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IAEA Springs Into Action, Announces Iran Has Enough Nuclear Fuel for a Bomb

World | Thu, Nov 20, 2008 at 8:27:10 am PST

But don’t worry, because they’re “not sure” Iran actually knows how to build a weapon: Iran Said to Have Nuclear Fuel for One Weapon.

Iran has now produced roughly enough nuclear material to make, with added purification, a single atom bomb, according to nuclear experts analyzing the latest report from global atomic inspectors.

The figures detailing Iran’s progress were contained in a routine update on Wednesday from the International Atomic Energy Agency, which has been conducting inspections of the country’s main nuclear plant at Natanz. The report concluded that as of early this month, Iran had made 630 kilograms, or about 1,390 pounds, of low-enriched uranium.

Several experts said that was enough for a bomb, but they cautioned that the milestone was mostly symbolic, because Iran would have to take additional steps. Not only would it have to breach its international agreements and kick out the inspectors, but it would also have to further purify the fuel and put it into a warhead design — a technical advance that Western experts are unsure Iran has yet achieved.

“They clearly have enough material for a bomb,” said Richard L. Garwin, a top nuclear physicist who helped invent the hydrogen bomb and has advised Washington for decades. “They know how to do the enrichment. Whether they know how to design a bomb, well, that’s another matter.”

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1 winston06  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:27:59am

Will Pres. Bush authorize the bombing of Iran now?

2 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:28:37am
3 tfc3rid  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:29:53am

You're doing a heckuva job, Mo...

4 Honorary Yooper  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:30:04am

Oh goody. Now when the IAEA springs into action again, they'll tell us that Iran already has the bomb that was supposed to take years to make.

5 Honorary Yooper  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:31:04am
“They clearly have enough material for a bomb,” said Richard L. Garwin, a top nuclear physicist who helped invent the hydrogen bomb and has advised Washington for decades. “They know how to do the enrichment. Whether they know how to design a bomb, well, that’s another matter.”

They don't need to know how themselves in this day and age. All they need to do is find the lowest bidder.

6 tfc3rid  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:31:08am

re: #4 Honorary Yooper

Oh goody. Now when the IAEA springs into action again, they'll tell us that Iran already has the bomb that was supposed to take years to make.

Nah, they will spring into action and tell everyone they know how to best clean up the radiation...

7 MrGrrrr  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:31:21am
Iran would have to take additional steps. Not only would it have to breach its international agreements and kick out the inspectors

Why would they have to kick out the inspectors? It seems Iran can get along just fine with the inspectors there.

8 Cato the Elder  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:31:51am

When will people understand that Iran only plays with uranium because it doesn't have the technology to refine its own oil for fuel?

It's the West's fault.

9 MJBrutus  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:31:53am

My guess is that some time in the next 4 years Iran will close the Straits of Hormuz to all shipping for a short period of time. Their goals will be blackmail and to test the reaction of the West.

10 midwestgak  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:31:55am

And Obama isn't even pres. yet.

11 noshariaincanada  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:32:03am

But, But, they'd Never Use it for a Bomb!
/so sez moh

12 Sharmuta  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:32:13am

Isn't the IAEA's job to stop this? Or is it just a symbolic, token agency?

13 taxfreekiller[deleted]  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:32:16am
14 rabidsquirrel  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:32:26am
“They know how to do the enrichment. Whether they know how to design a bomb, well, that’s another matter.”

Well, I feel better now. It's not like there's anyone out there who knows how to design an atomic bomb and would be willing to sell the design...right?

Say, what's A. Q. Khan up to these days?

15 Nylecoj  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:32:33am

Well that's all right then, after all breaching an international agreement is a huge step no rogue state would consider.
Sheesh!

16 Honorary Yooper  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:32:50am

re: #12 Sharmuta

Isn't the IAEA's job to stop this? Or is it just a symbolic, token agency?

It's a symbolic, token agency, as we saw with Iraq and Pakistan.

17 LDA  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:32:54am

If it's Uranium, then they can easily make a Little-Boy [viz. Hiroshima] style weapon. Anyone can do that ... the technology is simple. They didn't even have to test that type of weapon at Los Alamos ... it's only a Plutonium bomb that's the trick. When they dropped the first bomb that's why they used Little-Boy. Everyone knew it would work.

18 Bumr50  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:33:02am

Is there where I'm supposed to say "uh-oh"?

Uh-oh.

In other news...

California Democrat Henry Waxman has won the chairmanship of the Energy and Commerce Committee, knocking off long-time chairman John Dingell in a secret ballot of the Democratic Caucus.

And the hits just keep on comin!

19 JammieWearingFool  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:33:21am

Good to know Mr. Potato Head is on the job.

The Israelis need to take care of business.

Now.

20 rawmuse  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:33:21am

re: #12 Sharmuta

Isn't the IAEA's job to stop this? Or is it just a symbolic, token agency?

Yes and yes.

21 Kragar (proud to be kafir)  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:33:58am

When the first city gets wiped off the map by Iran, the IAEA should immeadiately be lined up and shot

22 Ojoe  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:34:01am

WHAT is the civilized world waiting for?

100,000 dead?

"you cannot avoid war, you can only put it off to the advantage of your opponent."

— Machiavelli

23 thedopefishlives  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:34:14am

re: #12 Sharmuta

Isn't the IAEA's job to stop this? Or is it just a symbolic, token agency?

You don't need the "or" in between there, Shar. I think it's pretty evident to all of us that both statements are true.

24 Honorary Yooper  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:34:22am

re: #18 Bumr50

Is there where I'm supposed to say "uh-oh"?

Uh-oh.

In other news...

California Democrat Henry Waxman has won the chairmanship of the Energy and Commerce Committee, knocking off long-time chairman John Dingell in a secret ballot of the Democratic Caucus.

And the hits just keep on comin!

So is Waxman going to look for doping in the oil companies as he did in major league baseball?

25 rawmuse  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:34:32am

re: #18 Bumr50

Is there where I'm supposed to say "uh-oh"?

Uh-oh.

In other news...

California Democrat Henry Waxman has won the chairmanship of the Energy and Commerce Committee, knocking off long-time chairman John Dingell in a secret ballot of the Democratic Caucus.

And the hits just keep on comin!

Ah, we can all look forward to freezing in the dark.
I predict it will even be patriotic to do so.

26 Sharmuta  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:34:44am

I smell negotiations without preconditions!

27 tfc3rid  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:35:19am

re: #25 rawmuse

Ah, we can all look forward to freezing in the dark.
I predict it will even be patriotic to do so.

Energy rationing...

28 Who Watches the Watchmen?  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:35:27am

Is this the part where Israel springs into action?

29 Honorary Yooper  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:35:36am

re: #26 Sharmuta

I smell negotiations without preconditions!

That's what our Fearless Leader-Elect promised to do.

30 tfc3rid  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:35:44am

re: #26 Sharmuta

I smell negotiations without preconditions!

No question about it... Kneel before Ahmadinejhad...

31 Pullus Iulius  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:35:44am

Normally I'd say "Barn door, let me introduce you to the back end of the horse." But in this case, the UN isn't even interested in closing the door. They just want to talk about the nice horsey.

32 Honorary Yooper  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:35:59am

re: #28 Who Watches the Watchmen?

Is this the part where Israel springs into action?

One should hope, but I'm all out of hopium at the moment.

33 midwestgak  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:36:02am

re: #24 Honorary Yooper

So is Waxman going to look for doping in the oil companies as he did in major league baseball?

Waxman reminds me of the original movie Phantom of the Opera. Those nares of his are gross, imho.

34 calvin coolidge  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:36:04am

Meanwhile, back at the Waffle House, (opps, I mean) White House:
"but they're a peaceful country and they're small too!"

35 taxfreekiller[deleted]  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:36:21am
36 Spiny Norman  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:36:36am

re: #18 Bumr50

Is there where I'm supposed to say "uh-oh"?

Uh-oh.

In other news...

California Democrat Henry Waxman has won the chairmanship of the Energy and Commerce Committee, knocking off long-time chairman John Dingell in a secret ballot of the Democratic Caucus.

And the hits just keep on comin!

Let me be the first to say, I for one welcome our new carbon tax overlords.

37 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:37:00am
38 midwestgak  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:37:26am

re: #32 Honorary Yooper

One should hope, but I'm all out of hopium at the moment.

There will be a urine test for you first thing in the morning Honorary. :)

39 Honorary Yooper  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:37:30am

re: #36 Spiny Norman

Let me be the first to say, I for one welcome our new carbon tax overlords.

You know, for as loopy as Dingell is (I usually call him Dingellberry), at least he's not as nuts as Waxman.

40 joncelli  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:37:35am

re: #18 Bumr50

Great. He'll spend all his time investigating Republicans for one thing or another too. Now we just need Dick Durbin to take over Defense appropriations and the disaster will be complete.

41 carl b  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:37:48am

Let us hope for a "work accident" that their terrorist compatriots are so adept at causing.

42 zelnaga  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:37:51am

According to wikipedia,re: #26 Sharmuta

I smell negotiations without preconditions!

What about negotiations with negotiable preconditions? Actually, wait... unless the negotiations for the preconditions had preconditions, themselves, that'd be the same thing as negotiations without preconditions.

43 Honorary Yooper  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:37:55am

re: #38 midwestgak

There will be a urine test for you first thing in the morning Honorary. :)

Hey, I stole that term fair and square from John Kass.

44 notutopia  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:37:56am

re: #22 Ojoe

Good morning Ojoe. I need to tell you how much I enjoy your webcam sharing.
It does give me a nature break with different terrain scenery every morning if just for the few minutes I linger to view! It's like a "mindspa" for me.
Thank you, and I hope your day is a peaceful one.

45 Kragar (proud to be kafir)  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:37:58am

re: #34 calvin coolidge

Meanwhile, back at the Waffle House, (opps, I mean) White House:
"but they're a peaceful country and they're small too!"

Yup. Because we all know a small group of people with minimal training and shitty equipment, like box cutters and fake bombs, could never pose a real threat to anyone in the US. Why shouldn't we let them get nukes?

46 pat  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:38:28am

These guys sure have been a helpp so far.

47 lawhawk  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:38:58am

Low enriched uranium is sufficient for a civilian project, but it would take additional processing to get weapons' grade uranium.

All that means is letting the uranium run through the centrifuge cascades longer, and since it appears that the Iranians have solved the tech problems with the P2 cascades, then it is a matter of time before they can have sufficient weapons grade uranium for a warhead.

The next step would then be for them to fashion a warhead. Mate it with their existing missile tech, and the Iranians would be able to strike as far away as Europe, but they could conceivably hit anywhere in the Middle East, starting with Israel, but including Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Egypt, or any other Sunni dominated country (the Iranians might dislike the US and Israel as the Greater and Lesser Satans, don't think for a moment that the Sunni-Shia schism isn't far from the minds of the mad mullahs).

48 Nevergiveup  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:39:00am

UN official: Israel blocks aid shipment to Gaza (AP)

Well of course first things first?

49 Fat Jolly Penguin  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:39:18am

re: #2 buzzsawmonkey

Remind me again why we fund anything at all the UN does, and why we permit them to remain here.

Just repeating that.

50 capitalist piglet  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:39:57am

re: #33 midwestgak

Waxman reminds me of the original movie Phantom of the Opera. Those nares of his are gross, imho.

I always seem him in a lab coat, standing around a hospital bed with a bunch of other people whose noses look like that too, while they talk about how ugly the pretty blonde patient is.

51 yochanan  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:40:28am

re: #1 winston06

Will Pres. Bush authorize the bombing of Iran now?

i wish but i doubt it

52 harrylook  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:40:37am
“They know how to do the enrichment. Whether they know how to design a bomb, well, that’s another matter.”

Isn't that information freely available on the internet? Enriching the uranium is the hard part....

53 Sharmuta  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:40:54am

re: #42 zelnaga

What about negotiations with negotiable preconditions? Actually, wait... unless the negotiations for the preconditions had preconditions, themselves, that'd be the same thing as negotiations without preconditions.

Whoa! All that's above my pay grade.

54 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:41:39am
55 eschew_obfuscation  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:41:57am

re: #22 Ojoe

WHAT is the civilized world waiting for?

100,000 dead?

"you cannot avoid war, you can only put it off to the advantage of your opponent."

— Machiavelli


I'm gonna go out on a limb here.....Machiavelli wasn't a moonbat, was he.

56 capitalist piglet  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:42:27am

re: #54 buzzsawmonkey

Why can't I just finish my felafel?

Because Bill O'Reilly is using it in the shower?

57 Iron Fist  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:42:41am

Hey, with a little luck the testing that Biden was talking about can be a nuclear war. Wouldn't that be neat? The only question is which side would Obama support? And which side would he demand meet a lot of preconditions before he talks to them?

58 Phil Flavin  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:43:07am

I'd like to see W have a press conference where he lays out the facts to the American public, then tells Isreal that it should show restraint and diplomacy, followed by a sly wink and a nod!

59 Silhouette  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:43:19am

Not to downplay the Very. Real. Threat. of a nuclear Iran, but this sentence

roughly enough nuclear material to make, with added purification,

is so vague.

Either they have enough material or they don't.

If we are counting material that isn't enriched enough, one could just as easily say that Nigeria "has enough material to make a bomb." Except that material is in the ground and at the natural ratio of 99% of 238.

The report concluded that as of early this month, Iran had made 630 kilograms, or about 1,390 pounds, of low-enriched uranium.

Low-enriched uranium could be at 2-5% 235. Who knows what percentage they have?

They need 90% enriched for the uranium to go boom.

60 Hard Right  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:43:47am

re: #18 Bumr50

Is there where I'm supposed to say "uh-oh"?

Uh-oh.

In other news...

California Democrat Henry Waxman has won the chairmanship of the Energy and Commerce Committee, knocking off long-time chairman John Dingell in a secret ballot of the Democratic Caucus.

And the hits just keep on comin!

Nutty and nuttier. Waxman. Good lord.

61 Ward Cleaver  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:43:56am

re: #3 tfc3rid

You're doing a heckuva job, Mo...

(Ahmadinejad pats Mo on the head)

62 MandyManners  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:44:05am
63 Iron Fist  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:44:17am

re: #55 eschew_obfuscation

It is better to be feared than to be loved. Obambi is too concerned that the French may think ill of us if we defend out interests too aggressively.

64 wiffersnapper  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:44:18am

Holy powdered milk, Batman!

65 notutopia  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:44:35am

The IAEA is a bad joke. It only took them two years AFTER the fact that Israel took out Syria's atom building site, to finally decide that Syria needs to be
"transparent". AND now Israel and the US are blamed for "interfering" in their ability to make progress on confirming whether it WAS a concern?
SLOTHS move faster than the IAEA.

66 Hard Right  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:44:37am

re: #56 capitalist piglet

Because Bill O'Reilly is using it in the shower?

Kinky.

67 fish  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:44:38am

Maybe Obama should go talk to them right away. I mean if they don't know how to build the bomb yet he could probably trade the bomb building info for a promise not to use it unless they REALY had to.

/ (you knew that already though I hope)

68 Silhouette  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:44:44am

re: #52 harrylook

Isn't that information freely available on the internet? Enriching the uranium is the hard part....

I imagine it is like heart surgery or cliff diving. The instructions may be on the net, but that isn't the same thing as having someone who can do it.

69 Ward Cleaver  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:44:54am

re: #60 Hard Right

Nutty and nuttier. Waxman. Good lord.

Get ready for balsa wood cars, powered by a hug and a smile.

70 yochanan  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:45:03am

re: #30 tfc3rid

after that the only ? is will he spit or swallow.
getting very pessimistic.

bibi to power in Israel

71 Killgore Trout  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:45:15am

re: #47 lawhawk

That also reminds me why it was important to invade Iraq and remove Saddam. He would most likely be a high on Iran's target list and he'd be working feverishly on deterrents.

72 lawhawk  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:45:31am

re: #59 Silhouette

That's what I noted above. They've proven their enrichment process works - all it takes now is time to purify the uranium to weapons grade. That could be several additional months depending on how many cascades are in use and whether they're using the P2/IR-2 cascades.

73 rabidsquirrel  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:45:41am

re: #47 lawhawk

I really don't see the Iranians striking Iraq and killing millions of their Shia brethren.

74 tfc3rid  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:45:48am

re: #63 Iron Fist

It is better to be feared than to be loved. Obambi is too concerned that the French may think ill of us if we defend out interests too aggressively.

Especially since the World has loved us since we became enlightened and elected The Zero...

75 turn  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:45:57am

re: #47 lawhawk

"Destroying the infrastructure might set back the project by months or years, but destroying those with the know-how could permanently eliminate the threat."

Were you implying targeted assignation LH? I like the idea, a good job for Mossad. Much more effective than trying to find and bomb hidden nuke factories, assuming you can find the scientists.

76 Hard Right  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:46:03am

re: #69 Ward Cleaver

Get ready for balsa wood cars, powered by a hug and a smile.

Hah. Let's see the autobody repairmen get those dents out.

77 Sharmuta  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:46:07am

re: #57 Iron Fist

Hey, with a little luck the testing that Biden was talking about can be a nuclear war. Wouldn't that be neat? The only question is which side would Obama support? And which side would he demand meet a lot of preconditions before he talks to them?

No, I say, NO pre-conditions! We will talk to anyone. Yes- anyone! No creditability? No problem.

/You know- kind of like a desperate used car salesman.

78 Right mind left  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:46:14am

re: #67 fish

Maybe Obama should go talk to them right away. I mean if they don't know how to build the bomb yet he could probably trade the bomb building info for a promise not to use it unless they REALY had to.

/ (you knew that already though I hope)

No, send Bill Ayers. Maybe we will have a few Darwin Awards to present!

79 LDA  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:46:22am

re: #52 harrylook

re: #52 harrylook

Isn't that information freely available on the internet? Enriching the uranium is the hard part....

Yes ... a uranium bomb is a no-brainer if all you want to do is build one and set it off and are happy with a yield of Hiroshima dimensions (I would). If you want to place it onto a missile as a warhead then that's another matter ... only you don't have to do it that way. You could drive it in a truck or float it on a boat.

A plutonium bomb needs to be imploded and is a tough task. But that doesn't seem to be the direction they are going in.

80 Ward Cleaver  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:46:24am

re: #25 rawmuse

Ah, we can all look forward to freezing in the dark.
I predict it will even be patriotic to do so.

We can share Jimmy Carter's sweater.

81 notutopia  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:46:53am

re: #69 Ward Cleaver

Flintstone power!
: )

82 Ward Cleaver  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:47:00am

re: #76 Hard Right

Hah. Let's see the autobody repairmen get those dents out.

Wood filler, and lots of it.

83 lawhawk  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:47:38am

re: #71 Killgore Trout

Indeed, the Iranians have a score to settle with the Iraqis for the Iran-Iraq war, and incidentally the Iranians probably have much reason to give thanks to the Israelis for the Osirak raid since the weapons program would have likely targeted Iran before Israel seeing how the Iraqis couldn't quite break through the Iranian lines during the war and it was a stalemate for much of the time.

84 Shug  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:47:45am

I'm praying for the Guinness Book of World Records Largest Work Accident

85 unclassifiable  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:47:57am

Whew.

That really takes the pressure off of the IAEA. Now it's everyone else's problem.

You know, it might as well been IKEA monitoring the Iranian Nuclear program.

Then all of that shit would have fallen apart the first time they moved it.

86 Hard Right  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:48:16am

re: #77 Sharmuta

No, I say, NO pre-conditions! We will talk to anyone. Yes- anyone! No creditability? No problem.

/You know- kind of like a desperate used car salesman.

Yes, we will roll over and play dead for you. So come on down to Uncle Sam's Ankle Grabbing Surrenderathon now!

87 harrylook  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:48:26am

re: #79 LDA

re: #52 harrylook


Yes ... a uranium bomb is a no-brainer if all you want to do is build one and set it off and are happy with a yield of Hiroshima dimensions (I would). If you want to place it onto a missile as a warhead then that's another matter ... only you don't have to do it that way. You could drive it in a truck or float it on a boat.

A plutonium bomb needs to be imploded and is a tough task. But that doesn't seem to be the direction they are going in.

Truck bomb seems a likely way for Iran to hit Israel. Easy way around Israel's recently-upgraded missile defense....

88 tfc3rid  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:48:27am

re: #83 lawhawk

Indeed, the Iranians have a score to settle with the Iraqis for the Iran-Iraq war, and incidentally the Iranians probably have much reason to give thanks to the Israelis for the Osirak raid since the weapons program would have likely targeted Iran before Israel seeing how the Iraqis couldn't quite break through the Iranian lines during the war and it was a stalemate for much of the time.

in addition, Iraq is where a large number of the Great Satan's military force is located as well...

89 aggieann  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:48:40am

re: #35 taxfreekiller

Of some note:

The rental car, the three ones of China, rear gate of Lost Alamos lab,
the gate crashed, the three arrested, all ones of China from L.A., with
permits to be no more than three miles from the China building in L.A.,
Clinton, Richardson, in charge,,,

The ones of China have all the plans of the most advanced nuke info
via Clinton and the missing CD's and lap tops gone from Lost Alamos lab.

its a done deal, all's you got to do now is watch for the bright flash

In once had the opportunity to chat with a former high-level spy who headed major operations in Western Europe and Latin America, and I asked him what kept him up at night. Without hesitation, he said, "The Chinese."

90 Hard Right  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:48:50am

re: #82 Ward Cleaver

Wood filler, and lots of it.

Not if it isn't biodegradable.

91 tfc3rid  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:49:00am

re: #86 Hard Right

Yes, we will roll over and play dead for you. So come on down to Uncle Sam's Ankle Grabbing Surrenderathon now!

but at least the world loves us now...

92 lawhawk  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:49:14am

re: #73 rabidsquirrel

Martyrs for the cause. Besides, the Iranians could strike at the Kurdish north or the central region around Baghdad and hit mostly Sunni areas - Ba'athist strongholds, minimizing the casualties among the Shi'ites.

93 Shug  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:49:17am

re: #4 Honorary Yooper

Oh goody. Now when the IAEA springs into action again, they'll tell us that Iran already has the bomb that was supposed to take years to make.

They'll tell you that it's inbound on the tip of a rocket, and they are working as fast as they can to draft a letter blaming Israel

94 zelnaga  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:49:47am

wikipedia.org's discussion of Little Boy is interesting:

[Link: en.wikipedia.org...]

Basically, Little Boy was never tested because the uranium it used was really scarce and because it was such a simple design (well, for PhD physicists, I guess) that it was expected to work right out-of-the-box. The easier to obtain plutonium, however, was a lot harder to work with, hence the Trinity test.

I find it strange that Iran would have an easier time getting uranium than they would plutonium given that it was exactly the opposite for American scientists.

Never-the-less, I suppose some comfort can be derived from the fact that designs like Little Boy's have, as per wikipedia.org, a rather high risk of accidental detonation.

95 victor_yugo  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:49:49am
Whether they know how to design a bomb, well, that’s another matter.

They got the parts from somewhere, to build the centrifuges. Who says they can't do the same for a bomb? For that matter, who says they haven't already? The impotent IAEA sure as $#*#& wouldn't know.

96 Hard Right  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:50:09am

re: #91 tfc3rid

but at least the world loves us now...

And look what it took....I'd rather be hated.

97 turn  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:50:17am

re: #84 Shug

I'm praying for the Guinness Book of World Records Largest Work Accident


Next best thing, a big dud. Ha, they would probably photoshop in the mushroom cloud.

98 jaunte  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:50:17am

The Iranians make a lot of noise about Israel, but the Saudis (and by extension the world's energy supply) are their real targets.

99 eschew_obfuscation  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:50:18am

re: #63 Iron Fist

It is better to be feared than to be loved. Obambi is too concerned that the French may think ill of us if we defend out interests too aggressively.

The left has been yapping incessantly about how America will get it's respect back vis a vis the rest of the world now that The One is president.

I'm one who thinks we're about to lose that respect.....and go back to being viewed as a paper tiger.

100 MJBrutus  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:50:22am

re: #47 lawhawk

Their new solid fuel rockets currently have the range to hit Rome the last I heard.

101 Ojoe  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:50:23am

re: #55 eschew_obfuscation

Machiavelli was a realist, and he wanted the greatest good for the greatest number. He has an undeserved bad reputation IMHO. Much of his advice is very valid today.

re: #44 notutopia

Thank you, glad you like the webcams.

102 tfc3rid  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:50:44am

re: #96 Hard Right

And look what it took....I'd rather be hated.

So would I...

103 taxfreekiller[deleted]  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:50:47am
104 Iron Fist  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:50:49am

re: #77 Sharmuta

Yeah, but I bet Obambi will have a list longer than his..um, arm of preconditions Israel must meet before he'll talk to them. Things like letting nice terrorists out of jail, ethnically cleansing the West Bank of all Jews, or maybe ripping out the Western Wall to put up a minaret.

Little things.

105 Shug  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:50:59am

re: #10 midwestgak

And Obama isn't even pres. yet.

just wait, the Secretary of the New Department of Peace will take care of all of this

106 victor_yugo  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:51:00am

re: #94 zelnaga

Fat Man and Little Boy, a nuclear family!

107 Ojoe  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:51:57am

re: #100 MJBrutus

Nightmare. Crusader target.

108 MJBrutus  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:52:04am

re: #106 victor_yugo

Fat Man and Little Boy, a nuclear family!

Or a NAMBLA meeting :-)

109 midwestgak  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:52:12am

re: #50 capitalist piglet

I always seem him in a lab coat, standing around a hospital bed with a bunch of other people whose noses look like that too, while they talk about how ugly the pretty blonde patient is.

Twilight Zone classic

110 DisturbedEma  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:52:12am

re: #29 Honorary Yooper

That's what our Fearless feckless Leader-Elect promised to do.

Fixed it. . .

111 Honorary Yooper  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:52:47am

re: #108 MJBrutus

Or a NAMBLA meeting :-)

North American Marlan Brando Look-Alikes?

112 Phil Flavin  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:53:11am

re: #106 victor_yugo

Fat Man and Little Boy, a nuclear family!

I am more worried about the little man in Iran and the fat mouth in Venezuela!

113 redstateredneck  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:53:32am

re: #99 eschew_obfuscation

The left has been yapping incessantly about how America will get it's respect back vis a vis the rest of the world now that The One is president.

I'm one who thinks we're about to lose that respect.....and go back to being viewed as a paper tiger.

Yeah, I much prefer the respect that is motivated by fear.

114 turn  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:53:40am

re: #94 zelnaga


I don't think plutonium is easier to obtain, I think it needs to be produced in a nuclear reactor. I could be wrong.

bbl

115 capitalist piglet  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:53:40am

re: #66 Hard Right

Kinky.

I know. I can already hear the backbeat.

116 Silhouette  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:53:56am

re: #72 lawhawk

Yep.

People need to know:
Natural = less than 1% U235
LEU = 2-6% U235
Weapons grade = 90% U235

And the enrichment isn't fast. All we know from this article is that their percentage is between 2% and 89%. Big range.

And while we're at it, for those that don't know:
Depleted uranium = stuff left over after you've removed the 235 to enrich other uranium. In other words, even less 235 than naturally occuring uranium in the rocks. For some reason, people think of it as depleted fuel: stuff that is still glowing.

117 Ben Hur  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:54:01am

It is no coincidence that the IAEA is releasing this information and the information on Syria while the US is in a transitional period.

118 LDA  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:54:03am

re: #87 harrylook

I agree. People these days are so used to the technology they imagine is required that they don't realize just how easy it would be if you have enough weapons grade uranium. Plutonium bombs and Hydrogen bombs ... now those are technological masterpieces. Little-Boy Hiroshima bombs are little more than a high school science project if you have the right materials. Getting the right materials is the trick ... and Iran has been working at that for a while. They may not be quite there yet ... but getting close I would imagine.

119 VegasRick  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:55:29am

re: #117 Ben Hur

It is no coincidence that the IAEA is releasing this information and the information on Syria while the US is in a transitional period.

Before Obambi is in charge, I would guess.

120 nyc redneck  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:55:44am

is europe worried, at all.
or are they mostly concerned w/ their 4 day work wk and 6 wk. vacations?

121 FlakMusic  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:55:47am

re: #12 Sharmuta

Isn't the IAEA's job to stop this? Or is it just a symbolic, token agency?

Good question...and the IAEA probably doesn't have an answer. The Israelis keep blowing up these sorts of facilities long before the IAEA screws up the courage to send a harshly worded letter.

122 Ojoe  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:56:05am

re: #114 turn

Only minute amounts of plutonium are found in nature, mostly it is made in a rector.

123 turn  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:56:14am

re: #117 Ben Hur

It is no coincidence that the IAEA is releasing this information and the information on Syria while the US is in a transitional period.

To what end?

124 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:56:22am
125 tfc3rid  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:56:26am

re: #120 nyc redneck

is europe worried, at all.
or are they mostly concerned w/ their 4 day work wk and 6 wk. vacations?

You answered your own question...

126 midwestgak  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:56:30am

re: #69 Ward Cleaver

Get ready for balsa wood cars, powered by a hug and a smile.

And for a few extra bucks you can get the one powered by a rubber band.

127 lawhawk  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:56:37am

re: #100 MJBrutus

1,200 nautical miles based on the Shahab 3/4 2-stage design. That said, they've had problems with their missile tech and no one really knows their CEP, so it would be definitely used as a terror weapon.

128 Kragar (proud to be kafir)  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:56:39am

re: #122 Ojoe

Only minute amounts of plutonium are found in nature, mostly it is made in a rector.

rector? damn near killed her.

129 Silhouette  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:56:39am

re: #99 eschew_obfuscation

The left has been yapping incessantly about how America will get it's respect back vis a vis the rest of the world now that The One is president.

I'm one who thinks we're about to lose that respect.....and go back to being viewed as a paper tiger.

They always confused respect for popularity.

We're popular when we're weak because people like us that way.

130 MandyManners  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:56:41am

re: #117 Ben Hur

It is no coincidence that the IAEA is releasing this information and the information on Syria while the US is in a transitional period.

I wonder if the information was available in mid-October.

131 Iron Fist  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:56:51am

re: #99 eschew_obfuscation

Yep. Obambi is a citizen of the World, after all. you can't expect him to waste his time worrying about provincial matters like nuclear deterrence, biological weapons, or terrorism.

He's got more important things to worry about.

132 fish  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:57:05am

re: #57 Iron Fist

Hey, with a little luck the testing that Biden was talking about can be a nuclear war. Wouldn't that be neat? The only question is which side would Obama support? And which side would he demand meet a lot of preconditions before he talks to them?

Why do I feel like the American public would have to meet preconditions before he would talk to us...

133 nyc redneck  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:57:10am

re: #125 tfc3rid

You answered your own question...

LOL,
i'm glad that was obvious.

134 Ojoe  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:57:11am

re: #128 Kragar (proud to be kafir)

"Reactor"

LOL

135 turn  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:57:30am

re: #122 Ojoe


I thought so, uranium is the quickest and cheapest way to make a bomb.

136 Silhouette  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:57:45am

re: #122 Ojoe

Only minute amounts of plutonium are found in nature, mostly it is made in a rector.

And the occasional zucchini if you leave it in the refrigerator too long.

137 jaunte  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:58:23am

Estimated cost.
"There is no present way to synthesize a genome-size chunk of mammoth DNA, let alone to develop it into a whole animal. But Dr. Schuster said a shortcut would be to modify the genome of an elephant’s cell at the 400,000 or more sites necessary to make it resemble a mammoth’s genome. The cell could be converted into an embryo and brought to term by an elephant, a project he estimated would cost some $10 million.
...Asked if the mammoth project might indeed happen, Dr. Church said that “there is some enthusiasm for it,” although making zoos better did not outrank fixing the energy crisis on his priority list."

138 Ojoe  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:58:28am

BBL

139 guftafs  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:58:37am

The disease of our age: genocidal regimes acquire WMD and the free world doesn't know how to deal with it, pirates shrink the borders of civilization and free world pundits call the situation 'complex'. Too much moral ambiguity reduces us to this. Don't need "a darker" James Bond, I need a brighter, less corrupt Bond. Thankyou.
/end rant

140 LDA  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:58:37am

re: #135 turn

Enriching the uranium is difficult. Once you have it, though ...

141 notutopia  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:58:41am

re: #117 Ben Hur

There ARE no Coincidences.

142 Muadib  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:58:52am

Don't worry. The 0ne has promised to eliminate our nuclear weapons. So we'll be perfectly safe. Right?

Avoid looking at the flash. Duck and cover. Pray.

143 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:58:54am
144 midwestgak  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:59:00am

re: #87 harrylook

Truck bomb seems a likely way for Iran to hit Israel. Easy way around Israel's recently-upgraded missile defense....

That is scary harry because it is so possible.

145 Ben Hur  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:59:02am

re: #119 VegasRick

Before Obambi is in charge, I would guess.


And after the Cowboy could do anything about it.

146 Silhouette  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:59:09am

re: #137 jaunte

Um....why?

147 VegasRick  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:59:11am

re: #138 Ojoe

BBL

Don't worry, I'll cover your rector.

148 jaunte  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:59:19am

re: #137 jaunte

sorry, that comment was intended for the Mammoth spinoff.

149 Kragar (proud to be kafir)  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:59:32am

re: #135 turn

I thought so, uranium is the quickest and cheapest way to make a bomb.

No. Quickest way to make a bomb would be to give Oliver Stone a hint of a government conspiracy and a few cameras.

150 lawhawk  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:59:37am

OT:
SOB! Two ships freed after pirates paid $1.67 million in ransom. Yes folks, that will surely deter the pirates from striking again.

151 MJBrutus  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:59:41am

re: #127 lawhawk

1,200 nautical miles based on the Shahab 3/4 2-stage design. That said, they've had problems with their missile tech and no one really knows their CEP, so it would be definitely used as a terror weapon.

Exactly, CEP is irrelevant when you're trying to kill people and not hard targets.

152 Iron Fist  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:59:55am

re: #132 fish

I wish I could ding you up twice for that. Excellent point.

153 spirochete  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 8:59:55am

Bottom line is Iran cannot be allowed to have nuclear weapons, period. They are not responsible enough to have them. They have lied in international ties and will continue to do so. Anyone who believes them, at any juncture, is a fool.

The time for Israel, or us, or "pirates" to hit them is now. End of discussion. Anything less is suicide and will make then next 25 years horrible.

You think Al Qaeda in caves were bad, you haven't seen anything yet.

154 aboo-Hoo-Hoo  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:00:10am

Obummer's Inauguration Present, the announcement Iran is completely nuclear.

155 VegasRick  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:00:23am

re: #145 Ben Hur

And after the Cowboy could do anything about it.

Yup.

156 jaunte  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:00:23am

re: #146 Silhouette

Turns out it is difficult to post from work, even if you're only half-working.

157 Shug  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:00:38am

Present !

158 Jetpilot1101  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:00:58am

re: #156 jaunte

Turns out it is difficult to post from work, even if you're only half-working.

I'm always only half working. Thank God I get paid for full time.

159 midwestgak  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:01:05am

re: #108 MJBrutus

Or a NAMBLA meeting :-)

lol

160 Ben Hur  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:01:16am

re: #130 MandyManners

I wonder if the information was available in mid-October.

al-Baridei is a pan-Arabist nationalist.

OF course it was.

People need to remember how these people are chosen. And this includes Blix.

There is a list.

A looong list.

The UN members of the IAEA go over the list and only pick someone ALL agree on.

This idiot could've been #30 on the list.

I recall that Blix wasn't too close to the top.

161 rabidsquirrel  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:01:27am

re: #92 lawhawk

Martyrs for the cause. Besides, the Iranians could strike at the Kurdish north or the central region around Baghdad and hit mostly Sunni areas - Ba'athist strongholds, minimizing the casualties among the Shi'ites.

True, though I think Iran would be reluctant to do so (except perhaps striking agains the Kurdish North, which is largely homogenous) given the potential fallout. Hitting mostly Sunni areas would still likely result in significant Shia casualties, and demonstrate their callous disregard for their fellow Shia muslims. Iran would like to strike at American forces, but they've been doing so in Iraq either directly or through proxies for years now, and a nuclear strike would definitely cause massive Shia casualties in highly populated areas.

At any rate, striking Iraq would definitely undermine their political influence in the Iraqi government, and among a large number of its citizens.

162 Jetpilot1101  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:01:39am

OT: Is Charles going to post a financial yo-yo watch thread?

163 Iron Fist  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:01:46am

re: #142 Muadib

Bend over, put your head between your legs, and kiss your ass goodbye.

(I'm Barack Obama, and I support this message)

164 bulwrk  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:01:49am

I guess opening up our universities to students from the middle east is really starting to pay off.

/

165 tfc3rid  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:01:55am

re: #154 aboo-Hoo-Hoo

Obummer's Inauguration Present, the announcement Iran is completely nuclear.

Would be an interesting juxtaposition to what happened on the day Reagan was inaugruated...

166 debutaunt  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:01:58am

re: #150 lawhawk

OT:
SOB! Two ships freed after pirates paid $1.67 million in ransom. Yes folks, that will surely deter the pirates from striking again.

What could possible go wrong?

167 MandyManners  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:02:14am

re: #145 Ben Hur

And after the Cowboy could do anything about it.

Why is it too late?

168 realwest  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:02:30am

re: #63 Iron Fist
Hey Fist! Ya know I always laughed at Obama when he said that the rest of the world hates us - cause I kept wondering why they keep trying to get here if they hate us so much.
I used to laugh at Obama a lot before I realized that some 66 million Americans really thought he mean hope and CHANGE - What damn change? Everyone he's appointed or is reportedly considering for appoitments to high posts in the Fed Gov't is either a former Clinton or Carter appointee or a member of the Chicago Machine.
He's gonna get away with a lot for a year, year and a half, maybe, by blaming everything on Bush, but in a year and a half, when the 2010 Congressional elections, all Republican candidates really have to say is that the Dems have controlled Congress since 2006 - both houses of Congress, are you better off now then you were then?"
We win BIG in 2010 and in 2012 all we say about Obama is "are you better off today than you were four years ago?" and again we win big.
There is something to be said for all Dem rule!

169 Jetpilot1101  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:02:42am

re: #163 Iron Fist

Bend over, put your head between your legs, and kiss your ass goodbye.

(I'm Barack Obama, and I support this message)

You would also be performing the official BHO salute complete with the "O".

170 Silhouette  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:03:10am

re: #156 jaunte

Turns out it is difficult to post from work, even if you're only half-working.

I didn't know there was a mammouth thread.

I was wondering why they are going to all that trouble and expense to make a mammouth, when it won't be a mammouth but some sort of hybrid. Anything they learn from the beast they cannot be sure would have anything to do with real mammouths.

171 Occasional Reader  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:03:23am

re: #150 lawhawk

OT:
SOB! Two ships freed after pirates paid $1.67 million in ransom. Yes folks, that will surely deter the pirates from striking again.

It shows what sitting down and talking without preconditions can accomplish. Change!

172 Jetpilot1101  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:03:30am

re: #168 realwest

Hey Fist! Ya know I always laughed at Obama when he said that the rest of the world hates us - cause I kept wondering why they keep trying to get here if they hate us so much.
I used to laugh at Obama a lot before I realized that some 66 million Americans really thought he mean hope and CHANGE - What damn change? Everyone he's appointed or is reportedly considering for appoitments to high posts in the Fed Gov't is either a former Clinton or Carter appointee or a member of the Chicago Machine.
He's gonna get away with a lot for a year, year and a half, maybe, by blaming everything on Bush, but in a year and a half, when the 2010 Congressional elections, all Republican candidates really have to say is that the Dems have controlled Congress since 2006 - both houses of Congress, are you better off now then you were then?"
We win BIG in 2010 and in 2012 all we say about Obama is "are you better off today than you were four years ago?" and again we win big.
There is something to be said for all Dem rule!

Agreed.

173 Sharmuta  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:03:50am

Interesting- the price of waffles on the commodities market has gone through the roof.

174 aboo-Hoo-Hoo  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:03:51am

re: #165 tfc3rid

Yep. They'd have one helluva chuckle, huh?

175 MJBrutus  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:04:04am

re: #161 rabidsquirrel

Any use of nukes by Iran would most certainly be a national suicidal act. They are well aware of it. If they are crazy enough to use them, I doubt that they would waste their national "martydom" on Iraq. They would possibly do it destroy Israel or a European capital.

176 jaunte  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:04:27am

re: #170 Silhouette

Must have been a slow news day at the NYT.

177 Jetpilot1101  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:04:31am

re: #173 Sharmuta

Interesting- the price of waffles on the commodities market has gone through the roof.

...and the price of bull shit has also hit a 10 year high.

178 Ben Hur  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:04:54am

re: #153 spirochete

Bottom line is Iran cannot be allowed to have nuclear weapons, period. They are not responsible enough to have them. They have lied in international ties and will continue to do so. Anyone who believes them, at any juncture, is a fool.

The time for Israel, or us, or "pirates" to hit them is now. End of discussion. Anything less is suicide and will make then next 25 years horrible.

You think Al Qaeda in caves were bad, you haven't seen anything yet.


But if ISRAEL can have them......

/New post-modernist World Order.

Actually, someone please explain to me why it's alright for France and Britain to have them and NOT Israel.

179 redstateredneck  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:05:00am

re: #158 Jetpilot1101

I'm always only half working. Thank God I get paid for full time.

I hope your job is not jet pilot.

180 zelnaga  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:05:00am

re: #114 turn

I don't think plutonium is easier to obtain, I think it needs to be produced in a nuclear reactor. I could be wrong.

bbl

I think you might be right, although natural uranium would need to be enriched. I guess the question is... which is easier? Enriching uranium or producing plutonium?

181 Sharmuta  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:05:04am

re: #177 Jetpilot1101

Syrup! Buy syrup!

182 Silhouette  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:05:10am

re: #176 jaunte

Must have been a slow news day at the NYT.

Nothing to make up or national secrets to leak?

183 Occasional Reader  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:05:16am

re: #173 Sharmuta

Interesting- the price of waffles on the commodities market has gone through the roof.

As our President-Elect likes to say: Cogito eggo sum

184 realwest  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:05:19am

re: #150 lawhawk Ya know I'm really surprised at that - both ships were "Hong Kong" flagged which means Communist China and I'd sure think they'd know better than to do that!
Wonder what was in those ships to make the Chicoms pay up?

185 Occasional Reader  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:05:37am

re: #177 Jetpilot1101

...and the price of bull shit has also hit a 10 year high.

Doubtful... supply is abundant.

186 SeafoodGumbo  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:05:45am

NIE from a year ago:

We judge with high confidence that in fall 2003, Tehran halted its nuclear weapons program1

1 For the purposes of this Estimate, by “nuclear weapons program” we mean Iran’s nuclear weapon design and weaponization work and covert uranium conversion-related and uranium enrichment-related work; we do not mean Iran’s declared civil work related to uranium conversion and enrichment.

Yeah, right.

187 notutopia  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:05:46am

re: #150 lawhawk

High Seas Money Laundering.
*SPIT*

188 nyc redneck  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:05:56am

re: #173 Sharmuta

Interesting- the price of waffles on the commodities market has gone through the roof.

i've never liked waffles.
maybe that 'funnel cake' at the fair once a yr. is ok.

189 Jetpilot1101  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:06:04am

re: #179 redstateredneck

I hope your job is not jet pilot.

It is and that's why I fly with a copilot; combined we do a full pilot's job.

190 Ben Hur  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:06:05am

re: #167 MandyManners

Why is it too late?

He's not going to saddle The One with the repercussions.

He's to classy for that.

Plus, according to CNN, he's sad and lonely.

191 turn  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:06:21am

re: #149 Kragar (proud to be kafir)

Haha

192 VegasRick  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:06:32am

re: #173 Sharmuta

Interesting- the price of waffles on the commodities market has gone through the roof.

The economy has been saved!

[Link: www.comedycentral.com...]

193 eschew_obfuscation  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:06:46am

Happy birthday to me

Happy birthday to me.

Happy nirthday dear E_O.

Happith nirthay on me

(passes out cake & second bottle of champaigne)

WOOTH!

194 Iron Fist  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:06:49am

re: #168 realwest

Yeah, all we can do is watch. And complain bitterly when they fuck up, which will be early and often. Just like they vote.

Obama's first term is already in the shitter and he hasn't even taken the Oath of Office yet.

195 Jetpilot1101  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:07:10am

re: #185 Occasional Reader

Doubtful... supply is abundant.

But the government is manipulating the price and thinking of a bailout of all the bull shit shorters.

196 rabidsquirrel  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:07:14am

re: #175 MJBrutus

Agreed. If they're going the martyrdom route, I believe Israel is the likely target.

197 Macker  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:07:15am

re: #79 LDA

re: #52 harrylook

Yes ... a uranium bomb is a no-brainer if all you want to do is build one and set it off and are happy with a yield of Hiroshima dimensions (I would). If you want to place it onto a missile as a warhead then that's another matter ... only you don't have to do it that way. You could drive it in a truck or float it on a boat.

A plutonium bomb needs to be imploded and is a tough task. But that doesn't seem to be the direction they are going in.

The first Chinese A-bomb was uranium-based.

198 MandyManners  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:07:22am

re: #190 Ben Hur

He's not going to saddle The One with the repercussions.

He's to classy for that.

Plus, according to CNN, he's sad and lonely.

Whenever I'm sad and lonely, bombing the shit out of someone who desperately needs it always cheers me up.

199 jaunte  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:07:41am

re: #182 Silhouette

They're doing the groundwork to give up all our mammoth secrets.

200 Occasional Reader  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:07:47am

re: #193 eschew_obfuscation

Happy birthday to me

Happy birthday to me.

Happy nirthday dear E_O.

Happith nirthay on me

(passes out cake & second bottle of champaigne)

WOOTH!

Someone left my cake out in the champagne...

But happy birthday anyway!

201 Ben Hur  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:07:53am

re: #198 MandyManners

Whenever I'm sad and lonely, bombing the shit out of someone who desperately needs it always cheers me up.

LOL!

202 Kragar (proud to be kafir)  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:07:55am
203 Kenneth  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:08:23am

Bernard Lewis on Ahmedinejad:

But with these people in Iran, Mutually Assured Destruction is not a deterrent factor, but rather an inducement.
204 bosforus  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:08:29am

OT
Epic balloon launch fail.


The good news the orphans now have a home, the bad news is it's in a tree.

205 Occasional Reader  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:08:29am

re: #198 MandyManners

Whenever I'm sad and lonely, bombing the shit out of someone who desperately needs it always cheers me up.

Damn! You should be on "Oprah"!

206 Cathypop  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:08:40am

re: #193 eschew_obfuscation
Congratulations.
Is it chocolate cake?

207 capitalist piglet  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:08:42am

re: #150 lawhawk

OT:
SOB! Two ships freed after pirates paid $1.67 million in ransom. Yes folks, that will surely deter the pirates from striking again.

Entrepreneurs!

208 turn  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:08:46am

re: #150 lawhawk

OT:
SOB! Two ships freed after pirates paid $1.67 million in ransom. Yes folks, that will surely deter the pirates from striking again.

Hey look at the upside, some of that money is going to trickle down to all the poor folks who live in the local villages where the pirates hang out. Right?

LAT /spit

209 spirochete  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:08:53am

re: #184 realwest

Ya know I'm really surprised at that - both ships were "Hong Kong" flagged which means Communist China and I'd sure think they'd know better than to do that!
Wonder what was in those ships to make the Chicoms pay up?

The Chicoms will not take that sitting down.

Has anyone, anywhere expostulated on the religious affiliations of these "pirates"? I find it hard to believe they have simply come out of nowhere and are doing record seizures in international waters.

This smells a lot like the events that cause President Jefferson to build our navy in the first place.

210 Kenneth  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:09:00am

re: #183 Occasional Reader

Cogito eggo sum

I thought he was banned?

211 Occasional Reader  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:09:02am

Silver lining: We're one step closer to getting the Hidden Imam out of that damn well.

212 Iron Fist  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:09:10am

re: #175 MJBrutus

They'll want to hit the Great Satan if they can. if they can't, well, I think they'll make do hitting the Liittle Satan. I just don't see them building some nukes just to put them on the shelf in some warehouse to gather dust.

213 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:09:12am
214 eschew_obfuscation  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:09:21am

re: #170 Silhouette

I didn't know there was a mammouth thread.

I was wondering why they are going to all that trouble and expense to make a mammouth, when it won't be a mammouth but some sort of hybrid. Anything they learn from the beast they cannot be sure would have anything to do with real mammouths.


Didn't someone in Siberia dig up a whole frozen mammoth some years ago? I wonder why that wouldn't have enough good DNA for cloning?

215 JPL17  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:09:29am

“Whether they know how to design a bomb, well, that’s another matter.”

But that's an easy question to answer. Just find out, Do the Iranians know how to use Google?

216 Son of the Black Dog  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:09:51am

re: #17 LDA

If it's Uranium, then they can easily make a Little-Boy [viz. Hiroshima] style weapon. Anyone can do that ... the technology is simple. They didn't even have to test that type of weapon at Los Alamos ... it's only a Plutonium bomb that's the trick. When they dropped the first bomb that's why they used Little-Boy. Everyone knew it would work.

Yeah, but Little Boy used all of the uranium that we'd been enriching for a year. Slow process. By contrast, Hanford was producing enough plutonium for a Fat Man type bomb every four weeks. For the Iranians to deliver a Little Boy type bomb they'd have to use a ship or shipping container, or at least a truck, which would be easy to detect.

217 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:10:18am
218 Occasional Reader  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:10:23am

re: #215 JPL17

“Whether they know how to design a bomb, well, that’s another matter.”

But that's an easy question to answer. Just find out, Do the Iranians know how to use Google?

SHHHH!

Ixnay on the ooglegay! It's an ecretsay!

219 VegasRick  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:10:24am

re: #209 spirochete

The Chicoms will not take that sitting down.

Has anyone, anywhere expostulated on the religious affiliations of these "pirates"? I find it hard to believe they have simply come out of nowhere and are doing record seizures in international waters.

This smells a lot like the events that cause President Jefferson to build our navy in the first place.

It's the damn Amish again!

220 redstateredneck  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:10:36am

re: #189 Jetpilot1101

It is and that's why I fly with a copilot; combined we do a full pilot's job.

As long as one of you is doing it!
:-)

221 Macker  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:10:45am

re: #216 Son of the Black Dog

Not to mention it'd be a dirty explosion due to the surface detonation. Little Boy and Fat Man were airbursts.

222 poopeedoo  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:10:57am

Dontcha think there are enough whacked-out nut job scientist types who would jump at the chance to help Iran develop a nuclear bomb? Who the heck is the IAEA kidding?

223 realwest  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:11:08am

re: #157 Shug
Ah yes, but you are Tardy, Shug!

224 eschew_obfuscation  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:11:37am

re: #206 Cathypop

Congratulations.
Is it chocolate cake?

It's virtual cake......it can be any flavor you like ;-) Do watch for the candles though.....it hurts if you don't blow them out first.

225 Sharmuta  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:11:45am

re: #210 Kenneth

There's even a definitive time line.

226 realwest  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:11:53am

re: #193 eschew_obfuscation Hey HAPPY BIRTHDAY TO YOU and many, many more!

227 Iron Fist  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:11:57am

re: #211 Occasional Reader

That's reassuring.

228 turn  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:11:57am

re: #180 zelnaga

U235

229 Occasional Reader  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:12:04am

re: #209 spirochete

This smells a lot like the events that cause President Jefferson to build our navy in the first place.

"Not one cent for tribute." Says I.

230 redstateredneck  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:12:15am

re: #193 eschew_obfuscation

Happy birthday to me

Happy birthday to me.

Happy nirthday dear E_O.

Happith nirthay on me

(passes out cake & second bottle of champaigne)

WOOTH!

Here's your cake! Fresh baked.
;-)

231 Occasional Reader  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:12:43am

re: #227 Iron Fist

That's reassuring.

Always look on the bright side of life [whistling that part that follows]

232 albusteve  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:13:09am

re: #84 Shug

I'm praying for the Guinness Book of World Records Largest Work Accident

bwaa!...good one

233 poopeedoo  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:13:11am

re: #231 Occasional Reader

Always look on the bright side of life [whistling that part that follows]

Life of Brian?

234 Occasional Reader  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:13:24am

re: #218 Occasional Reader

SHHHH!

Ixnay on the ooglegay! It's an ecretsay!

"There are no ooglegays in Iran."

-M. Ahmadinejad

235 MandyManners  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:13:39am

I wonder if this was part of the briefing that CBBHO got soon after the erection.

236 poopeedoo  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:13:43am

re: #234 Occasional Reader

Lol!

237 lawhawk  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:13:47am

re: #186 SeafoodGumbo

Under that NIE, they'd still consider it accurate because it's not weapons grade uranium we're talking about... yet. It's still of a grade useful for civilian purposes.

238 notutopia  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:13:57am

Time to go split firewood... BBL. :)

239 Lincolntf  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:13:59am

The worst part of this mess is that if (when) Iran uses their bomb on Israel, a European Capitol or a U.S. target, we're going to have no effective response. That's why it must be stopped before it happens. Retaliating with nuclear weapons would be a must and we'd destroy Tehran and maybe a few other cities, but then where will we be? The psychopaths who run Iran don't care if a million or two of their citizens get incinerated.
Stop this bomb now!

240 eschew_obfuscation  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:14:01am

re: #230 redstateredneck

Here's your cake! Fresh baked.
;-)

How do people find these things?!

I love it!

Thanks

241 realwest  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:14:28am

re: #194 Iron Fist
Yeah but ya know bro', I'm tempted to not bitch too much, cause that's just gonna get 'em on the blame Bush meme and the complaining won't do any good except maybe make ourselves feel better.
I'd rather let them do what the fuck they are going to do for a year or so and then start HAMMERING 'em.
Course, I'm incapable of shutting up over truly dangerous (as opposed to simply stupid) behavior and words.
Fuck.

242 SeafoodGumbo  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:14:47am

Hmmm. Look at the story from just yesterday: Washington to replace Iran NIE architect

National Intelligence Council Chief, Thomas Fingar is to leave office nearly a year after issuing a report on Iran's nuclear activities.

Quoting a US official 'who requested anonymity because the changes have not yet been publicly announced', the Associated Press reported that Fingar is to be replaced on Dec. 1 by Peter R. Lavoy who currently is the council's South Asia officer.

Fingar, who has been the deputy director of national intelligence and chairman of the National Intelligence Council since May 2005, is responsible for the controversial report on Iran's nuclear program.

In a stunning reversal of the intelligence community's 2005 claims on Iran, US spy agencies in December 2007 declared with 'high confidence' that Tehran was not pursuing a military nuclear program.
...
The Bush administration was severely criticized for its stance on Tehran as critics saw the NIE as proof that the US exaggerates the extent of Iranian nuclear activities.

243 Cathypop  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:15:07am

re: #235 MandyManners

The O had an erection? Oh my!

244 DeafDog  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:15:16am

re: #235 MandyManners

I wonder if this was part of the briefing that CBBHO got soon after the erection.

Are you Chinese or a student of Freud?

245 Hard Right  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:15:20am

re: #122 Ojoe

Only minute amounts of plutonium are found in nature, mostly it is made in a rector.

Nearly killed her!

246 The Other Les  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:15:21am

re: #55 eschew_obfuscation

I'm gonna go out on a limb here.....Machiavelli wasn't a moonbat, was he.

He also wrote a book titled THE ART OF WAR.

247 turn  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:15:27am

re: #208 turn

I think that was the NYT turn, oh well doesn't matter. It's a take from the rich and give to the poor slant the liberal media just loves to take.

248 Adrenalyn  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:15:30am

re: #198 MandyManners

Whenever I'm sad and lonely, bombing the shit out of someone who desperately needs it always cheers me up.

go shoot an AK47 in the air
that always cheers up the Palis

249 eschew_obfuscation  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:15:31am

Thanks all for the nice words!

You guys/gals are great!

250 Kenneth  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:15:41am

re: #209 spirochete

These pirates are Somali Muslims.

251 VegasRick  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:15:51am

re: #243 Cathypop

The O had an erection? Oh my!

Were all gonna get screwed

252 harrylook  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:15:52am

re: #168 realwest

Word. There's always a backlash to any big societal movement. The bigger the movement, the bigger the backlash....

253 Iron Fist  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:16:11am

re: #239 Lincolntf

We can't do that. Pre-emptive war is so declasse. And the French might cry. We wouldn't want to be responsible for that.

254 realwest  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:16:13am

re: #209 spirochete
"The Chicoms will not take that sitting down. "
Huh? It's the Chicoms who paid the frigging ransom in the first place.
I REALLY want to know what the cargo is in those two ships.

255 Sol Roth  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:16:20am

re: #35 taxfreekiller

Of some note:

The rental car, the three ones of China, rear gate of Lost Alamos lab,
the gate crashed, the three arrested, all ones of China from L.A., with
permits to be no more than three miles from the China building in L.A.,
Clinton, Richardson, in charge,,,

The ones of China have all the plans of the most advanced nuke info
via Clinton and the missing CD's and lap tops gone from Lost Alamos lab.

its a done deal, all's you got to do now is watch for the bright flash

TFK is not joking, even cryptically. Jorge "Let's Move On" Bush just let it happen with little to no prosecutions or firewalls.

Liberal Fascist political correctness of removing the color-coded badges for differential access based on security clearance. Hazel O'Leary was in charge of that. She thought it was "unfair."

The commie treason hit the accelerator in Clinton I & II. It will be completed in Obama's Clinton III.

Hopenchange!

256 Athos  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:16:22am

re: #193 eschew_obfuscation

Happy Birthday!

257 eschew_obfuscation  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:16:30am

re: #246 The Other Les

He also wrote a book titled THE ART OF WAR.

I coulda sworn that was Sun Tsu? oh well....

258 Occasional Reader  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:16:42am

re: #239 Lincolntf

Retaliating with nuclear weapons would be a must and we'd destroy Tehran and maybe a few other cities, but then where will we be?

If we actually got to that point, I would think - hope - our response would including everything remotely resembling, or suspected of resembling, an Iranian nuke storage or production facility; and everything related to balllistic missiles; and every Revolutionary Guard barracks; etc.

259 Hard Right  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:17:03am

re: #248 Adrenalyn

go shoot an AK47 in the air
that always cheers up the Palis

But not those on the town outskirts.

260 fish  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:17:29am

re: #150 lawhawk

OT:
SOB! Two ships freed after pirates paid $1.67 million in ransom. Yes folks, that will surely deter the pirates from striking again.

Anyone else considering a career in Piracy? Or is that just me? ( I think I would look great with an eyepatch and cutlass!)

261 turn  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:17:30am

re: #214 eschew_obfuscation

HBD eschew!

262 midwestgak  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:17:30am

re: #189 Jetpilot1101

It is and that's why I fly with a copilot; combined we do a full pilot's job.

Check out Drudge. Flight attentent helped land aircraft after copilot went nutso.

263 poopeedoo  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:17:53am

re: #257 eschew_obfuscation

Hippo birdie two ewe
Hippo birdie two ewe
Hippo birdie eschew obfuscation
Hippo birdie two ewe.

:)

264 Occasional Reader  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:18:01am

re: #257 eschew_obfuscation

I coulda sworn that was Sun Tsu? oh well....

They both did, in fact. The copyright infringement war was legendary.

265 Kenneth  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:18:03am

re: #225 Sharmuta

that's hilarious!

266 Ben Hur  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:18:06am

re: #123 turn

To what end?


Who's going to do it? You? You LT Weinberg?!?

267 Kenneth  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:18:33am

re: #254 realwest

20,000 X-boxes

268 redstateredneck  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:18:42am

re: #240 eschew_obfuscation

How do people find these things?!

I love it!

Thanks


You'd be surprised at how many lizard cakes come up on google image!

269 Adrenalyn  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:18:43am

re: #259 Hard Right

But not those on the town outskirts.

I live way out of town though.....

270 poopeedoo  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:18:55am

re: #262 midwestgak

Check out Drudge. Flight attentent helped land aircraft after copilot went nutso.

Just goes to show you, never look at your most recent 401k statement while flying a plane.

271 Iron Fist  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:18:55am

re: #258 Occasional Reader

If it comes to that, we should destroy the whole thing. 21st Century Carthage.

272 Jetpilot1101  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:19:05am

re: #262 midwestgak

Check out Drudge. Flight attentent helped land aircraft after copilot went nutso.

I read that and I'm beginning to wonder where my coworker went.

273 Lincolntf  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:19:27am

re: #258 Occasional Reader

I would hope so, too. But waiting for them to slaughter countless Westerners/Israelis before we do it is mind-numbingly shortsighted on the part of the vaunted "International Community".

274 midwestgak  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:19:30am

re: #210 Kenneth

I thought he was banned?

lol

275 MandyManners  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:19:42am

re: #243 Cathypop

The O had an erection? Oh my!

Ask WAB.

276 nyc redneck  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:19:44am

speaking of waffles and cake, did anyone see the clip of the squad car chasing a donut truck going a hundred miles an hour w/ the gate wide open and racks of donuts flying out the back end. (iirc it was 'real cop chases' on t.v.?)
donuts were rolling round on the street, bouncing everywhere,
hitting the cop's wind shield.
some weirdo had stolen the donut truck because his sweet tooth was giving him some trouble. lol

277 spirochete  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:19:50am

re: #239 Lincolntf

The worst part of this mess is that if (when) Iran uses their bomb on Israel, a European Capitol or a U.S. target, we're going to have no effective response. That's why it must be stopped before it happens. Retaliating with nuclear weapons would be a must and we'd destroy Tehran and maybe a few other cities, but then where will we be? The psychopaths who run Iran don't care if a million or two of their citizens get incinerated.
Stop this bomb now!

The best response is no initial blast, true. But the next step would be obliteration of the Iranian nation and its ability to ever, ever make war again. Ever. Man, I don't even want to think about how different the world would be after a hit like that.

Like I said, this'll make the next 25 years miserable if nothing is done. We need to solve this problem now, to our satisfaction and let history make the final judgement. If it takes a thousand strikes to a hundred facilities, if it takes nukes to special ones, if it takes troops pouring over the border to go do it.

278 Sharmuta  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:20:01am

re: #265 Kenneth

I enjoyed it so much- I stuck it in my favorites.

279 redstateredneck  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:20:02am

re: #272 Jetpilot1101

I read that and I'm beginning to wonder where my coworker went.

I knew I couldn't trust you guys!

280 MandyManners  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:20:05am

re: #244 DeafDog

Are you Chinese or a student of Freud?

Fingers too fast for my brain. Or, the other way around. I'm not sure.

281 Occasional Reader  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:20:12am

Later.

282 AMER1CAN  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:20:22am

They are getting ready to discuss holding a meeting to discuss if they need to hold a meeting to discuss if they need to hold a meeting to discuss if they need to hold a meeting about holding a meeting to come up with a strongly worded resolution.

283 MandyManners  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:20:44am

re: #248 Adrenalyn

go shoot an AK47 in the air
that always cheers up the Palis

I'll be spending some time at the range later this week.

284 SeafoodGumbo  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:21:00am

re: #237 lawhawk

Under that NIE, they'd still consider it accurate because it's not weapons grade uranium we're talking about... yet. It's still of a grade useful for civilian purposes.

I know. I'm just posting a reminder that we've actually got our intel agencies making the assertion that Iran isn't pursuing nuclear weapons which is ludicrous.

285 Ben Hur  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:21:05am

re: #273 Lincolntf

I would hope so, too. But waiting for them to slaughter countless Westerners/Israelis before we do it is mind-numbingly shortsighted on the part of the vaunted "International Community".

It's been done before.

286 MandyManners  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:21:52am

re: #281 Occasional Reader

Later.

Sweet tater.

287 Sharmuta  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:22:11am

re: #235 MandyManners

I wonder if this was part of the briefing that CBBHO got soon after the erection.

That pretty much tops "screenshit" as all time best Mandy typo.

288 eschew_obfuscation  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:22:11am

re: #276 nyc redneck

speaking of waffles and cake, did anyone see the clip of the squad car chasing a donut truck going a hundred miles an hour w/ the gate wide open and racks of donuts flying out the back end. (iirc it was 'real cop chases' on t.v.?)
donuts were rolling round on the street, bouncing everywhere,
hitting the cop's wind shield.
some weirdo had stolen the donut truck because his sweet tooth was giving him some trouble. lol

Probably all for the best.....who would eat donuts that bounce any way?

289 Kenneth  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:22:29am

Cool story. I wonder how much of it is true?

The hitherto untold story of that raid is as dramatic as any of Israel’s previous daring and successful military strikes.

It began on September 3, 2007, when the early morning sun caught the rust-stained hull of a 1,700-ton cargo ship as it slowly steamed into the busy Mediterranean port of Tartous in Syria. From its mast flew the flag of South Korea and the stern plate identified the al-Hamed as being registered in Inchon, one of the country’s major ports.

Watching the ship manoeuvring into its berth from a distance was a man with the swarthy skin of a Kurd or one of the Marsh Arabs of Iraq. He was fluent in both their languages as well as some of the dialects of Afghanistan. He was, in fact, a Turkish-born Jew who had eschewed the life of a carpet seller in the family business in Istanbul to go to Israel, serve in its army as a translator and finally achieve his life’s ambition to work in Mossad.

290 yochanan  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:22:31am

re: #175 MJBrutus

Any use of nukes by Iran would most certainly be a national suicidal act. They are well aware of it. If they are crazy enough to use them, I doubt that they would waste their national "martydom" on Iraq. They would possibly do it destroy Israel .

FIXED THAT FOR YOU after they do it to israel the euro will line up to become muslim.

291 Athos  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:22:32am

re: #271 Iron Fist

If it comes to that, we should destroy the whole thing. 21st Century Carthage.

Except rather than Tehran, perhaps, Qom should be the location that is razed - the land salted.....

The issue isn't the Iranian people but rather the cancerous ideology of the mad mullahs. At some point, the mullahs who accept and subscribe to the very fundamental interpretation of islam will have to as discredited, demonized, and defeated as the Nazi ideology was. (There is very little difference between the two....)

292 Ben Hur  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:22:58am

Look how flippantly you fascists speak of wiping out 10s of millions of people......


/Staaaaam

293 realwest  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:23:05am

re: #239 Lincolntf
Uh, if Iran hits us (or, I'd like to think if Iran hits Israel with a nuke) we won't be hitting just Teheran; Iran will simply cease to exist. All of it.
Assuming, of course, that Obama really is the POTUS of all the American people.

294 fish  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:23:08am

re: #177 Jetpilot1101

...and the price of bull shit has also hit a 10 year high.


I would think that price would go down seeing as supply is so outweighing demand....

295 Shug  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:23:51am

re: #262 midwestgak

Check out Drudge. Flight attentent helped land aircraft after copilot went nutso.

I wonder what the Flight attendants and the airline pilots unions have to say about this.

both probably pissed off

296 redstateredneck  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:23:52am

re: #286 MandyManners

Sweet tater.

Green tomater.

297 JPL17  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:24:10am

re: #218 Occasional Reader

SHHHH!

Ixnay on the ooglegay! It's an ecretsay!

Oopsway! Orrysay! I hope I didn't etlay the atcay out of the agbay!

298 AMER1CAN  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:24:26am

We won't know if their nukes work until they use them. We will then have a better understanding of their nuclear capabilities.

/IAEA

299 Athos  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:24:36am

re: #282 AMER1CAN

They are getting ready to discuss holding a meeting to discuss if they need to hold a meeting to discuss if they need to hold a meeting to discuss if they need to hold a meeting about holding a meeting to come up with a strongly worded resolution.

So, they're rushing to the strongly worded resolution?

What ever happened to the slighty concerned but sincerely embarassed to bother them letter asking for more information?

300 Shug  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:24:42am

re: #294 fish

I would think that price would go down seeing as supply is so outweighing demand....

well with all the new voters buying bullshit, demand is also at an all time high

301 lawhawk  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:24:50am

re: #260 fish

Anyone else considering a career in Piracy? Or is that just me? ( I think I would look great with an eyepatch and cutlass!)

It was either piracy or the head of a bank investment company demanding a bailout. Not sure which one was more lucrative, though bank investment company is safer for personal enrichment. Much more action being a pirate though.... /

302 midwestgak  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:25:16am

re: #252 harrylook

The bigger the movement, the bigger the backlash....

um, was it painful? :)

303 Sharmuta  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:25:30am

re: #296 redstateredneck

Green tomater.

Tow Mater?

304 ploome hineni[deleted]  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:26:15am
305 Sharmuta  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:26:32am

re: #301 lawhawk

It was either piracy or the head of a bank investment company demanding a bailout. Not sure which one was more lucrative, though bank investment company is safer for personal enrichment. Much more action being a pirate though.... /

Corporate raider would look good on you. ;)

306 nyc redneck  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:26:40am

re: #288 eschew_obfuscation

Probably all for the best.....who would eat donuts that bounce any way?

what abt. the ones that rolled away?

307 little boomer  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:27:16am

Just joined late......ATTACK!

/don't care who

308 redstateredneck  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:27:35am

re: #303 Sharmuta

Tow Mater?

Awww, I'd forgotten about him.

309 midwestgak  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:27:39am

re: #272 Jetpilot1101

I read that and I'm beginning to wonder where my coworker went.

lol

310 spirochete  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:28:11am

re: #254 realwest

"The Chicoms will not take that sitting down. "
Huh? It's the Chicoms who paid the frigging ransom in the first place.
I REALLY want to know what the cargo is in those two ships.

Temporary solution. I believe the Chinese would be offended that anyone grabbed their stuff. Of course, missiles headed for Syria or other stuff going into the middle east to fight Americans would be embarassing to "lose", but any seizure at all will piss them off and my prediction is they will be armed to the teeth in the future. ANd ill probably track down the families, friends, associates, villages and do some serious arm twisting. China has been in Africa a while now and they are smart.

On the other hand, if those Somali "pirates" are paid for by us to harass the chinese, they could have great intelligence as to which ships to grab, which would definitely tell the Chinese something.

311 Lincolntf  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:28:40am

re: #293 realwest

Possibly.
We'd definitely destroy all of their major facilities, but 65 million human beings live in Iran. Would we kill them all? Would they immediately flee the nation and create a bigger shit-show than already exists in that part of the world? Would Pakistan's nukes come into play?
While I would wholeheartedly support a massive retaliation, the cost and uncertainty of the aftermath still strike me as too multi-faceted for any of us to accurately predict the outcome. The only way out of this jam is to hit Iran BEFORE we have to contemplate our response.

312 taxfreekiller[deleted]  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:28:41am
313 Lively  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:29:00am

re: #276 nyc redneck

speaking of waffles and cake, did anyone see the clip of the squad car chasing a donut truck going a hundred miles an hour w/ the gate wide open and racks of donuts flying out the back end. (iirc it was 'real cop chases' on t.v.?)
donuts were rolling round on the street, bouncing everywhere,
hitting the cop's wind shield.
some weirdo had stolen the donut truck because his sweet tooth was giving him some trouble. lol

lol, I just looked it up on Youtube and watched the whole 7 minutes. Now, I really need to get back to work.

314 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:29:03am
315 WrathofG-d  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:29:14am

I remember when the Jews waited for the world in 1940. I fear the same result.

316 fish  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:29:54am

re: #193 eschew_obfuscation

Happy birthday to me

Happy birthday to me.

Happy nirthday dear E_O.

Happith nirthay on me

(passes out cake & second bottle of champaigne)

WOOTH!

Can we see your Original Nirth Certificate please?/

HAPPY BIRTHDAY!

317 Lively  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:30:35am
318 nyc redneck  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:31:46am

re: #304 ploome hineni

..as long as we are hypnotized and paralyzed by the meme of "we are better than that"

we keep accepting at face value the most manipulative, dishonest, and virulent cultural enemies of our civilization

we keep pouring money into shithole like the UN and GAZA

how can we be surprised at the result?

we keep doing the same crap over and over and we still expect a different result?

........................can hardly wait for John fkn Kerry to be appointed

we will quit w/ the "we're better than that" meme when we are shocked shitless by a horrendous act which makes us think seriously abt. survival.

319 taxfreekiller[deleted]  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:32:05am
320 poopeedoo  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:32:12am

re: #282 AMER1CAN

Very clever!

321 nyc redneck  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:32:32am

re: #313 Lively

lol, I just looked it up on Youtube and watched the whole 7 minutes. Now, I really need to get back to work.

sometimes we need these light hearted moments.

322 eschew_obfuscation  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:32:50am

re: #293 realwest

Uh, if Iran hits us (or, I'd like to think if Iran hits Israel with a nuke) we won't be hitting just Teheran; Iran will simply cease to exist. All of it.
Assuming, of course, that Obama really is the POTUS of all the American people.

I would be amazed if the mad mullahs were that mad.

I suspect they'd hand a nuke off to one of their minions to deliver and provide them with plausible deniability.

323 Kenneth  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:32:55am

re: #293 realwest

Not just Iran. The Samson Option will be activated.

324 debutaunt  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:33:22am

re: #233 poopeedoo

Life of Brian?

And now for something completely hilarious.

325 spirochete  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:33:56am

re: #311 Lincolntf

Possibly.
We'd definitely destroy all of their major facilities, but 65 million human beings live in Iran. Would we kill them all? Would they immediately flee the nation and create a bigger shit-show than already exists in that part of the world? Would Pakistan's nukes come into play?
While I would wholeheartedly support a massive retaliation, the cost and uncertainty of the aftermath still strike me as too multi-faceted for any of us to accurately predict the outcome. The only way out of this jam is to hit Iran BEFORE we have to contemplate our response.

I think it's more like 90 plus million. We of course try to minimize civilian casualities. The first civilians we consider are our own, then theirs.

Solving this problem will not be about being nice. Identify the targets, decide how to take them out, take them out.

It would be much, much easier if the Iranians would take care of the problem of top leadership themselves. Then they could simply point to the buildings we need to dismantle. And the Iranian economy would boom, as opposed to going boom.

326 midwestgak  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:35:32am

re: #316 fish

Can we see your Original Nirth Certificate please?/

I guess that's what lizards get at nirth.

327 Athos  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:35:59am

re: #323 Kenneth

Wasn't this Bigel's usual cue to jump in?

328 turn  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:36:13am

re: #266 Ben Hur

Who's going to do it? You? You LT Weinberg?!?

Sorry I still don't get it. Is the Weinberg reference somehow about the movie A Few Good Men? Oh, are you implying the UN is hoping Bush will take on the problem before O gets in office? Bush is the Nicolson character? Ben please don't f#$% with my head this early in the day :.)

329 Crusty  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:37:12am

Iran has sworn death to Israel and they are pursuing nuclear weapons full-throttle.

The new US president-elect is fresh from a spree of toasting PLO spokesmen, nibbling Rochefort cheese at living room fundraisers held by democracy-hating, genocide-plotting terrorists and stacking his cabinet with advisers with a hatred for Israel.

If masses of Jews are slaughtered for the 2nd time in less than a hundred years, I will spit in the face of every moron that deliriously ushered their plastic messiah Obama into the White House and every journalist that lied to help him get there.

330 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:37:16am
331 Kenneth  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:37:23am

re: #325 spirochete

Considering how important infrastructure is to the care & feeding of a nation's population, even a limited retaliation on a few cities and strategic military facilities will have a devastating effect on the whole country.

332 reloadingisnotahobby  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:37:34am

Oh my gads.... Joe Biben predicted this ...what? a month ago?
Wow,! He really is the smartest man in the room!
Even if he is a portapotty by himself!
Of cource they're early... must not of gotten the memo!

333 Buck  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:37:54am

re: #239 Lincolntf

The worst part of this mess is that if (when) Iran uses their bomb on Israel, a European Capitol or a U.S. target, we're going to have no effective response. That's why it must be stopped before it happens. Retaliating with nuclear weapons would be a must and we'd destroy Tehran and maybe a few other cities, but then where will we be? The psychopaths who run Iran don't care if a million or two of their citizens get incinerated.
Stop this bomb now!

Retaliating against whom? What if the bomb comes from Lebanon? What if it looks like it came from Hezbolah? Can Israel blame Lebanon, Syria or Iran? All of the above?

Right after it explodes, Lebanon, Iran and Syria come out and say that they condemn the attack, BUT they add the whole chickens come home to roost thing.

Iran is not stupid enough to fire it from Iran.... And you are wrong, the Mullahs do care.... it would be bad for business.

334 Kenneth  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:37:57am

re: #327 Athos

Now there's a name I almost forgot about!

335 Pyrocles  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:38:44am

The Swifties are watching Kerry closely; they never went away. So says the Swifty I know. The Swifties didn't help McCain, as my friend would have liked, because they are split pretty evenly between Democrats and Republicans. But they are united in their hatred of John Kerry.

re: #319 taxfreekiller

Kerry is going down in History as the biggest traitor in world History.

He lusts for revenge, now he has his chance and he will take it.

336 debutaunt  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:38:51am

re: #295 Shug

I wonder what the Flight attendants and the airline pilots unions have to say about this.

both probably pissed off

The flight attendant had a commercial pilot license - talk about pay grades being out of whack.

337 Lincolntf  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:39:11am

re: #325 spirochete

It's not that I'm "worried" about the Iranian civilians, per se, it's just that I don't see the need to wait for the inevitable. I don't think that there's a single rational human being on this planet who honestly believes that Iran will not use a nuclear weapon when they have the tech. to do so.

338 Lincolntf  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:41:10am

re: #333 Buck

Exactly. We're not ever going to be able to say "This is a provably justified reaction to Iranian hostility", so why should we not take the approbation from the World now, BEFORE they kill us wholesale?

339 fish  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:41:17am

re: #257 eschew_obfuscation

I coulda sworn that was Sun Tsu? oh well....

I thought the same thing til I found this Art of War

Turns out there is more than one Art of war.

340 Kenneth  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:42:15am

re: #333 Buck

That's the whole point to the Samson Option. If anybody tries to nuke Israel, then everybody gets it back, 10 times over. Israel has at least 3 modern diesel submarines capable of launching nuclear cruise missiles. At least one and usually two, are at sea at any given time. That's what is called a first strike survivable retaliation capacity.

341 FurryOldGuyJeans  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:42:41am

630 Kilos is more than sufficient to make LOTS of dirty bombs, even if it is low-enriched. The IAEA is only providing cover for the mullahs (and Obama) by obfuscating the real issue by assuming they want an atomic bomb only. This does not bode well for the president-elect.

342 Son of the Black Dog  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:46:30am

re: #215 JPL17

“Whether they know how to design a bomb, well, that’s another matter.”

But that's an easy question to answer. Just find out, Do the Iranians know how to use Google?

It would be a BIG mistake to assume that the Iranians don't already have a proven design for an implosion type bomb. We need to assume the worst case. Too many places they could have obtained the plans - A.Q. Kahn, other sources in Pakistan, the Norks, the Chicoms. Or stolen plans from one of the admitted nuclear powers, maybe even from us. I think that we also need to assume that the Iranians already have some HEU and/or plutonium. Stolen, black-market, slipped to them by someone sympathetic to the radical Muslim agenda. That would give them a big leg up on producing a working device. Assume worst case.

343 unclassifiable  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:47:48am

re: #305 Sharmuta

re: #301 lawhawk

Be

Both

344 yochanan  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:52:13am

re: #315 WrathofG-d

I remember when the Jews waited for the world in 1940. I fear the same result.

me too SAD TO SAY BUT I FEAR HISTORY WILL REPEAT ITSELF.
but i think a hizballah/hamas missle war will come first in an attept to break Israel's will to fight.

345 Ben Hur  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:55:00am

re: #328 turn

Sorry I still don't get it. Is the Weinberg reference somehow about the movie A Few Good Men? Oh, are you implying the UN is hoping Bush will take on the problem before O gets in office? Bush is the Nicolson character? Ben please don't f#$% with my head this early in the day :.)

It is from A Few Good Men.

My obscure point was, they released the info now thinking that Bush won't be able to do it as a lame duck, and daring/mocking Israel (Weinberg - note the genius acting of Nicholson deriding the Joo in tone) to do it.

346 jester6  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:57:19am

I wrote this essay almost 2 years ago.

A Hawks Argument for US Hands Off Iran

[Link: jester6.blogspot.com...]

I didn't expect this current economic mess, but I still think it is in our (at least the United State's) strategic interest to let Iran get a bomb then use it.

347 So?  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:59:18am

Thank you George Dubya. If you didn't want to participate, at least you could have sold Israel the weaponry it needed to succeed.

The way I see it, the so-called civilized western nations have sat on their behinds and let the El Bardei sham continue month after misersble month because they too see Israel as a bothersome gnat that should be swatted out of existence. Why else would Iran have reached this stage in its nuclear production. I'm sure sure they are years ahead of what's being reported anyway.

348 buzzsawmonkey[deleted]  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 9:59:22am
349 Crusty  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 10:08:21am

An important bit of history to keep in mind.

During the first Gulf War, Saddam Hussein launched a missile into Israel, hitting a residential neighborhood, a completely non-military target, even though Israel was not part of the coalition liberating Kuwait or attacking Iraq. Why? Saddam thought that if he could provoke Israel into joining the war that would rally other Arab states to take his side and attack Israel and the US.

After the missile attack, which killed many Jewish civilians, the US and Israel agreed to that Israel should continue to stay out of the conflict because they believed Saddam's theory about broad Arab support was probably correct.

350 KellyJ  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 10:09:15am

"Whether they know how to design a bomb, well, that’s another matter.”

Is someone forgetting that years ago in a botched intel op we (The US) gave Iran a doctored plan to make a nuke (hoping to put them on the wrong track and have them waste Billions trying to make it work), however the Russian defector who was being used as the "bag man" saw the error in the plan (he was not in the know about the intent to put Iran on the wrong track) and gave the Iranians a 'corrected copy.'

Besides, any 3rd year physics student can at least recreate the gun-barrel type of bomb (little boy). While it would be large, it can be fit into a large truck or airliner. And we have ample proof they have no problems with self detonation on site (suicide bombing).

351 Yashmak  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 10:09:18am
I'm sure sure they are years ahead of what's being reported anyway.

- So?

If they were, I suspect there'd already be a nice new glass crater somewhere in Israel. . .or several smaller new craters in Iran.

352 SaneInMN  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 10:10:01am

re: #333 Buck

Israel or the U.S. would be absolutely within their rights to attack Syria or Lebanon if a nuclear attack was launched from either country. You lay down with dogs, you wake up with fleas. A nuclear attack would eliminate ANY sympathy (at least in the short-term) for the widespread collateral damage that would occur during a U.S./Israel retaliatory strike. Given the size of our conventional forces, I doubt the U.S. would respond with nuclear weapons. Israel, however, would have little choice.

353 MJBrutus  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 10:10:16am

re: #212 Iron Fist

They'll want to hit the Great Satan if they can. if they can't, well, I think they'll make do hitting the Liittle Satan. I just don't see them building some nukes just to put them on the shelf in some warehouse to gather dust.

IMHO, the most likely scenario is that they will close the Straits of Hormuz for some brief period of time. They will use the threat of nukes to blackmail the West and to test our reactions to the provocation, not to mention driving up the price of oil from which they will profit. After that will depend on how we and the West responds.

354 Kenneth  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 10:11:45am

re: #346 jester6

Your argument is as stupid as it is offensive. You would let Israelis or Europeans be pawns just so you could say, "I told you so".

355 Lincolntf  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 10:12:08am

re: #347 So?

I think you're wrong. First of all "Dubya" is not a dictator, he does not have the power to unilaterally arm Israel with whatever they want. We've done PLENTY to ensure the security of Israel during his tenure. If you're looking to blame someone I suggest you start with the dunderheads at Iran's Atom bomb Enabling Agency.

That said, I've always found Israel admirable for their unwillingness to consider themselves a ward of the U.S. They have existed in a militarily untenable position for 60 years and have used foresight and force to ensure their own security. I'm holding out hope that they exercise the same judgment in regards to a nuclear Iran.

356 Crusty  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 10:21:28am

re: #340 Kenneth

That's the whole point to the Samson Option. If anybody tries to nuke Israel, then everybody gets it back, 10 times over. Israel has at least 3 modern diesel submarines capable of launching nuclear cruise missiles. At least one and usually two, are at sea at any given time. That's what is called a first strike survivable retaliation capacity.

And the fact that the new US president is a schmuck will make Israel even more likely to go total war because they know they can no longer depend on the USA for shit, at least from 2009-2012.

357 Kenneth  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 10:24:04am

re: #356 Crusty

Iran has all along been waiting out Bush, who they consider an aberration. They were waiting for the Democrats to regain the White House. When Obama the Appeaser was elected, the mullahs could not believe their good luck. Allah's will.

358 Iron Fist  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 10:25:49am

re: #298 AMER1CAN

That is the damned truth. What're they going to do about it? Send a strongly worded letter to Iran?

Or just urge the US to show "restraint"? I'm fuckin' tired of showing them "restraint".

359 Iron Fist  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 10:26:31am

re: #323 Kenneth

Bigel, you're back!

:-þ

360 guftafs  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 10:36:19am
Several experts said that was enough for a bomb, but they cautioned that the milestone was mostly symbolic, because Iran would have to take additional steps. Not only would it have to breach its international agreements

Experts. Experts.

361 Sabnen  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 10:45:39am

re: #337 Lincolntf

It's not that I'm "worried" about the Iranian civilians, per se, it's just that I don't see the need to wait for the inevitable. I don't think that there's a single rational human being on this planet who honestly believes that Iran will not use a nuclear weapon when they have the tech. to do so.

The Mullahs would risk TOTAL ANNIHILATION of their people and nation so they can toss a warhead at Israel? This is 'inevitable' so we pre-emptily strike them?

The Iranians HATE Saudi Arabia or rather the Shia hate the Sunni. Iraq has been as much a Shia v. Sunni proxy war between Iran and Saudi Arabia as it has been a war against US occupation.

The Iranians think the insane Wahhabi are as much a problem in the world as we do. They would be more inclined to toss a nuclear weapon Saudi Arabia's way than at Israel.

I am not happy that the UN has done nothing to thwart the Iranian nuclear program. Iran with the bomb makes the Middle East Puzzle ever more difficult to solve.

362 Son of the Black Dog  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 10:47:33am

re: #300 Shug

well with all the new voters buying bullshit, demand is also at an all time high

Yeah, but supply is unlimited. Congress can produce an infinite amount.

363 MJBrutus  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 10:52:07am

re: #362 Son of the Black Dog

Yeah, but supply is unlimited. Congress can produce an infinite amount.

Sure, but it will bring the price down :-)

364 Morganfrost  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 10:59:11am
But don’t worry, because they’re “not sure” Iran actually knows how to build a weapon

That's a relief. Let's just hope that nobody in Iran figures out how to Google "instructions for building nukes" or something like that. Because then we'd be in deep doo-doo.

365 Lincolntf  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 10:59:14am

re: #361 Sabnen

If you're comfortable trusting the reasoning ability or emotional stability of an Iranian mullah, then God bless ya'.

For at least a decade we've been fed a cascade of P.C. lines of enabling/justification like: "There is no nuclear program,... OK there is one but it's at a 1950's level,... OK, so they are building centrifuges but they'll never have enough to use them to make a bomb,... OK they have a lot of centrifuges but the U.N. is all over it,... OK now they have enough nuclear infrastructure to make a bomb but they'll use it for energy,... OK now they have a bomb."

Do you really want to wait for the "OK, they detonated a nuclear bomb in Tel Aviv, but it was probably their only one" line?

366 grandma  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 11:03:34am

My lame take is that the Iranians will build some sort of bomb and use the ownership to bully and threaten everyone else into letting them do whatever else they want. To actually use it would be a death wish on their part. The blowback would be awful for them. For a “country” with about 70 million people, do they think they’d survive as an entity after such an action?

If Obama wants to talk to these deranged mullahs and wearers of WalMart suits, let him go. What does he think that talking will get anybody? Maybe Obama can guarantee the safety of some 12th Imam getting out his hidey-hole in a well to bring Allah’s peace upon us all. Fat chance of that. And in the meantime, from what I’ve understood by all the financial channel talking heads, is that when oil prices go below $60 a barrel, the Iranian economy is really in the “well”. Today it is selling at $51+ a barrel. If we think our economy is in the terlet, wait till all those Allahbots in Iran start to really feel the pinch, too.

The Iranian leadership (and I use that term loosely) think that if they deal in a death product for their strength, rather than those whom they would promote death for, maybe their own death as a nation and culture would be more fitting based upon any action they may take about using their death weapon(s). Same with the leftover Afghans. They have warlords and drug lords who also deal in a death product, opium and heroin. Destruction of the poppy fields there would not be a bad thing, except for those who deal in death. For those who deal in death, I find no “innocents”.

So between chores, that’s my take. Beat me up if you’d like, but know that while the rest of the U.S. is freezing, we’re having a warmer day in the Carolinas. So have yourself one, too.

367 guftafs  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 11:03:37am

re: #365 Lincolntf

Do you really want to wait for the "OK, they detonated a nuclear bomb in Tel Aviv, but it was probably their only one" line?

The horror of it that all the blind fools then will genuinely horrified and scream "How could this happen?!"

368 redc1c4  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 11:08:02am

re: #31 Pullus Iulius

Normally I'd say "Barn door, let me introduce you to the back end of the horse." But in this case, the UN isn't even interested in closing the door. They just want to talk about the nice horsey.

no: they want to put a $23 million dollar mural on the ceiling of the barn, and send you the bill for it.

369 MissedShift  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 11:08:13am

"IAEA Springs Into Action, Announces UN Has Enough Delicious Liquid Cheese for Nachos."

370 redc1c4  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 11:13:24am

< deleted >

i saved Stinky the trouble.......

371 redc1c4  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 11:14:31am

re: #367 guftafs

The horror of it that all the blind fools then will genuinely horrified and scream "How could this happen?!"

no, they will hand out a press release as above, and in private be overheard to say "i thought they'd never leave...."

372 guftafs  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 11:22:20am

re: #371 redc1c4

The day Tel Aviv disappears in a nuclear detonation will, if it ever comes, be a carnival of hypocrisy, for sure.

373 mattm  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 11:23:06am

Keep up the good work.

/sarc

374 ploome hineni[deleted]  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 11:28:43am
375 rockmanvermont[deleted]  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 11:32:41am
376 jwpaine  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 11:32:45am

“They know how to do the enrichment. Whether they know how to design a bomb, well, that’s another matter.”

Well, then, if that's the case, I recommend a wait-and-see strategy.

377 Lincolntf  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 11:37:29am

We'll know they have a bomb when we see it detonate. Every single nation in the world that has developed a nuclear weapon has done so secretly. Remember the shock when India/Pakistan tested their bombs concurrently?
When we find out "for sure" that Iran has a fully functional nuke weapon it'll be too late.
Eliminating a threat after it has already been carried out is oxymoronic. And just plain moronic, if you ask me.

378 jwpaine  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 11:39:03am

Marx was misquoted. He actually said, "Obama is the hopiate of the masses."

379 shiplord kirel  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 11:40:33am

re: #365 Lincolntf


Do you really want to wait for the "OK, they detonated a nuclear bomb in Tel Aviv, but it was probably their only one" line?

A number of accounts of the Japanese surrender in World War 2 relate that the Japanese leaders hesitated after the Hiroshima attack specifically because certain scientific advisors had suggested that the United States only had one of the atomic bombs. They cited the extreme difficulty of enriching uranium to fissionable levels and suggested that it might take many years to accumulate material for one bomb. The followup attack on Nagasaki, with a plutonium bomb, quickly disposed of that speculation.

380 dwill890  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 11:45:48am

IAEA Springs Into Action
they are so fast almost frog like!

381 Cato  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 11:48:18am

re: #8 Cato the Elder


They don't have the technology to build a commode!

382 redc1c4  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 11:52:37am

re: #375 rockmanvermont

ya know...... on of my first ever posts here at LGF was similar to yours:

it got deleted. i wonder how long yours will last?

383 Blue Eyed Music Lover  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 11:56:17am

Do you really want to wait for the "OK, they detonated a nuclear bomb in Tel Aviv, but it was probably their only one" line?

A number of accounts of the Japanese surrender in World War 2 relate that the Japanese leaders hesitated after the Hiroshima attack specifically because certain scientific advisors had suggested that the United States only had one of the atomic bombs. They cited the extreme difficulty of enriching uranium to fissionable levels and suggested that it might take many years to accumulate material for one bomb. The followup attack on Nagasaki, with a plutonium bomb, quickly disposed of that speculation.

I had read, but I can't remember the source, that after Nagasaki, we didn't have any more bombs ready, but we told the japs we had more ready.

384 Clutch  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 11:58:46am

I'm thinking that we are gonna need a set of these and these for all the photographic opportunities coming our way. Unfortunately, I think that we will see the second one used first (when we are struck again) and the second one IRL going after the pack of traitors that are being given a place in Obama's Waffle House.

Still, we can have a little fun while the USA we knew goes under... :-(

385 theheat  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 12:00:25pm
because Iran would have to take additional steps. Not only would it have to breach its international agreements and kick out the inspectors, but it would also have to further purify the fuel and put it into a warhead design — a technical advance that Western experts are unsure Iran has yet achieved.

I'm so glad there are experts looking at this from every angle. The rest of us laymen just wait until there's a big puff in the sky and everything turns to glass to come to the conclusion that - okay - I guess they really were able to build a bomb.

Once Israel gets glazed to cinders these experts will be pretty doggone sure Iran was ready to build a bomb. Then they can say, "Aha! Told ya!"

Then there will be peace talks... Lots and lots of talking. Just talking, and no more.

386 guftafs  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 12:01:38pm

re: #379 shiplord kirel

A number of accounts of the Japanese surrender in World War 2 relate that the Japanese leaders hesitated after the Hiroshima attack specifically because certain scientific advisors had suggested that the United States only had one of the atomic bombs. They cited the extreme difficulty of enriching uranium to fissionable levels and suggested that it might take many years to accumulate material for one bomb. The followup attack on Nagasaki, with a plutonium bomb, quickly disposed of that speculation.

If I remember correctly Paul Johnson writes in his Modern Times that the initial reaction from the Japanese to the Hiroshima bombing was to ask whether this was this new weapon rumoured to exist (remember, noone had ever seen anything like it before), and secondly, if a crash program could be started in Japan to develop something similar in six months. That is, they were not prepared to surrender. Only the second bomb convinced them of the futility of continuing to fight.

387 Dreader1962  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 12:02:47pm

Our military is prevented from doing effective measures against the Somali pirates and we stand by while a rabid anti-American, anti-Israel government slowly develops the means to vaporize millions.

I'm reminded of how helpless I felt as a soldier while 9/11 happened - I felt ashamed that civilians were taking it on the chin and there was nothing that could be done on that day but watch.

388 shiplord kirel  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 12:04:29pm

re: #383 Blue Eyed Music Lover

Do you really want to wait for the "OK, they detonated a nuclear bomb in Tel Aviv, but it was probably their only one" line?

A number of accounts of the Japanese surrender in World War 2 relate that the Japanese leaders hesitated after the Hiroshima attack specifically because certain scientific advisors had suggested that the United States only had one of the atomic bombs. They cited the extreme difficulty of enriching uranium to fissionable levels and suggested that it might take many years to accumulate material for one bomb. The followup attack on Nagasaki, with a plutonium bomb, quickly disposed of that speculation.

I had read, but I can't remember the source, that after Nagasaki, we didn't have any more bombs ready, but we told the japs we had more ready.

According to

Downfall

, by Norman Polmar and Thomas Allen, the next bomb would have been ready in early September, with two a month delivered after that. The production rate did not increase until well after the war.

389 jester6  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 12:05:51pm

re: #354 Kenneth

It's not about saying I told you so. It's about facing this issue with a solid grasp of reality.

Right now there is almost no political will for a military strike. I am not even sure if Bush ordered a strike the order would be followed. Bush would almost certainly be prosecuted when Obama takes office [he cannot pardon himself] and military leadership involved in the strike would have their careers terminated or prosecuted as well. A strike against Iran right now would require many many people to essentially pay with their careers and lives.

The majority of Europeans are against attacking Iran. They are the ones who have more to loose than the US. The Israeli public is not entirely behind attacking Iran. And half of the US population is against attacking Iran.

Starting a military action without public support is foolhardy. It is damaging to the military and damaging to the society which purports to keep the military under civilian control. Why should the US take a hit to save Europeans who are not willing to support themselves.

Also, by deploying some of our existing theater air defense and naval based ABM systems the US can quietly serve as a defense for Israel. That would shift more of the threat to Europe and give Isreal and the US the political will to use maximum force against Iran.

Given the political realities of the world we live in Iran is going to get the bomb. Iran is going to [at least try] to use the bomb. We should be focusing our efforts on what happens after a city, hopefully in Europe and not Israel, gets nuked.

People are going to die and cities are going to be lost at this point. It's time to accept that reality and prepare for it.

390 Tilly  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 12:29:25pm

I think it would be a great farewell gesture if Bush would tell those fighter pilots to deliver their load and earn their pay....

Rock the Casbah baby!

391 Lincolntf  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 12:29:45pm

re: #389 jester6


"Right now there is almost no political will for a military strike. I am not even sure if Bush ordered a strike the order would be followed."

Wow. I'm guessing you've never spent a single second of your lifetime in the Armed Forces.

392 Son of the Black Dog  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 12:35:02pm

re: #383 Blue Eyed Music Lover

...

I had read, but I can't remember the source, that after Nagasaki, we didn't have any more bombs ready, but we told the japs we had more ready.

The 3rd bomb was already at Tinian, minus its plutonium core, which could be delivered from Los Alamos on 72 hours notice by a C-54 cargo aircraft. I don't know if the plutonium for bomb no. four was ready yet, but Hanford was turning out enough plutonium for a bomb every four weeks.

393 boiledwombat  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 12:40:29pm

re: #389 jester6
The Iranians would most likely strike when they have some critical number of atomic weapons available - a 9-11 strike on a larger scale if you will. There would be multiple cities targeted in in the initial attack. The best we can hope for is various failures of the delivery systems. Inevitably, something will get through and a city (or several) will be destroyed.

If the Iranians refrain from targeting the Saudi oil fields, I suspect that US military forces under President Obama may be ordered to attack Israeli forces to disable their nuclear retaliation and preserve a semblance of the world oil economy.

The Mullahs may think they can survive this scenario - and some of them clearly do not care anyway. "The revolution is not concerned with the price of melons" as one of the Ayotollahs once said.

If the Saudi oil fields go up in an atomic blast, then it would seem logical that we would exterminate Iran in the aftermath.

394 Westward Ho  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 12:43:28pm

re: #28 Who Watches the Watchmen?

Is this the part where Israel springs into action?

I do not think that they have the chutzpah for it though the time is ripe for it politically - the arabs hate the Iranians because of their new found power and would cheer privately were Israel do another Ozirak.

395 Westward Ho  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 12:55:13pm

I read in the Asia times that the American strategy is to impose a naval blockade on Iran hoping that it came to its senses and not be the first one to start a hot war.

396 Miss Molly  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 1:16:35pm

I wonder if anyone actually knows just how far along Iran is toward getting material for a bomb. There doesn't seem to be any good reliable intelligence on this issue.

397 LC HOGHEAD  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 1:21:36pm

Geebus...you can find instructions on how to make one on the internet !

398 Quilly Mammoth  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 1:22:16pm
They know how to do the enrichment. Whether they know how to design a bomb, well, that’s another matter.”

What a moron, of course they know how to build a bomb.

399 Ozark Mountain Daredevil  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 1:29:55pm

Say it ain't so, Mo....

400 boiledwombat  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 1:34:05pm

re: #396 Miss Molly
Those who really know aren't going to say - and those that say don't really know.

Having said that, let me toss my guess in that Iran has material right now to make 6-8 weapons and they are in the preliminary stages of manufacturing them. It's just a guess.

Given the time pressures on the scientists in the program, I would also guess that the quality control is lacking and some of that material contains hidden defects that render it unsuitable. Some of these weapons aren't going to work. That may not be apparent until they are deployed and used.

When your bosses can have you shot (or worse) for reporting lack of progress, there is a strong incentive to report progress, whether you made any or not. We saw that with Saddam Hussein's chemical weapons program in Iraq and I consider it likely that a similar dynamic is working with the Iranian nuclear weapons program.

A nasty set of miscalculations all around is quite possible.

401 Ron Shaw  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 1:36:41pm

C'mon folks everybody knows Iran is not using their Nuclear program to make big bombs...it's for energy! At any rate, the UN Inspectors couldn't find themselves with a GPS device and a mirror.

...and our soon-to-be glorious leader wants to sit down with them without pre-conditions and talk about some heavy-hittin' stuff.

Why can't we 'export' the UN? UN...Utter Nincompoops!

402 jester6  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 1:38:57pm

re: #391 Lincolntf

No I haven't. But I have spent plenty of time with politicians. And a 3 or 4 star general is a lot more of a politician than a warrior.

I think they would find away not to do the strike. They could easily take a pessimistic guess at our capability to knock out their production capabilities. They might also leak word of the impending strike to the media.

They could not keep perfectly legal surveillance programs (like monitoring SWIFT transactions) secret when Bush was popular. Even if the 4 and 4 star generals leading this parade wanted to strike someone would leak the story and compromise the mission.

The only thing a strike now would do is delay the inevitable. Obama certainly is not going to follow up with another strike. Iran is going to get a bomb. I don't like it. Neither do I like rain. But not liking it is not going to change anything.

403 Alberta Oil Peon  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 1:49:00pm

re: #84 Shug

I'm praying for the Guinness Book of World Records Largest Work Accident

I could see that happening. Particularly with some Israeli "help."

404 footballrules  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 1:52:39pm

The next two years will be interesting. If these low oil prices persist, Iran will be hurt badly. Their economy was a shambles before the oil bubble burst. Such economic hardships might threaten the regime from within. Let's hope so.

405 boiledwombat  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 1:55:42pm

A "work accident" or a series of fizzles is probably the best we can hope for in the future.

Even so, there will still be an aftermath in which we must respond with something more than a strongly worded letter of protest.

406 Lincolntf  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 1:57:20pm

re: #402 jester6
"The only thing a strike now would do is delay the inevitable. "

I have to call B.S. on this statement.
First off, delaying the murder of everyone in a 5-mile radius (quibble about the impact repercussions if you must) is not a bad thing. I think we all value every day we're able to draw breath.

Second, I have no idea how many "3-or 4-star Generals" you have coffee klatches with, but I can assure you that in the United States military an order is an order. No gibbering coward who happens to wear stars on his uniform is going to interrupt the ultimate chain of command.
In short, if the Pres. says "launch", we launch. If the Pres, says "stop", we stop.
Tell your (probably apocryphal) General friends that that is how the real world works.

407 boiledwombat  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 2:07:30pm

re: #404 footballrules
The Iranian Mullahs have already shown that they will kill as many of their own people as needed to remain in power. The ruin of the Iranian economy will not be sufficient to dislodge them. Without external force, the only chance for regime change will be when the current generation dies off from old age or assassination.

The Mullahs may be fanatics, but they are not stupid. They gained power in their nation and they know how to keep it.

At best, an economic decline will slow their drive to assert hegemony over the Middle East.

408 Brooklyn  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 3:57:40pm

This news reminds me of a riddle from the Fall of 1980:

Q: What is green, flat, and glows in the dark?
A: Iran, after January 21st.
409 Brooklyn  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 3:59:43pm

re: #2 buzzsawmonkey

Remind me again why we fund anything at all the UN does, and why we permit them to remain here.

Inertia. Stupidity. Political correctness.

410 harrycase2000  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 4:10:06pm

What does the acronym IAEA actually mean? is it a watchdog agency or a PR agency?

411 notutopia  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 4:28:46pm

re: #381 Cato

Cato it's not their technology. It's N.Korean, Russian, Pakistani, China.

412 Ledger1  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 4:47:25pm

re: #17 LDA

True.

The "gun" style atomic weapons are fairly easy to make.

Little boy design

413 Zack  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 4:50:25pm

re: #9

My guess is that some time in the next 4 years Iran will close the Straits of Hormuz to all shipping for a short period of time. Their goals will be blackmail and to test the reaction of the West.

I like that test. It sounds like a golden opportunity to utilize our extensive air assets to maximum effect.

414 Brooklyn  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 5:59:43pm

re: #385 theheat

Once Israel gets glazed to cinders these experts will be pretty doggone sure Iran was ready to build a bomb.

It won't just be Israel. It'll be all of Iran too. The Israelis will give the mullahs an opportunity to find out about "paradise." Here's hoping those "72 virgins" they think they're going to get turn out to be big, hairy, horny, male bikers.

415 davinvalkri  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 6:35:19pm

Is there any way we can make this uranium stockpile disappear with semi-plausible deniability, Israeli-airstrike style?

416 banner  Thu, Nov 20, 2008 10:14:23pm

I know how to build a bomb, it's actually -really- -really- -simple-. I mean when I was in Junior High School in the 70's they had the plans in the freaking library. Add an engineering degree (and the fact that one of my college professors actually -worked- on the Manhattan project) and I think it would take me about 6 months to build a bomb if I had access to everything Iran had access to.

Now H-Bomb, they're a little more complicated...
But any decent physicist should be able to build one I'd bet.

417 docjohn52  Fri, Nov 21, 2008 8:32:14pm

I read a while ago, that NO country that ever attempted to explode a bomb, ever failed, with even their first one...
That being said, it may be that the trick is to keep one from going off.
As for delivery, a simple freighter would do in just about any coastal city. Haifa, LA or New York come immediately to mind.

418 Hobbes  Sun, Nov 23, 2008 1:34:03pm
419 Hobbes  Sun, Nov 23, 2008 1:35:33pm
420 Hobbes  Sun, Nov 23, 2008 1:36:44pm
421 Hobbes  Sun, Nov 23, 2008 1:38:40pm
422 Hobbes  Sun, Nov 23, 2008 1:42:07pm
423 Hobbes  Sun, Nov 23, 2008 1:45:24pm

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