mini session might help other firms cope with the loss.

149 reggie  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:19:34pm

re: #97 rawmuse

At the risk of sounding naive, I only recently learned what a short sale is.
The entire concept seemed wrong to me. How do you sell something that you do not own? It is a convoluted affair, and I only understand it enough to know that I never want to be involved with one.

Pretend you meet a fellow that wants to buy a '97 Ford Focus. You don't have one, but your neighbor does, and he doesn't use it. You're pretty sure this fellow will grow tired of the car as has your neighbor, and that he'll sell it back to you later at a lower price.

So you borrow the neighbor's car and pay him interest on him loaning it to you, then you sell the car to the fellow for $1,600 and you pocket the proceeds.

A while later, sure enough, the fellow sees '97 Ford Focii prices dropping so he gladly sells it to you for $1,200. That's a 25% profit ($1,600 - $1,200 = $400, which is 25% of $1,600.) You return the car to your neighbor and he stops charging you interest for the loan.

Merrill Lynch is a '97 Ford Focus.

150 Catttt  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:21:01pm

re: #149 reggie

Pretend you meet a fellow that wants to buy a '97 Ford Focus. You don't have one, but your neighbor does, and he doesn't use it. You're pretty sure this fellow will grow tired of the car as has your neighbor, and that he'll sell it back to you later at a lower price.

So you borrow the neighbor's car and pay him interest on him loaning it to you, then you sell the car to the fellow for $1,600 and you pocket the proceeds.

A while later, sure enough, the fellow sees '97 Ford Focii prices dropping so he gladly sells it to you for $1,200. That's a 25% profit ($1,600 - $1,200 = $400, which is 25% of $1,600.) You return the car to your neighbor and he stops charging you interest for the loan.

Merrill Lynch is a '97 Ford Focus.

Very good example. My Series 7 teacher used a similar story about a car to illustrate short sales.

151 Killian Bundy  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:21:08pm

re: #147 Catttt

I think that AIG will end up getting a bridge loan from the Federal Reserve.

/door's been open for a while now

152 Cartman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:21:27pm

re: #138 realwest

You gonna try and sell me some swampland in Florida next, R-Dubs? ;0

153 rawmuse  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:21:41pm

re: #149 reggie

An excellent analogy. Thanks for that.

154 Catttt  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:22:07pm

By the way, I sold Obama short on Rasmussen Markets. Made a nice little piece of virtual change there.

155 BlueCanuck  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:22:35pm

One thing I have noticed. I have seen the Andex chart here in Canada. Tracks the markets over a long term. It might look jagged but it does go up steadily. Since the Great Depression only certain sectors have been hit hard, usullaly after a bubble condition. Like the Internet sector and tech sectors at the start of the millenium. People that traded heavily in those areas lost their shirts. People that were a little more conservative lost a little at first, but have since made it back and in most cases at least doubled their money. As one of my financial mentors have said, not all markets are in a downturn at once. While one area of the world is bearish, another is bullish.

Just because our stock markets are going down a couple hundred points is no reason to panic.

156 Clemente  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:23:25pm

re: #135 Slumbering Behemoth

Just slightly behind water, food, and (sorry ladies) vaginas.

You may overrate water and food there.

re: #137 Piglet-U93

The love of money is the root of all evil"

And thus, we are ever in this most human of predicaments...

157 BlueCanuck  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:24:06pm

re: #149 reggie

Favorited, might use it to help some of my associates when they are studying.

158 Catttt  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:24:32pm

re: #135 Slumbering Behemoth

Just slightly behind water, food, and (sorry ladies) vaginas.

I keep thinking you are a lady. This is a reminder that you are not. Heh.

159 Colonel Panik  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:24:51pm

re: #135 Slumbering Behemoth

Just slightly behind water, food, and (sorry ladies) vaginas.

Only problem with vaginas, they're like chinese food, 1/2 an hour later you are hungry again.

160 realwest  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:25:00pm

re: #88 SpartanWoman
"Yep, subsidizing stupidity is never a good idea." I would generally tend to agree with you - and I do in the case of certain financial institutions, but some, like FannieMae and FreddieMac (and frankly Merrill Lynch and AIG) can't be allowed to fail for two simple reasons:
a. Fannie and Freddie own more that HALF of the home mortgages in the entire country and need cash to keep those mortgages from defaulting en masse.
b. Merrill and AIG are in a similar boat, but with different assets to protect: mostly retirement funds - BIG retirement funds are all heavily invested there.
If a. and b. "fail" I would certainly expect a depression MUCH larger and more dangerous to the USA than the "great depression" of the 1930's because not only would families be homeless, retirees would have literally NO MONEY with which to retire (and as one who was obliged to "retire" on Social Security Disability Income, I can tell you for sure that people can't retire on Social Security alone).
And the MUCH LARGER depression that would follow, would give rise and credibility to all sorts of communist and fascitst groups and thinking.

161 Colonel Panik  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:27:12pm

re: #160 realwest


And the MUCH LARGER depression that would follow, would give rise and credibility to all sorts of communist and fascitst groups and thinking.

"And then there came the Hard Times, and then there came the War."

-Dire Straits, "Telegraph Road'

162 realwest  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:30:39pm

re: #121 Dahveed
Uh, they are insured for that much IF THEY ARE IN A FEDERALLY connected BANK. Merrill Lynch and AIG aren't so protected.
And, regrettably, a LOT of people have virtually ALL of their retirement income invested in those uninsured investment houses cause they went for the significantly higher rates of return at the time the funds were invested.

163 Dahveed  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:31:03pm

re: #160 realwest

For as much as I hate government intervention in most cases and I think the government created several of the problems for many years before this whole thing got started, I agree with you. I think the "let them fail" mentality creates so many more problems for the economy than the pain of the government working this out. Bernanke and Paulson are pretty smart guys and I have confidence in their abilities.

164 realwest  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:31:21pm

re: #161 Colonel Panik
Y'all can't go wrong with Dire Straits my friend.

165 rawmuse  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:32:48pm

I don't think a new Depression is possible, but I always was a cockeyed optimist.

166 Pvt Bin Jammin  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:32:48pm

re: #162 realwest

I am about to puke over our AIG IRA. At least it is not huge but it would hurt if we lost it.

167 Clemente  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:33:14pm

re: #161 Colonel Panik

"And then there came the Hard Times, and then there came the War."

-Dire Straits, "Telegraph Road"

And:

Then came the churches then came the schools
Then came the lawyers then came the rules

So much of Dire Straits is so very good.

168 NY Nana  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:36:12pm

re: #148 SpartanWoman

They were shown on the local news tonight coming out of the building with all their belingings. Limos for the execs trying to find a way out were lined up as far as the eye could see. They told the reporters they expected it.

Right now, on the radio: 'They are filing for Federal bankruptcy protection. '

169 zombie  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:36:22pm

re: #167 Clemente

So much of Dire Straits is so very good.

Shudders.

They may very well be my least favorite band of all time.

170 Dahveed  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:38:15pm

re: #162 realwest

Uh, they are insured for that much IF THEY ARE IN A FEDERALLY connected BANK. Merrill Lynch and AIG aren't so protected.
And, regrettably, a LOT of people have virtually ALL of their retirement income invested in those uninsured investment houses cause they went for the significantly higher rates of return at the time the funds were invested.

How does SIPC work? Do they protect investor accounts if brokerages fail? I know they don't protect from losses on the investments themselves, but don't they protect the customer from the troubled brokerage taking their money?

171 realwest  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:39:51pm

re: #65 twincitiesgirl
Yeah, but it was written over two months ago. Go see what they say about FannieMae and FreddieMac - it was before the Feds put them into receivership.
In todays markets, last weeks news is worthless, much less the news from two months ago.

172 Billy Hank  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:39:52pm

re: #97 rawmuse

"He who sells what isn't his'n,
Pays his debts or goes to prison."

173 SpartanWoman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:40:03pm

re: #168 NY Nana

Fuld's terms were too much to handle. From what I hear there was shouting and threats and finally Lehman ended up with a dead end. Merrill is in a better state than Lehman and BoA went that way. As for expecting the other houses to shore up Lehman, why fund the competition?

I suspect the Fulds still have plenty of cash for donk causes.

174 Slumbering Behemoth  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:40:27pm

re: #124 realwest

I'll be the first to admit my ignorance of the market and economics. We could be in for an economic disaster, or not. I have no way of telling, other than reading the words of those are more knowledgeable than I.

Still, I got my squirrel plunker at the ready. Should probably buy more ammo, though.
/

175 Russkilitlover  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:42:39pm

Must...not...look...at...401K statement....for several weeks. Hang on, investors, hope we all can stomach the coming roller coaster ride.

176 Pvt Bin Jammin  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:42:56pm

re: #168 NY Nana

So the banks are "chipping in"?
"Ten banks - Bank of America, Barclays, Citibank, Credit Suisse, Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley and UBS - each agreed to provide $7 billion "to help enhance liquidity and mitigate the unprecedented volatility and other challenges affecting global equity and debt markets."

The whole thing kind of scares me.

177 rawmuse  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:43:10pm

There was a time in US history when whiskey was a currency.

178 Killian Bundy  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:43:48pm

The landscape doesn't take a rocket scientist to see.

/if Lord Obama would just drop out there would be a huge bull rally

179 itellu3times  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:44:03pm

Never been a time like this, with piles of billion dollar chips flying in all directions. If one would just land in my lap, they'd never miss it, right?

180 realwest  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:44:20pm

re: #170 Dahveed
Well if you're asking if they protect from the company STEALING their money, yes they do protect that; losing their investments, I don't think so.

BUT- I KNOW A HELLUVA LOT MORE ABOUT FDIC than I do about SIPC.
The "beauty" of accounts at banks - and especially different CD's whch are also insured, is that if the institution goes under you are indeed protected up to $150,000 PER ACCOUNT.
Not sure, but don't think SPIC works quite the same.

181 Abu Al-Poopypants  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:44:22pm

A Boston area talk show host, Jay Severin, says that the root cause for the whole financial crisis we're in can be summed up in one phrase:
"equal opportunity lender".

182 lummox  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:44:26pm

re: #177 rawmuse

There was a time in US history when whiskey was a currency.


Whaddya mean "was"?

183 SpartanWoman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:44:34pm

Well IndyMac failed and the world did not end. Enron failed and we have lived though the crisis. Drexel failed and we did not all have to eat squirrel meat...I would go the vegetarian brain shrink route befor eating rats with fluffy tails, thank you very much.

184 realwest  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:45:24pm

re: #174 Slumbering Behemoth Oh, yes, investing in ammo would be a good idea right now! Especially .22LR and SOME .40 or .45 to keep folks away from the stew pot!

185 Clemente  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:45:27pm

re: #169 zombie

Shudders.

They may very well be my least favorite band of all time.

Oh, dear. Sorry, zom. But, I do like your stuff one helluva lot, and have lately spent considerably more time enjoying it!

186 rawmuse  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:45:46pm

re: #182 lummox

Whaddya mean "was"?

Meaning the tax collector would take it.

187 SpartanWoman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:45:49pm

re: #181 Abu Al-Poopypants

A Boston area talk show host, Jay Severin, says that the root cause for the whole financial crisis we're in can be summed up in one phrase:
"equal opportunity lender".

It certainly didn't help and those who bought property to flip them were of no service either. They walked away too.

188 Pvt Bin Jammin  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:46:00pm

re: #177 rawmuse

There was a time in US history when whiskey was a currency.

LOL You always make me laugh! I am going to bury some booze in the back yard. LOL

189 zombie  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:46:59pm

re: #177 rawmuse

There was a time in US history when whiskey was a currency.

In the early '90s, in parts of Russia, pantyhose and vodka were used as currency in lieu of cash.

190 SpartanWoman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:47:03pm

re: #177 rawmuse

There was a time in US history when whiskey was a currency.

I need to hoard all that unopened 25 year old whiskey? Was just gonna pour it out

191 realwest  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:47:54pm

re: #183 SpartanWoman
LOL! Yeah, I agree (if you're saying that things aren't as bad as they seem) but IndyMac and Enron combined don't equal the hit the economy would take if Fannie or Freddie went belly up (which of course they can't as long as the Fed can print money) but AIG and Merrill are potentially - and I emphasize potentially EACH as bad as IndyMac and Enron combined.

192 Slumbering Behemoth  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:48:25pm

re: #156 Clemente

You may overrate water and food there.

Hardly. Spend an entire month eating and drinking three times a day, and having sex just once a week. For the next month, have sex three times a day and only eat and drink once a week. It's not hard to figure out which is more important.

re: #158 Catttt


I keep thinking you are a lady. This is a reminder that you are not. Heh.

I suspect I will regret asking this, but why do you keep thinking I'm a lady?

193 lummox  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:48:48pm

Them sneaky revenoors still poke around these parts from time to time.

Seems they be lookin' fer gardens instead of stills.

194 Pvt Bin Jammin  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:48:54pm

re: #189 zombie

I am saved! I have about 17 pairs of pantyhose.

...burying them in the back yard with the booze and my silver dimes.

195 SpartanWoman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:50:02pm

re: #191 realwest

LOL! Yeah, I agree (if you're saying that things aren't as bad as they seem) but IndyMac and Enron combined don't equal the hit the economy would take if Fannie or Freddie went belly up (which of course they can't as long as the Fed can print money) but AIG and Merrill are potentially - and I emphasize potentially EACH as bad as IndyMac and Enron combined.

Well Merrill is now part of BoA, and I suspect that AIG will find the money.
As much as I believe in free markets, I think something has to be done about the leveraging mess and the mortgage industry.

196 Russkilitlover  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:50:04pm

And in some very GOOD news.....California came to a budget agreement today that pretty much shot down all of the Dems wish list of tax increases. $9.5 Billion (yes, BILLION) in tax increases was rejected by the Calif congress. And remember, folks, our congress is VERY Dem dominated. This is actually huge news.

197 rawmuse  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:50:18pm

re: #193 lummox

Yep, money to be made there too, and no small amounts either.

198 Pvt Bin Jammin  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:50:38pm

re: #193 lummox

Well if all my banks fail I might just have to become a farmer. LOL

199 Slumbering Behemoth  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:51:02pm

re: #159 Colonel Panik

Oral fixation? Yeah, I haz one.

200 zombie  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:51:05pm

re: #185 Clemente

Oh, dear. Sorry, zom. But, I do like your stuff one helluva lot, and have lately spent considerably more time enjoying it!

No problem! Different musical tastes are par for the course. In fact, half of what Charles himself posts videos of or has on his "Now Playing" feature are totally, totally not my cup of tea. That's life.

201 rawmuse  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:51:30pm

re: #196 Russkilitlover

Yeah, I saw that. Something about "accelerated tax payments by people who pay estimates".

See there, I am saving California. You're welcome.

202 BlueCanuck  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:51:34pm

Well everyone is talking about supplies to hoard, may i recommend several feet of copper tubeing? Small diameter that can be easily coiled. Distilling anything would help create a supply of anything like clean water or raw alcohol which has many uses besides drinking.

203 SpartanWoman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:51:35pm

re: #198 Pvt Bin Jammin

Well if all my banks fail I might just have to become a farmer. LOL

The return of the victory gardens is sort of appealing.

204 realwest  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:51:48pm

re: #166 Pvt Bin Jammin
WHOA - don't go puking just yet PBJ! No one has said that AIG is gonna go under. And what I don't know is this: do you mean so much of your "IRA" is invested in AIG stocks? Who manages your IRA?

205 SpartanWoman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:52:56pm

re: #204 realwest

WHOA - don't go puking just yet PBJ! No one has said that AIG is gonna go under. And what I don't know is this: do you mean so much of your "IRA" is invested in AIG stocks? Who manages your IRA?

AIG will probably survive, I hate the management, but they are not stupid people

206 Pvt Bin Jammin  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:53:11pm

re: #203 SpartanWoman

I love the Victory Gardens.

207 Colonel Panik  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:53:20pm

re: #164 realwest

Y'all can't go wrong with Dire Straits my friend.

Ever hear Mark Knopfler's sound track to "Local Hero"?

One of my all time favorite movies.

"You can't eat scenery."

208 NY Nana  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:54:52pm

re: #173 SpartanWoman

Merrill is in a better state than Lehman and BoA went that way. As for expecting the other houses to shore up Lehman, why fund the competition?

I suspect the Fulds still have plenty of cash for donk causes.

Chapter 11 filing BTW. I agree with you. I did not know they are asses donks.

Sort of a very weird anachronism....

Got to go to sleep! NY Grampa's computer fried, and until he gets a new one, we have to share.

/All I have to do is threaten to hold my breath and turn blue to get back on line!

G'nite, all. Sweet dreams.

209 Pvt Bin Jammin  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:55:16pm

re: #204 realwest

It is straight with AIG. I don't have an agent. I think my cousin sold us that a long time ago. He is a reflexologist now, got out of the insurance/investment business. LOL Hope we are not scr_wed.

210 realwest  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:55:24pm

re: #195 SpartanWoman
You are absolutely correct about corrective action needs to be taken - and frankly I think a LOT of people are or should be prosecuted and required to refund huge amounts of money.
But the SINGLE biggest change in Mortgage Lending would be to eliminate the right of someone with poor or bad credit being able to successfully sue lenders who turn them down on their requests for home mortgages. THAT HAS TO BE DONE. NOW.

211 Dahveed  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:56:22pm

re: #205 SpartanWoman

AIG will probably survive, I hate the management, but they are not stupid people

It looks like AIG will get short-term financing from the Federal Reserve. So, they should work out some of their problems. They will be a different company in the end, but I think they will survive, too.

212 Slumbering Behemoth  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:57:39pm

re: #184 realwest

I agree, but I am financially low right now. Worth thinking about, though.

I suppose I could sell my car.
/s

213 realwest  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:58:05pm

re: #209 Pvt Bin Jammin
Yeah, but do you own stock in AIG or did AIG invest stock in other companies for you or does your IRA include BONDS issued by AIG.
You can't hardly get safer than Bonds in a major corporation because Bondholders, by law, get paid everything they are owed, before other creditors (like stockholders) get anything.
But I think that somehow AIG will come out of this, though it may take some time.
Meanwhile, as I said, don't go puking your guts out just yet!

214 lifeofthemind  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:58:08pm

Lets sort things out a little. The real estate markets got into a bubble for a few reasons. Part was stupidity and greed with clever theoreticians creating excessively arcane instruments that concealed the real quality of the underlying assets from badly managed institutional investors. That produces a financial situation similar to my criticism the other day of political activity getting out of control (stupid waffle boxes) when adults fail to say "No." Another reason that there are so many bad real estate loans out there is that both Congress and the State Legislatures pressured the banks to relax their lending criteria. Remember the Community Reinvestment Act? Where do you think Tony Rezko got the money from for all that uninhabitable housing that Obama fronted for? A third reason ties into the second. Key regulatory functions were being filled by political hacks when this disaster started to inflate. The Republicans were trying to arrange a soft landing for the last few years but they did not dare to blow a whistle and risk causing an implosion. Without control of Congress they had a very narrow field of maneuver. Remember who was running Fannie Mae a few years ago? Jamie Goreleck's fingerprints are all over this disaster. She hadn't done enough for America by setting us up for 9-11. McCain and the Republican's should just say now wait a minute and refuse to accept this disaster. If they can not go convincingly on the attack then the election is over today when the markets open. The Democrats try to talk the economy down every year before an election. This time they have succeeded beyond their wildest nightmares.

I want to see if Soros has fingerprints on this.

215 Russkilitlover  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:58:17pm

re: #183 SpartanWoman

Well IndyMac failed and the world did not end. Enron failed and we have lived though the crisis. Drexel failed and we did not all have to eat squirrel meat...I would go the vegetarian brain shrink route befor eating rats with fluffy tails, thank you very much.

I don't think that ANY bank is too big to fail. If they were boneheads and got their balance sheets out of kilter, then, buh-bye. Our economy WILL recover. Banks and investment firms will consolidate (and homebuilding companies) and we will build from there to the next "bubble." Fortunes will be won and lost; and new industries will prosper.

We are seeing Capitalism at work....sometimes brutal, but also flush with opportunity. DON'T LET THE DEMS TELL YOU THAT GOVERNMENT IS THE ANSWER! THAT IS KEY, RIGHT NOW!

216 SpartanWoman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:59:30pm

re: #208 NY Nana

Thain, however, is GOP...more realistic than Fuld

217 Cartman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 10:59:55pm

re: #185 Clemente

No need to apologize for your personal tastes in music. Dire Straits was a great band, with nicely innovative music. MK was a guitar virtuoso, in his own right.

218 carefulnow  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:00:11pm

Realwest-
We recently (within the last 6 mos) bought BofA bonds...do you think their value will hold?

219 Dahveed  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:01:43pm

re: #209 Pvt Bin Jammin

It is straight with AIG. I don't have an agent. I think my cousin sold us that a long time ago. He is a reflexologist now, got out of the insurance/investment business. LOL Hope we are not scr_wed.

I just don't think that if your account is in something like a money market mutual fund they can start withdrawing money to pay their bills. I think your account is protected from AIG doing whatever they want with it. If you have stock in AIG, then you still own the stock. But if the stock lost value, you are not protected from that.

220 lifeofthemind  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:01:56pm

Remember that the only toxic sector is the real estate bubble, huge as it is. The rest of Lehman, the Investment Bank, the old bond house and Neuberger are worth Billions.

221 Russkilitlover  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:02:42pm

re: #201 rawmuse

Yeah, I saw that. Something about "accelerated tax payments by people who pay estimates".

See there, I am saving California. You're welcome.

On behalf of California tax payers, I thank you. Although I'm not sure what your quote means, I'm looking forward to seeing how things work out. A resounding "NO" on tax increases is always good, as long as the Calif legislature learns that they can't borrow our way out of any mess and actually enacts discipline! That's a huge leap of faith, but so far, the signs are promising.

222 beatcanvas  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:04:25pm

re: #210 realwest

But the SINGLE biggest change in Mortgage Lending would be to eliminate the right of someone with poor or bad credit being able to successfully sue lenders who turn them down on their requests for home mortgages. THAT HAS TO BE DONE. NOW.

Amen brother. Now apply that inability to sue to health care, small business hiring, etc... the economy gets a lot better all around.

The truth is, banks want to do as many loans as they can. Loans mean money. If you can perform and the secondary market will buy it, the bank will do the loan.

223 Bobibutu  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:04:45pm

re: #214 lifeofthemind

I want to see if Soros has fingerprints on this.

Here is a good place to start. Ms. Fitts is a parallel of Gov. Palin ... except she got shot down when she started expressing concern and then started blowing the whistle back in the Clinton Admin. History has proven her correct and here we are!

224 Pvt Bin Jammin  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:04:52pm

re: #213 realwest

Thanks, Realwest. I don't keep up on how it's invested. I am a dummy, I suppose. I'll never forget my husband selling short on platinum and I had to make the margin call. I didn't know what the heck was going on but I was freaked! Real estate is the only thing that has really worked for me. I'm scared of the other stuff. LOL

/It's the land, Scarlett O'Hara. The dirt of Tara.

225 rawmuse  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:04:56pm

re: #221 Russkilitlover

I have not read anything yet, just heard the phrase on the 10 o'clock news. The plan includes "accelerated tax payments by businesses and individuals who pay estimates".

I think that means they want more of the money I make, before I make it.

226 Colonel Panik  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:05:05pm

re: #183 SpartanWoman

Well IndyMac failed and the world did not end. Enron failed and we have lived though the crisis. Drexel failed and we did not all have to eat squirrel meat...I would go the vegetarian brain shrink route befor eating rats with fluffy tails, thank you very much.


Squirrels are not rats. Rats eat garbage and live in urban filth. Squirrels live in trees and eat acorns and other nuts and seeds. A squirrels diet is actually pretty darn clean.

Huckabee's odd way of cooking them aside I can think of worse things to have to live off of than squirrel meat.

227 lifeofthemind  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:05:08pm

OT since I missed the last thread.
Paul McCartney has said some unwise things this last year about the President and Iraq but he came through for NY in 2001. As he reminded us then he comes from tough Liverpool firefighting Anglo-Irish stock. Not a man to push around.

228 Russkilitlover  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:05:13pm

re: #214 lifeofthemind

Dinged you up. I think you are on top of it.

229 SpartanWoman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:05:45pm

re: #210 realwest

No argument from me on that. None at all. And people with poor training were helping do these sloppy deals, giddy with the thought that the market would go up forever.

But, I still maintain that heads have to roll and we cannot subsidize stupidity ad nauseum. And Boards of Directors have to have a splash of accountability, they have been weak and complicit

230 lifeofthemind  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:06:30pm

re: #223 Bobibutu

Here is a good place to start. Ms. Fitts is a parallel of Gov. Palin ... except she got shot down when she started expressing concern and then started blowing the whistle back in the Clinton Admin. History has proven her correct and here we are!


I have to get caught up, enlighten me please.

231 BlueCanuck  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:06:31pm

re: #226 Colonel Panik

Want me to link the squirrel melts? *evil grin*

232 lifeofthemind  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:06:58pm

re: #228 Russkilitlover

Dinged you up. I think you are on top of it.

Thank you

233 SpartanWoman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:07:15pm

re: #220 lifeofthemind

Remember that the only toxic sector is the real estate bubble, huge as it is. The rest of Lehman, the Investment Bank, the old bond house and Neuberger are worth Billions.

And other firms will pick apart the carcass of Lehman and come up with some bargains and some great employees.

234 Bobibutu  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:07:37pm

re: #223 Bobibutu

Here is a good place to start. Ms. Fitts is a parallel of Gov. Palin ... except she got shot down when she started expressing concern and then started blowing the whistle back in the Clinton Admin. History has proven her correct and here we are!

[Link: solari.com...]

235 SpartanWoman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:08:11pm

re: #231 BlueCanuck

Want me to link the squirrel melts? *evil grin*

Is that the awful "young tender squirrel" video? ONCE is enough

236 Bobibutu  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:08:25pm

re: #230 lifeofthemind

I have to get caught up, enlighten me please.

[Link: solari.com...]

sorry - I did not post the link ...

237 Russkilitlover  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:08:43pm

re: #225 rawmuse

Interesting times, for sure. We'll see how this plays out, but I believe in my heart-of-hearts that this is a line in the sand that we need to draw and go from here. Would like to hear our Governor make a statement and explain to the state.

238 Colonel Panik  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:09:40pm

re: #231 BlueCanuck

Want me to link the squirrel melts? *evil grin*

If I'm going to eat squirrel I prefer it in a good Brunswick Stew.

239 rawmuse  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:10:11pm

re: #237 Russkilitlover
Our new State motto:
"California, we at least don't suck as bad as New York!"

240 BlueCanuck  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:10:47pm

re: #235 SpartanWoman

That's why I just threatened. Of course the best way is stuffed then baked. Like muskrat.

/yummy.

241 Pvt Bin Jammin  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:10:58pm

re: #235 SpartanWoman

Heh I have pictures of my Tennessee kin with a rack of squirrels that they killed and here I am making friends with one in the back yard.

242 lifeofthemind  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:11:17pm

re: #222 beatcanvas

Amen brother. Now apply that inability to sue to health care, small business hiring, etc... the economy gets a lot better all around.

The truth is, banks want to do as many loans as they can. Loans mean money. If you can perform and the secondary market will buy it, the bank will do the loan.

Dan Quayle was right, it is the Tort Lawyers.
I gave my description of the Democrats as a seven legged horse last week.

243 Cartman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:11:34pm

Maybe Wall Street will invite The Grim Reaper to ring the bell tomorrow.

244 Russkilitlover  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:12:01pm

re: #243 Cartman

Maybe Wall Street will invite The Grim Reaper to ring the bell tomorrow.

I'm guessing that tomorrow will be ugly.

245 Pvt Bin Jammin  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:12:27pm

re: #237 Russkilitlover

Didn't the legislature make some kind of decision today? Wonder what Arnie will do?

246 SpartanWoman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:12:41pm

re: #244 Russkilitlover

I'm guessing that tomorrow will be ugly.

That's why they did the mini-session today

247 realwest  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:12:44pm

re: #218 carefulnow
Sorry I didn't see this sooner, but yes, I think BoA Bonds will hold - not as strongly as Fannie or Freddie bonds will - they are now goverment bonds in financial shorthand, but yeah I do think Bank of America Bonds will hold; don't know about their short term stock prices/dividends though.

248 SpartanWoman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:14:22pm

re: #247 realwest

BoA is putting a positive spin on this deal.

249 lifeofthemind  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:14:28pm

re: #234 Bobibutu

[Link: solari.com...]


Thanks, looks good. Wasn't Daley's idiot brother involved in this during the Clinton years?

250 kay1212  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:16:01pm

re: #162 realwest

re: #166 Pvt Bin Jammin

I am about to puke over our AIG IRA. At least it is not huge but it would hurt if we lost it.

re: #170 Dahveed

The FDIC, which gets its funds from assessing banks, protects depositors up to $100,000 each.
The SIPC which gets its funds from stock brokerage firms, protects depositors up to $100,000 each and almost every one of them has private insurance protecting customers for up to $25 million, sometimes even more. You need to ask.
AIG is having a ratings agency problem. Their annuities are fine, so is any other transaction you have with them, except perhaps owning shares of their stock. AIG is not going under but might have to raise so much capital that shareholders are seriously diluted. It's because the ratings agencies are threatening a downgrade of AIG due to 3 quarters of losses and its low share price. The low share price makes the rating agencies think it will be difficult to raise capital for a fair price. AIG has many assets it can sell. It can sell its aircraft leasing company for $10 billion, it's 59% share of a publicly traded insurance co. for $2.4 billion, cut its dividend saving $2.4 billion a year, sell its auto division, sell the former Hartford Steam Boiler, sell its reinsurance division, etc etc. Don't worry about the health of AIG but worry about me, I own a lot of stock in it. Whoops.

Anyway, I used to work in the securities industry and we are witnessing events that might happen once in a lifetime, a major financial meltdown caused by allowing too much leverage to be used in our financial institutions.

Interesting. Troubling. Not as important as family and health.

251 realwest  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:17:20pm

re: #248 SpartanWoman
BuT of course! LOL!
No, seriously, I really think BoA will come out of this in a VERY STRONG position, but it's gonna take some time and there are a LOT of heads that are gonna roll at Merrill.

252 SpartanWoman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:18:26pm

re: #251 realwest

BuT of course! LOL!
No, seriously, I really think BoA will come out of this in a VERY STRONG position, but it's gonna take some time and there are a LOT of heads that are gonna roll at Merrill.

Well I hope that they are at the top of the pecking order and not too many of the new kids get the ax.

253 lifeofthemind  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:18:45pm

Please read Instapundit on this, it even mentions La Gorelick!

254 Killian Bundy  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:19:20pm

Thank God for plug and play backup mice. Cat hair eventually gets everywhere no matter how you try and prevent it.

/need to order another one

255 Cartman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:20:12pm

Well, I got plenty of squirrels in my neighborhood, and I've got a Gamo pellet gun that cranks 'em out at around 1000 fps. It's pretty quiet, and definitely makes those critters do the dance of eternal repose. Guess I'd better start cullin' the heard, so to speak. ;)

256 rawmuse  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:20:18pm

The Dems are already conspiring to hang this particular burning tire around the neck of McCain.
And on that, I retire.

257 Bobibutu  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:20:38pm

re: #249 lifeofthemind

Thanks, looks good. Wasn't Daley's idiot brother involved in this during the Clinton years?

She names names. Anyone wanting to know how this mess all came about would do well to spend a few minutes and read her account and insights. This is one hell of a smart and ethical woman.

[Link: solari.com...]

258 realwest  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:21:05pm

re: #252 SpartanWoman
"Well I hope that they are at the top of the pecking order and not too many of the new kids get the ax."
I think that's inevitable, barring, of course, outright fraud on the part of some of the new "kids" (and it has happened before that "new kids" played with OPM waaay more than was good for them.
But yeah, it's gonna be at the tippy top of the pecking order and work it's way down, though not all areas of Merrill should suffer the same way.

259 Pvt Bin Jammin  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:21:20pm

re: #250 kay1212

OMG be careful for yourself. Thanks for letting me sleep. :)

260 SpartanWoman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:21:49pm

Glad to see that Neuberger will still continue as will the Asset Management division of Lehman. Seems the meetings all weekend paid off

261 Killian Bundy  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:22:41pm

re: #255 Cartman

Well, I got plenty of squirrels in my neighborhood, and I've got a Gamo pellet gun that cranks 'em out at around 1000 fps. It's pretty quiet, and definitely makes those critters do the dance of eternal repose. Guess I'd better start cullin' the heard, so to speak. ;)

/they're tasty

262 Cartman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:22:58pm

G'nite, y'all. Weet dreams.

263 SpartanWoman  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:23:53pm

re: #258 realwest

Hope so, I know some young people who have just started with Merrill (not with the problem areas) and I would be sad to see them suffer too much.

264 Pvt Bin Jammin  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:24:03pm

re: #262 Cartman

"wee dreams, Cartman.

265 Bobibutu  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:24:29pm

re: #253 lifeofthemind

Please read Instapundit on this, it even mentions La Gorelick!

From Fitts ... who has been on this for years!

[Link: solari.com...]

Part IV – The Profits of Playing Ball

The housing bill brings up a number of important questions about the risks and rewards that result from government subsidy and bailouts.

One recent market commentator pointed out that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac executives were allowed to keep the big bonuses they made engineering the housing bubble and bankrupting the companies.

One of the examples given was Jamie Gorelick, (1, 2) who joined Fannie Mae as vice chairman from 1997 to 2003 after engineering the move to private for-profit prisons as deputy attorney general in the Clinton Administration. Gorelick's name received national attention as a member of the 9-11 Commission and close advisor to Hillary Clinton.

Gorelick got Fannie Mae compensation and bonus payments of $26 million, which she gets to keep.

However, the bill stipulates that Americans at risk of foreclosure who get a mortgage workout must share future equity capital gains with the government.

266 BlueCanuck  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:24:36pm

re: #261 Killian Bundy

You just had to didn't you. :)

/all I did was threaten.

267 realwest  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:24:40pm

Yep, it's waaaaay past my bedtime, so I'm leaving.
I hope you all have a GREAT EVENING/EARLY MORNING and don't sweat the small stuff - I hope I get the chance to see you all down the road.


Goodnight, all.

268 BlueCanuck  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:25:04pm

Night Cartman, weet dreams.

269 Pvt Bin Jammin  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:26:05pm

re: #264 Pvt Bin Jammin

Sweet dreams.

I am such a ditz.

270 lummox  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:27:15pm
271 rabidfox  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:27:53pm

OY: I found this link over at Powerline and thought I'd pass it on. Apparently Pacifica Radio had Mike Gavel on (former Ak dem senator) thinking they were going to get the dirt on Palin. Didn't quite work out that way. It's a hoot!

[Link: johnrlott.blogspot.com...]

272 lifeofthemind  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:28:55pm

If we do not get every not in the tank and bought off politician on the same page publicly nailing down the guilty parties then we will have three results:
1. President Obama
2. 30% drop in the markets, 20% unemployment, widespread violence
3. Russia rolls up Europe, Israel goes down in flames

Best dream outcome, Monday Afternoon Patrick Fitzgerald moves a series of RICO indictments on Rezco, Ayers, Gorelick and Obama. Won't happen.

273 Slumbering Behemoth  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:29:12pm

ALL YOUR SQUIRREL ARE BELONG TO ME!

G'nite Lizards.

/yeah, I'd eat that

274 BlueCanuck  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:30:46pm

Night Slumbering, metal dreams.

/moving on up →

275 Killian Bundy  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:33:36pm

Well, now that I've got a working mouse, I think I'l go hone my G36C skillz by shooting some people in the head.

/wish me luck

276 lummox  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:37:32pm

re: #271 rabidfox

OY: I found this link over at Powerline and thought I'd pass it on. Apparently Pacifica Radio had Mike Gavel on (former Ak dem senator) thinking they were going to get the dirt on Palin. Didn't quite work out that way. It's a hoot!

[Link: johnrlott.blogspot.com...]

Nice find. Thanks.

277 Bob in Breckenridge  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:52:57pm

Damn, and to think I offered $43.9 billion...

278 Pvt Bin Jammin  Sun, Sep 14, 2008 11:55:33pm

re: #273 Slumbering Behemoth

I wouldn't eat that. I would give them peanuts. Love you anyway.

Goodnight Lizards! , and btw in case you didn't notice, Mama Winger, is back!
Thank you Charles.

I am out!

Sweet dreams to all of you!

279 eCurmudgeon  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 12:12:42am

re: #94 Racer X

Yeah - the left is having wet dreams over market collapse just so they can say "See! See! McCain will be bad for the economy! We need Obama to save us!"

I thought the left was having their dreams of economic collapse in order to push for a return of the New Deal...

280 Clemente  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 12:37:19am

re: #271 rabidfox

OY: I found this link over at Powerline and thought I'd pass it on. Apparently Pacifica Radio had Mike Gavel on (former Ak dem senator) thinking they were going to get the dirt on Palin. Didn't quite work out that way. It's a hoot!

[Link: johnrlott.blogspot.com...]

Gravel herewith gains a full order of magnitude in my order of estimation; his generally positive sensibility re Palin draws him near a double-digit level of political coherence. And I'd placed him right 'round Kucinich (sub 1%) 'til just now. He may yet be worth a 7-9 percent approval.

Pacifica Radio journalista slip by half their already deplorable standing.

281 markie  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 12:52:42am

Pacifica sounds like the training ground for Error America Radio. Idealistic useful idiots.

282 rabidfox  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 12:54:52am

Yeah, I was favorably impressed by Gravel. I was also impressed by the Pacifica talking heads -- but not the same way! Nite all.

283 humanliberty  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 1:23:02am

To any non-US Citizens that have money in shaky US banks, here's some good news:

Deposits Maintained by Non-United States Citizens or Residents
(12 C.F.R. § 330.3(c))

Any person or entity with deposits in an insured bank is entitled to deposit insurance coverage. Insurance coverage is provided whether or not the depositor is a United States citizen or resident.


Otherwise, stock up on food, cling to your guns, keep your powder dry, don't vote for Obama, learn how to shoot, learn some skills, and be nice to your neighbors.

284 Ledger1  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 2:46:24am

re: #8 Sharmuta

Hum, it seems that plenty of foreign investors from Singapore to Kuwait are profiting quite well from Merrill's woes.

Could outside countries played a role in Merrill’s down fall?

In a classic “dump and panic” scheme the predator acquires a meaningful portion of the target's stock and then spreads negative rumors while dumping the stock causing a rapid decline. Then they (or another suitor) steps in and buys the company on the cheap – the dump and panic players make a lot of money.

Bloomberg notes:

Temasek Holdings Pte, the biggest shareholder of Merrill Lynch & Co., may reap gains of $1.5 billion from the sale… The Singapore sovereign wealth fund paid $5.9 billion since December for about 14 percent of Merrill at an average price of $23.11 a share

Korea Investment Corp., one of at least six investment funds that bought a combined $6.6 billion of convertible preferred shares from Merrill in January… The sale of Merrill to Bank of America will net the Seoul- based fund profits of about $108 millionKuwait Investment Authority, a fund that manages the Middle Eastern emirate's wealth, held a 6 percent stake, or about 73.9 million shares, in Merrill after converting $2 billion of convertible preferred stock

See: Temasek May Reap $1.5 Billion Gain

285 Ledger1  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 2:55:09am

By coincidence the failure of Merrill, Lehman, and Freddie and others just happened to occur very close to 9/11.

286 mannyishere  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:29:12am

re: #285 Ledger1

Unfortunate coincidence.

287 mannyishere  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 3:32:30am

The unwinding of moral hazard is at the moment the worst thing for the markets. Yet in the medium to longer term, it a VERY VERY good thing. Having the government indicate its not bailing out any more privately run banks will ensure that future risk management is more robust and less cavalier.

Means the arrogant wanks at IBs will have to actually think about risk before they swing their assets (excuse the pun) around. I hope the Lehmann situation is setting a hard rock precedent. And to be quite honest, I think its a great thing. In the future, shareholders, and especially, creditors are going to be more curious about what these banks hold on their balance sheets. The price of risk is readjusting to more realistic levels.

I think the other positive developments are:
* the ten banks setting up $70bn liquidity fund that has little to do with the central banks (another example of central banks beginning to lose control over the monetary system and more private enterprises stepping up to the plate). Really this is going back to the pre-Fed reserve days where banks would sort out problems amongst themselves
* ISDA setting up netting provisions for Lehmann swaps. Someones going to be left holding some swaps that have no counterparty. But it provides stability for the swap market by providing a mechanism by which ISDA participants can clean up the mess left by Lehmann.

The bad things on the horizon:
* AIG going belly up will be VERY bad news. My understanding is that they underwrite lots of mortgage insurance and CDS stuff. If they disappear then lots of people are going to be holding some much riskier assets (although you could argue given AIG's position, that this is almost the case now).
* I am not quite sure how Lehmann's bankruptcy will spread to other participants. Whether or not the equity holders taking a bath means that other market participants will lose little is yet to be determined.
* Freddie and Fannie are still unresolved and will be for some time. These are GSEs are monsters. I would prefer them to be chopped up and sold off. But that will happen will into the future.

Was just watching Bloomberg TV and an analyst was saying that it was only last week that people were thinking the US would come out of a recession. What recession exactly?

Best recommendation to stop this sort of stuff happening again? Diffuse concentration in the financial markets. Banks should be mandated to spin off business units. That is a very illiberal thing to say, but I think the lack of competition and the concentration of assets in the financial markets is very troubling.

Those are my random thoughts. Not meant to be definitive or anything.

288 taxfreekiller[deleted]  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 4:34:41am
289 yesandno  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 5:30:15am

re: #284 Ledger1

Hum, it seems that plenty of foreign investors from Singapore to Kuwait are profiting quite well from Merrill's woes.

Could outside countries played a role in Merrill’s down fall?

In a classic “dump and panic” scheme the predator acquires a meaningful portion of the target's stock and then spreads negative rumors while dumping the stock causing a rapid decline. Then they (or another suitor) steps in and buys the company on the cheap – the dump and panic players make a lot of money

In the long run, bad business practices catch up with you.

290 taxfreekiller[deleted]  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 6:48:35am
291 BaseballMom57  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 6:49:55am

re: #20 beatcanvas

Exactly....most of all the Countrywide employees in my world have left the company and have been absorbed by the few surviving mortgage brokers or are thinking about another line of work. After all the CFC employees leave, BoA will have a lot of brick-and-mortar CFC offices to liquidate or sub-lease. NONE of the CFC people here have ANY desire to work for BoA.

292 BaseballMom57  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 6:52:57am

Holy Crap - BoA stock is down $5.44 at this very moment....holy smokes!

293 Noam Chumpski  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 7:26:55am

So far the market says, "ssppppppffffffffffffffffffttttttt...."

This isn't helping my children.

294 Noam Chumpski  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 7:33:55am

re: #287 mannyishere

Whoa, where'd you come from? Nice analysis.

Maybe I'm a sadist, but I see this as a very painful situation for our markets, but it's been a long time coming and I'm glad we're finally getting through it. With the Fed finally refusing to bail out banks/firms we may finally see some of these groups do what will be necessary. I feel that we could have been further along into this is the Fed had been a little more hard-nosed from the start.

My hopeful opinion is that we will come out of this with a much, much stronger footing.

That is, if Global Warming® doesn't kill us first, of course.

295 carefulnow  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 7:38:26am

Realwest
Thanks.

296 Noam Chumpski  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 7:41:16am

re: #287 mannyishere

Oh - and I can only hope they chop Fanny/Freddie up, but I'm afraid they will just patch it and try to muster it along.

What do you think the odds are they will split it up?

297 SummerSong  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 7:45:00am

Wamu is NOT okay. Wouldn't touch it with anyone's pole.

298 taxfreekiller[deleted]  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 8:04:30am
299 Cygnus  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 8:19:53am

re: #177 rawmuse

There was a time in US history when whiskey was a currency.

Now there's a liquid asset.

300 pittrader1988  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 8:38:32am

The real cause of this whole mess was the fact the I-banks assumed too much risk off their balance sheet. FASB allowed them to make accounting judgements keeping liabilities that were under funded off the balance sheet.
Meanwhile, there was no mark to market mechanism that forced the I-banks to show a loss, so they continued to book paper profits.

There also was no way to quantify the counter party risk they assumed in the OTC market (which is not transparent, and pretty unregulated). Since they had to assume counterparty risk, they sold and resold and repackaged these OTC derivatives so that they had no idea who was on the hook for them if they went up or down. They continued to over value them, even though the underlying market was cracking.

Last August, the house of cards fell.

What to do? First, find an organization that can clear trades independently, mark to market, and clear up counter party risk. Second, change accounting standards so that they can bring some, but not all of these things into financial reporting standards that make the market more transparent.
Third, make some structural changes in the market place that make the market more competitive and transparent.
Fourth, bring back rules that still allow stocks to be shorted, but make them tougher to short (like the uptick rule)

Unfortunately, I heard Corzine this morning talking simply of more regulation and a infrastructure stimulus package. This is not what we need.

301 beermeister  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 11:11:31am

re: #82 EIDE_Interface

Let the free market sort itself out! The more the government interferes the worse the pain will be.

WRONG!

You do not know the beast that is Wall Street. It must be regulated. Deregulation led to this. Specifically, the termination of Glass-Steagall Act via the Gramm-Leach-Blilely Act. The Gramm bill was signed by Clinton, but largely supported by Rebpublicans. Separately, lax lending standards are to blame on both the Democrats and Republicans. The idea that anyone should own a home is dangerous. Separately, Wall Street and the mortgage market is like the Wild West. Any type of derivative or synthetic security is allowed.

Furthermore, Greenspan should shut up since he cut rates too far and goosed the money supply and helped create some of the housing mess.

The SEC should be routed and replaced with more vigilant managers. For example, the removal of the uptick rule on short sales only increased volatility and downside risk in the market. Separately, naked short selling should be illegal. There is limited if any disclosure of short positions and hedge funds.

With regards to commodities, leverage is too easy as are other trading terms. Manipulation and speculation is quite easy, especially when delivery is never an intention of many parties involved.

CEO pay is another disaster. These people steal way too much money from the company, shareholders, economy and customers. It needs to be capped according to a performance based measurement. These people should not be getting paid a dime when there companies are going under. Additionally, shareholders should have much more say in all executive compensation and the executives and board should have less voting power on such matters.

Do you not understand that some people on Wall Street couldn't care less about this economy or if every one of our jobs was shipped overseas. Do you not understand that they would steal from you if they could. They just want to make as much money as they can without any limits or ethical constraints. These people don't give a damn about the American people or manufacturing jobs.

We should not forget that a LACK of regulation helped to bring about the Great Depression.

302 beermeister  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 11:23:58am

re: #300 pittrader1988

"Unfortunately, I heard Corzine this morning talking simply of more regulation and a infrastructure stimulus package. This is not what we need."

I agree with your points, but they are regulations that would need to be enforced. Totally agree with the off-balance sheet garbage and lack of mark to market. You don't think these bastards will do it voluntarily?

303 mannyishere  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 2:06:25pm

re: #294 Noam Chumpski

Thanks. been here for a while. Just a bit quiet most of the time. ;)

304 mannyishere  Mon, Sep 15, 2008 2:09:52pm

re: #296 Noam Chumpski

Not sure about the odds. Depends on your time horizon and who wins the U.S. POTUS elections. If McCain wins, maybe 50% in his first terms. If Obama wins


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