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Financial Crisis Watch

Business | Thu, Sep 25, 2008 at 5:15:59 pm PDT

Unless a whole lot of people are exaggerating the seriousness of the financial crisis, we’re going to have no choice but to accept some kind of “Hail Mary” bailout legislation.

Here’s a thread as we watch it all melt down.

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402 comments

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1 Sharmuta  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:17:02pm

I agree with Ayatollah Ghilmeini.

2 spidly  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:18:43pm

buying opportunity

3 lawhawk  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:18:57pm

So much for a deal. Breitbart is reporting things have gone fuzzy.

Urgent efforts to lash together a $700 billion rescue plan for the national economy broke apart Thursday night, hours after key lawmakers had declared they had reached a deal.

Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke sped to Capitol Hill to try to revive or rework the proposal that the administration says must be quickly approved by Congress to stave off economic disaster.

Congressional leaders were to meet with the economic chiefs into the night.

4 opinionated  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:19:51pm

Washington Mutual shareholder were just wiped out a little while ago.

5 Fenway_Nation  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:20:34pm

Hail Mary pass and no Doug Flutie in sight.....I'm not liking this one bit.

6 Dasher  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:20:41pm

I would like to see Sarbanes/Oxley repealed as part of this bail out.

7 Sharmuta  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:20:44pm

AG sold me with this:

This mistake needs some fixing but let's get past pointing fingers- we were all both participants and beneficiaries of the old system, Republicans and Democrats mismanaged it but right now, not letting US liquidity evaporate, is less expensive than a fifteen year depression with 30% unemployment for a decade, starvation and social disorder.

I have to agree- in the short term, this is expensive and hurts. But in the long term, I'd rather pay now than pay later, longer and harder.

8 Maximu§  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:22:40pm

Don't worry Comrades, loyal party officials are conducting state business as we speak.....there is nothing to worry about.

Go about your business!

9 Zimriel  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:22:42pm

We had the same hysteria over Bear Stearns. We were supposed to float hundreds of super-squajillions or else locusts would eat our faces while zombies made love to our wives and poodles.

We bailed them out and, ooh lookie here, we still had this crisis.

I know I've posted this on other blogs, but Mike Pence is right:- "pay now or you'll regret it" is used-car-sales talk. No offence meant to lizards who sell used cars honestly.

10 Oingo Boingo  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:22:50pm

re: #7 Sharmuta

I have to agree- in the short term, this is expensive and hurts. But in the long term, I'd rather pay now than pay later, longer and harder.

Just so.

11 Captain Midnight  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:23:17pm

Always such fun to see the government jump in to fix a problem that the government itself created.

*spit*

12 So?  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:23:32pm

re: #2 spidly

buying opportunity

can you lend me some cash?

or maybe I can ask for a million dollars, that's petty cash in the scheme of things.

To whom it may concern:
With the hundreds of billions you're about to hand out, whose gonna notice a mere $million.
Yours truly,
So?

13 Kilroy  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:23:46pm

The Dems and the media have been working on this for 8 years.It can't be stopped!

14 lawhawk  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:23:50pm

In any event, I'm cautious about the idea of the bailout, what it means, and whether it is warranted. Alarm bells go off when I hear about the government buying up all these assets, as though they've done wonders with what they've been entrusted with to this point (how's that Amtrak business doing for example).

Still, the choice may be badly run business or no business at all because the markets are literally stuck. And that means that while a bailout may be a bad option, it's still the best of all bad options.

Big Lizards is still covering the story and I appreciate his take on things. There are some seriously troubling aspects to the bailout, and I can only hope that the Administration sorts things out - or that McCain and the adults step in and demand that minimal action is taken - enough to get through this, but not so much that the government has its hands in literally everything.

15 Fenway_Nation  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:24:01pm

re: #7 Sharmuta

I think CNBC's Jim Kramer quasi-predicted this in Aug 2007, although even he didn't think things would get this dire.

16 Egfrow  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:24:02pm

There is too much of a rush to get this approved and most Americans have no clue what the problem is! The Dems have already approved the current version by an overwhelming majority. Alarm bells should be going off everywhere just for that reason alone.

We don't even have a proper explanation of the situation yet, Senators with average or below average intelligence seem to have a grip on it.

This is bullshit of the highest degree and if we put our signatures on this beast before we fully understand it then we may be sowing the seeds of our future prosperity.

17 Maximu§  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:24:10pm

re: #10 Oingo Boingo

Did you serve in the 11th ACR?

18 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:25:05pm
19 LC Hoghead  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:25:48pm

It didnt take long for the scumbag democrats to find a scapegoat. Barney Frank says a deal was "imminent" until McCain showed up and "scuttled" the talks. Frank is one of the major reasons this has happened by blocking reforms

20 Taqiyyotomist  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:26:18pm

OT (well, probably not, in all likelihood)

And , funny thing...

"A founding member of the campaign of Democratic presidential nominee Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois met in New York City Wednesday night with Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad."
--Snip--
Update: Jodie Evans issued the following statement tonight on her meeting with Ahmadinejad.

“It’s rare for a head of state to take time during an official U.N. visit to meet with the peace community, especially in a situation where the host government —represented by the Bush administration — is so hostile,” said Jodie Evans, co-founder of CODEPINK. “The fact that the meeting took place and was so positive is, in itself, a major step forward.”
--Snip--

Found at Melanie Morgan, via Reihl World View

This is despicable.
-Taq

21 Intrepid  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:26:27pm

I'd sure like to see what the dems are trying to load into this thing. Already Harry Reid is trying to slip in a ban on shale oil explorations, and the good Lord only knows what that porker Barney Frank has dreamed up.

22 sojerofgod  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:26:46pm

I just don't know who to believe on this anymore. The Administration and fed want to practically socialize the banks, The dems want to do that plus bail out everyone in the country who has bad debts and open the candy store for their buddies Their surrogates are all on TV spouting the latest fax blast from Obama central that it was wrong for McCain to interject himself into the mix.
The real wild card seems to be that all of the above parties thought they could steam-roll the repubs in the house to go along with the dire threats of doom etc, but they aren't buying. I know that the calls against the plan are running 3 to 1 against too.

This has become a mess stacked on top of a pile of donkey doo.

23 Bulldog1967  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:27:26pm

re: #6 Dasher

I would like to see Sarbanes/Oxley repealed as part of this bail out.

QFTMFT!

24 Elcid  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:27:38pm

re: #11 Captain Midnight

Always such fun to see the government jump in to fix a problem that the government itself created.

*spit*

EXACTLY!

25 Egfrow  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:27:50pm

re: #18 buzzsawmonkey

I'm not sure that you mean "prosperity" in that last line.

it was meant to be interpreted as either minus/plus. It seems like a dice roll.

26 Sharmuta  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:28:10pm

re: #15 Fenway_Nation

I think CNBC's Jim Kramer quasi-predicted this in Aug 2007, although even he didn't think things would get this dire.

I'm obviously not a finance wiz, but what AG said made sense to me.

27 JammieWearingFool  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:28:14pm

It would really be nice if the media would actually trace back and finger the culprits responsible for this. There'd be a whole lot of Democrats being frogmarched.

/wishful thinking

28 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:28:23pm
29 sojerofgod  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:28:28pm

re: #9 Zimriel

My poodle died in 1978. I suppose in a way, that makes her a fair cop for the zombies....

I don't like the stampede aspect of this. Usually it is the hallmark of a con.

30 ciaospirit  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:28:34pm

re: #7 Sharmuta

AG sold me with this:

I have to agree- in the short term, this is expensive and hurts. But in the long term, I'd rather pay now than pay later, longer and harder.

What guarantee do we have that we won't also pay later?

This has been festering for years and they wanted to knock out a socialist solution in three hours. Socialism never works. The only people who aren't going to feel a thing are the multi-millionaire congress people that got us into this mess. The rest of us small potatoes are going to feel it for a long time.

31 Bulldog1967  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:28:50pm

Supposedly, That large piece of garbage Harry Reid blew a gasket when conservatives at the President's meeting today brought up a counterproposal.

Typical.

32 Zimriel  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:28:51pm

From K-Lo at the NRO Corner (h/t, "UncleKrusty" commenting at Ace), Cantor, Hensarling, and Ryan are working on a bill which will provide oversight of the issue WITHOUT all the frakkin' PORK which is making the likes of Michelle Malkin so angry.

33 LC Hoghead  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:28:54pm

ABC News: Deal May Be Dead: Democrats Blaming McCain
Thursday, September 25, 2008 Jake Tapper, Charles Herman and Z. Byron Wolf

After days of intense bipartisan negotiations and meetings today at the White House, the deal to bail out staggered investment banks may be dying amid partisan finger-pointing. Republicans blame Democrats. Democrats blame Republicans, and a key Democrat even pointed a finger at Republican presidential nominee Sen. John McCain. House Financial Services Chairman Barney Frank, D-Mass., told Democratic colleagues that McCain's sudden heightened involvement in the negotiations has destroyed chance of an agreement, sources told ABC's George Stephanopoulos. Frank compared McCain's involvement to "Richard Nixon blowing up the Vietnam peace talks in 1968."

34 Fenway_Nation  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:28:55pm

re: #20 Taqiyyotomist


If the economic situation is as bad as everyone's saying, Obama's actually happy since this will overshadow any news of that.

35 Sharmuta  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:29:10pm

re: #21 Intrepid

I'd sure like to see what the dems are trying to load into this thing. Already Harry Reid is trying to slip in a ban on shale oil explorations, and the good Lord only knows what that porker Barney Frank has dreamed up.

That's really shitty. This should just be about the financial crisis and leave the other politics out of this. That really pisses me off!

36 Fat Bastard Vegetarian  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:29:12pm

Where's 3 Wood? Where's Rawmuse? Where's Kilgore Trout?

C'mon folks, pipe in here!

37 Perplexed  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:29:23pm

re: #30 ciaospirit

There's more of us than there are of them.

38 Taqiyyotomist  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:29:36pm

Re: my #20
So much more in the link. OMG.

39 Killian Bundy  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:29:48pm

Deal May Be Dead: Democrats Blaming McCain

Sources tell ABC News' George Stephanopoulos that Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson fears the deal is falling apart.

As Democrats met in the White House's Roosevelt Room after the meeting with Bush, Paulson told them, "Please don't blow this up," according to sources.

Sources say Frank was livid, saying, "Don't say that to us after all we've been through!"

House Speaker Rep. Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., reportedly said, "We're not the ones trying to blow this up. It's the House Republicans."

And Obama rides the blame McCain/Republican meme to victory on the back of economic disaster. Hope you don't need to borrow money or a job.

/get in cash and be prepared to sell short if you want to make any money

40 AuldTrafford  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:29:55pm

Doesn't matter whether they're right about the seriousness of the crisis or not (I don't think they are); you must still not make the situation worse by enacting a law that ties us irrevocably (don't kid yourselves now about the consequences of this thing) to socialism.

Anyone remember the USSR?

41 Kilroy  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:29:56pm

If McCain scuttled this deal he has the support of the vast majority of the American people who are tired of being ripped off by a bunch of big city thieves!

42 yochanan  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:29:57pm

can anyone say HERBERT HOOVER

43 Dayenu  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:30:04pm

I was wondering if someone could help me out here...

I've been following foreign policy and the threat of Islamic Nazi terror ever since 9/11...

But I know almost nothing about Economics. I still have my job, I'm still making decent money (not as good as a I used to, but decent) and there's a panic, but I'm not sure what about.

Could someone explain it to me in layman's English?

Also, the difference between Obama and McCain in it as well.

44 obageegee  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:30:04pm

NO BAIL OUT! Let the free markets be free. The American taxpayer should not have to foot the bill to bail out Fannie/Freddie/AIG

45 IslandLibertarian  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:30:11pm

Another day in politics....or History unfolding?

Power to the Correct People!
(They don't endanger the economy.)

46 Egfrow  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:30:33pm

People have this illusion that throwing money at a problem is a cure. Jerry Lewis has been running his telethon longer than I care to remember. No breakthroughs. March of Dimes, same shit. Throwing money into a factory that produces shit will just get you more of the same.

47 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:30:58pm
48 Fat Bastard Vegetarian  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:31:03pm

re: #42 yochanan

can anyone say HERBERT HOOVER

Wasn't he on TV with FDR?

49 Fenway_Nation  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:31:36pm

re: #33 LC Hoghead


Didn't Barney Frank give one of his boyfriends a cushy job at Fannie Mae?

50 yodax  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:31:42pm

Congratulations peasants! Your retirement accounts supported industries that intentionally outsourced themselves, even into oblivion. Now you'll pay dearly for buying the outsourcers a brand new house each. Galt's Gulch just got built, and it was built on your dime. Be proud!

51 opinionated  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:31:42pm

Dow futures down 130

52 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:32:03pm
53 West Coast Freedom  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:32:05pm

Clinton's experiment in social engineering just received an F. So why on Earth would we bail it out? OK, foreign investors might pull there money out. I say let them. Open up the oil shale and in ten years we can be exporting oil!

54 mama winger  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:32:07pm

re: #32 Zimriel

From K-Lo at the NRO Corner (h/t, "UncleKrusty" commenting at Ace), Cantor, Hensarling, and Ryan are working on a bill which will provide oversight of the issue WITHOUT all the frakkin' PORK which is making the likes of Michelle Malkin so angry.

Are they talking about Paul Ryan (R-Wisconsin0?

He is my congressman and is a financial conservative extraordinairre. He is a good good man and whatever he says, I would believe it.

55 Perplexed  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:32:15pm

re: #48 Fat Bastard Vegetarian

Wasn't he on TV with FDR?

New commentary or was it a comedy team? Let's see what the TV Guide from then has to say.

56 AuldTrafford  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:32:30pm

re: #46 Egfrow

People have this illusion that throwing money at a problem is a cure. Jerry Lewis has been running his telethon longer than I care to remember. No breakthroughs. March of Dimes, same shit. Throwing money into a factory that produces shit will just get you more of the same.

Actually, March of Dimes did lead pretty directly to cure for polio. Thing is, it was a private undertaking. Money - resources, anyway - have to be employed to solve problems. It's who is doing it that counts. Too much waste and corruption in public spending programs.

57 Killian Bundy  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:32:38pm

re: #2 spidly

buying opportunity

I wouldn't be buying anything now, except as a situational day trade.

/looks like the knife now has a few thousand more Dow points to fall

58 Dasher  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:32:47pm

McCain is signing on to a different deal... no details yet...

59 Taqiyyotomist  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:33:05pm

re: #34 Fenway_Nation

If there were nothing but "Alfred, the biggest Rhode Island Red in southern New Hampshire, has died today: he was 6 1/2." THAT news would somehow "overshadow" this news of sedition, treason, etc. Alfred would be the most famous f**kin chicken on the TV news, ever.

60 Egfrow  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:33:06pm

Here is today's Mark Levin show archive. He talks more on the bailout issue very deeply. He also takes down O'Reilly a few notches.

61 LEGION  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:33:07pm

I'mmmmmm meeeeelllltttttttiiiiinnnggggg- IIIIIIIII'mmmmmmmm mmmmmeeeeeelllltttttiiinnnggggg Curse you and your little dog too!

62 ciaospirit  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:33:15pm

re: #49 Fenway_Nation

Didn't Barney Frank give one of his boyfriends a cushy job at Fannie Mae?

Barney Frank's boyfriend was Fannie Exec

63 taxfreekiller[deleted]  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:33:26pm
64 LEGION  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:33:35pm

re: #60 Egfrow

Heard that- Mark was great as usual!

65 bosforus  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:33:38pm

Some hail mary's work out.

66 Sharmuta  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:33:46pm

re: #30 ciaospirit

What guarantee do we have that we won't also pay later?

This has been festering for years and they wanted to knock out a socialist solution in three hours. Socialism never works. The only people who aren't going to feel a thing are the multi-millionaire congress people that got us into this mess. The rest of us small potatoes are going to feel it for a long time.

I don't know. I'm not an expert on this, obviously. But I do know that passing up on dealing with one's finances in the present usually causes it to hurt more when you eventually deal with it later. For example- if McCain had gotten his way in 2005, maybe we wouldn't be dealing with this now. So not dealing with it then has caused more pain later.

67 Sharmuta  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:34:19pm

re: #36 Fat Bastard Vegetarian

Killgore's on vacation.

68 Egfrow  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:34:24pm

re: #52 buzzsawmonkey

The March of Dimes started as a charity to fight polio. It was successful. Once successful, it changed its mission rather than go out of business.

Right, March of Dimes was a bad choice of an analogy. The the overall point I was making seems to apply here. Throwing our money into the fire and see if it works is their solution.

69 LC Hoghead  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:34:30pm

re: #49 Fenway_Nation

Yup fwanks lover was an exec VP

70 Fenway_Nation  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:34:33pm
As Democrats met in the White House's Roosevelt Room after the meeting with Bush, Paulson told them, "Please don't blow this up," according to sources.

Sources say Frank was livid, saying, "Don't say that to us after all we've been through!"

Of course....it's all about them.

Poor dears.

71 obageegee  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:35:02pm

Ok my prediction (hope, dream) John McCain comes out smokin:

"I'M MAD AS HELL AND I'M NOT GOING TO TAKE IT ANYMORE"

/my best Peter Finch

72 yochanan  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:35:09pm

THE PROBLEM IS IF THIS ISN'T FIXED CREDIT WILL DRY UP FOR ALL SORTS OF PEOPLE, WE WILL HAVE A DEPRESSION AND NOT A RECESSION. working out the details is a different thing.

73 Killian Bundy  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:35:19pm

re: #51 opinionated

Dow futures down 130

That's predictable.

/if this deal doesn't get done, in a form that's not totally useless, expect tomorrow to end up much worse

74 shipper  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:35:30pm

Some congressional Republicans are to blame for intransigence on this bailout, at least as much as some Democrats. Normally I agree with limited government oversight and reducing taxes (and this is a big tax), but we are facing a highly possible economic death-spiral, which will lead to a severe recession or even a depression. I don't think this is an exaggeration. This serious a crisis requires severe action--and not populist political shenanigans.

75 AuldTrafford  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:35:45pm

re: #66 Sharmuta

True, but his way of dealing with it in 2005 was to cut government involvement. We still need to do something - true - but his approach then is still the correct one. Yes, it will cost us more now, but it may save us. A bail out will likely destroy us.

National health care anyone?

76 Sharmuta  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:36:15pm

re: #71 obageegee

Ok my prediction (hope, dream) John McCain comes out smokin:

"I'M MAD AS HELL AND I'M NOT GOING TO TAKE IT ANYMORE"

/my best Peter Finch

77 Kilroy  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:36:22pm

Hey Buzz, Just because you paid too much for gas in Fargo doesn't mean you have to throw $700,000,000,000.00 off the "Empire" State Building.If you do I want to be there; better than than Time Square on New Years Eve!

78 taxfreekiller[deleted]  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:36:30pm
79 ArmyWife  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:36:37pm

I am reaching out to lizard financial gurus and revealing my financial ignorance for all to see:

I understand we need to do something - its about banks being able to loan again via freeing up cash (right?), why wouldn't it make sense to go ahead and buy the mortgages from the banks with the intent to attract investors to recoup the initial outlay? They could be sold in the form of bonds after shoring up the risk a bit?

To stabilize the loans, what about looking at the mortgages and doing a refi for those who can show the ability to pay fair market value at a fixed rate, a modified short sell if you will? Foreclose on those that can't afford the house they are in come hell or high water, and then resell those? I understand this means people who made very poor financial moves get "bailed" while others who live in their means don't and its not "fair", but neither is crashing the economy. It also means you do have to be able to pay with actual proof - I am sure too simplistic, but at least it doesn't feel like something for nothing. Then financial reform can be worked though in a non-rushed way -

80 ciaospirit  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:36:42pm

Frank Raines should go straight to jail.

81 mama winger  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:36:50pm
"We think this insurance model works... This is an alternative," Wisconsin Republican Rep. Paul Ryan said at a press briefing where he distributed a one-page proposal.

He said dozens of House Republicans are involved in the group developing the alternative insurance approach.

Texas Republican Rep. Jeb Hensarling, chairman of the study committee, said its more than 100 members "remain skeptical, fearful and unconvinced" about the administration's plan.

"The insurance model is one that appeals to us," he said.

The conservative group called for the U.S. government to offer insurance coverage for the roughly half of all mortgage-backed securities that it does not already insure.

The Treasury Department, they said, should charge premiums to holders of those securities to finance the insurance.

They also called for temporary tax cuts and regulatory relief for businesses. In addition, they said, financial institutions participating in their proposed program would have to disclose more about their mortgage asset holdings.

[Link: www.reuters.com...]

82 Taqiyyotomist  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:37:19pm

Boy, if Obama wins, and sets up labor camps for all the debtors, are the Unions gonna stand for that? I mean, thats a lot of lost labor!
///

83 karmic_inquisitor  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:37:20pm

FWIW I posted this on the crisis thread yesterday after it went dead.

It is Fjordmanesque in length but I tried to stick to a relevant narrative. Some found it useful.

-----------------

A) This isn't a bailout. It is actually a buying opportunity. Thing is that there is only one entity on the planet that can pull the trigger on the buying.

B) Those saying that the market should do its work don't understand markets. Markets are very efficient and rational in the long run. In the short run, however, they are quite often extremely irrational. Day traders and hedge funds make all sorts of money exploiting the time and space between short run irrational and long run rational. Herds are stupid, but reward and pain will work together to point them in the right direction. The market provides reward and pain. Problem is, this round of pain we are facing has the potential to kill the herd.

People here would join me in condemning the freaky ecowhackos who tell us that a pandemic that kills of half of humanity would be a good thing. We know those people exist and we know they are morons. I am asking you to get in touch with your inner moron if you think we should let the market collapse and see what happens. We live in a highly industrialized society where our population is simply not equipped to go back to foraging for food while we wait out the half century for our highly stratified economy to reassemble itself after credit is eliminated from our economy for a few years and hyper inflation sets in.

C) Lending money is an act of trust. Ever loan money to a friend or family member? What did you do after they were slow to pay it back? Or not pay at all? Oh -- you stopped lending.

Our entire industrialized society depends on lending. We have built efficiencies into our economy that assume the continued existence of lending. Been to WalMart? There is not a single product on a WalMart shelf that WalMart has paid for. Not one. At any WalMart anywhere. The vendor gets paid well after you pay WalMart. WalMart operates at very low margins and makes much of its money as a bank of sorts - they put money to work for a while before paying the vendors. If lending seizes WalMart goes away. Gone. No jobs. No cheap goods. And because WalMart's efficiencies wiped out other retailers a long time ago, there is no alternative supply channel to many towns that can scale if it goes away.

Imagine a slow motion collapse of all sorts of businesses and services around you - what do you start doing? That's right - you start hoarding what you can for your family.

The point is that the "trust" underlying lending in our economy is going away as the financiers try to hoard cash in an effort to survive.

It is highly irrational. But it is a herd with momentum. It will corrrect if you provide it the pain of collapse, but the collapse will cause you pain for decades.

... continues ...

84 karmic_inquisitor  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:37:37pm

A) This isn't a bailout. It is actually a buying opportunity. Thing is that there is only one entity on the planet that can pull the trigger on the buying.

B) Those saying that the market should do its work don't understand markets. Markets are very efficient and rational in the long run. In the short run, however, they are quite often extremely irrational. Day traders and hedge funds make all sorts of money exploiting the time and space between short run irrational and long run rational. Herds are stupid, but reward and pain will work together to point them in the right direction. The market provides reward and pain. Problem is, this round of pain we are facing has the potential to kill the herd.

People here would join me in condemning the freaky ecowhackos who tell us that a pandemic that kills of half of humanity would be a good thing. We know those people exist and we know they are morons. I am asking you to get in touch with your inner moron if you think we should let the market collapse and see what happens. We live in a highly industrialized society where our population is simply not equipped to go back to foraging for food while we wait out the half century for our highly stratified economy to reassemble itself after credit is eliminated from our economy for a few years and hyper inflation sets in.

C) Lending money is an act of trust. Ever loan money to a friend or family member? What did you do after they were slow to pay it back? Or not pay at all? Oh -- you stopped lending.

Our entire industrialized society depends on lending. We have built efficiencies into our economy that assume the continued existence of lending. Been to WalMart? There is not a single product on a WalMart shelf that WalMart has paid for. Not one. At any WalMart anywhere. The vendor gets paid well after you pay WalMart. WalMart operates at very low margins and makes much of its money as a bank of sorts - they put money to work for a while before paying the vendors. If lending seizes WalMart goes away. Gone. No jobs. No cheap goods. And because WalMart's efficiencies wiped out other retailers a long time ago, there is no alternative supply channel to many towns that can scale if it goes away.

Imagine a slow motion collapse of all sorts of businesses and services around you - what do you start doing? That's right - you start hoarding what you can for your family.

The point is that the "trust" underlying lending in our economy is going away as the financiers try to hoard cash in an effort to survive.

It is highly irrational. But it is a herd with momentum. It will corrrect if you provide it the pain of collapse, but the collapse will cause you pain for decades.

... continues ...

85 FloridaAnole  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:37:45pm

re: #11 Captain Midnight

Always such fun to see the government jump in to fix a problem that the government itself created.

*spit*

Bravo! Best summary of the whole freakin' mess I've seen to date.

86 mama winger  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:37:52pm

I am telling you.

People have been asking: Who can I trust on this? Who in Washington can I trust?

I trust Paul Ryan. Listen to him. If he is heading this alternative, I would consider it very very seriously.

87 Fat Bastard Vegetarian  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:38:06pm

re: #43 Dayenu

Me too.

Here's the way that I see it.

Politicians (read Democrats) have been screaming for years that poor folks (read minorities) have been discriminated against for years. Forced banks to loan money to folks who couldn't pay.

Banks found they were able to "package" these loans and "sell" their interest in the loans to the new suckers.

Banks got greedy and began making bets that property values were going to increase anyway, and ramped up their bad lending and packaging practices. The new suckers bought those too.

House values dropped. Loans came due. Houses (worth 1/2 of their mortgage value) were foreclosed upon.

Nobody's getting their money.

Gubment gonna go ahead and buy all the bad paper and try to sell the houses represented on the bad paper.

That's the way I see it. Simplicity from a simpleton. But, I tried.

88 karmic_inquisitor  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:38:24pm

F) Bush also didn't mention the big hill that we have to climb down the road - entitlements.

So let's say we decide to let the market just do its thing and the herd runs off the cliff taking your investments and savings with it, and in return you get a less efficient economy where hoarding and hyper inflation dictate your discrete economic decision making.

Let's say we go that route because anything else would be socialism.

Well get ready to see a whole new class of homeless people wandering in packs trying to exact what they fell entitled to. Because we go down that road, we get to deal with the demographic reality that only a little over 50% of our adult population actually works and that it is aging. The tax base won't exist in a depression to maintain the current entitlements burden, nor will it take on the new baby boomers along with any and all special needs individuals that are born/welcomed into this country every day. We are a compassionate society with an extensive social and public health infrastructure because we can afford it. We won't after a collapse. Not without adopting a planned economy and all of the inefficiencies and poverty producing mechanisms that entails. We can all be poor together.

G) Back to the "plan"

The plan is this - the US Government becomes a stock brokerage and hands its one and only customer (Paulson) a 700 Billion line of credit.

In broad strokes (he admits to not knowing the details yet) is to buy the stuff that the herd is dumping for less than it is worth.

That is right : the herd is begging to sell assets for less than they are worth. Why? Fundamentally, they are panicked and need cash because everyone they do business with is also panicked. Cash is king.

Turns out that the US Government is in the cash business.

So Paulson goes and buys "toxic" mortgages (which are bundled in with perfectly good mortgages) at 65 cents for every dollar. Paulson knows a couple of things. 1) that these mortgages are backed up by hard assets called real estate. 2) that while real estate prices are down right now, it is the panicked herd that has caused the prices to fall. If he buys the mortgages from the herd 3 (not 2) things happen: 1) the prices stabilize as Paulson simply holds the properties that got handed in on the bad mortgages, 2) the herd gets cash and puts it to work investing/lending in other ventures (they won't play at the real estate table for a while - pain creates memories) and 3) the foreign money starts buying some real estate, helping the demand side and restoring the equilibrium.

In many markets house prices have fallen to less that the cost of building the replacement on similar land. Paulson has a sure thing. He sits on his mortgages, gets paid on 95% of them (because the collapse has been avoided) and holds the other 5% and withholds them from the market. Prices stabilize and then rise. He then starts selling some of his houses.

But even if he DESTROYED those 5% of the houses, he still makes a 30% margin on the good ones (he bought them at 65%). Even if it costs him 10% to run the program, he clears 20%. About 150 Billion dollars.

BUT THIS ISN'T CAPITALISM!

Nor is you home mortgage interest deduction on your taxes, but I don't hear you complaining.

And if we were smart and confident Americans (which I know we all are) we would give Paulson everything he is asking for and add one thing to it - he can keep 5% of the profit for himself and any other treasury employees he choses to share it with.

Then we'd be sure to come out of this better than before.

89 yochanan  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:38:50pm

well NOR LUAP has said do nothing

90 taxfreekiller[deleted]  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:38:51pm
91 lawhawk  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:38:56pm

So, isn't it interesting that the WH had this meeting this afternoon, with all the principals from both parties, including McCain and Obama, and guess whose name doesn't come up as floating any ideas or participating beyond merely being present.

That's right boys and girls. Sen. Obama. Just present. No actual ideas to help solve this mess.

While the Democrats are trying to blame and spin the deal failure on McCain and the House GOP, there's no actual evidence that McCain did anything other than float a few ideas that would placate the House GOP - instead of a bailout provide insurance and cap gains cuts.

We've got ourselves a mess, and the markets are not going to like this one bit.

92 obageegee  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:39:38pm

I blame HGTV, Lowes and Home Depot. oh and Frank Raines

93 LEGION  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:39:39pm

re: #69 LC Hoghead

He now works at a Pottery Barn or some such fruity liberal socialist marxist endeavor.

94 The Shadow Do  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:40:05pm

Why do I have this niggling little doubt about my elected representatives coming to rescue my job, my savings, my family's future? There must be something wrong with me. After all, I look about the Washington political scene and I see so many good, honest, patriotic statesmen.

Maybe I'm just an insecure kind of guy.

95 Sharmuta  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:40:18pm

re: #80 ciaospirit

Frank Raines should go straight to jail.

I agree.

96 Cartman  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:40:46pm

This whole mess basically boils down to greed and lust for power disguised as altruism (Fannie & Freddie) exacerbated by Democrat intractability and just good ol' fashioned gross negligence and incompetence.

97 sngnsgt  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:41:02pm

Pollster says election could end in landslide

The presidential election might be a tight race now, but one of the country’s top pollsters thinks the race will end in an electoral landslide.

John Zogby, president of Zogby International, told a group of businesspeople today that it’s up to Democratic Sen. Barack Obama to convince voters to go with him. If he’s not successful, the country will likely vote for “a comfortable old shoe”, that being Republican Sen. John McCain.

Despite the books Obama has written, Americans are still asking, “Who are you, where are you from?,” Zogby said.

98 Random63  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:41:22pm

re: #9 Zimriel


Well said! I second his statement.

99 Killian Bundy  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:41:38pm

re: #44 obageegee

NO BAIL OUT! Let the free markets be free. The American taxpayer should not have to foot the bill to bail out Fannie/Freddie/AIG

Free? The markets are seizing up and grinding to a halt before our eyes. That would be the $13 trillion U.S. economy.

/doing nothing meaningful and letting this run it's course is going to make $700 billion look like a huge bargain

100 Egfrow  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:41:40pm

I find people willingness to compare a lack of available credit as a asset of growth. People who don't know what to do with it in the first place is just wasted. We have shifted out philosophy of creating viable assets, cash reserves, and cash investments to just extending promises of future value as an asset. When we were on the Gold Standard everyone knew what a dollar was worth and what it compared to. Now, our dollar is backed against wishes and international trade deficits. During he depression real assets were lost in value and gold plummeted, we knew it was real. Know it's a loss of money that's not there but may be there in the future that we are basing this crisis on. Credit and the promise of return. Never addressing the issues to whom and for what?

101 joelmichael  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:42:11pm

Milton Friedman believed the Great Depression was avoidable. His argument was that the Federal Reserve was created to be a lender of last resort, but that it refused to loan money to banks in their time of need. This resulted in bank runs as people reasonably tried to avoid losing everything as banks collapsed.

Today, we are facing a similar situation. Banks and investment firms refusing to lend to one another due to fear of default is effectively the same as depositors withdrawing their money, but on a higher level. The financial companies get a bad rap, but in reality they are the brains of the entire economic system. They allocate money efficiently, invest in new business, and generally make the whole world more prosperous and comfortable. If they significantly slow or stop their operations, the effects will spread out like shock waves.

Ben Bernanke, a longtime supporter of Friedman's views, is doing what he can to restore confidence in the markets. Henry Paulson is there with him, and has also vocalized that only some investment firms should be allowed to fail completely, depending on the likely outcome of their failure. This helps prevent the idea of moral hazard. Moral hazard, in the form of government guarantees of Freddie and Fannie's bad mortgage purchases, is what caused this problem.

To bail out these banks is not to accept communism. It is not to reject capitalism. It is to accept our system of modified capitalism and government-issued currency. It is to accept that our government can influence the markets in beneficial ways. You won't get a stronger free market advocate than Milton Friedman, and he would definitely believe this was the right thing to do. Warren Buffet, Alan Greenspan, Barack Obama, John McCain, The Economist -- all agree that we have an opportunity to avoid unbeforeseen disaster by restoring confidence to the credit markets. Only the true idealists, such as Ron Paul, Bob Barr, Ralph Nader, and others generally paranoid about government oppose it.

Furthermore, these funds would be like an investment. The US's 80% stake of AIG will certainly give good returns down the line, as AIG is ultimately a stable company that was sold at a firesale price due to temporary liquidity problems. When the housing market stabilizes -- projected by Greenspan to likely occur in early 2009 -- a chain reaction of events will go off that will restore the economy. The goal is to bring us from here to there, and avert catastrophe.

102 karmic_inquisitor  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:42:23pm

Don't know how the first part repeated out of my paste buffer, but it did. Here is the middle part ...

------------------------

D) In a normally functioning market, the factors I cite in B and C work together to create a dynamic equilibrium that is reflected in interest rates. Money is available to lend based on a lot of factors, but the herd will thin when the cost of borrowing goes up, and the herd will fatten when the cost goes down.

We built a very big herd with cheap money over the last decade. That should not be thought of as either a good or bad thing. It is a big thing. Keep that in mind.

E) It is important to bear in mind something Bush didn't cover - where the money came from to feed the herd.

Our trade deficit.

He mentioned foreign money coming here. What he didn't mention is that they came here as dollars. That matters. A lot.

The money coming in here represents US dollars that were earned in trade by companies all over the world. When Great Wall Purse Company (GWPC) of Shanghai sells $2 million of purses to WalMart they get paid by WalMart in US Dollars. But GWPC doesn't pay its workers and many vendors in dollars. They take the check from WalMart and ask their bank to convert it. How does the bank do it? As it works out, much of those dollars are bought up by the Chinese govt. It becomes part of their currency reserves. Does it just sit there? It could, but it is smarter to send it to the US Government in exchange for an IOU. Or they (or a Chinese entrepreneur) can invest those dollars here, or even in other countries that will take dollars.

Now remember that "trust" thing about lending?

As long as there is trust that Americans are good for money they borrow, most of the dollars that result from our trade deficits will come back here as some form of investment. But what if that trust goes away? What do they do with their dollars?

They buy something in dollars that will keep its value.

Like gold. Or oil.

What about real estate? Oh yeah - no one is buying that right now because it isn't holding its value.

In the 80s the Japanese were making plenty of dollars they bought real estate and drove up prices as they bought trophy properties from LA to NYC. Then the bubble burst and they had to sell those assets at a loss.

That ain't happening now. Remember that dynamic equilibrium thing? And the herd?

What IS happening is that the short term, irrational real estate panic by the herd is eliminating what would otherwise be a safe haven for dollars held by foreign entities that made money here and are otherwise happy to invest it here.

Instead, those dollars will buy commodities which will drive up the prices of those commodities and create inflation here. And as that dollar dumping forms its own herd, those dollars will be worth less and less (supply and demand) as those prices go higher and higher. meanwhile, you still get paid in dollars - everything gets more expensive but your pay doesn't go up - why should it.

... continues ...

103 Intrepid  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:42:41pm

If some sort of agreement is not reached, it won't just be "Wallstreet" (whatever that means) that takes a hit. It will be every business that depends on credit to finance inventory purchases, every bank that offers accounts to every consumer, and every worker who wants a job.

Every 401K will be wiped out, and millions will lose their retirement savings.

No agreement means continued credit freeze, which will put tens of thousands of businesses out of business. Which buts tens of millions of workers out of work. Which puts the economy of the United States of America in a depression worse than the one of 70 plus years ago.

So when you say "Wallstreet" should take the hit and the "taxpayers" shouldn't have to pay, understand that in the end, the whole country will pay.

We cannot afford that price tag.

104 LEGION  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:43:40pm

All the University Business School's say NO BAILOUT! It will destroy Capitalism. NOW the libs don't listen to the schools!

105 Typicalwhitey  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:43:43pm

McCain will deliver a deal and the Republican House votes on it.
I predict this will happen by tomorrow morning.

The big dog can DO THIS!

106 mama winger  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:43:52pm

re: #101 joelmichael


Interesting. Thanks.

I'm just trying to gather as many facts as I can. This helps.

107 Shakey Jakey  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:44:11pm

re: #88 karmic_inquisitor

Thanks,great explanation

108 Taqiyyotomist  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:44:44pm

re: #90 taxfreekiller

Exactly. The Democrat MO.
1. Make the problem.
2. Do nothing but block attempts to solve the problem.
3. Blame the folks who have been trying to solve the problem.
4. Gain wealth, power, and bonus points for advancing Marxism.

Worked in the inner cities. Worked for Nagin and Landreau. Worked for everything they've ever touched. We didn't win the cold war. It's still on, only the enemy is here and well-established.

109 whiterasta  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:44:49pm

Slightly, but not totally OT, I was listening to CFRB radio today and there were a few smug Canadian, NDP idiots calling in and being oh so smug about this thing.

I will bet any Lizard here, a cold cup of decaf coffee that more than a few of the callers work for Ford or GM.

Like this is not going to smack those workers right in the wallet.

This is a very serious problem.

110 hazzyday  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:45:08pm

There is corruption at the top and at the bottom of all this. The government is responsible for setting the regulations for sound financial transfers. The common good is fiscal well being. At the point it becomes a national crisis then the free market is not working and government does need to step in and change what led us to this point. Let the market collapse without any positive change will do what? not much.

100 million dollar CEO payments need to be rescinded. Wall Street needs a good Whacking. Faulty mortgages based on false information need to be re written at a maintainable "no arm", "no negative interest" rate. No one should be losing a home over this unless they flat out can't make a payment. Set these bad mortgages to a 6 percent rate and see who can maintain them. Let anyone higher than a 6, move down. Take all this 30 percent credit card debt that low income people are being struck with and set it at 6. Wait 5 years and open it back up with better rules.

An organized solution is needed.

111 Thanos  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:45:08pm

re: #1 Sharmuta

I agree with Ayatollah Ghilmeini.

Yep I favor the bailout, in the end it could be a break even if they sit on the assets long enough that they appreciate again. One thing AG missed in his excellent write up was the guarantors. They underfunded the guarantee funds, and basically welshed on a bet they lost. The problem is that the ones running are also big insurance and credit giants, if they tumble then it's cash and carry as AG says.

112 taxfreekiller[deleted]  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:45:09pm
113 Random63  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:45:10pm

re: #9 Zimriel

You get a "ding" up from me for that statement. God, how splendidly can sarcasm show the truth!

114 Cartman  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:45:22pm

re: #91 lawhawk

That's right boys and girls. Sen. Obama. Just present. No actual ideas to help solve this mess.

As we all know, that's because he has absolutely nothing to offer. He really and truly is an empty vessel. I just don't comprehend why the entire planet can't see it. It's plain as day.

115 sojerofgod  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:45:30pm

re: #91 lawhawk
oh but wait, about an hour ago on MFNBC a common tater ( I don't know the fool's name) was braying that John McCain didn't offer an alternative proposal in the meeting! and that fact means that he was just pulling a silly stunt and had no reason to be there at all. He then continued on with the latest dem talking point. That is the narrative they want the msm to pick up.
And you know the bastards will.

116 Fenway_Nation  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:45:40pm

re: #92 obageegee

I had to ding you up for that just because the women in my life seem to have this unhealthy infatuation with HGTV.

117 Fat Bastard Vegetarian  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:46:43pm
And if we were smart and confident Americans (which I know we all are) we would give Paulson everything he is asking for and add one thing to it - he can keep 5% of the profit for himself and any other treasury employees he choses to share it with.

Then we'd be sure to come out of this better than before.

That's a cool idea. It'll never happen, but I think it's cool.

118 alien_mind  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:47:14pm

re: #54 mama winger

Are they talking about Paul Ryan (R-Wisconsin0?

He is my congressman and is a financial conservative extraordinairre. He is a good good man and whatever he says, I would believe it.


i saw that too, very interesting. i'm not an expert but I'd like to hear the experts flesh this idea out a bit more and explain why it wouldn't be a good idea.

119 spidly  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:47:31pm

re: #97 sngnsgt

Pollster says election could end in landslide


The presidential election might be a tight race now, but one of the country’s top pollsters thinks the race will end in an electoral landslide.
John Zogby, president of Zogby International, told a group of businesspeople today that it’s up to Democratic Sen. Barack Obama to convince voters to go with him. If he’s not successful, the country will likely vote for “a comfortable old shoe”, that being Republican Sen. John McCain.

Despite the books Obama has written, Americans are still asking, “Who are you, where are you from?,” Zogby said.

noooooo. hope!
I hope he gets elected so every time he does something fucktardish like... help Iran with its peaceful nuclear endeavors... I get called racist for disagreeing.
hey Obama, you can't cut ties with Israel and throw them to to wolves.
RACIST!
hey, Obama, don't outlaw all energy production but wind and solar
RACIST!

120 sojerofgod  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:47:45pm

re: #108 Taqiyyotomist

Where do they go to cash in those bonus points? is there like a 'party store' they used to have in the ussr where they can go trade them for like, a new ottoman? not the footstool but a real live one to kneel at their feet for them to rest their legs on, of course...

121 oldbluesboy  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:48:03pm

McCain is unpredictable. It is uncertain why he is pulling this stunt, and it isn't for the "forgotten man". It must be to get Yobama off his Alinsky game.

It doesn't matter in the long run. I'm not certain that McCain is a socialist, BUT I KNOW OBAMA IS!

Give it up for the maverick.

122 paint-right  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:48:10pm

re: #33 LC Hoghead

ABC News: Deal May Be Dead: Democrats Blaming McCain
Thursday, September 25, 2008 Jake Tapper, Charles Herman and Z. Byron Wolf

After days of intense bipartisan negotiations and meetings today at the White House, the deal to bail out staggered investment banks may be dying amid partisan finger-pointing. Republicans blame Democrats. Democrats blame Republicans, and a key Democrat even pointed a finger at Republican presidential nominee Sen. John McCain. House Financial Services Chairman Barney Frank, D-Mass., told Democratic colleagues that McCain's sudden heightened involvement in the negotiations has destroyed chance of an agreement, sources told ABC's George Stephanopoulos. Frank compared McCain's involvement to "Richard Nixon blowing up the Vietnam peace talks in 1968."

I posted this in a previous thread, sorry if it's already been posted by others but Barney Frank is very dirty in all of this

123 6pat6  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:48:15pm

Now that the Feds are effectively nationalizing the banking, mortgage, and securities industries, what now? What the hell is stopped the Federal Government from taking over everything? Oil is next, because they are actually making money, despite all in the government and private "do-gooders" that want to see Oil sabotaged and fail. The auto industry is ready with their hands out, since it's worked so well with others thus far.

We are going into the tank for what will be more like five or six TRILLION dollars after all is said and done. Our children and the next three generations after them will be slaves to the Feds, and probably the Russians and the Red Chinese, too...after all, they've bought a lot of America's paper and will call that in anytime, now, too.

What is to stop the credit card issuers from calling in EVERY single debt owed to them from consumers, who are paying as much as 35% and more in unsecured debt, run up to satisfy the "need" for cheap-assed crap from China?

Economically, anyway, it looks like Paul was right al along! His foreign policy theories are pure shit, but his economics? Dead on.

This ain't gonna end up pretty.

124 spidly  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:48:50pm

wonder if Obama will be standing alone at the debate hall when the networks cut to the press conference announcing the bail out deal

125 J.S.  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:48:51pm

re: #39 Killian Bundy

I've also noticed that CNN is repeating that same meme...(That's the Obama campaigners -- non-stop -- at CNN)...in a way, it's predictable.

126 taxfreekiller[deleted]  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:48:53pm
127 Kilroy  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:49:09pm

Franklin Raines cannot be questioned! The reverse red lining that is behind most of these failed mortgages is simply a response by those feeling "white guilt". The greedy Libs on Wall Street exploited the situation and now all working Americans can be reduced to poverty. Tomarrow I leave for Alaska--the last frontier!

128 LC Hoghead  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:49:48pm

US ‘will lose financial superpower status’
By Bertrand Benoit in Berlin

Published: September 25 2008

The US will lose its role as a global financial “superpower” in the wake of the financial crisis, Peer Steinbrück, German finance minister, forecast on Thursday in the most outspoken comments by a senior European government figure since Wall Street plunged into chaos two weeks ago.

Mr Steinbrück, a Social Democrat and long-time champion of tougher financial market rules, said the US government was to blame for the severity of the crisis because it had resisted European calls for stricter regulation until it was too late.

“The US will lose its status as the superpower of the world financial system” with the emergence of stronger, better-capitalised centres in Asia and Europe, he told the German parliament. “The world will never be the same again.”

His comments echo deep anger in Germany at the perceived recklessness of Anglo-Saxon financial engineering and a feeling that the US model of economic liberalism has failed while the more regulated, long-term oriented and industry-based German economy has proved more resilient.

“Ten years from now,” he later told journalists, “we will see 2008 as a fundamental rupture. I am not saying the dollar will lose its reserve currency status, but it will become relative.”

The minister said it had been “irresponsible” of the US government to oppose stricter regulation even after the subprime crisis had broken out. This laisser faire ideology, he said, “was as simplistic as it was dangerous ... This largely under-regulated system is collapsing today.”

Mr Steinbrück did have warm words for the US’s crisis management in the past fortnight, including the planned $700bn rescue package for the financial sector. Washington, he said, had acted not just in the US’s interest but also in the interest of other nations.

Speaking after Nicolas Sarkozy, the French president and current holder of the European Union presidency, called for an emergency G8 meeting on the financial crisis, Mr Steinbrück said tougher capital market rules were now urgently needed.

His proposals include a ban on “speculative short selling”; a crackdown on variable pay for bankers; a ban on banks securitising more than 80 per cent of any asset they hold; international standards making bank managers personally responsible for their trades and increased supervisory co-operation.

He said France and Germany would set up a working group of treasury, central bank and supervisory authority officials.

129 itellu3times  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:49:57pm

what exactly are we watching?

I gotta get on the freeway ... catch ya later.

130 Thanos  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:50:00pm

re: #109 whiterasta

Slightly, but not totally OT, I was listening to CFRB radio today and there were a few smug Canadian, NDP idiots calling in and being oh so smug about this thing.

I will bet any Lizard here, a cold cup of decaf coffee that more than a few of the callers work for Ford or GM.

Like this is not going to smack those workers right in the wallet.

This is a very serious problem.


What they might not get is that what happens here ripples. Unlike ripples in water these financial ripples grow instead of shrink as they leave our shores. Other markets will be hurt far, far worse by this by time it all winds out, and that includes Canada.

131 willowone  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:50:27pm

re: #116 Fenway_Nation
It's not unhealthy, it is the same feel good dreaming as sports or cars , guns are to many men

132 NY Nana  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:50:34pm

re: #42 yochanan

can anyone say HERBERT HOOVER

/You mean Hoobert Heaver?

133 whiterasta  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:50:57pm

I have every confidence in the American people. You will figure out a way out of this goat-shag.

134 Sharmuta  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:51:02pm

re: #119 spidly

You.... want 0bama to get elected so you can be called a racist? That's just stupid.

135 arkroyal  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:51:10pm

Charles,

I am sorry to see you fall into the same trap as these others (via Rush Linbaugh):

BROWN: ... a smart move or a maybe a Hail Mary pass on his part.

STEPHANOPOULOS: The longest Hail Mary pass....

YELLIN: ...a Hail Mary pass...

BLITZER: He's looking for a Hail Mary.

COOPER: ... a Hail Mary pass...

CROWLEY: The Hail Mary.

KRAUTHAMMER: How many Hail Mary's can one guy throw in one game?

MADDOW: ...throw the ultimate Hail Mary pass.

TODD: McCain is throwing a Hail Mary.

SAMMON: McCain loves to throw these Hail Mary passes.

MATTHEWS: It's the longest Hail Mary pass in history of football, or Hail Mary's!

136 Egfrow  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:51:25pm

There: #101 joelmichael

Milton Friedman believed the Great Depression was avoidable. His argument was that the Federal Reserve was created to be a lender of last resort, but that it refused to loan money to banks in their time of need.

Today, we are facing a similar situation. Banks and investment firms refusing to lend to one another due to fear of default is effectively the same as depositors withdrawing their money, but on a higher level.

...The US's 80% stake of AIG will certainly give good returns down the line, as AIG is ultimately a stable company that was sold at a firesale price due to temporary liquidity problems.

Lender of last resort, of course, but lending to whom and for what is key. During the depression real asset values plummeted in stock and trade. We were tight on natural resources and the value of good plummeted.

This is not the same situation it's a credit problem. Property was bought at x price, people borrowed x+y. Property values plummeted (r) as buyers dried up then the fear of (x+y)-r caused people who's income is also drying up compared to increased cost of living feel that they should dump causing (r) to further increase. Throwing cash back at these lending institutions without addressing the cause is suicide.

This bailout must address the lending practices first before money is put forth.

137 shipper  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:51:38pm

Karmic--Well-written, thank you.

My husband is extremely well-versed in economics and also normally very much against over-taxation (an economic republican), and he is extremely concerned that there will not be a bailout. I trust his judgment on this implicitly, as he has historically predicted several major boom and bust cycles. He predicted a couple of months ago that the economy would get much worse, even while some talking heads on TV didn't see it that way.

re: #83 karmic_inquisitor

FWIW I posted this on the crisis thread yesterday after it went dead.

It is Fjordmanesque in length but I tried to stick to a relevant narrative. Some found it useful.

-----------------

A) This isn't a bailout. It is actually a buying opportunity. Thing is that there is only one entity on the planet that can pull the trigger on the buying.

B) Those saying that the market should do its work don't understand markets. Markets are very efficient and rational in the long run. In the short run, however, they are quite often extremely irrational. Day traders and hedge funds make all sorts of money exploiting the time and space between short run irrational and long run rational. Herds are stupid, but reward and pain will work together to point them in the right direction. The market provides reward and pain. Problem is, this round of pain we are facing has the potential to kill the herd.

People here would join me in condemning the freaky ecowhackos who tell us that a pandemic that kills of half of humanity would be a good thing. We know those people exist and we know they are morons. I am asking you to get in touch with your inner moron if you think we should let the market collapse and see what happens. We live in a highly industrialized society where our population is simply not equipped to go back to foraging for food while we wait out the half century for our highly stratified economy to reassemble itself after credit is eliminated from our economy for a few years and hyper inflation sets in.

C) Lending money is an act of trust. Ever loan money to a friend or family member? What did you do after they were slow to pay it back? Or not pay at all? Oh -- you stopped lending.

Our entire industrialized society depends on lending. We have built efficiencies into our economy that assume the continued existence of lending. Been to WalMart? There is not a single product on a WalMart shelf that WalMart has paid for. Not one. At any WalMart anywhere. The vendor gets paid well after you pay WalMart. WalMart operates at very low margins and makes much of its money as a bank of sorts - they put money to work for a while before paying the vendors. If lending seizes WalMart goes away. Gone. No jobs. No cheap goods. And because WalMart's efficiencies wiped out other retailers a long time ago, there is no alternative supply channel to many towns that can scale if it goes away.

Imagine a slow motion collapse of all sorts of businesses and services around you - what do you start doing? That's right - you start hoarding what you can for your family.

The point is that the "trust" underlying lending in our economy is going away as the financiers try to hoard cash in an effort to survive.

It is highly irrational. But it is a herd with momentum. It will corrrect if you provide it the pain of collapse, but the collapse will cause you pain for decades.

... continues ...

138 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:51:52pm
139 yochanan  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:52:06pm

we have never had a totally free market even in the 19th century the gov't gave the railroads land so they would build cross country rail. the rail roads gave the land to settlers who would then need the rail to send food to the east and buy stuff from the east.

if we don't fix this the iranian short shit might be right.

140 spidly  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:52:20pm

re: #130 Thanos

What they might not get is that what happens here ripples. Unlike ripples in water these financial ripples grow instead of shrink as they leave our shores. Other markets will be hurt far, far worse by this by time it all winds out, and that includes Canada.

BAH! the Kanuckistani economic juggernaut is in no way dependent on the US economy

141 6pat6  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:52:38pm

So much of this shit has been as a direct result of Congresscritters that have passed laws that enabled this very behavior to occur! They pressed banks to lend to people that had no way to pay the money back, or else the Feds would use anti-discrimination lawsuits to tie them up forever! Countrywide Mortgage actively solicited business from illegal aliens, for God's sake, knowing full well the house would be foreclosed on eventually! And they required nearly NONE of the paperwork and job evidence that they would have if you or I had gone to them for a home loan!

Is this shit really a surprise to anyone? Talk about sheer craziness!

142 librum  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:52:49pm

Ok, look. I've heard all the reasons why this is a bad idea, and it just plain sucks to give the government any more power than it's already got. But sometimes a bad solution is the only one you've got, that is, other than the catastrophic solution of doing nothing. There is no cost-free option here - doing nothing will have plenty of costs, and they'll likely be much greater than we realize.

You have to realize that we're in this mess largely because of what the government did, so to think that it was a free market problem that can be solved by free market solutions isn't really the correct way to think about it.

This has to do with the government allowing way too much easy money more recently, and for them pushing low mortgage requirements on banks for the last 15 or so years, going all the way back to the formation of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in the early and mid part of last century. Did the financial market try to make a dime off all this and bite off more than they could chew? You bet they did. But that's what happens when the free market and the government collide.

Right now, the biggest risk to our economy is an extreme credit shortage. That means there's no money to be lent. If there's no one lending money, then millions of people and thousands of businesses are up a creek without a paddle. People can't get loans to buy houses (or anything else) and businesses fail because so many businesses absolutely require there be credit out there for them to make it, whether it be for a startup or to just make it through a rough season, and we're about to have the mother of all rough holiday seasons, a time at which so many businesses hope to move from the red into the black. I'm worried that this year's supposed 'Black Friday' will be a 'We're Still In The Red Friday', and that many more businesses will face the long march of months until the (relatively) profitable summer season.

I've spoken to a number of friends and family in the financial industry and the legal profession, across the political spectrum, and this is what we're both hearing and experiencing. I'm sure there are people who will shoot me down (as they've already done elsewhere) by saying that it's no big deal and that we'll weather this no matter what, how dare I embrace socialism, etc., but realize that you've probably not looked at the problem as much as you need to. This isn't just like bailing out Bear Stearns, for example, or even just like bailing out Chrysler. This is a much, much larger problem that requires immediate action, however distasteful it might seem to conservative principles.

143 whiterasta  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:53:07pm

re: #130 Thanos

I agree 100% This is a big problem that will drag down everyone.

144 Sharmuta  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:53:17pm

re: #128 LC Hoghead

I could really care less what the europeans think of all this. Maybe when they find a way to improve their own unemployment numbers and deal with their out-of-control welfare state I'll think they have something worthwhile to say about American economics.

145 spidly  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:53:18pm

re: #134 Sharmuta

You.... want 0bama to get elected so you can be called a racist? That's just stupid.

didn't think I actually needed a sarc tag for that one. go figure

146 shipper  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:53:48pm

Agreed with that, thanks!

re: #101 joelmichael

Milton Friedman believed the Great Depression was avoidable. His argument was that the Federal Reserve was created to be a lender of last resort, but that it refused to loan money to banks in their time of need. This resulted in bank runs as people reasonably tried to avoid losing everything as banks collapsed.

Today, we are facing a similar situation. Banks and investment firms refusing to lend to one another due to fear of default is effectively the same as depositors withdrawing their money, but on a higher level. The financial companies get a bad rap, but in reality they are the brains of the entire economic system. They allocate money efficiently, invest in new business, and generally make the whole world more prosperous and comfortable. If they significantly slow or stop their operations, the effects will spread out like shock waves.

Ben Bernanke, a longtime supporter of Friedman's views, is doing what he can to restore confidence in the markets. Henry Paulson is there with him, and has also vocalized that only some investment firms should be allowed to fail completely, depending on the likely outcome of their failure. This helps prevent the idea of moral hazard. Moral hazard, in the form of government guarantees of Freddie and Fannie's bad mortgage purchases, is what caused this problem.

To bail out these banks is not to accept communism. It is not to reject capitalism. It is to accept our system of modified capitalism and government-issued currency. It is to accept that our government can influence the markets in beneficial ways. You won't get a stronger free market advocate than Milton Friedman, and he would definitely believe this was the right thing to do. Warren Buffet, Alan Greenspan, Barack Obama, John McCain, The Economist -- all agree that we have an opportunity to avoid unbeforeseen disaster by restoring confidence to the credit markets. Only the true idealists, such as Ron Paul, Bob Barr, Ralph Nader, and others generally paranoid about government oppose it.

Furthermore, these funds would be like an investment. The US's 80% stake of AIG will certainly give good returns down the line, as AIG is ultimately a stable company that was sold at a firesale price due to temporary liquidity problems. When the housing market stabilizes -- projected by Greenspan to likely occur in early 2009 -- a chain reaction of events will go off that will restore the economy. The goal is to bring us from here to there, and avert catastrophe.

147 Walter L. Newton  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:54:27pm

Well, if all those UFO buffs are right, this would be as good as a time as any for those little space-freaks to land, in mass, and save our asses.

148 chingachgook  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:54:37pm

"Ladies and gentlemen, uh, we've just seen the big picture, but what we've seen speaks for itself. The Chinese have apparently taken over -- 'conquered' if you will – ironically by a race of isolationist. It's difficult to tell from this vantage point whether they will consume our captive final resources or merely enslave us all. One thing is for certain: there is no stopping them; the Chinese will soon be here. And I for one welcome our new Overlords. I'd like to remind them that as a trusted Fox TV personality, I can be helpful in rounding up others to toil in their underground mushroom caves."

149 Typicalwhitey  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:55:43pm

Obama keeps saying that McCain is trying to inject Presidential Politics into this.

I see it as McCain is doing his job.

Write it down folks, you heard it here first.

McCain will deliver a bill and the votes to pass it either tonight or early tomorrow morning.

SAVE THIS POST lol

150 Fat Bastard Vegetarian  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:55:49pm

re: #147 Walter L. Newton

Or blow our asses up! Hell, I'll even mute the "Slim Whitman".

Hiya Walter.

151 taxfreekiller[deleted]  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:56:43pm
152 whiterasta  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:57:36pm

re: #140 spidly

I believe it was the late, "Great?" Trudeau who stated that when America sneezes, Canada catches a cold.

(May G-d damn his soul to hell.)

153 Bubblehead II  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:57:56pm

OT, But what the hell............

New Avatar. What do ya think. Side note.. I purchased my "supplies" and "money" about the same time Clinton got elected. There is always a SILVER lining around the darkest cloud. Are you people just now waking up?

154 sngnsgt  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:58:04pm

re: #119 spidly

noooooo. hope!
I hope he gets elected so every time he does something fucktardish like... help Iran with its peaceful nuclear endeavors... I get called racist for disagreeing.
hey Obama, you can't cut ties with Israel and throw them to to wolves.
RACIST!
hey, Obama, don't outlaw all energy production but wind and solar
RACIST!

Zogby is in the tank for McCain, they're helping McSame steal the election.

/moonbat

155 NY Nana  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:58:52pm

re: #149 Typicalwhitey

SAVE THIS POST

I just did.

156 Walter L. Newton  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:58:52pm

re: #150 Fat Bastard Vegetarian

Or blow our asses up! Hell, I'll even mute the "Slim Whitman". Hiya Walter.

That's funny. I am sitting here right now looking over my set of reproduction "Mars Attacks" trading cards, which were reproduced in the 1980's, from the original set circa 1963.

Which of course, those cards were not funny, quite voilent and scary, and Burton ran with the general idea to create his spoof.

157 kcladderman  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:58:54pm

OT, I haven't read all the posts that I have missed while at work.
Have you guys seen this?

158 6pat6  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:59:15pm

re: #151 taxfreekiller

I agree, it'll pass, but at what cost? Either way, many hard-working, honest people are going to see all or most of what they have, wiped out. And the people in Congress and the indusrty bosses that bought their way to riches? Not a damn thing will happen to Frank, Biden, or any of them. They will get away with it, intact, and scott-free.

159 Egfrow  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:59:17pm

re: #2 spidly

buying opportunity

Not yet the bottom is still falling. When it is at bottom only those that are currently cash positive will be able to buy. Credit will be an issue for some time, and rightfully so.

160 Perplexed  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 5:59:30pm

re: #152 whiterasta

I believe it was the late, "Great?" Trudeau who stated that when America sneezes, Canada catches a cold.

(May G-d damn his soul to hell.)

Some people in the other countries realize what is at stake for them. If the US goes down it will bring other countries down as well. Not a pretty thought.

161 whiterasta  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:00:44pm

re: #157 kcladderman

I hope he sues that puke so badly, the puke ends up living under a bridge in a cardboard box.

162 J.S.  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:01:01pm

re: #109 whiterasta

For the first time I heard today on the local news that the Canadian economy might not be as "safe and secure" as we've been led to believe...Yeah, duh...(up here we've had precisely the same mortgage fiasco's occurring -- house values were inflated to double their worth, money has been lent to all and sundry with zero down, etc., etc., we have had the same thing going on up here for quite some time -- and now, things apparently are under 'correction' -- we're in a downturn...)

163 NY Nana  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:01:08pm

re: #152 whiterasta

Wasn't Trudeau the one responsible for the high cost of gas in Canada, when, as PM, he made a deal with the western Provinces?

164 Thanos  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:01:29pm

Just keep in mind that these are still backed by assets. The price of those assets are down now, but... in thirty years the US will still be one of the best damned places in the world to live. Real estate here will rise again. It's not a solid loss, much of this can and will be recouped.

165 NomadOfNorad  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:01:30pm

re: #147 Walter L. Newton

Well, if all those UFO buffs are right, this would be as good as a time as any for those little space-freaks to land, in mass, and save our asses.

With our luck, though, they'd all be carrying a book named TO SERVE MANKIND.

166 jwb7605  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:01:31pm

re: #139 yochanan

we have never had a totally free market even in the 19th century the gov't gave the railroads land so they would build cross country rail. the rail roads gave the land to settlers who would then need the rail to send food to the east and buy stuff from the east.

if we don't fix this the iranian short shit might be right.


I watched Glenn Beck and he had Mikheil Saakashvili (president of Georgia) on.

Saakashvili said essentially the same thing.

He said that if we show even a little bit of weakness (including hesitancy in the financial markets), the wolves will be all over us.
He was not only referring to Iran. He meant the whole pack.

If you think Iraq/Afghanastan are expensive now, "national security issues" will get out of control if we hit a depression and stop funding those things.

If it gets to that, a lot of people are going to get their wish about "staying home to defend the country".

167 taxfreekiller[deleted]  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:01:45pm
168 sngnsgt  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:01:56pm

re: #149 Typicalwhitey

Obama keeps saying that McCain is trying to inject Presidential Politics into this.

I see it as McCain is doing his job.

Write it down folks, you heard it here first.

McCain will deliver a bill and the votes to pass it either tonight or early tomorrow morning.

SAVE THIS POST lol

I think I prefer Presidential Politics rather than bullshit Politics.

169 Walter L. Newton  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:02:02pm

re: #158 6pat6

I agree, it'll pass, but at what cost? Either way, many hard-working, honest people are going to see all or most of what they have, wiped out. And the people in Congress and the indusrty bosses that bought their way to riches? Not a damn thing will happen to Frank, Biden, or any of them. They will get away with it, intact, and scott-free.

That's the way I see it. It's folks like me, with barely no outstanding credit, and a almost fixed income, who will see our taxes increased.

And even worst, what if Obama gets elected and trys to implement his programs.

His programs on top of all this bailout expenses. I'm going to get slmammed.

170 MandyManners  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:02:45pm

I've not shared my financial woes this week but, they've been significant, they've been deep. The best thing I could do for myself today was to work on Phase I of my Fall Scouring (similar to Spring Cleaning but, deeper and more exacting), make a picnic and take The Kid to the park.

Twenty minutes swinging high through the air was worth any amount of Valium. Try it tomorrow if you get a few minutes. Sneak away to the park: loosen your tie, shed your hose and shoes and untuck your shirt.

171 Fenway_Nation  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:02:54pm

Now where'd I leave my crystal ball?

/Extra handy for selecting stocks, ponies, powerball numbers and football upsets.

172 Charles  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:02:56pm

re: #164 Thanos

Just keep in mind that these are still backed by assets. The price of those assets are down now, but... in thirty years the US will still be one of the best damned places in the world to live. Real estate here will rise again. It's not a solid loss, much of this can and will be recouped.

Agreed. The US still has the best assets in the world.

Wait, that didn't sound right.

173 outsidephilly  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:03:02pm

re: #132 NY Nana

/You mean Hoobert Heaver?

I'm extremely naive to economics, however, could this be a way for the EU to step in and 'help' America better handle its finances?

OT - how are you Blood Sugars today?

174 whiterasta  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:03:37pm

re: #160 Perplexed

True, but the Euro-Wankers and that school of thought is quite smug and secretly delighted at America's troubles.

They have no idea this affects them too. The ripples emanating from America grow bigger as they spread, as a Lizard recently pointed out.

175 Fat Bastard Vegetarian  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:03:39pm

re: #170 MandyManners

{Mandy}!

Skipping is good too! Great idea!

176 Cap'n DOC  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:04:09pm

re: #49 Fenway_Nation

He gave something or took something, but I'm not sure it was a job.

177 Elcid  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:04:10pm

re: #80 ciaospirit

Frank Raines should go straight to jail.

At this stage, doing so would definitely be considered "racist"(not that I give a damn)...BUT many others should be going with him. (it would still be considered "racist" by the Michelle's, Hasting's, Wright's, Farrakhan's, etc....but screw them.

178 goddessoftheclassroom  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:04:22pm

re: #170 MandyManners

I've not shared my financial woes this week but, they've been significant, they've been deep. The best thing I could do for myself today was to work on Phase I of my Fall Scouring (similar to Spring Cleaning but, deeper and more exacting), make a picnic and take The Kid to the park.

Twenty minutes swinging high through the air was worth any amount of Valium. Try it tomorrow if you get a few minutes. Sneak away to the park: loosen your tie, shed your hose and shoes and untuck your shirt.

{MandyManners}

You have your priorities straight.

You're in my prayers. Take care.

179 ArmyWife  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:04:41pm

re: #172 Charles

The assets stand to get a might better should Sarah Palin get in office.

/I'm sorry - I couldn't help it

180 Killian Bundy  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:04:46pm

I see the Paulbots have arrived.

Please note that there aren't enough precious metal reserves on the planet, either mined or still in the ground, to back the monetization of the worldwide economy.

/there's a good reason no country on Earth still uses the Gold Standard

181 Fat Bastard Vegetarian  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:05:02pm

re: #178 goddessoftheclassroom

{GODDESS}!

How's by you?

182 NomadOfNorad  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:05:03pm

re: #172 Charles

Agreed. The US still has the best assets in the world.

Wait, that didn't sound right.

Unfortunately, the US also has some of the biggest asses. And I'm not talking about the ones in office, although those count, too. No, I'm talking about the ones you sit on.

183 yochanan  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:05:21pm

every bus. needs credit, credit gets harder to get then bus. no longer can hire people instead have to lay people off.

THIS IS THAT IMPORTANT.

184 alien_mind  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:05:30pm

Newt just challenged Paulson or Bernanke to a debate over the merits of their plan. i'd like to see that.

185 Walter L. Newton  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:05:51pm

re: #170 MandyManners

I've not shared my financial woes this week but, they've been significant, they've been deep. The best thing I could do for myself today was to work on Phase I of my Fall Scouring (similar to Spring Cleaning but, deeper and more exacting), make a picnic and take The Kid to the park.

Twenty minutes swinging high through the air was worth any amount of Valium. Try it tomorrow if you get a few minutes. Sneak away to the park: loosen your tie, shed your hose and shoes and untuck your shirt.

That sounds like a good idea. I can't do much of anything right now, since the surgery. I'm going crazy just sitting around everyday. But doc says no real physical activity for a few weeks.

I'd love to take a swing.

186 whiterasta  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:06:04pm

re: #172 Charles

The US Women's Olympic beach volleyball team looked like they had nice...... never mind!

187 goddessoftheclassroom  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:06:05pm

re: #181 Fat Bastard Vegetarian

{GODDESS}!

How's by you?

{Fat Bastard Vegetarian}

I'm fine, thanks!

I'm almost worried that I'm so dense about economics that I'm not worried...

188 ciaospirit  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:06:07pm

This Fannie Mae jerk kissing up to the Congressional Black Caucus with Michelle Hussein O proudly looking on speaks volumes about where B. Hussein will take our country.

189 Sharmuta  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:06:08pm

I'd just like to add that this is also a good example of how we could improve economics education in this country. When I got to college it seemed to me the credit card companies were predatory with my peers. I never went that route, but I watched a lot of friends and acquaintances get sucked into the seemingly never ending loop of "trading up" to another credit card with a larger line of credit to avoid paying for the credit they'd already racked up. It's got to suck to be these people right about now. I've never been good with credit, so I've avoided it. But it also seems to me that these credit companies made this bed for themselves by targeting people they knew had bad credit in the hopes of being able to bilk them more later. Assholes offering credit to idiots. But perhaps if kids were educated better about this sort of thing, and about economics in general, we'd see less of a problem today.

190 J.S.  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:06:22pm

re: #163 NY Nana

No, no, no! Trudeau set up a National Energy Plan -- created a National gas station (government owned called PetroCan -- now defunct), and drove out the capitalists...basically ruined the oil industry in Alberta...(oil exploration tanked, etc.) Trudeau is, to this day, not well liked in Alberta...(he did this without seeking either the approval or agreement of the Western provinces -- he just acted as Emperor...)

191 Opinionated  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:07:12pm

re: #73 Killian Bundy

That's predictable.

/if this deal doesn't get done, in a form that's not totally useless, expect tomorrow to end up much worse

If I do that I won't be able to sleep.

I'll lie to myself and pretend our politicians are responsible people.

192 ArmyWife  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:07:31pm

re: #183 yochanan

This is key - many businesses' payroll function off of loans that are repaid as receivables come in - this ensures payroll is met even if Company X decides net 30 doesn't apply to them.

193 spypeach  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:07:38pm

I don't know what the answer is, but the question scares the hell out of me. I've been through this before with the dot.com bubble. My husband had a great job, so we bought a house well within our means, but less then a year later 9/11 happened then the dot.com burst. Husband gets laid off and can't find a job for 6 months. Well after 6 months we use up all of our money and have to sell our house. Any money we have from selling the house is used to rent a house for a year, because you see our credit was fubar because of not being able to pay our bills for several months. Anyway, we were eventually able to buy a house 1/2 the size of the original for twice as much. Not trying to put out a sob story, but I don't know how far this trickles down, if the shit hits the fan and my husband gets laid off again, we're screwed. So what's the answer, part of me wants to let the shit hit the fan, but the other part of me, the one with two young daughters and a one income house wants this whole situation stabilized. Sorry for the rant.

194 Walter L. Newton  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:08:23pm

re: #184 alien_mind

Newt just challenged Paulson or Bernanke to a debate over the merits of their plan. i'd like to see that.

Same here. All I keep hearing is we have to do this. Not much talk about the alternatives. I'd like to know if anyone else has some ideas, some other plan.

In the least, if they are going to do this, there should at least be some really tight oversight, and NO ONE should profit from this.

Fat chance.

195 Fat Bastard Vegetarian  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:08:35pm

re: #187 goddessoftheclassroom

{Fat Bastard Vegetarian}

I'm fine, thanks!

I'm almost worried that I'm so dense about economics that I'm not worried...

Look up dense in the Dictionary; that's my picture beside it.

196 Thanos  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:08:40pm

re: #172 Charles

Agreed. The US still has the best assets in the world.

Wait, that didn't sound right.

Yes we have the assets and congress has the asshats.

197 yochanan  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:08:45pm

THE GREAT DEPRESSION WAS A WORLD WIDE THING so will this if done wrong.

198 Cap'n DOC  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:09:10pm

re: #157 kcladderman

Yes, I linked it in one of the earlier threads today. I've decide from now on, 'he' will be the "Mutha Who Will Not Be Named" until our Brothers get their good name restored to them, which is what the "Mutha Who Will Not Be Named" stole from them. Lowlife freakin' thief.

199 ciaospirit  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:09:12pm

re: #164 Thanos

Just keep in mind that these are still backed by assets. The price of those assets are down now, but... in thirty years the US will still be one of the best damned places in the world to live. Real estate here will rise again. It's not a solid loss, much of this can and will be recouped.

But the government will keep and spend much of the recouped.

200 Killian Bundy  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:09:25pm

re: #183 yochanan

every bus. needs credit, credit gets harder to get then bus. no longer can hire people instead have to lay people off.

THIS IS THAT IMPORTANT.

/and it spirals down, FIX IT NOW, it's going to be a hell of a lot MORE EXPENSIVE TO FIX LATER!

201 whiterasta  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:10:03pm

re: #190 J.S.

Trudeau is not very well liked anywhere in Canada. He was a great pal of Castro, Michael Manley, Samora Machel and any other thug who was anti-American.

Spit.

202 Egfrow  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:10:15pm

re: #172 Charles

Agreed. The US still has the best assets in the world.

Wait, that didn't sound right.

Yes, it's the American Spirit and those remaining few not afraid to get their hands dirty again and take new risk.

203 Walter L. Newton  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:10:21pm

re: #195 Fat Bastard Vegetarian

Look up dense in the Dictionary; that's my picture beside it.

That's you? Your not fat at all!

204 zombie  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:10:34pm

OK, now I feel a bit safer.

I just transferred all my assets to Zimbabwean dollars and shares in Steam-Engines-R-Us.

205 Fat Bastard Vegetarian  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:10:43pm

re: #193 spypeach

Not a rant at all. Many of us feel exactly the same way. We hate this idea, but don't have another idea.

206 Intrepid  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:11:01pm

re: #170 MandyManners

I've not shared my financial woes this week but, they've been significant, they've been deep. The best thing I could do for myself today was to work on Phase I of my Fall Scouring (similar to Spring Cleaning but, deeper and more exacting), make a picnic and take The Kid to the park.

Twenty minutes swinging high through the air was worth any amount of Valium. Try it tomorrow if you get a few minutes. Sneak away to the park: loosen your tie, shed your hose and shoes and untuck your shirt.

Woo hoo, that's one special outfit we'd be wearing, Mandy! ;-)

It does help to pack up one's troubles for a while and just have some fun. Good for you, and for The Kid too.

207 yochanan  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:11:45pm

nor laup did not even learn from the great depression which i am sure he saw. the one thing about John McCain unlike obama he has seen some of this before. obama has to learn everthing as if it was new.

208 Sharmuta  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:11:55pm

re: #199 ciaospirit

But the government will keep and spend much of the recouped.

Well- then perhaps we'll be able to clamor for some tax cuts. Or they could shore up Social Security since they already ripped that off and the IOUs will be due at some point.

209 Intrepid  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:11:57pm

re: #172 Charles

Agreed. The US still has the best assets in the world.

Wait, that didn't sound right.

Does this post make my assets look big?

210 Typicalwhitey  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:12:01pm

re: #155 NY Nana

I just did.

I will go one further.

It will be a series of loans/bailouts, not an entire bailout.
Similar to what was done with Chrysler back in the 80's.
There will be a way to recoup the money for the American people.

211 zombie  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:12:07pm

So JPMorgan just bought Washington Mutual. Interesting. I keep changing bank, even though I don't do anything to make it happen!

212 Sharmuta  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:12:17pm

re: #209 Intrepid

Does this post make my assets look big?

LMAO!

213 NY Nana  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:12:31pm

re: #173 outsidephilly

I really am a Luddite re economics, but feel like each and every American has been kicked on the tush with a steel-tipped boot, especially the alleged middle class...

The blood sugars are much better today, thanks. Diabetes can be very quirky damn it.

I just hope that you are not speaking from experience. NY Grampa is also a Type II, who I diagnosed...never sent him a bill. ;) I caught it, by accident, when it was in a very early stage. He is not on any meds, and knock wood, is fine on diet control for the last 10 years, after my Endocrinologist confirmed the diagnosis...I had misheard what he said, told him to test on my meter, and for once in about 46 years, he actually listened to me. When I saw his blood glucose level, I kept the shock out of my eyes..as a retired RN, I was able to not let it show.

214 Bubblehead II  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:12:34pm

re: #172 Charles

Were you're perhaps thinking ASSetsre: #170 MandyManners

{Mandy} If I may. Good to see you.

215 zombie  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:12:45pm

I keep changing bank = I keep changing banks

216 Killian Bundy  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:13:49pm

re: #211 zombie

So JPMorgan just bought Washington Mutual.

/they need the deposit base for capitalization, probably still not enough

217 MandyManners  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:14:29pm

re: #175 Fat Bastard Vegetarian

{Mandy}!

Skipping is good too! Great idea!

Anything to lighten the heart, to ease the burden.

218 Walter L. Newton  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:14:33pm

re: #215 zombie

I keep changing bank = I keep changing banks

I didn't know you stuttered!

219 Egfrow  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:14:35pm

re: #202 Egfrow

re: #215 zombie

I keep changing bank = I keep changing banks

Mattresses still work.

220 Sharmuta  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:14:49pm

Can someone explain what's going on with WaMu? I thought they'd dumped their mortgages onto Wells Fargo last year.

221 Walter L. Newton  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:15:00pm

re: #217 MandyManners

Anything to lighten the heart, to ease the burden.

May I suggest sex?

222 Opinionated  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:15:31pm

re: #211 zombie

So JPMorgan just bought Washington Mutual. Interesting. I keep changing bank, even though I don't do anything to make it happen!

Just a taste of the "change" you can believe in.

223 yochanan  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:15:34pm

re: #215 zombie

my bank keeps changing me i have been at the same location through 5 banks.

224 sattv4u2  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:15:56pm

re: #221 Walter L. Newton

May I suggest sex?

alone?

225 whiterasta  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:15:59pm

Pardon my ignorance, but does this affect the likes of Microsoft, Google and Exxon in any significant way?

226 zombie  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:16:03pm

I started out long ago with an account in one bank; then that was eventually gobbled up by another bank; and then that bank was later gobbled up by Washington Mutual; and now Washington Mutual has been gobbled up by JPMorgan Chase! And yet, throughout all that, I've kept the same account number! At least one thing stays the same.

227 opnion  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:16:35pm

re: #193 spypeach

Thats not a sob story. You just sound like people who just wanted to progress and be decent. Circumstances broke against you.
You were not hustlers & some of the people that we are now being told that we are responsible for knew damn well that they could not service their debt.
I wish you well.

228 Fat Bastard Vegetarian  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:17:30pm

Has McCain said whether or not he watched FDR's speech on TV at the beginning of the depression?

229 Nutmeg  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:17:32pm

I'm almost to the point where I'll agree to the $700 gladly as long as one of the slates we wipe clean is Congress. Make the entire crew stand for re-election this November.

230 sattv4u2  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:17:33pm

re: #226 zombie

I started out long ago with an account in one bank; then that was eventually gobbled up by another bank; and then that bank was later gobbled up by Washington Mutual; and now Washington Mutual has been gobbled up by JPMorgan Chase! And yet, throughout all that, I've kept the same account number! At least one thing stays the same.

thats the good news ,,

the BAD news is all those laid off disgruntled ex-employees of all the smaller banks have that account number !

231 outsidephilly  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:17:36pm

re: #213 NY Nana

. . . , I help with Type 1 @Donovan McNabb's camp - and I'm okay with tweaking Type 2's. Non-Invasive Cardio/Vascular stuff was my nitch until my grandson was dx with type 1 - yep, type 1 or 2 is rough!

232 Bubblehead II  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:17:36pm

Wtf ?

Sorry, combined two replies in one post. My bad.

Mandy {hugs}

Dodges clue bat,,

233 Egfrow  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:17:43pm

re: #226 zombie

I started out long ago with an account in one bank; then that was eventually gobbled up by another bank; and then that bank was later gobbled up by Washington Mutual; and now Washington Mutual has been gobbled up by JPMorgan Chase! And yet, throughout all that, I've kept the same account number! At least one thing stays the same.

Yup, you can still kill allot of birds with one well aimed rock.

234 zombie  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:17:44pm

re: #223 yochanan

my bank keeps changing me i have been at the same location through 5 banks.

Me too -- same branch location, same account number, even the same employees -- but the bank has now changed four times. The only people making a profit are the sign-installers!

235 Nancy  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:17:55pm

There was this: Looking tired and annoyed, Mr. Dodd ...was apparently alluding to a growing revolt by conservative House Republicans against the proposed $700 billion rescue, and the fact that Senator McCain has not yet endorsed the plan, whose concept runs contrary to the policy positions he has taken for years.

My interpretation of that is McCain is objecting to the Democrats wanting to include the provision that any profits will go into a "trust fund earmark" to subsidize low income loans. That's an earmark entitlment which would be against every policy position he has taken. They tried to include that in the 2005-06 Republican bill to reform Fanny/Freddie and it was rejected them. The Democrats then killed that bill which would have prevented this from occurring.

He shouldn't agree. Any profits should go back to ALL the taxpayers. Not to subsidize more loans.

Here's a priceless quote:

Bill Clinton in an interview this morning he says he liked Bush’s “clear” statement last night, knows McCain isn’t postponing the debates because he’s afraid of Obama given that McCain wanted many debates this summer and then he pins the Fannie and Freddie mess squarely on Congressional Democrats for bucking what he and the Republicans wanted to do to monitor those companies.

From Newsbusters.

236 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:18:07pm
237 MandyManners  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:18:09pm

re: #178 goddessoftheclassroom

{MandyManners}

You have your priorities straight.

You're in my prayers. Take care.

Oh, thank you, gotc! (Still wearing that twin-set?)

238 alien_mind  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:18:32pm

re: #226 zombie

haha, same with me. i'm on my fourth bank (Chase) with the same acct number.

239 lawhawk  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:18:41pm

re: #172 Charles

When all else fails, t&a.... now, where's my beer?

240 yochanan  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:18:50pm

re: #228 Fat Bastard Vegetarian

Has McCain said whether or not he watched FDR's speech on TV at the beginning of the depression?


THAT WAS BIDEN NOT MCCAIN

241 Wendya  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:19:23pm

re: #7 Sharmuta

AG sold me with this:

I have to agree- in the short term, this is expensive and hurts. But in the long term, I'd rather pay now than pay later, longer and harder.

By paying now we may well be paying later, longer and much, much harder.

242 spypeach  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:19:28pm

re: #227 opnion
and
205 Fat Bastard Vegetarian

Thanks, I'm know I'm not the only one feeling uneasy. Glad I can vent a little on this site.

243 MandyManners  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:19:42pm

re: #185 Walter L. Newton

That sounds like a good idea. I can't do much of anything right now, since the surgery. I'm going crazy just sitting around everyday. But doc says no real physical activity for a few weeks.

I'd love to take a swing.

Take a drive to see the aspens? Have someone drive you?

244 J.S.  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:19:46pm

OT

Here's a wiki entry with respect to the Socialism imposed by Trudeau and the oil crisis of the 1980s...National Energy Program..

245 Dahveed  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:20:01pm

I guess I can tell everyone now because I don't know who I work for now. I work at Washington Mutual Bank. I can now say that I work for the largest bank to fail in the history of the US.

I think I may work for JP Morgan. But WaMu management hasn't told anyone anything.

246 Sharmuta  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:20:02pm

re: #236 buzzsawmonkey

Seems that we've gone from being a "service economy" to being a debt service economy.

Seems there's always money to be made in debt collections and booze.

247 Fat Bastard Vegetarian  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:20:13pm

re: #240 yochanan

THAT WAS BIDEN NOT MCCAIN

No silly! I was thinking that would be a really funny joke for McCain to make.

248 Kosh's Shadow  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:20:51pm

re: #193 spypeach

I don't know what the answer is, but the question scares the hell out of me. I've been through this before with the dot.com bubble. My husband had a great job, so we bought a house well within our means, but less then a year later 9/11 happened then the dot.com burst. Husband gets laid off and can't find a job for 6 months. Well after 6 months we use up all of our money and have to sell our house. Any money we have from selling the house is used to rent a house for a year, because you see our credit was fubar because of not being able to pay our bills for several months. Anyway, we were eventually able to buy a house 1/2 the size of the original for twice as much. Not trying to put out a sob story, but I don't know how far this trickles down, if the shit hits the fan and my husband gets laid off again, we're screwed. So what's the answer, part of me wants to let the shit hit the fan, but the other part of me, the one with two young daughters and a one income house wants this whole situation stabilized. Sorry for the rant.

I hope it doesn't get that bad again.

We didn't get that bad off, despite 20 months out of a well-paying job. (I did part-time teaching, online and at a community college, which actually helped extend unemployment)
But we had had a 0 balance on credit cards when I got laid off; I'm still paying them off a few years later. Some of this was because we went for an inexpensive house further out from Boston, and kept the mortgage way down.

249 Egfrow  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:21:06pm

re: #236 buzzsawmonkey

Seems that we've gone from being a "service economy" to being a debt service economy.

Before that it was an information economy and before that we actually produced shit. Anyone you know study Supply Side Logistics or Manufacturing Infrastructure engineering anymore in this country lately?

If you don't create and produce then it's all just an illusion of security.

250 Nancy  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:21:09pm

re: #194 Walter L. Newton

THe Republican committee did draft an alternative plan yesterday. I am sure it was presented today. It doesn't seem to be on the table. It did not include a 700 Billion bailout.

One of the provisions of it was a 2 year elimination of capital gains.

251 opnion  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:21:24pm

re: #242 spypeach

and
205 Fat Bastard Vegetarian

Thanks, I'm know I'm not the only one feeling uneasy. Glad I can vent a little on this site.

You can vent as much as you like.

252 kevinmumaw  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:21:42pm

Is it just me, or does Obama seem like he might be a bit on the lazy side?

253 Maximu§  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:22:04pm

Its a fucked up situation, but nobody forced me and my wife to take out (2) loans on our house. Nobody had a gun to our backs as we signed the loan papers.

254 wee fury  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:22:09pm

Am happy that I have bought the max allowed in Savings Bonds each year.

255 Fat Bastard Vegetarian  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:22:21pm

re: #245 Dahveed

I'll keep you in my thoughts as you figure this out. Unless you're one of the "big shots" who effed this up? I'm guessing you're not.

256 Killian Bundy  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:22:23pm

re: #225 whiterasta

Pardon my ignorance, but does this affect the likes of Microsoft, Google and Exxon in any significant way?

The company or the stock?

/either way, the economy tanks and the answer is badly

257 hillbilly geek  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:22:50pm

Well, I don't have any money in the bank to speak of, and there are a lot of deer in the woods up here... a little dynamite in a couple of mountain passes, and we can hold off you flatlanders for a looong time ;-)

258 jwb7605  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:22:54pm

re: #251 opnion

You can vent as much as you like.

Speaking of which, I havent seen EIDE around.
Not that I'm looking forward to it ...

259 lifeofthemind  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:23:03pm

It isn't a matter of the Fed needing to sequestor executive pay. Any evidence of illegality should be pursued, even into Barney Frank's bedroom. What needs to be cut during this crisis is Federal cicilian pay. The GS schedule pay should be cut by 15%. The specialized schedules should be cut by 10-20%. Military pay should not be cut.

Here is the official MSM take on the meeting. White House bailout meeting went badly: Democrats.

260 lawhawk  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:23:15pm

re: #211 zombie

Heh. Here's the story:

The Wall Street Journal, citing people familiar with the matter, said the deal brokered by the government will not impact the FDIC insurance fund, which stood to take a multi-billion dollar hit if the WaMu failed.

The New York Times had a similar report. The Seattle-based thrift, the nation's largest, has roughly $310 billion in assets and was searching for a lifeline after a credit-rating downgrade further raised questions about its future.

This is turning into a life and death game of musical chairs - with the banks all hoping the music doesn't run out before they get suitors. Think of the government bailout as extending the time that the music plays.

261 Walter L. Newton  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:23:21pm

re: #243 MandyManners

Take a drive to see the aspens? Have someone drive you?

Good idea. Oh, I can drive, and walk, just can't do no lifting. Part of my job at the theatre is cleaning up around the place, and building sets and other facility stuff like that. Can't do any of that for a few more weeks. Most I can do at work is run the lights/sound for the shows.

Maybe I will take a drive up the canyon this weekend, or the early next week. Hell, I live just 2 miles from 3 different canyons. I can be at 10 thousand feet in 30 minutes.

262 Egfrow  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:23:30pm

re: #257 hillbilly geek

Well, I don't have any money in the bank to speak of, and there are a lot of deer in the woods up here... a little dynamite in a couple of mountain passes, and we can hold off you flatlanders for a looong time ;-)

Ha Ha Ha!

263 Kosh's Shadow  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:23:33pm

re: #226 zombie

I started out long ago with an account in one bank; then that was eventually gobbled up by another bank; and then that bank was later gobbled up by Washington Mutual; and now Washington Mutual has been gobbled up by JPMorgan Chase! And yet, throughout all that, I've kept the same account number! At least one thing stays the same.

I stay with a credit union. The got caught in the real estate crash in the 1990s, but that was because of malfeasance by the president. He got caught, and the insurance bond paid. Since then, they've expanded; I don't think they offered the sleazy mortgages.
Meanwhile, they're great for a techno-geek; I can scan checks up to $200 and deposit them electronically, and I've had bill payer for well over 10 years.

264 zombie  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:23:33pm

OK, I've been doing a little diversifying (online banking makes things so easy!). I now have spread my assets around for stability:

25% in Weimar Republic Deutschmarks
25% in Zimbabwean dollars
25% in a mafia-owned casino in Cuba
25% in Graf Zeppelin Airship Company stocks.

Now I can relax.

265 Dahveed  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:23:50pm

re: #255 Fat Bastard Vegetarian

I'll keep you in my thoughts as you figure this out. Unless you're one of the "big shots" who effed this up? I'm guessing you're not.

I was actually one of the accountants that reported the very accurate numbers to the government on a daily/weekly/quarterly basis.

266 Maximu§  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:23:53pm

re: #257 hillbilly geek

Don't forget you need Beer as well as Deer.

267 lawhawk  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:23:54pm

re: #250 Nancy

That proposal was proffered in the WH meeting but rejected by Paulson as being inadequate or insufficient to stem the mess.

268 Perplexed  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:24:37pm

Invest in your future, get a job with a pension. Companies with well funded pension plans were over taken by hostile buyers who wanted access to the pension fund. Wait a few years and few if any companies have any pensions. Use social security for retirement or save. 401K come into existence and everyone with spare money uses it for retirement. Big bucks to be made there. Worked with a guy who was going to retire by the time he was in his early 30's off his stock investments. Now lots of folks have stock investments while the brokerage houses have gone bust on failed investments in real estate and we're trying to shore up the businesses so they don't go under. Stock market fails and we're in another deep mess.

269 NY Nana  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:24:37pm

re: #190 J.S.

Whoops! Memory is the first thing to go, and mine seems to have got up and went! ;)

I did recall that he created a rather large problem, to be polite.

I felt so badly for him when his son died...but I was not a Trudeau fan. We have spent a lot of time in Canada over the years, but I am no longer able to travel. This is the first election in 8 years that I will have to stay here for all the mess, and I will use an absentee ballot, because our district is not handicap accessible.

Isn't your election around 14 Oct., or so?

/I will probably be hiding under the bed until the results are in....and it better not take years this time.

270 jaunte  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:24:51pm

re: #264 zombie

I sunk all my assets into the White Star Line.

271 Cap'n DOC  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:25:01pm

My take is Sen. McCain brokers a plan - shortly - but only after exposing the fact that he's been warning that this would happen for over two years. The longer he draws it out the more the public (poorly informed as they are) will be made aware of how deep the Dems are in this mess.

272 opnion  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:25:28pm

re: #252 kevinmumaw

Is it just me, or does Obama seem like he might be a bit on the lazy side?

Yes he is very lazy. He was coddled by his grandmother & put on the Affirmative Action track. How could the president of the Harvard Law Review not submit one article? He is a fraud.

273 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:25:33pm
274 Fat Bastard Vegetarian  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:25:39pm

re: #265 Dahveed

I was actually one of the accountants that reported the very accurate numbers to the government on a daily/weekly/quarterly basis.

Shit! You are going to be B-U-S-Y!

Take Luck!

275 lawhawk  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:25:50pm

re: #245 Dahveed

Technically speaking, your company didn't fail. It simply got bought out before it got to that point. It was distressed, and JP Morgan moved (likely at the behest of the FDIC and fed).

276 Killian Bundy  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:25:51pm

re: #252 kevinmumaw

Is it just me, or does Obama seem like he might be a bit on the lazy side?

You're going to have to speak louder, he can't hear you.

/he's out back, sucking on a heater

277 ciaospirit  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:26:05pm

The lowest of the lows. Democrats, led by Obama's former primaries adviser, put out this TV ad that is so low I don't have words to describe.

"Another bout of cancer for John McCain while he's President of the United States would profoundly impact his capacity to lead," says Dr. Michael D. Fratkin in a new ad on McCain's past battles with melanoma, a highly deadly skin cancer.

They show a close up of McCain's bandaged face and this:

The chances of survival if you have melanoma spread through body are very very slim.

The doctors that appeared in this should be reprimanded. One gives a prognosis for McCain without having ever seen him as a patient.

278 karmic_inquisitor  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:26:09pm

re: #225 whiterasta

Pardon my ignorance, but does this affect the likes of Microsoft, Google and Exxon in any significant way?

JMO

if there is a collapse:

Microsoft will see a lot of profitable businesses it owns go unprofitable. People will get by with keeping old computers and old software. Enterprise customers will have an extra incentive to move to Linux - no maintenance fees and free apps and "free" support. Don't see them prospering in a collapse.

Google has a high multiple (P/E) but they are profitable. Hard to say where ad revenue will go. Google can always trim staff and not affect ad revenue. but their P/E will get cut. That and management there is stubborn because shareholders have no power whatsoever over the company. Coin flip.

Exxon owns a commodity that is universally needed even in a downturn. If people overseas decide to dump their dollars oil prices will soar. $400 per barrel could happen if the floor drops out of the dollar. Exxon should weather a collapse.

279 Maximu§  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:26:22pm

700 Billion Dollers...900 Trillion Dollers.....5,293 Trillion Dollers..

WTF is the difference anymore?

280 thelongblogger  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:26:34pm

re: #264 zombie

You forgot Czarist Railway Bonds!

/Your portfolio is unbalanced

281 reine.de.tout  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:26:38pm

re: #245 Dahveed

I guess I can tell everyone now because I don't know who I work for now. I work at Washington Mutual Bank. I can now say that I work for the largest bank to fail in the history of the US.

I think I may work for JP Morgan. But WaMu management hasn't told anyone anything.

So sorry for the confusion you must be feeling right now . . .
What a mess!
You will be OK, somehow, somewhere.

282 kevinmumaw  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:26:39pm

re: #211 zombie

So JPMorgan just bought Washington Mutual. Interesting. I keep changing bank, even though I don't do anything to make it happen!

Well, I had 21 shares of WM.

283 Egfrow  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:26:40pm

AIG which is one of the cinch pins in the perception of this crisis has 65% of it's assets in Europe. Their bailout helped European Socialism more than it save our Capitalism.

284 Cap'n DOC  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:26:44pm

re: #264 zombie

You are a Hoot, Zombie.

/a good thing

285 nyc redneck  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:27:05pm

re: #252 kevinmumaw

Is it just me, or does Obama seem like he might be a bit on the lazy side?

he does seem lazy. kind of like the jerk who, on moving day, holds back and lets everyone else do the heavy lifting.

he's doing that now, chewing on a waffle some where, having told everyone, that if they 'need' him they can call.

286 WrathofG-d  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:27:27pm

I have found the best break down of who is "Best" For Israel by none other than Michael Oren.

Unfortunately however, I cannot find a link to it online so I will post it in parts here. I suggest someone wiser than I find it on the net.

The Journal of International Security Affairs, Fall 2008

The Future of the Alliance

By Michael Oren

Supporters of Israel are intensely interested in which of two presidential candidates, John McCain or Barack Obama, is "best" for the Jewish state. Of course, "best" is an inherently subjective concept, colored by whether one regards settlements as beneficial or disastrous for Israel, for example, or the creation of a Palestinian state as essential or deadly. The word also assumes a substantial degree of familiarity with the candidates' positions on issues that impact Israel either directly or collaterally. Attaining such clarity from politicians is difficult even in normal times. But during an election year, it is especially daunting. Speeches by presidential hopefuls geared to special constituencies, statements from commentators and aides, misquotes and gaffes---together these can cloud the contenders' platforms, particularly on matters as complex and controversial as the Middle East. Moreover, more than a little disinformation on Obama and McCain has been disseminated by opponents and interested parties, further obscuring their true views.

Nevertheless, by carefully combing the mass of speeches, interviews, and press releases, a picture of the candidates' policies can still be culled. A map of where Obama and McCain stand on the peace process and other issues crucial to Israel--the War on Terror, the Iraq War, Iranian nuclearization--may be drawn, and points of distinction flagged. And on the basis of these findings, it is possible to speculate how a McCain or an Obama presidency might interact with Israel, to its benefit as well as its detriment.

After Bush

By necessity, any analysis of the policies of the two candidates must begin with an assessment of the legacy that the president-elect will inherit. During his eight years in office, George W. Bush established new standards for the term "pro-Israel." He repeatedly affirmed Israel's right to defend itself against terror, and praised its value as America's primary Middle Eastern ally. He also expressed a deep ideological attachment to Israel as a democracy and, spiritually, to Israel as the biblical homeland. "You have raised a modern society in the Promised Land, a light unto the nations... [and] a mighty democracy," he told the Knesset during Israel's sixtieth anniversary celebrations.[1] And "you can always count on the United States of America to be at your side." Less publicly, the president also authorized an unprecedented level of cooperation between the U.S. military and the Israel Defense Forces (IDF), including intelligence sharing, anti-terror training, and the joint development of missile defense systems.

On the peace process, by comparison, Bush was less categorical. He became the first American president publicly to endorse the emergence of a Palestinian state and, to that end, he opposed the expansion of Israel's West Bank settlements. Yet Bush also rejected a large-scale repatriation of Palestinian refugees to Israel as well as a return to Israel's 1967 borders, insisting that any treaty take into account the "current realities" created by the settlements. He refused to deal with Hamas and Hezbollah, even obliquely, portraying them apocalyptically as the embodiments of "darkness" and "evil." More radically still, Bush reversed the formula, embedded in UN Resolution 242, of territory-for-peace. If previous presidents required Israel to relinquish territory first and only then receive peace from the Arabs, Bush demanded that the Arabs recognize Israel's existence and renounce violence in advance of retrieving captured land.

(snip)

287 neverquit  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:27:28pm

Our current financial mess began with the 1999 Financial Services Modernization Act.

Outright bi-partisan failure, completely due to the absurd amount of cash being allowed to influence policymakers in Washington. Under the guise of the 1st Amendment's commitment to allow people to "petition the government for a redress of grievances" - we, as citizens, have allowed interest groups, PAC's and business lobbies to buy our politicians. The first step that our current leadership needs to take is to end this influence or our future will be the usurpation of our financial and industrial free markets by the government, the decline of the dollar, and a dependence by the majority of the people on government programs. These government programs will be written and payed for by those who have hijacked our current financial systems. Dumping $700 Billion dollars into the current leadership that created the current problem in our financial market is insanity. The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over, the same exact way, and expecting a different result.

Money and Votes Aligned in Congress's Last Debate Over Bank Regulation

last time Congress seriously debated how to regulate the financial industry, the result was legislation that allowed the nation's largest banks to get even larger and take risks that had been prohibited since the Great Depression. A look back at that debate, which was over the 1999 Financial Services Modernization Act, reveals that campaign contributions may have influenced the votes of politicians who, a decade later, are now grappling with the implosion of the giant banks they helped to foster.

The finance, insurance and real estate sector contributed more than $86 million to members of Congress between 1997 and the key vote on Gramm-Leach-Bliley in November 1999. As the graph below shows, on average, those lawmakers voting "yea" received about $180,000 in campaign contributions from individuals and PACs in the financial sector during that period. Those who voted "nay" received about $90,000 each, or half of what supporters got.

There was little difference in the money collected by Republicans who supported the bill and those who opposed it; the 255 GOP supporters collected an average of $179,175, while the opponents in their ranks-and there were only five of them-collected $171,890. On the Democratic side, however, there was a wide gulf, as the graph indicates. The 195 Democrats who supported the Financial Services Modernization Act had received an average of $179,920 in the two years and 10 months leading up to its passage, while the 59 Democrats who opposed it received just $83,475.

Many of the Democrats who voted for Gramm-Leach-Bliley are still in Congress, as are many of the Republicans. Republican presidential nominee John McCain was recorded as absent for the 1999 vote. Democratic nominee Barack Obama was not serving in the Senate then, but his running mate, Joe Biden, supported the bill. McCain's running mate, Sarah Palin, was mayor of Wasilla, Alaska, at the time.

For Gramm-Leach-Bliley's Democratic supporters, at least, the contributions from that time suggest they were cozier with the financial sector than the bill's opponents and, thus, more inclined to vote for a piece of legislation that -- at least until Wall Street's recent collapse -- greatly benefited their contributors.

The new law paved the way for financial institutions, which were already large, to get even larger, and it put businesses that the nation's financial regulators had intentionally segregated under the same umbrella once again. Critics of Gramm-Leach-Bliley predicted that if these mega-banks were to ever fail, the impact on the U.S. and global economy would be so great that the public treasury -- i.e. taxpayers -- would have to rescue them.

Nine years later, Congress is debating a proposal from the Treasury Secretary to assume the bad investments...

288 3 wood  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:27:30pm

Oh my.

This afternoon I think we have a deal in principle, and the market is jumping and I think we may be finally getting our feet under us.

Then I go out to dinner and come back to no deal, all night negotiations, and a disaster in the making.

Washington is gonna screw this up.

Look for a 400 point drop on the market tomorrow.

I just watched Gingrich on Hannity and Colmes. With all due respect to Gingrich, his idea of just loaning the banks more money is not going to work..

You have to get the bad loans off their books. They don't have the time to work out these loans. That would do nothing to free up the credit market.

I put it at better than 50/50 now that we will have a major melt down early next week.

The foreign capital is going to get tired of this screwing around, take their cash and scram. When that happens, it's show over.

I think I'm going to go throw up.

Later.

289 WrathofG-d  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:27:39pm

Bush's policies disappointed many on the Israeli left who longed for a more activist American role in peace-making, and antagonized Israeli rightists who resented his support for Palestinian sovereignty and his demands for a settlement freeze. Still, Bush remained singularly popular in Israel-considerably more so, in fact, than in the United States. "You have been a true leader," Benjamin Netanyahu, head of the Likud opposition, lauded the president in Knesset. "You have never hesitated from fighting tyranny and defending freedom."[2]

The pro-Israel paradigm established by Bush poses a hefty challenge for Obama and McCain. Neither candidate, though, has shied from meeting it. In spite of some initial questions surrounding his affection for Israel, Obama has been unexceptionally Zionist, asserting that "the idea of a secure Jewish state is a fundamentally just idea," and that "Israel's security is sacrosanct."[3] McCain, no less effusive, has praised Israel as a bastion of democracy and social justice. He took out time from his campaign schedule to visit Israel and toured the towns along the Gaza border that were regularly shelled by Hamas. Obama is scheduled to make a stopover in Israel in late July, en route to Iraq.

McCain and Obama have both pledged to maintain Israel's strategic edge by supporting Bush's proposal for increasing military aid to the Jewish State by $30 billion over the next decade. Both have called on the Arab states to recognize Israel in advance of Israeli territorial concessions; both have vowed to take an active, hands-on, role in the search for peace. Nevertheless, in their approach to that process, and their conception of its outcome, the candidates evince some subtle-and potentially significant-differences.

Parsing the Palestinian question

Take, for example, the issues of Israeli settlements and the borders of any future Palestinian state. While McCain has avoided criticizing Israel's settlement policy and balked at delineating the contours of "Palestine," Obama has impugned the settlements and taken up Bush's call for a "contiguous" Palestinian state free of Israeli roadblocks and joined by West Bank-to-Gaza routes. McCain, who did not meet with Palestinian leaders during his Israel visit, has emphasized the Palestinian Authority's duty to clamp down on terror in accordance with the Road Map "We must ensure that Israel's people can live in safety until there is a Palestinian leadership willing and able to deliver peace," he stated.[4] Obama, by contrast, has refrained from mentioning the PA's responsibility in suppressing terror.

Obama and McCain have also differed over aspects of Israel's domestic politics and foreign relations. Obama has expressed strong reservations about the Israeli right, complaining to American Jewish leaders that "there is a strain within the pro-Israel community that says unless you adopt an unwavering pro-Likud approach to Israel then you're anti-Israel."[5] He has also welcomed the renewal of peace talks between Israel and Syria, and has urged the White House to "support the parties' efforts to achieve their goal of a negotiated settlement."[6] McCain, however, has not revealed a preference for one Israeli party over another and has withheld comment on the Syria-Israeli discussions. Generally, though, he shares Bush's reservations about negotiating with Damascus "with no preconditions"-presumably, eschewing terror and forfeiting all claims to Lebanon.

290 J.D.  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:27:42pm

re: #271 Cap'n DOC

My take is Sen. McCain brokers a plan - shortly - but only after exposing the fact that he's been warning that this would happen for over two years. The longer he draws it out the more the public (poorly informed as they are) will be made aware of how deep the Dems are in this mess.

That sounds about right. Heaven only knows the msm won't be reporting that inconvenient fact.

291 Nancy  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:27:55pm

Since I had seen mostly negative reactions to it, I browsed today looking for the positive or more hopeful side.

I found this which was a rather insightful analysis: It's neither "pro nor con" but instead addresses what the rationale may have been behind a preemptive action --rather than risk having a depression occur and the long drawn out recession that followed it.

It does point out that the situation currently is now where near as dire as that which existed after the 1929 crash. Not even close.

[Link: www.economist.com...]

292 WrathofG-d  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:27:55pm

Both candidates have deplored Hamas as a terrorist organization committed to Israel's destruction. McCain's position on Hamas has hardened considerably since 2006 when, shortly after organization's electoral victory, he told a reporter, "They're the government [and] sooner or later we are going to have to deal with them."[7] His campaign subsequently retracted the remark and characterized Hamas as a force dedicated not only to Israel's destruction but to the annihilation of the United States. McCain has endorsed the conditions set down by Bush for including Hamas in peace talks-renunciation of terror, recognition of Israel, and acceptance of previous Israeli-Palestinian agreements-but so, too, has Obama. Yet the Democratic contender seems less adamant than his Republican rival in opposing all communications with Hamas. Obama waited five days before distancing himself from former President Jimmy Carter's meetings with Hamas officials; McCain condemned them instantly. And while McCain withheld comment on Israel's ceasefire with Hamas, Obama greeted it as an opportunity to "bring calm to the people of southern Israel, improve life for Palestinians in Gaza, and lead to the release of [captured Israeli corporal] Gilad Shalit."[8]

Obama and McCain also appear to diverge on the peace process's most divisive issue: Jerusalem. Though supportive of talks to demarcate the final borders of Jerusalem, McCain has been unambiguous in his willingness to recognize unqualified Israeli sovereignty over the city, even prior to negotiations. "Jerusalem is undivided," he declared. "Jerusalem is the capital and we should move the [U.S.] embassy to Jerusalem before anything happens."[9] Obama similarly announced that, "Jerusalem will remain the capital of Israel, and it must remain undivided," surprising many of his listeners at a convention of AIPAC, the pro-Israel lobby.[10] But he quickly qualified that assertion, explaining that the city's final status must be determined by Israelis and Palestinians alone and sealed by "an agreement that they both can live with." Obama has not mentioned moving the American embassy to Jerusalem.

The most fundamental distinction between McCain and Obama on the peace question stems from their perception of the Arab-Israeli conflict and its relationship to other Middle Eastern disputes. According to the Des Moines Register, Obama told Iowa voters that "nobody has suffered more than the Palestinian people," but later claimed that he had been misquoted and had actually said that Palestinian suffering resulted from "the failure of the Palestinian leadership to recognize Israel and renounce violence."[11] In his AIPAC speech, Obama assailed "those who would lay all the problems of the Middle East at the doorstep of Israel." But in an interview with The Atlantic, he described the conflict as a "constant wound" and "constant sore" that "infect(s) all of our foreign policy" and "provides an excuse for anti-American militant jihadists."[12] In spite of these reverses, Obama's position seems to reflect the view, long-held by the State Department and reified by the 2006 Iraq Study Group, that the Arab-Israel conflict is a major cause of Middle Eastern upheaval. Tellingly, perhaps, Obama's campaign has been associated with several former State Department officials and foreign policy experts known to favor intensified American pressure to secure Israeli concessions.

McCain's position, in this critical case, is unequivocal. "[I]f the Israeli-Palestinian issue were decided tomorrow," he has maintained, "we would still face the enormous threat of radical Islamic extremism."[13] Defeating that fanaticism, McCain contends, is the prerequisite for-rather than the consequence of-Israeli-Palestinian peace. Neither he nor any of his advisors have indicated a readiness to apply greater pressure on Israel.

293 hillbilly geek  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:28:16pm

re: #273 buzzsawmonkey

You can't eat information.

294 opnion  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:28:19pm

re: #283 Egfrow

AIG which is one of the cinch pins in the perception of this crisis has 65% of it's assets in Europe. Their bailout helped European Socialism more than it save our Capitalism.


Infuriating, aint it?

295 WrathofG-d  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:28:21pm

On the basis of this comparison, it is reasonable to expect a McCain administration to maintain and perhaps accelerate the Annapolis process initiated by Bush last November, insisting that both Israelis and Palestinians live up to the Road Map's requisites. But McCain is unlikely to ratchet up pressure on Israel, to oppose Israeli claims to Jerusalem, or to link the Israeli-Palestinian conflict with any of the region's manifold struggles. He will not deal with Hamas, even in context of the national unity government that the organization is currently considering with the Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas. An Obama presidency, however, may well launch an entirely new initiative, one based on zero tolerance for Israeli settlement-building and checkpoints, as well as on the belief that the road to Baghdad and Teheran runs through Bethlehem and Nablus. Obama might be expected to show deeper sympathy for the Palestinian demand for a capital in Jerusalem and greater flexibility in including Hamas in negotiations, if only indirectly, through the national unity coalition with Abbas. Obama will probably seek a broader accord, including Syria as well as other Arab countries, while McCain would focus on the Israeli-Palestinian dimension. McCain's démarche is unlikely to ruffle the U.S.-Israel relationship; Obama's is liable to strain the alliance, especially if, as recent polls predict, Netanyahu and the Likud return to power.

How they will fight

In addition to the peace process, Israel has a cardinal interest in the candidates' attitudes toward other Middle East-related issues, beginning with the war on terror. Here, too, President Bush established a new paradigm based on preemptive action against suspected terrorists and their backers. This aspect of the Bush Doctrine accorded well with Israel, which, since its establishment, has reserved the option to strike its enemies preemptively. Obama and McCain, however, are markedly divided over the policy and the means for battling terror in the future.

Though both have reiterated their readiness to meet terrorist threats with force, McCain has never abjured preemption, stressing his commitment "to uncover [terrorist] plots before they take root."[14] But Obama's recent comments suggest that, rather than embark on preventative military incursions, he prefers to treat terror as a criminal act to be prosecuted post-facto by the courts. "[I]n previous terrorist attacks-for example, the first attack against the World Trade Center (in 1993), we were able to arrest those responsible, put them on trial," he explained to ABC News. "I have confidence that our system of justice is strong enough to deal with terrorists." [FOOTNOTE NEEDED]

Further insight into the candidates' divergent approaches to combating terror can be gleaned from their reaction to the Supreme Court's June 12, 2008 decision granting security suspects the right to petition civilian courts. The ruling, Obama said, was "an important step toward reestablishing our credibility as a nation" and "rejecting a false choice between fighting terrorism and respecting habeas corpus."[15] McCain, on the other hand, called it "one of the worst decisions in the history of this country."[16]

The War on Terror, for both candidates, is inextricably linked to the conflict in Iraq. McCain sees the latter as a natural extension of the former; Obama views the second as a dangerous diversion from the first. Unlike the candidates' stances on the peace process and the fight against terrorism, which are often open to interpretation, their statements on Iraq leave little latitude for debate.

296 NY Nana  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:28:26pm

re: #228 Fat Bastard Vegetarian

You forgot your sarc mark, and that the Demonrats ran a vile attack video re his age and melanoma. It was the worst I have ever seen.

297 WrathofG-d  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:28:36pm

Obama asserts that the Iraqi war has drained America's resources and inhibited it from effectively fighting terror. He denies that the surge has sufficiently reduced violence in Iraq, compelled the Iraqi government to fulfill its sovereign responsibilities, or helped bridge the country's ethnic differences. In keeping with the recommendation of the Iraq Study Group, he has called for a sixteen-month phasing out of the American military involvement. Apart from a "residual force" which will stay behind to guard the embassy, train Iraqi troops, and hunt down al-Qaeda, there will be no permanent American bases. Though he has acknowledged the need to make "tactical adjustments" as the withdrawal proceeds, Obama has determined that "it is time to end this end this war" and focus on Afghanistan.[17]

McCain insists that America "is winning and will win" in Iraq, which he regards as the central theater in the struggle against Islamist terror.[18] An ardent defender of the Bush administration's "surge" strategy, he believes that withdrawal at this time will endanger Americans at home and bolster Iran and al-Qaeda. McCain has repeatedly cited 2013 as a target date for withdrawal, though he once said that U.S. forces might remain in Iraq for as long as a century, following the Korean model.

These disparities are rife with ramifications for Israel. Long-time advocates of preemption, Israelis may be disappointed by an Obama administration that abandons the tactic and recoils from further preventative action against terrorists. They will have to grapple with the fallout of an American evacuation from Iraq, which is almost certain to be perceived in the region as an Islamist triumph. Still, Israel could benefit from a United States that is less inclined to pursue polices unilaterally and more in line with international opinion.

The situation might be reversed under McCain. The U.S. would continue to press its anti-terror campaign in the Middle East and stay the course in Iraq but remain to a large extent isolated globally. The Israeli ideal of an America that is engaged militarily in the Middle East and in synch with the international community may well prove elusive.

298 alien_mind  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:28:37pm

re: #252 kevinmumaw
umm yep. did you see the shot of him in that meeting today?
he looked like he didn't want to be there at all. too many people in the room doing real work and he wasn't in the spotlight.


think about this, Obama was engaging the Iraqi's over pullout plans when he had no business doing so and no one asked him to, but when McCain says let's postpone the debate to take care of this urgent national matter, he first says no, call me if you need me! huh?

299 Dasher  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:28:55pm

And I am stuck with this old fogie bank Wells Fargo, who keeps on doing things right. -- I recall the CEO saying a some months ago... what the heck are all these no down loans... There's plenty of ways to lose money the old fashioned way.

300 WrathofG-d  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:29:23pm

Addressing the Iranian challenge

Yet the ultimate crucible of the candidates' positions affecting Israel lies not in the peace process, in the War on Terror, or even in Iraq, but rather in the burgeoning crisis with Iran. The master of Hamas and Hizbollah, the dominant partner of Syria, and the rising regional hegemon, Iran poses multiple threats to Israel's security-and, through its nuclear program, a danger to Israel's very existence. The Islamic regime that routinely pledges to "wipe Israel off the map" could easily transfer nuclear weapons to one of its terrorist proxies while prompting other Middle East states to achieve to develop similar armaments. Israel could soon find itself in the epicenter of a nuclear neighborhood that is relentlessly hostile and volatile. On no other issue are the Jewish State's interests in the platforms of McCain and Obama so paramount and, potentially, existential.

As McCain's stance on Hamas once hardened, so too has Obama's on Iran. After initially ranking Iran with Cuba and Venezuela that "do not pose a serious threat to us the way the Soviet Union posed a threat to us,"[19] Obama later assured AIPAC members that "the danger from Iran is grave, it is real, and my goal will be to eliminate this threat." He swore to employ "all elements of American power," including military force, to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapons.[20] Throughout, though, Obama has emphasized the need for discussions with Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, "without self-defeating preconditions, but with a clear-eyed understanding of our interests," to locate points of common interest and possibly diminish tensions.[21]

More consistently than Obama, McCain characterized Iran as a threat to the free world, "hell-bent on the destruction of Israel, hell-bent on driving us out of Iraq, [and] hell-bent on supporting terrorist organizations."[22] To deter Tehran, he has recommended a multi-tiered strategy of escalated sanctions and divestment campaigns, without ruling out an eventual use of force. "The military option has to be there," he insisted. But contrary to Obama, McCain rejects the very notion of dialogue with Ahmadinejad. This, he argues, would weaken Iranian moderates and reinforce the radicals. "It's hard to see what such a summit would actually gain," McCain observed, "except an earful of anti-Semitic rants and a worldwide audience for a man who denies one Holocaust and talks... about starting another."[23]

The McCain-Obama split over Iran was poignantly reflected in their reactions to the Kyl-Lieberman Amendment passed in September 2007 and the National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) issued three months later. Endorsed by three-quarters of the Senate, the amendment recognized the Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards as a terrorist group and authorized the use of "all instruments of United States national power" to protect Iraq from Iran and its proxies. Though neither senator participated in the vote, McCain hailed the bill for sending "exactly the right message-to Iran, to the region and to the world."[24] Obama, however, derided what he perceived as "saber-rattling" and a "reckless" attempt to perpetuate the American intervention in Iraq and possibly justify attacking Iran.[25] In a similar vein, Obama embraced the NIE as "a compelling case for less saber-rattling and more direct diplomacy," while McCain rebuffed it. "We don't want the intelligence agencies to make the policies," he said.[26]

301 WrathofG-d  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:29:35pm

The Obama-McCain split over Iran presents Israel with life-and-death dilemmas. Israel would certainly gain from a president who garnered international legitimacy by exhausting all possible options with Iran, including offers to communicate, before resorting to violence. But if diplomacy fails to modify Iranian behavior and instead furnishes Tehran with time to complete its nuclear weapons program, the outcome for Israel could be catastrophic. Compounding the stakes for Israel is the fact that-according to current Israeli Defense Forces estimates, Iran will possess an operational nuclear weapon by 2009, rendering either Obama's dialogue plan or McCain's sanction strategy moot.[27]

Alliance in the balance

The presidential election of 2008 is arguably the most pivotal for Israel in its sixty years of existence. The next occupant of the White House can immensely influence the course of Israel's relations with the Palestinians, the Syrians, and a range of Arab regimes. He can alter or maintain American policies on Jerusalem, the settlements, and negotiations with Hamas, and influence the shape and nature of any future Palestinian state. By upholding or disavowing preemption or by reducing or augmenting American troop strength in Iraq, he can radically sway the Middle East's balance of power. Most fatefully, in his determination to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weaponry, he can fortify Israel's security, if not ensure its survival.

Four months is a long time in a national election, especially one so heatedly contested and close. The Middle East, the world's most protean region, is supremely subject to change. No doubt the candidates will adjust their positions as circumstances shift; they will persist in conveying different messages to different audiences, in clarifying and qualifying their stands.

302 WrathofG-d  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:29:48pm

Yet, in spite of these correctives, the core platforms are unlikely to change. While both aspirants will honor Bush's pro-Israel legacy and actively pursue peace, McCain would be less prone than Obama to pressure Israel for concessions and more inclined to take the Palestinian Authority to task for its Road Map infractions. Obama may prove more flexible than McCain in admitting some role for Hamas in negotiations and recognizing Palestinian claims to Jerusalem. McCain would preserve and Obama would renounce much of his predecessor's policies on preemption and the war on terror; Obama intends to remove American troops from Iraq and McCain plans to retain them. Though unwilling to rule out any option vis-à-vis Iran, Obama wants first to talk with Ahmadinejad and other Iranian leaders. McCain rules out dialogue but prefers to levy intensified sanctions on Iran before resorting to force.

Gaining an appreciation of these aspects of Obama and McCain platforms will remain vital for supporters of Israel, irrespective of what they think is "best" for it. For them, this analysis can continue as a constructive guide throughout the period leading up to November 4th, and thereafter, a useful reference for the next president of the United States.

303 WrathofG-d  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:30:06pm

[1] President George W. Bush, Address to the Knesset, May 14, 2008 [Link: www.whitehouse.gov...]

[2] Benjamin Netanyahu, Greeting to President George W. Bush in the Knesset, May 14, 2008. [Link: www.netanyahu.org.il...]

[3] Jeffrey Goldberg Interview of Barack Obama, The Atlantic, May 12 2008

[Link: jeffreygoldberg.theatlantic.com...]

[4] Transcript of McCain Speech to AIPAC, June 2, 2008

[Link: www.realclearpolitics.com...]

[5] Obama comments to closed-door meeting with Cleveland Jewish community leaders, February 25, 2008 [Link: www.jpost.com...]

[6] Article on Obama's letter to President Bush, June 25, 2008: [Link: www.ynetnews.com...] and link to the actual letter, in PDF form: [Link: www.aipac.org...]

[7] Video of the Interview: [Link: www.huffingtonpost.com...] and op-ed by the reporter who interviewed McCain, Jeffrey Rubin: [Link: www.washingtonpost.com...]

[8] Obama's letter to President Bush, June 25, 2008: [Link: www.ynetnews.com...] and link to the actual letter, in PDF form: [Link: www.aipac.org...]

[9] McCain on moving the US Embassy to Jerusalem, June 7, 2008: [Link: www.haaretz.com...]

[10] Transcript of Obama speech to AIPAC, June 4, 2008: [Link: www.npr.org...]

[11] FactCheck.Org, April 27, 2007.

[12] Jeffrey Goldberg Interview of Barack Obama, The Atlantic, May 12 2008

[Link: jeffreygoldberg.theatlantic.com...]

[13] Jeffrey Goldberg Interview of John McCain, The Atlantic, May 30, 2008 [Link: jeffreygoldberg.theatlantic.com...]

[14] McCain Campaign Website Statement: [Link: www.johnmccain.com...]

[15] Story of Obama interview ABC News (with link to interview video), June 17, 2008 [Link: abcnews.go.com...]

[16] Fox News Story, June 13, 2008: [Link: elections.foxnews.com...]

[17] The New York Times, July 21, 2008.

[18] CNN News Story, May 15, 2008: [Link: www.cnn.com...]

[19] CNN News Story, May 19, 2008: [Link: edition.cnn.com...]

[20] Transcript of Obama speech to AIPAC, June 4, 2008: [Link: www.npr.org...]

304 Killian Bundy  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:30:16pm
305 WrathofG-d  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:30:21pm

[21] Transcript of Obama speech to AIPAC, June 4, 2008: [Link: www.npr.org...]

[22] Jeffrey Goldberg Interview of John McCain, The Atlantic, May 30, 2008 [Link: jeffreygoldberg.theatlantic.com...]

[23] Transcript of McCain Speech to AIPAC, June 2, 2008

[Link: www.realclearpolitics.com...]

[24] Transcript of McCain Speech to AIPAC, June 2, 2008

[Link: www.realclearpolitics.com...]

[25] Press Release by Obama Campaign, as posted on The Atlantic, Sept. 27, 2007: [Link: matthewyglesias.theatlantic.com...]

[26] NY Sun Story, Dec. 20, 2007: [Link: www.nysun.com...]

[27] YNetNews Story, Dec. 16, 2007: [Link: www.ynetnews.com...]

Mr. Oren is senior fellow at the Shalem Center and the author of Power, Faith, and Fantasy: America in the Middle East, 1776 to the Present, (W.W. Norton, 2007).

306 zombie  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:30:46pm

re: #280 thelongblogger

You forgot Czarist Railway Bonds!

/Your portfolio is unbalanced

Thanks for the tip!

I've also just brought shares in United Plantations Slave Holdings, Stanley Steamer Automotives, and the Dutch Straights Settlements Company.

307 MandyManners  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:30:56pm

re: #189 Sharmuta

I'd just like to add that this is also a good example of how we could improve economics education in this country. When I got to college it seemed to me the credit card companies were predatory with my peers. I never went that route, but I watched a lot of friends and acquaintances get sucked into the seemingly never ending loop of "trading up" to another credit card with a larger line of credit to avoid paying for the credit they'd already racked up. It's got to suck to be these people right about now. I've never been good with credit, so I've avoided it. But it also seems to me that these credit companies made this bed for themselves by targeting people they knew had bad credit in the hopes of being able to bilk them more later. Assholes offering credit to idiots. But perhaps if kids were educated better about this sort of thing, and about economics in general, we'd see less of a problem today.

If the parents cannot or will not teach this lesson, the schools must.

308 J.S.  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:31:02pm

re: #269 NY Nana

Yes, it was tragic when Trudeau's son died...(his other son is -- hmmm -- shall i say, Moonbat? he does "reports" for media outlets)...(Trudeau died on the same day as Arafat's intifada began...iirc...) Anyway, yeah, the election is on Oct. 14, and I'll be voting conservative (Hawn, MP)...he's the incumbent and a member of the Conservative Party...(hoping for a majority government this time around)...

309 opnion  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:31:27pm

re: #296 NY Nana

You forgot your sarc mark, and that the Demonrats ran a vile attack video re his age and melanoma. It was the worst I have ever seen.


Repusive & counter productive. Hey, Barry smokes & is too weak to quit.
Lets go there. Although I miss smoking.

310 lawhawk  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:31:28pm

re: #299 Dasher

Indeed!

311 WrathofG-d  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:31:39pm

re: #296 NY Nana

You should read the article I posted from 286 down on who is "best" for Israel.

probably the best I have read on the subject.

312 stevieray  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:31:40pm

re: #264 zombie

OK, I've been doing a little diversifying (online banking makes things so easy!). I now have spread my assets around for stability:

25% in Weimar Republic Deutschmarks
25% in Zimbabwean dollars
25% in a mafia-owned casino in Cuba
25% in Graf Zeppelin Airship Company stocks.

Now I can relax.

What? No Dutch tulip bulbs?!

Good god, man... diversity! Diversify!

313 MandyManners  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:32:17pm

re: #206 Intrepid

Woo hoo, that's one special outfit we'd be wearing, Mandy! ;-)

It does help to pack up one's troubles for a while and just have some fun. Good for you, and for The Kid too.

Do it, yourself.

314 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:32:25pm
315 MandyManners  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:32:59pm

bbl

316 Maximu§  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:33:05pm

Can I share something with you all?

I'm in the construction business and I had a old client (who's a Millionaire) call me today about our current project and he complained, that the customer (who is a Billionaire) complained that I didn't give them a "break" on my fee because this is the 3rd project Ive done for them.....I almost laughed, here I am with $40 in my wallet and a Millionaire is on the phone complaining to me about a Billionaire being dissatisfied with my marginal fee.

Course I groveled......like I always do. My family and my company come before my pride.

317 formercorpsman  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:33:27pm

re: #277 ciaospirit

That is fucking unreal.

318 MandyManners  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:34:47pm

EVERYBODY! BOYCOTT LIFE! GO SWING FOR 12 HOURS TOMORROW.

319 Dahveed  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:34:50pm

re: #281 reine.de.tout

So sorry for the confusion you must be feeling right now . . .
What a mess!
You will be OK, somehow, somewhere.

Everything will be fine. It was just some bad luck at the bank. Management really was trying to work things out and I really thought we would pull through. Things just got out of hand lately. Personally, I got a lot of great experience and my job is a little up in the air at this point. I think that these transitions between organizations take time, so my job will probably be safe for a while. I know a lot of people at JP Morgan so, hopefully they can help me out when the time comes. If not, there are other jobs and other opportunities.

320 outsidephilly  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:35:26pm

re: #189 Sharmuta

I'd just like to add that this is also a good example of how we could improve economics education in this country. When I got to college it seemed to me the credit card companies were predatory with my peers. I never went that route, but I watched a lot of friends and acquaintances get sucked into the seemingly never ending loop of "trading up" to another credit card with a larger line of credit to avoid paying for the credit they'd already racked up. It's got to suck to be these people right about now. I've never been good with credit, so I've avoided it. But it also seems to me that these credit companies made this bed for themselves by targeting people they knew had bad credit in the hopes of being able to bilk them more later. Assholes offering credit to idiots. But perhaps if kids were educated better about this sort of thing, and about economics in general, we'd see less of a problem today.

Oh yeah, and what a sham! I watched my daughter learn a hard lesson - yet, she had to pay off her debt, herself . . . . , sadly, many parents 'help' their kids get out of the debt they've created.

321 MandyManners  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:36:27pm

re: #277 ciaospirit

The lowest of the lows. Democrats, led by Obama's former primaries adviser, put out this TV ad that is so low I don't have words to describe.


The doctors that appeared in this should be reprimanded. One gives a prognosis for McCain without having ever seen him as a patient.

The scum that scum won't call "scum".

322 kevinmumaw  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:36:51pm

re: #298 alien_mind

umm yep. did you see the shot of him in that meeting today?
he looked like he didn't want to be there at all. too many people in the room doing real work and he wasn't in the spotlight.


think about this, Obama was engaging the Iraqi's over pullout plans when he had no business doing so and no one asked him to, but when McCain says let's postpone the debate to take care of this urgent national matter, he first says no, call me if you need me! huh?

I had to laugh at his "President can multi-task" comment. My first thought was, you ain't the president. You are the Senator from Illinois, and right now you have work to do that is slightly more important than climbing the corporate ladder. Sheesh, he hasn't even worked at his current job. Voting "present" does not count as work.

Rumor has it all he did in DC today was show up, look around the room, shout "present" and leave. True?

323 Perplexed  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:37:29pm

FBI thinks it might have enough to have charges pressed against Blagojevich.

324 kevinmumaw  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:38:29pm

re: #316 Maximu§

Did you reach through the phone and punch him in the throat?

325 spidly  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:38:30pm

re: #180 Killian Bundy

I see the Paulbots have arrived.

Please note that there aren't enough precious metal reserves on the planet, either mined or still in the ground, to back the monetization of the worldwide economy.

/there's a good reason no country on Earth still uses the Gold Standard

Rael could get us a gold asteroid

326 reine.de.tout  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:39:29pm

re: #319 Dahveed

Everything will be fine. It was just some bad luck at the bank. Management really was trying to work things out and I really thought we would pull through. Things just got out of hand lately. Personally, I got a lot of great experience and my job is a little up in the air at this point. I think that these transitions between organizations take time, so my job will probably be safe for a while. I know a lot of people at JP Morgan so, hopefully they can help me out when the time comes. If not, there are other jobs and other opportunities.

Great attitude! Good for you.

327 taxfreekiller[deleted]  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:40:45pm
328 alien_mind  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:40:48pm

re: #322 kevinmumaw

Rumor has it all he did in DC today was show up, look around the room, shout "present" and leave. True?

yeah thats pretty much it. he drank a coffee, probably a few puffs in the hallway, but otherwise he is a non-factor, just like his entire senate career.

329 formercorpsman  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:41:17pm

re: #277 ciaospirit

Even better.

This son of a bitch deserves a kick in the nuts.

What a jerk-off.

[Link: my.barackobama.com...]

330 Egfrow  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:49:04pm
It is an Old World economic theory that inflation acts both as a subsidy to industry to generate more goods and as a protective tariff (because imported items cost more). Today, however, in the era of the multinationals, the bulk of American exports are not made entirely in America. They are made abroad and shipped to the U.S. Their cost is the same as in the Old World era: high. And because the bulk of the products consumed in America have components which come from abroad there is no incentive for American industry to generate more goods. In short, there is a lack of real growth in the American economy, and this, combined with growing inflation, tends to make business lose confidence in itself.

In this era of stagflation, the low value of the American dollar in terms of foreign exchange still further encourages the movement abroad of American industries. Which in turn means still more jobs are exported Of course, in the early stages of stagflation, those industries in debt are able to pay off their indebtedness with cheap dollars. But, in the later stages, these same industries are apt to experience a scarcity of capital, and therefore lack the will to invest.

This a excerpt of a Book written in 1973 called The Conspiracy Against the Dollar. Does it sound familiar?

331 tony the tiger  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:49:35pm

NO bailout.
If the Congress hadn't forced banks and other financial institutions to loan high-risk applicants more than they could afford; if irresponsible "McMansion" owners didn't have to keep up with the Joneses; hell - in a perfect world we'd all have everything we wanted... ya' know what? If that happened, people still wouldn't be happy... it's human nature.
Let the bastages go into foreclosure. ME? I bought a decent home well within my means.
Live below your means DON'T mortgage your future!

332 nyc redneck  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:50:00pm

re: #316 Maximu§

that is a bad spot to be in. i admire your ability to focus on taking care of your family and letting this kind of annoyance go. it's a difficult thing for a principled person to do.
it is why we were usually in the poor house when i was a kid.
dad had too much pride. and we suffered for for it.
i think it is why, now, in my life, when i can, i jump on these lousy ungrateful swine w/ both feet and set them straight.
usually it's a balancing act. the aggravation vs the money. my partners usually back me up when i error on the side of punching someone out.
(figuratively speaking, for the most part) lol.
of course i don't have the responsibilities you have so my fuse can be a little shorter than yours.
have confidence in what you do and how valuable your work is. i don't think millionaires would be eager to hire and rehire you if they didn't appreciate the quality job you do. keep that always in the front of your mind. don't under estimate how much they need you.
i despise greedy assholes like you have described.

333 nyc redneck  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:52:34pm

re: #318 MandyManners

EVERYBODY! BOYCOTT LIFE! GO SWING FOR 12 HOURS TOMORROW.

{Mandy} you are so delightful. have i told you that lately?

334 Kosh's Shadow  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:53:10pm

re: #306 zombie

Thanks for the tip!

I've also just brought shares in United Plantations Slave Holdings, Stanley Steamer Automotives, and the Dutch Straights Settlements Company.

You also might want to look into these currency transactions some guy named Ponzi is selling. They seem to be very popular.

335 formercorpsman  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:56:22pm

re: #316 Maximu§

You did the smart thing.

I have a wife and kids, and responsibilities, also.

A real man realizes, his pride can recover, but doing something in spite that has a negative effect on your kids is whole different story.

You did the right thing.

336 quickjustice  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:58:29pm

Paulson asked for a "clean" bill. Instead, the Democrats are loading it up like a Christmas tree. They're putting more holes in the hull of the Titanic. Seven years after 9/11, Congress is in the process of accomplishing what Al Qaeda failed to accomplish, destruction of our economy.

Even if you support a modest bailout as do I (I think government has to make sure the money market mutual funds are operable, and consumer bank accounts insured for example), this stinks to high heaven.

337 Ledger1  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:59:09pm

A little sarcasm from Iowahawk:


...We were suckered in by deceptive easy-money advertising come-ons, confusing refinance deals, and free igloo coolers. And now, with a slowdown in the blog economy, some of us can barely make the payments on our quad-runners, let alone a crushing $1.2 million debt on a house that our appraiser says is worth $40,000 in scrap lumber, tops...

For humor Iowahawk debates the Credit Bailout

338 armaros  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 6:59:43pm

This article by the New York Times reads like prophecy!

Not that this happens often lol

[Link: query.nytimes.com...]

This is the Bloomberg piece of a couple of days ago re enforcing this view
[Link: www.bloomberg.com...]

339 NY Nana  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:00:52pm

re: #308 J.S.

I read Bourque, and have seen articles re the surviving son. Moonbat might be too polite.

I wish that you indeed have a majority government. That you can have an election put together in a bit less than 6 weeks? IIRC, you use paper ballots and a wooden box to put them in.

No chance of this!

340 yesandno  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:01:47pm

Kill the Bill....

Bailout is not going to be 700Billion....more like 2 to 3 Trillion.

This is what happens when all public policy is driven by equality of RESULTS rather then equality of OPPORTUNITY.

People have to fail to learn. Do it now, not later.

I don't want to protect homeowners that had 125% loans. I don't want to protect insitutions that didn't have the assets to cover the loans. I don't want to protect the democrats that passed that bill in 1977, refined it in 1993, and refused to revise it in 2003.

If every member of the House Banking, Senate Banking, Ways and Means, or any fiscal committee in either side of Congress...if all members promised to resign to get the bill passed, I might reconsider.

This is the ultimate price we pay for "race" baiting, "poverty" baiting, etc. If we helped people achieve success without giving it to them, we wouldn't be here now.
These people aren't going to make me feel guilty enough to drive SOCIALISM through the front door without giving me the ability to at least yell HELL NO!

341 NY Nana  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:04:08pm

re: #311 WrathofG-d

I saw them...Wow! I am going to save them and read them all. You did an amazing job. Thanks!

342 William  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:04:28pm

RE: "Unless a whole lot of people are exaggerating"

They're actually downplaying the reality.

The "bailout" must happen.  Most protesting, don't realize what's at stake, and just how insolvent most financial institutions have become due to junk mortgages on the books.  One example of how worthless this toxic mortgage waste has become, is a recent sale of the junk by the now-defunct Merrill Lynch: $30 Billion in mortgage-backed assets were sold at 6 cents on the dollar, or a 94% loss.

Bear Stearns - 80+ years in business: gone.

Lehman Brothers - 150+ years in business: gone.

Merrill Lynch - 90+ years in business: gone.

These were institutions which were "too big to fail" -- and all were wiped out in the span of a few months.

The lax lending standards in the name of "diversity" pushed on FNM and FRE in the late 1990s, and the failure to roll back those lax rules in 2003 (when the writing was on the wall) are both water under the bridge.

We must address the now.

343 jopa416  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:07:40pm

What most of the idiot republicans in DC don't know, and have never known, is that the democrats plan all along was to destroy the economy. Once they have absolute chaos, then they can offer to save us with Socialism. Republicans trying to work in "good faith" with these Dem's are nothing but patsies.

Honestly, why do you think Democrats are more concerned with felons having the right vote than with honest folks owning a gun for self protection.

344 So?  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:10:19pm

Here's my plan:

Since 9/11 Afghanistan's poppy production has increased tenfold if not more. Yes, the US scared the Taliban out but now are stronger than ever and finance world terror from the money made from opium and heroin and whatever other "oin" you can attain these days. There are billions of dollars involved each year.

So how about a Poppy Surge? That's right. Have America secure every damn poppy field, since they never bothered to destroy them. The druggies have and will continue to get their fixes, so why not control these fields and production and use the money, the billions to help the financial crisis in the US.

These guys owe us big time anyway. Time to collect.
Not kosher you say? Well, I disagree. An addict is an addict
and the Taliban are making sure they get their drugs anyway.
And more of it since 9/11.

Had the poppy fields been destroyed, then my proposal would be ludicrous. But the exponential growth needs to be tapped just like an oil well.

Thank you.

So?

345 favorednation  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:11:04pm

I guess it's my turn to add some information. I took this from a blog back in 2005. Here is the addy: [Link: bankdersysrisk.blogspot.com...] and here is one excerpt:

The Great Banking Lynchpin
The Great Banking Lynchpin

This blog is to explore the relationship of the derivatives market on the banking system.

This topic needs to be addressed as a huge asset appreciation in the world wide housing market caused by a lowering of the lending standard. This has raised the amount of questionable loans to frightening heights all over the world.

The Big Question

How many bankruptcies and foreclosures on a world wide scale will it take to endanger the derivatives market, causing an international banking crisis of historic magnitude.

With 90% of all derivatives exposure located in the eight largest banks and 99% of all exposure through the 25 biggest banks on the planet, the question becomes, did we really move the risk onto the counter party, or just fool ourselves into thinking we did.

At this time there is 45 trillion to 55 trillion dollars worth of derivatives exposure. With a major banking crisis forming due to bankruptcies and foreclosures, is their really any way to escape the damage in a heavily leveraged monetary system?

The genesis of today's lending standard
Why can anyone get a loan, a recent history.

In 1998 at the annual meeting of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank was the turning point for bank lending standards as systemic risk nearly destroyed the banking system.

Martin Mayer writes in The Fed “It turned out to be a weekend of pure terror”.
“Lumping together the five nations devastated by the Asian financial crisis, the Deutsche Bank researchers concluded that “While it is difficult to argue that governments are insolvent … under most scenarios, the ability of the government to service its debt in the short run is questionable.” Turning attention to Russia, the German bank’s expert argue that “there is a very high risk that Russia will not be able or willing to repay its foreign debt.” – ever.”

“One of the last speakers at the Group of Thirty conference was William McDonough, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York… Everyone here, he said, is a banker or a bank supervisor. If you’re a banker, go out and lend – you don’t have to dot every I and cross every T. If you’re a bank supervisor, don’t criticize your banks for making loans even if they’re loans you might not have approved just a little while ago. Get the money out; the word needs the money.”

Then later that week at the Chicago Board of Trade Martin Mayer writes “And then the roar stopped, the men stopped waving their arms in the pit, and they all just stood, arms at their sides. At 11:45 in the morning, the price of the T-bond futures contract had dropped $3,000, which was the maximum move in a single day. The market has closed “lock limit down” for the first time since Saddam Hussein invaded Kuwait.”

“We returned to the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, and in the anteroom ran into Michael Moscow, president of the bank, a tolerant economist who does one thing at a time. We told him what we had seen across the street, and he nodded soberly. “Yes,” he said. “There are no bids for anything. There is no money.”

This set off the trend in lending in which we have today. The Central Banks of the free world started a policy of giving loans to anyone in order to inject the economy with cash.

Now that banks sell their loans to the international market in the form of bonds, they have diminished their risk from loan process. Banks have responded by reducing their lending standards.

346 William  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:11:53pm

re: #331 tony the tiger

NO bailout.
...
Live below your means DON'T mortgage your future!

In general that makes sense, but consider that the price of "normal" homes (read: not luxury) doubled in many areas.  For many people, the only way to afford a home was to use risky mortgages.

They of course are to blame for their own actions, but it's not always about someone living in luxury -- for many it was simply about living in an ordinary house within commuting distance to their job.  Either move 2+ hours away from work, or take out a toxic mortgage.  Many chose the latter.

347 sparrowlake  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:12:19pm
348 favorednation  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:13:03pm

more...

Thursday, June 16, 2005
Bankruptcies, The Real Threat
Bankruptcies, The Real Threat

Bankruptcies, the bane of the monetary system, destroyer of money creation through lending. Probably the biggest determining factor in the value of real estate. Analysts look for clues of the beast, tracking it like a ranger in ancient times. Following the broken twigs of rising mortgage rates, the torn cloth of currency valuations, and the blood late payments.

The Federal Reserve and the Central Banks of the world live in fear of the pestilence caused by this creature. They tried to avoid a recession by injecting the world with money through borrowing. Never before has the value of housing risen so fast around the world at the same time.

The Central Banks have called for a crusade of liquidity with the mantra "give loans to anyone who asks for it". Flood the cities of world with newly created money and the populous shall compete with each other over property. Using leveraged money to bid up the property, the seller walks away and buys another home which he then bids up. So the circle of abundant cash following limited assets begins.

The circle injects money into the building industry, new homes are built, fortunes are created. People become employed in the mortgage, construction, and other related fields. The people rejoice at the miracle of their new found prosperity. Housing valuations go up and increased taxes are collected.

But something is amiss. Rents remain the same or lower as housing prices ascend into the realm of the heavens. It becomes much cheaper to rent than to buy. Some of the foolish mortals not in hallowed halls of the Central Banks begin to wonder "Where is all this demand for housing coming from?"

The black death of bankruptcy hangs over the central banks. The Allen Greenspan's of the world know what is up. They sit in their offices in fear of the black death. They understand that if the population stops borrowing and creating new money, than the black death shall creep in, fester, and take back what was stolen, take back the leveraged money created through deceptive demand.

The derivates market has made it possible to transfer mortgages from the originating bank to investors in the form of an asset backed security called a mortgage backed security (MBS). These securities take the form of bonds sold onto the international market, where pension funds and banks all over the world use them as assets and reserves.

These securities in America track the 10 year Treasury bond very closely. This is due to the fact that they are seen as just as safe, as the investor still has the property to fall back upon in case of default by a delinquent borrower. Like unthinking troglodytes, investors buy them up, never questioning the actual value of the property supporting the MBS.

The sickness of greed hits the population. Bankers and buyers pressure the appraisers to artificially raise the price of there property. Bankers lower their lending standards to the lowest possible point, even lending to a dead man (True story). The population thinks it has found a way to get rich without working or knowledge. It must be gods grace. God must really love America, or the United Kingdom, or Australia, or Spain. So much love, they all must be hippies. The feeling of wealth and success is better than drugs.

Housing continues to rise in all of the countries. Leveraged money inflating the housing values to the heavenly clouds. The black death of bankruptcy is still waiting, waiting for the people to come to the edge of affordability, waiting for the panic, waiting for some minor event to change the hearts and minds of gods chosen people from a feeling of success, to one of panic, fear, and doubt.

349 Palandine  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:15:36pm

Since yesterday, I've gotten my mind right about this. I don't like it, and I'm not convinced that we're not heading for a HUGE reckoning regardless, but it has to be done to stop the bleeding.

With McCain suspending his campaign, why aren't the 527s hammering the Messiah? On the one hand, he says this is the worst crisis since the Depression, on the other hand, he and his running mate, who make up 2% of the Senate, can't be bothered to actually show up and represent their constituencies unless the President tells them to show up and act like grown-ups. Sigh.

350 West Coast Freedom  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:16:47pm

WTF? Did they just say that the dems had 20% of the money going to ACORN?

Did somebody spike my drink?

351 yesandno  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:17:03pm

Lindsey Graham on Greta just now said one of the deal breakers on the early layout of the bill was the transference of the 20% that was to go to paying down the debt was allocated to ACORN for housing.....did I hear that correctly?

ACORN is the vote fraud activists group that Obama helped as a community organizer and state senator.....


What the heck is going on here?

352 quickjustice  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:18:18pm

re: #342 William

Confession-- decades ago, I worked on Wall Street as a bankruptcy lawyer. For the economy to recover, we must flush the toxic mortgage waste down the toilet. Congress is arguing now about the size and shape of the toilet. It must be large enough to swallow all of the crap in a swift and orderly fashion, with holders taking a significant haircut (I'd suggest 90% off, for starters). If it's too small, the waste will poison the economy for a decade or more.

The other issue is moral hazard, which is making sure those responsible pay for their bad behavior. That's tough when the economy is bleeding out. There's plenty of blame to go around, including in the Congress, which means that going after the bad guys paralyzes efforts to stop the bleeding. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were cesspools of corruption protected by many legislators. They're half the problem, and should be shrunk or abolished.

The point now is priorities. Stopping the bleeding must come first. We can and should assign blame later.

353 Catttt  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:18:41pm

Found a pic of the doc, but I hesitate to link it. He is one of those California type liberal psychobabble people (no offense, California, but you know what I mean). To be fair, though I suspect he would drive me nuts, he appears to do good work - he's part of some sort of "tribe" that helps people die in a nice place. They say it better on the Web site.

354 Catttt  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:21:18pm

re: #351 yesandno

Lindsey Graham on Greta just now said one of the deal breakers on the early layout of the bill was the transference of the 20% that was to go to paying down the debt was allocated to ACORN for housing.....did I hear that correctly?

ACORN is the vote fraud activists group that Obama helped as a community organizer and state senator.....


What the heck is going on here?

And then there's good old fundraiser yard-buyer Rezko. Wonder how he fits in. His housing all fell apart in a few years. I'm too lazy to look for info now, but I bet there is a Rezko skeleton or two in this particular closet.

355 Kitty  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:22:14pm

re: #351 yesandno

I just heard the same thing... what is ACORN doing in this agreement?

356 SFGoth  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:22:37pm

I think we are pretty much done as a free market, capitalist, world-leading country. Sure, the Dems bear a ton of blame, but George Bush essentially has saddled us with so much debt due to reckless spending that he has proven the adage about Commies giving us the rope to hang ourselves with. God what an awful President he's been. He couldn't even avoid equivocating on Islam with all that ROP wretch. We're going to have to face the following: 1) we're done with Iraq and Afghanistan - spending on this is killing us; 2) we're done with troops in Europe - hey, if 63 years after WWII Western Europe can't defend itself, too fucking bad (or at least pay us); 3) no more troops in S.K. - same; 4) no more foreign aid to dictatorships - what does it get us?; 5) no more immigration - we're full, our urban infrastructure is crumbling and all we're doing is importing the world's poverty; and finally -- fucking TERM LIMITS for Congress. You fucking bastards have ruined us with your lifetime fiefdoms and shit. Year after year, regardless of party, the big players are the same players and look where we are. We're on the edge of losing our sovereignty. Fucking pathetic.

357 Joyce  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:23:09pm

Here is the text of Reid’s proposed new ban on oil shale, that he is trying to add as an amendment to the CR or move separately as a “stimulus” package, or we should say an anti-stimulus package if this is included.

Sec 1602 continues ban on oil shale. The language follows:

SEC. 1602. Notwithstanding any other provision of law, including section 152 of division A of H.R. 2638 (110th Congress), the Consolidated Security, Disaster Assistance, and Continuing Appropriations Act, 2009, the terms and conditions contained in section 433 of division F of Public Law 110–161 shall remain in effect for the 19 fiscal year ending September 30, 2009.

It would be an insult to all Americans if Senate Democrats worked to bailout Wall Street while damaging our future prosperity by banning development of vast energy reserves in oil shale.

358 cubiclecommando  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:23:25pm

re: #46 Egfrow

Grrrrr....! I agree that throwing money at a problem doesn't solve it. A pile of cash and good intentions will just get you bigger problems and an empty bank account.

However, with regard to Jerry Lewis and the March of Dimes. Mr. Lewis isn't throwing money at a problem. The MDA distributes over 70% of donations received to research, services and education. The various forms of MD (approx. 40 various conditions including ALS-Lou Gerhig's) are genetic in nature and can't be cured.

As for March of Dimes. That was started to help fight polio. Fortunately, that disease is a virus and has been wiped out with vaccinations.

359 de La Valette  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:23:54pm

Where is Leiberman in all of this?

If it gets ugly in the Senate does he flip? Can we count on our RINOs.

This is why McCain needs to be here. To organize the House Republicans and keep the RINOs on board, if he is successful Reid, Franks, and Dodd cannot force anything.

I wonder if Leiberman would flip the caucus on his Sabbath?

360 Elcid  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:24:24pm

re: #264 zombie

OK, I've been doing a little diversifying (online banking makes things so easy!). I now have spread my assets around for stability:

25% in Weimar Republic Deutschmarks
25% in Zimbabwean dollars
25% in a mafia-owned casino in Cuba
25% in Graf Zeppelin Airship Company stocks.

Now I can relax.

LOL. The one sure (faux) thing is:

25% in a mafia-owned casino in Cuba

We, Ummm, some people I know tried to kill Castro. Think that went down, like Kennedy's NON backing of the rebels at the Bay of Pigs.

361 Dan G.  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:27:02pm

re: #352 quickjustice

Once the bleeding has stopped, so has the sense of urgency to fix things.

362 quickjustice  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:27:07pm

re: #348 favorednation

No disrespect to you, but the article misuses the term "bankruptcy" to mean insolvency. Bankruptcy is the process of liquidating an insolvent person or entity by selling off his/her/its assets, and paying off creditors with the cash raised from liquidation pro rata. Any deficiency (shortfall) remaining is discharged, that is, erased, giving the debtor a fresh start without the debt burden going forward.

We need such a process now, whether it's called "bankruptcy", "reorganization", or something else. Flush the bad debt, take the hit for the shortfall, and get on with our lives.

363 SFGoth  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:27:37pm

I wonder how much money the Treasury (and states) would gain if cannabis (the PC term for marijuana) were legalized such that it were taxed like other sin products and we didn't spend $ fighting it. ABCnews, FWIW, estimates the cash crop value at 35.8 bil as of 2006. It is one of god's creations, bless her heart.

364 Florida Lady  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:29:41pm

When I heard the Dem deal included 20% to ACORN, I thought I was drunk . . . and I wasn't even drinking.

OMG!

365 quickjustice  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:30:23pm

re: #361 Dan G.

I agree, but revenge is a dish best served cold.

366 favorednation  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:30:55pm

well I was just putting it out there as food for thought. this was a pretty good blog.

367 Dan G.  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:31:17pm

What kind of double think allows one to blame the government for this mess, but then expects that government intervention is going to fix it? I'm sorry, but this deal still smells.

Everyone who is pushing this sound like the Underwear Gnomes.
1. If we don't pay.
2. ...
3. Doom and Gloom

Conversely,
1. $700B
2. ...
3. PROFITS!

368 NY Nana  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:31:40pm

re: #309 opnion

Repusive & counter productive. Hey, Barry smokes & is too weak to quit.
Lets go there. Although I miss smoking.

/Hope it is a 4-pack a day habit of his, at the least.

I still miss it also, nearly 45 years after quitting cold turkey.

369 Maximu§  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:32:19pm

re: #324 kevinmumaw

Did you reach through the phone and punch him in the throat?

HAHAHAHAHAHA....I finally got a good laugh today. I needed it.

formercorpsman and NY Redneck
, you two are great. Thanks for the kind words. It sure is tough running a small company these days.

370 favorednation  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:35:19pm

This will be the last one unless someone wants more. The site is still up, I think, if anyone wants to just read it there.
Bankruptcies, The Real Threat Part III
Bankruptcies, The Real Threat
Part III

Fantasy has many elements, but non so damaging as imaginary wealth.

Bankruptcy, the creeping death, fallen angle, the bane of a leveraged monetary system. The wizards of the Central Bank live with the demon every day. A secretive sect, they are the monks of the banking.

The Eccles Building looks pristine, strong, and fortified. A worthy temple to apply their trade. A shrine to the monetary system, the worlds currency. Deceiving in its strength, it is actually very fragile.

The United States uses a monetary system called a Fractional Reserve System. The magical process of creating money is guided by this philosophy. The rules are known by many, but few understand the impact this system has on the world. The Black Death of Bankruptcy understands all too well.

First of all a bank must have assets, whether it be currency, treasury bills, bonds, or whatever holds value. The banks can then lend (this is simplified) up to ten times their assets. So if a bank has one thousand dollars in currency, it can lend up to ten thousand dollars. Basically, a small amount of real money is supporting an exponentially higher level of leveraged (borrowed) money.

It is a truly mystical process, for the question must be asked, how did this new ten thousand dollars come into being. Did the government print more money and this loan represents that? Where did this money come from? It is as if a stork brought in the money like a baby to a young mother.

The answer is actually very magical. The bank created new money by giving the loan out. This means that the amount of money in the world has increased. But you ask, How Can That Be. Isn't there a finite amount, an absolute limit to the amount of money in circulation.

Mere Mortal, how dare you challenge the clerics of the banking system with such pathetic questions that your primitive intellect cannot possible understand.

The answer is magical. New currency is created in this way. The only limit to the amount of money in circulation is controlled by the amount of money a bank must have in assets verses the amount it gives out in loans. The Central Bank determines that ratio of assets to loans. The Central Bank also polices the system to make sure all of the banks comply.

Money creation is also thought to be controlled by short and long term interest rates. As the amount of interest the Central Bank charges on short term loans, (few days) this should make interest on longer term loans (few years) go up as well. As interest rates rise, fewer and fewer can obtain loans. In this way money creation is limited.

Or is it?

The Black Death of Bankruptcy smiles for it knows a secret.

Once upon a time in a land not so far away, banks made loans to people, governments, and people. The banks would hold onto these loans until they were paid off. Banks would scrutinize its borrowers very carefully. This was necessary to try to pick loans that the borrower would pay the bank back. If the borrower didn't pay the bank back the bank would lose all of the loaned out money.

Now money lost in this way is special. Like a child dying, the parents are distraught and the damage to a life is forever destroyed. In this way the loaned out money not recovered by the bank is taken out against its asset reserve. So let lay out how this disease spreads through the child's body.

The bank needs ten thousand in assets to give out a hundred thousand loan. Lets say the bank has one million in assets total. This amount shall let the bank make teen million dollars worth of loans.

If bank lends out a hundred thousand and the borrower defaults, takes the money and runs. Then the bank sustains a loss. The loss is against the banks reserve assets. So the bank goes from having one million in assets to nine hundred thousand in assets. Now the bank can only lend nine million. If the bank has nine million five hundred thousand do

371 Alberta Oil Peon  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:35:45pm

re: #163 NY Nana

Wasn't Trudeau the one responsible for the high cost of gas in Canada, when, as PM, he made a deal with the western Provinces?

"Made a deal"? Only if you consider being mugged as "making a deal."

I second Whiterasta's invocation.

372 lifeofthemind  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:39:35pm

What Obama is counting on is the near total media monopoly by the Democrats will stop the public from learning that Frank and Raines and Obama are behind the problem and tied to Acorn. THe public does not understand what Acorn and Answer are and the ties between them and Obama and Kos and Soros and Marxist operatives going back 50 years or more and as far away as North Korea. The very outrageousness of it is what they are counting on. They intend to brazen it out and drag themselves over the finish line any way they can.

373 SteveC  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:41:15pm

I'm a member of The Adult Congenital Heart Association, a non profit organization dedicated to helping people born with heart defects live as long as productively as possible. The budget is on a shoestring in GOOD times, so I'm worried about what happens now.

Also, we have members receiving Disability payments. I'm worried what might happen there, too.

374 quickjustice  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:41:41pm

re: #370 favorednation

There was a better article about the Federal Reserve Bank and the monetary system in the New Yorker magazine back in the 1980s. I haven't found the link. The only thing "magical" about the banking system is that those using the money it prints must believe that the money is valuable. If the currency is discredited, then you have a genuine meltdown.

Fundamentally, maintaining and preserving credibility of the currency is what this is all about.

375 Dan G.  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:43:40pm

The failure of big concerns is normal if those at the helm are idiots; the rationalization that a company is too big to fail is mindless drivel. Using that rationalization to evidence a catastrophe (i.e. if those that are too big to fail are failing then we're all doomed) is also dumb. The sense of urgency in trying to rush this through in the span of a week after having worked on it what, for a couple of months without letting anyone in on it is shaaaaady.

The current boogymen that I've been introduced to are:
1. Loss of *faith* in the market... If someone is investing based on faith he or she should just as well go to a casino.
2. Credit contraction (I think). This is scary if it was across the board, but I find it hard to believe that investors/lenders would be afraid of investing/lending in a different sector if the opportunity was good.
3. Decrease in value/complete obliteration of pension funds... well that's investing for you, sorry, but when you signed up there was a warning statement (like federally required) that you might lose it all.
4. National security concerns... this is just fear mongering, plain and simple.
5. You don't complain about other socialist stuff, so you should just accept this one too... Oh, go fuck yourself.

I'm still open to a well grounded argument that is more than just scaring me with consequences that haven't been demonstrated to follow from NOT handing $700B to idiots who bought a bunch of junk-debt to BUY THAT JUNK DEBT.

376 yesandno  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:49:33pm

ACORN is running lookout for the people who face foreclosure. Demanding that Congress not only protect Wall Street, but Main Street as well.

But this isn't Main Street. We are Main Street....the people who buy what they can afford, save when we must, etc. They want to make everyone Main Street without anyone having to pay their way to the front of the line.

ACORN associated with any part of any bill would be a non-starter for me.

377 Maui Girl  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:52:06pm

re: #346 William

Our house has literally tripled in value although we haven't done anything except expand our deck a few years ago. All it did for us was raise our property taxes.

378 yesandno  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:52:44pm

Oh....and did anyone mention that the Chinese told their banks today to stop covering America's debt by loaning money to cover this and that?

The outlook is grim no matter how you look at the problems.

379 kansas  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 7:59:05pm

re: #377 Maui Girl

Our house has literally tripled in value although we haven't done anything except expand our deck a few years ago. All it did for us was raise our property taxes.

Now the vaule will go down only your taxes won't.

Pretty clear nobody knows WTF they are doing relative to this, or if they do nobody knows who it is.

380 LGoPs  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 8:08:30pm

re: #189 Sharmuta

I'd just like to add that this is also a good example of how we could improve economics education in this country. When I got to college it seemed to me the credit card companies were predatory with my peers. I never went that route, but I watched a lot of friends and acquaintances get sucked into the seemingly never ending loop of "trading up" to another credit card with a larger line of credit to avoid paying for the credit they'd already racked up. It's got to suck to be these people right about now. I've never been good with credit, so I've avoided it. But it also seems to me that these credit companies made this bed for themselves by targeting people they knew had bad credit in the hopes of being able to bilk them more later. Assholes offering credit to idiots. But perhaps if kids were educated better about this sort of thing, and about economics in general, we'd see less of a problem today.

(Sorry if I mess this up - this is my first post - newbie here)

I'm not smart in economics but I did learn some basic facts from the nuns I had in grammar school that have served me in good stead:
1) There ain't no free lunch
2) You pay a price for everything you do - even if the bill comes late
3) There are no short cuts
4) If it sounds too good to be true, it is

Bottom line - these served me well a couple years back when I was looking for a house in SoCal. Realtor took me to places that I wouldn't want my mother to see - priced at $800K and up. I'm blessed to have a good job but it stuck in my craw to be expected to pay so much for so little and be expected to be happy about it. I didn't understand the economics but I sure understood that if prices kept exploding upwards nobody would be able to buy anything. Told him to take a hike and I'm sure glad I did.

381 Kitty  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 8:12:26pm

re: #380 LGoPs

Those are the laws of thermo-dynamics

1. There is no free lunch
2. You can't win
3 You still can't win

382 Egfrow  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 8:14:18pm

re: #358 cubiclecommando

You're right, I could have used a better analogy than that.

383 Alberta Oil Peon  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 8:14:50pm

Man, a lot of very lengthy posts in here tonight, some of them even on-topic!

My take on it? Clearly the prime cause of this crisis is the Democrat administration changing the rules to force lenders to give mortgages to poor/minorities who would not otherwise qualify. Compounded by greedy bastards of various stripes who used that slackening of the rules to obtain easy money and game the real estate market.

The answer? Because Government had a role in creating the problem, Government has to have a role in fixing it. Work out some sort of a bail-out deal, absent as many of the nasty little Democrat earmarks as possible.

Then get McCain/Palin elected. Then, set up a commission of inquiry to get to the bottom of what went wrong, and who profited thereby. Do the forensic accounting. Name names, send a few to jail, maybe string a few up (observing due process, of course). Impeach any sitting Representatives or Senators that are especially culpable in the affair.

384 Egfrow  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 8:16:37pm

Well at least we know 20% of our $700B Billion will be in good hand with ACORN.

385 Joan  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 8:18:06pm

re: #352 quickjustice

Another excellent essay. Triage priorities--stop the bleeding. I get that.

386 Ledger1  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 8:27:35pm

re: #230 sattv4u2

The even worse news is that as banks consolidate the available amount of credit decreases.

In theory should it should not - but it does - due to less competition among a smaller pool of lenders.

For example one big lender is obviously less competitive than say 50 smaller lenders. That means less loans and a shrinkage of liquidity.

The automobile industry consolidated in the 1970s and as a whole the big 3 (Ford, Chrysler, and GM) made lower quality autos.

When the Asians automakers entered the market the number of competitors increased which forced the Big 3 Auto makers to make better cars (and make them more efficiently). This helped the consumer.

In general, reducing competition among banks hurts the economy!

On the same subject, the largest financial entity in the world, the US Federal Government, has the worst and least transparent set of books.

If they were to be audited as most public companies are they would make Enron look like a piker.

The main problem with poor handling of money at Federal level is the lack of Congressmen's (and Congresswomen) financial ability to Balance a Check Book

Barny Frank probably has little economic and/or accounting knowledge so he empties the cookie jar and screws the pooch.

I would suggest that every congressman or congresswoman be subject to pass some sort of accounting or finance test (such as such as Economics 301, Finance 410, Accounting 410, GMAT and CAT tests).

Those congress persons on the Banking and Finance committees probably should have passed the CPA and or the CMA examination(s).

Without a solid understanding of the “fraction reserve” banking system and mid-level accounting knowledge congressmen and congresswomen should not be near the Purse Strings of the Federal Government (the Tax Payer's money).

When they screw-up financially they should go to jail!

387 Maui Girl  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 8:29:05pm

So typical of the Democrats to want any portion of the profits the government will deem from this buyout to go towards useless organizations like ACORN or to put it into funds to help more unqualified people to get low-cost loans. And what's up with Reid's lame attempt at extending the ban on oil shale exploration. Did he really think it was going to get past anyone? I think any profits need to go back to the taxpayer via let's say, Social Security? Medicare? but making sure that illegals don't benefit in any way, shape or form. Too harsh?

388 Joan  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 8:29:15pm

re: #19 LC Hoghead

It didnt take long for the scumbag democrats to find a scapegoat. Barney Frank says a deal was "imminent" until McCain showed up and "scuttled" the talks. Frank is one of the major reasons this has happened by blocking reforms

Honestly, I am now grateful that McCain showed up, suspended campaign and short-circuited the Democrat narrative. They are so good at blaming others and rewriting history, it was not even 30 minutes into this crisis when the lie machine began groaning out the twisted reality: "Republican deregulation caused this!" "Republican greed, Republican lobbyists, Republican bankers and brokers on Wall Street," all so bold and brazen and all half-truths at best. I loathe Barney and Dodd and the smug liberal morons who thought they could buy votes among the poor by forcing banks to make bad home loans, they are tyrants with their FNMA and Freddie. I loathe them for their dirty hands, their cowardly and hypocritical finger pointing, their attempt to make McCain the scapegoat. I loath their stinking Democrat social engineering and corruption and greed and butt ugly ignorance and arrogance.

Oh. Ahab ain't got nothin' on me....

389 fmfnavydoc  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 8:34:49pm

Charles,

This is on Michelle's main page...UFB!

[Link: tiny.cc...]

Money to ACORN...drug test all of Congress for this stunt...

390 cliffster  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 8:41:18pm

re: #19 LC Hoghead

It didnt take long for the scumbag democrats to find a scapegoat. Barney Frank says a deal was "imminent" until McCain showed up and "scuttled" the talks. Frank is one of the major reasons this has happened by blocking reforms

These are the same people that acted like a bunch of jackasses when Bush took office, stabbed him in the back when he tried to reach across the aisle, and then said, "He is divisive"

391 Joan  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 8:46:18pm

re: #285 nyc redneck

he does seem lazy. kind of like the jerk who, on moving day, holds back and lets everyone else do the heavy lifting.

he's doing that now, chewing on a waffle some where, having told everyone, that if they 'need' him they can call.

Yes. Good observations. He is also the type who is proud about his ability to B.S. anyone on any subject, bluff his way through and sound goooood. But my real grudge against him is that under all the nice, he's a stiff. He is a stiff who don't eat ice cream, and his kids probably don't get to eat it either.

I usually like smokers, which sounds weird--but some of the nicest people smoke obsessively, it keeps them sweet and tolerant I guess.

In Barack Obama's case: he's a stiff.

392 winemaker  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 9:05:28pm

Folks, Bummer Dietz here.

If no bailout announced by noon tomorrow, there really truly may be a trading halt on the NYSE. TGIF, the weekend will be the last chance. If no deal by Sunday night (Europe opening) or Monday am, then...welcome October 1987.

Prudent members of the B23 might wanna quietly prepare on market open tomorrow.

Just my 2 cents.

-Bummer

393 William  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 9:09:32pm

re: #352 quickjustice

Confession-- decades ago, I worked on Wall Street as a bankruptcy lawyer. For the economy to recover, we must flush the toxic mortgage waste down the toilet.

The problem, is the toxic waste is measured with numbers starting with T.

394 William  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 9:11:58pm

WaMu has failed -- couldn't make it to the weekend:

[Link: finance.yahoo.com...]

395 William  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 9:16:11pm

re: #377 Maui Girl

Our house has literally tripled in value although we haven't done anything except expand our deck a few years ago. All it did for us was raise our property taxes.

Now imagine your neighbor who bought last year, crushed by 3X your mortgage payment, yet incomes have not increased 3X.

396 Dan G.  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 9:26:08pm

re: #383 Alberta Oil Peon

You can't put it all on the Dem's. Following 9/11 many on both sides of the aisle requested that the Fed keep rates low to stimulate the economy. Low rates = cheap loans and every "get-rich-quick" asshole had a book describing how you could bet the farm on real-estate; shit they even made TV shows out of it ("Flip This House" or something like that). People took on debt that they couldn't afford because they thought that they'd be able to just sell the house for more or rent it. The banks extended the credit and originated more and more loans; I hypothesize that they were actually making most of their money with origination fees since the interest rates were so low, thus incentivising the recklessness on their end. Don't get me wrong, you are partially correct in your statement, just not fully.

397 powerpro  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 9:53:06pm

Here’s the question of the night.

Are the Democrats invested in defeating McCain to the point that they’d allow a full fledged crash of the market so they could blame it on him or will they draw the line at simply whinging that he was making things tough on the negotiations?

If he presented a viable alternative to this boondoggle, would they take it or would they reject it and ruin the economy?

How far will they go?

398 axegrinder  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 10:09:48pm

They are almost all bitter-enders. Republicans will have to mostly do what the democrats want to get something passed. Is this what Barney Frank and Co. planned? Most dems are all about socialism and here it is; wrapped up in golden ribbons. What a coup this all is for liberals. People that paid attention knew something like this could happen but not to the extent that it has. Lord God in heaven. I'm shocked and appalled and see no other recourse then to just let it happen and hope changes to foster creativity and risk can be reinstated when things are a little less dicey. It truly makes me nauseous when I think about it too hard.

399 Gretchen  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 11:28:31pm

Ann Coulter had the line of the evening on H&C, she suggested that if McCain doesn't make the debates Obama can debate Biden.

400 mjszanto  Thu, Sep 25, 2008 11:45:26pm

Given the fact that US Treasuries are practically yielding zero percent and there is massive demand as global money seeks the safest investment, there could not be a better time for the US Government to issue a huge amount of debt. If the US Government were a corporation that suddenly found massive demand for its debt at a ridiculously low interest rate there wouldn't even be a debate about issuing debt. That's why I believe the Paulson's bailout plan is a no brainer. Plus, buying the securities could turn out profitable, especially with a equity protection clause, where the government takes more equity later if the securities end up worth less than what it paid for down the road.

401 Kenneth  Fri, Sep 26, 2008 11:09:05am

re: #363 SFGoth

You keep smoking that grass. It explains your screwed up thinking.

402 conservativegirl  Fri, Sep 26, 2008 3:47:53pm

Do you people realize that this big bailout deal today includes millions of dollars for Barack Obama's ACORN! Do you also know that Henry Paulson and Chris Dodd and Chuck Schumer are all best friends! This is an outrage, America is screwed again!


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