1 Kragar  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:33:27pm

Dick Morris: Romney will win in a 'landslide'

O'REILLY: You're standing by -- wait, Morris, wait. I only have a few minutes with you. So you are standing by your prediction of a Romney landslide?

MORRIS: Absolutely. Romney will win this election by 5 to 10 points in the popular vote. And will carry more than 300 electoral votes.

O'REILLY: All right. Now you know, Morris, I have you booked for one week from tonight. One week from tonight.

2 dragonath  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:33:50pm

I see Romney is making his very own Pickett's Charge into Pennsylvania.

3 lawhawk  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:34:43pm

MATH!

4 jamesfirecat  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:35:27pm

ITS OVER 80.000!!!!!!!

5 jamesfirecat  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:35:58pm

re: #3 lawhawk

MATH!

Science... it works.

6 Kragar  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:36:37pm

re: #3 lawhawk

MATH!

Does the Bible Code count as math?

7 HappyBenghazi  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:37:37pm

Nice article about Nevada in there too.

8 jaunte  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:39:50pm

"Two paths diverged on a graph, and I took the one with the positive slope."

9 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:40:33pm

re: #2 dragonath

I see Romney is making his very own Pickett's Charge into Pennsylvania.

Even if his chances are 20% (I believe they are fully double that), he still has better odds than did Pickett. Pickett's Charge never had more than a 5% chance, since it could only succeed if Gen. Hancock and the Union forces holding the center of the Army of the Potomac's line screwed up badly. Failing that, Pickett's Charge was doomed.

/Fredericksburg, Fredericksburg!

10 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:41:39pm

And since the Civil War has come up:

11 HappyBenghazi  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:42:09pm

Virginia's looking good.

12 lawhawk  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:42:29pm

re: #6 Kragar

Only if it adds up to 613. Everything else is a pretender.

13 jamesfirecat  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:42:34pm

re: #9 Dark_Falcon

Even if his chances are 20% (I believe they are fully double that), he still has better odds than did Pickett. Pickett's Charge never had more than a 5% chance, since it could only succeed if Gen. Hancock and the Union forces holding the center of the Army of the Potomac's line screwed up badly. Failing that, Pickett's Charge was doomed.

/Fredericksburg, Fredericksburg!

Why do Republicans Hate/doubt Nate Silver?

14 calochortus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:43:38pm

re: #9 Dark_Falcon

When I visited Gettysburg some years ago and actually stood there in person and looked at where Pickett's Charge happened, I simply couldn't believe that soldiers would march up that slope to the Union lines. It was just unreal.

15 jamesfirecat  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:44:31pm

re: #10 Dark_Falcon

And since the Civil War has come up:

[Embedded content]

I like Marching Through Georgia better.

16 Talking Point Detective  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:44:41pm

From Sam Wang:

My biggest concern is that the House popular vote and seat count may go in opposite directions. That's antidemocratic and has only happened once since WWII. It's because of redistricting.

It's an interesting point. The Republican work on redistricting has been very successful.

17 Interesting Times in Benghazi  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:45:47pm
18 jaunte  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:45:56pm

Divergence:

Bill Clinton will spend Thursday working for the Obama re-election campaign in Waukesha, Wisconsin.
George W. Bush will spend Thursday in the Cayman Islands, delivering the keynote address at the Cayman Alternative Investment Summit.
[Link: www.nationalmemo.com...]

19 darthstar  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:46:28pm

re: #9 Dark_Falcon

Even if his chances are 20% (I believe they are fully double that), he still has better odds than did Pickett.

President Pickett didn't sell his soul on national TV in order to beat a freak obsessed about man-on-dog sex, a crazy woman, a serial philanderer, and a retard who lost his shit over a bottle of maple syrup in the primaries. Oh, wait...there never was a President Pickett.

20 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:49:19pm

re: #15 jamesfirecat

I like Marching Through Georgia better.

Here you go:

21 The Ghost of a Benghazi Flea  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:49:44pm

re: #19 darthstar

President Pickett didn't sell his soul on national TV in order to beat a freak obsessed about man-on-dog sex, a crazy woman, a serial philanderer, and a retard who lost his shit over a bottle of maple syrup in the primaries. Oh, wait...there never was a President Pickett.

Rick Perry is not retarded.

Retarded people have limitations imposed by biology but learn to cope and thrive. Rick Perry is fucking stupid and puts active effort into remaining fucking stupid. Proud-ignorant and wears it like a badge of honor.

.

22 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:51:26pm

re: #14 calochortus

When I visited Gettysburg some years ago and actually stood there in person and looked at where Pickett's Charge happened, I simply couldn't believe that soldiers would march up that slope to the Union lines. It was just unreal.

Their faith is Lee was semi-religious by that point, but that faith was misplaced. Lee FAILed greatly in ordering an attack on the center of the Union line and the troops making the attack were pulverized because of his failure.

23 HappyBenghazi  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:51:28pm

re: #21 The Ghost of a Flea

Rick Perry is not retarded.

Retarded people have limitations imposed by biology but learn to cope and thrive. Rick Perry is fucking stupid and puts active effort into remaining fucking stupid. Proud-ignorant.

.

He's also the longest tenured governor in this country which makes one sigh. Saw a trailer via a link from a friend about this new documentary about Texas's education system. Yikes just yikes. Makes me real glad that this guy burned out whatever chance he had of becoming president in the primaries or so I hope.

24 jamesfirecat  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:51:31pm

re: #20 Dark_Falcon

Here you go:

[Embedded content]

Much appreciated. Sorry but sometimes you need to remind the south that we fought a war about if they could soley determine the fate of this country THEY LOST.

25 Charles Johnson  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:52:05pm
26 Charles Johnson  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:52:29pm
27 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:53:41pm

re: #19 darthstar

If its wrong for Ann Coulter to call Barack Obama a 'retard' (and it is), its wrong for you to call Rick Perry a 'retard'. Don't call people that. Call Perry a moron if you want, but stop using that highly offensive word.

28 Talking Point Detective  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:53:47pm

re: #9 Dark_Falcon

Even if his chances are 20% (I believe they are fully double that), he still has better odds than did Pickett. Pickett's Charge never had more than a 5% chance, since it could only succeed if Gen. Hancock and the Union forces holding the center of the Army of the Potomac's line screwed up badly. Failing that, Pickett's Charge was doomed.

/Fredericksburg, Fredericksburg!

Out of curiosity - on what basis do you think that Romney's chances are double what Silver predicts?

I've been hawking this like crazy, but I strongly recommend you check out this site:

[Link: election.princeton.edu...]
He bases he predictions on swing state polls and nothing else. His track record is that he has been off by a total of one electoral college vote over the past two presidential elections combined. He has an Obama victory within the 95% CI range.

Even Scott Armstrong at Pollyvote - run by a libertarian predictions expert from Wharton with an excellent track record - has the popular vote margin at a similar gap as Silver (slightly larger, actually):

[Link: pollyvote.forecastingprinciples.com...]

And note this from Pollyvote re: the "Citizens Forecast:"

In a recent study, Andreas Graefe performed this test. He analyzed the accuracy of 190 vote expectation surveys that were conducted between 1932 and 2008. In only 18 of the 190 (9%) surveys did the majority of respondents fail to pick the winner. Across the six elections from 1988 to 2008, vote expectations outperformed four established methods (polls, prediction markets, econometric models, and experts’ judgment) when answering the question that is probably most important to the election observer: who will win? When predicting vote shares, only prediction markets and poll projections were slightly more accurate.

]...]

Since March 2012, when the first survey was published, citizens continuously predicted Obama to win. The respective vote-share prediction derived from the survey ranged from 51.3% to 52.7% for Obama.

What is the analysis you are holding up against these guys?

29 HappyBenghazi  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:53:49pm

Looks like Romentum has been replaced with Obentum- god I hate using candidates names in the word of Momentum. Thanks Joe Lieberman.

30 The Ghost of a Benghazi Flea  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:55:53pm

re: #23 HappyWarrior

Makes me real glad that this guy burned out whatever chance he had of becoming president in the primaries or so I hope.

It's just a shame that removing Rick Perry raises the prospects of Ayatollah Sweatervest and his Tijuana man-on-dog nuptial show.

31 HappyBenghazi  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:57:08pm

re: #30 The Ghost of a Flea

It's just a shame that removing Rick Perry raises the prospects of Ayatollah Sweatervest and his Tijuana man-on-dog nuptial show.

Yeah Santorum would be even worse than Perry probably. Of course, I think Santorum would be a terrible general election candidate.

32 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:57:09pm

re: #24 jamesfirecat

Much appreciated. Sorry but sometimes you need to remind the south that we fought a war about if they could soley determine the fate of this country THEY LOST.

That's why that song is my Standing Answer to Neo-Confederates.

33 engineer cat  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:57:24pm

re: #1 Kragar

Dick Morris: Romney will win in a 'landslide'

MORRIS: I'll bet that all three of those polls when they came out of the field the raw data showed Romney ahead. They are then giving more weight to the Democrats, less to the Republicans in order to mirror the turnout that, in fact, happened in 2008. Because they're assuming it will be the same turnout in '12.

note to mr morris:

Gallup, October 26, 2012: 2012 U.S. Electorate Looks Like 2008

34 DisturbedEma  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 7:58:52pm

re: #2 dragonath

Oh, got the shivers. Took my kids to Gettysburg a few years back- had my first and only "paranormal" experience there

35 DisturbedEma  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:00:26pm

re: #29 HappyWarrior

hey now, he is my mentsch:)

36 HappyBenghazi  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:00:44pm

Speaking of Gettysburg. 150th anniversary of that next year. Only Civil War veteran in my family tree's unit, a Pennsylvania one at that was disbanded in between the end of the battle of Chancellorsville and Gettysburg. We had a copy of his discharge documentation at my grandmother's house but I haven't seen them since she passed. Hopefully my aunt has them.

37 Stanghazi  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:03:25pm

re: #21 The Ghost of a Flea

Rick Perry is not retarded.

Retarded people have limitations imposed by biology but learn to cope and thrive. Rick Perry is fucking stupid and puts active effort into remaining fucking stupid. Proud-ignorant and wears it like a badge of honor.

.

Rick Perry is a stupid fuck who by gift of money and support and enviable cowboy boots, has hid it well.

Until he finally had to participate in a debate.

38 b_snark  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:03:43pm

re: #34 DisturbedEma

Oh, got the shivers. Took my kids to Gettysburg a few years back- had my first and only "paranormal" experience there

I listened to a local radio morning show yesterday, where they had a psychic as a guest. She was regaling them with her ghostly experiences and my first thought was of the hosts, what a pair of gullible idiots. After listening to her for about ten minutes, her technique became more and more defined and my thought changed to - what a crooked shit the psychic is.

39 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:04:00pm

re: #36 HappyWarrior

Speaking of Gettysburg. 150th anniversary of that next year. Only Civil War veteran in my family tree's unit, a Pennsylvania one at that was disbanded in between the end of the battle of Chancellorsville and Gettysburg. We had a copy of his discharge documentation at my grandmother's house but I haven't seen them since she passed. Hopefully my aunt has them.

Sadly, it may prove that the 150th Anniversary, while bigger than the 140th, will still not compare to the 130th, the reason being that the insurance rates for reenactions have gone up greatly in the years since 1993.

40 danarchy  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:04:52pm
41 HappyBenghazi  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:05:26pm

re: #39 Dark_Falcon

Sadly, it may prove that the 150th Anniversary, while bigger than the 140th, will still not compare to the 130th, the reason being that the insurance rates for reenactions have gone up greatly in the years since 1993.

That's too bad. Buddy of mine I grew up with did some reenacting. In fact, he was going to be an extra in Cold Mountain but ultimately did not because it would mean going to Romania for senior year.

42 dragonath  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:06:39pm

re: #24 jamesfirecat

I'm of two minds about history.

Look how many people go for lost causes and all that, even if it was racist, treasonous, and wrong. In some ways it never really their history to begin with.

History is dangerous... and enlightening, from the right perspective.

I guess the fact that parts of this country are still sort of living the civil war means we can't really laugh at places like Northern Ireland for endless grudges anymore.

43 jamesfirecat  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:07:23pm

re: #32 Dark_Falcon

That's why that song is my Standing Answer to Neo-Confederates.

Don't forget to pick up your southern slaveholder murdered by union solders lawn jockey to celebrate next union appreciation month!

44 DisturbedEma  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:07:37pm

re: #36 HappyWarrior

taking my kids there for the event. My 22 year old is a HUGE re: #38 b_sharp

ok I do not BELIEVE in this paranormal bullshit but when my kids tell me that there was someone in a rocking chair wearing a Confederate uniform(I quizzed them) and we were in a hotel on the BATTLEFIELD and I told the "ghost" to go back to bed because I thought he was my 9 year old- ok you believe what you will and I will do likewise

45 HappyBenghazi  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:12:52pm

re: #42 dragonath

I'm of two minds about history.

Look how many people go for lost causes and all that, even if it was racist, treasonous, and wrong. In some ways it never really their history to begin with.

History is dangerous... and enlightening, from the right perspective.

I guess the fact that parts of this country are still sort of living the civil war means we can't really laugh at places like Northern Ireland for endless grudges anymore.

It really is all about who teaches it to you. Who may be a hero in one history may be a villain in another. When I took Irish history in Ireland no less, I got a much different picture of Elizabeth I than I know I would if I had taken British history.

46 Targetpractice  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:15:23pm

re: #42 dragonath

I'm of two minds about history.

Look how many people go for lost causes and all that, even if it was racist, treasonous, and wrong. In some ways it never really their history to begin with.

History is dangerous... and enlightening, from the right perspective.

I guess the fact that parts of this country are still sort of living the civil war means we can't really laugh at places like Northern Ireland for endless grudges anymore.

The idea of the "lost cause" tickles that part of our brain that likes to entertain "What If?" scenarios. We like to tell ourselves, especially if we're on the losing side, that if things had gone just a bit differently, we'd have won the day.

47 HappyBenghazi  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:15:39pm

McCullough ultimately has it right though when he says history is the story of people. I guess that's why I always enjoyed looking at first hand accounts from regular people in the history courses I took whether it was Chinese women coming of age in the years following the Qing dynasty, German soldiers in WWI, etc.

48 HappyBenghazi  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:16:48pm

I venture to say this. A romantic is someone who was not there for the actual suffering and living of history but is there later to paint the glossy picture for those who were or wish they could have been.

49 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:18:43pm

re: #40 danarchy

Political Kombat 2012!

"Congratulations, you have found the portal back to Earth, where a new warrior awaits you. Prepare yourself... to return to Goro's Lair."

If Barack Obama, you face George P. Bush (Jeb Bush's son).

If Mitt Romney, you face Elizabeth Daley (daughter of Richard M. Daley)

50 dragonath  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:20:29pm

re: #48 HappyWarrior

There are people who are gritty and romantic at the same time.

Hunter S. Thompson was a little like that.

51 HappyBenghazi  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:21:17pm

re: #50 dragonath

There are people who are gritty and romantic at the same time.

Hunter S. Thompson was a little like that.

I really need to get into reading him. Not sure what a good starting point would be though.

52 aagcobb  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:21:40pm

re: #46 Targetpractice

The idea of the "lost cause" tickles that part of our brain that likes to entertain "What If?" scenarios. We like to tell ourselves, especially if we're on the losing side, that if things had gone just a bit differently, we'd have won the day.

I have absolutely no doubt that the Confederacy could've won the Civil War if they had adopted the correct strategy. Lee was great on defense, but Pickett's Charge was no fluke; he frequently launched pointless attacks which accomplished nothing but get his men killed, and the South didn't have the manpower to spare.

53 Targetpractice  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:21:43pm

re: #51 HappyWarrior

I really need to get into reading him. Not sure what a good starting point would be though.

Couple hits of acid should be a good start.

//

54 b_snark  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:22:11pm

re: #44 DisturbedEma

taking my kids there for the event. My 22 year old is a HUGE re: #38 b_sharp

ok I do not BELIEVE in this paranormal bullshit but when my kids tell me that there was someone in a rocking chair wearing a Confederate uniform(I quizzed them) and we were in a hotel on the BATTLEFIELD and I told the "ghost" to go back to bed because I thought he was my 9 year old- ok you believe what you will and I will do likewise

Huh?

You need to flesh that out a bit, I didn't quite follow what you were saying.

55 efuseakay  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:22:43pm

re: #13 jamesfirecat

Why do Republicans Hate/doubt Nate Silver?

I doubt every poll until the one that matters on election day. Is it Wednesday yet?

56 HappyBenghazi  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:22:46pm

re: #53 Targetpractice

Couple hits of acid should be a good start.

//

Meh I'm old fashioned. Whiskey and weed all the way!

57 SanFranciscoZionist  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:23:50pm

The fat lady is clearing her throat.

58 Targetpractice  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:23:59pm

re: #13 jamesfirecat

Why do Republicans Hate/doubt Nate Silver?

He turned the old ways of how elections are run on their collective ear. How do you get the "bandwagon effect" (as Rove termed it) going if there's a guy in the Times who's crunched the numbers and shown that the bandwagon is on blocks?

59 b_snark  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:24:38pm

re: #56 HappyWarrior

Meh I'm old fashioned. Whiskey and weed all the way!

Depends on the time of day, and the mood you want to create.

60 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:24:41pm

re: #49 Dark_Falcon

"Congratulations, you have found the portal back to Earth, where a new warrior awaits you. Prepare yourself... to return to Goro's Lair."

If Barack Obama, you face George P. Bush (Jeb Bush's son).

If Mitt Romney, you face Elizabeth Daley (daughter of Richard M. Daley)

That was a riff on Mortal Kombat II, which had that line if you completed one of two special tasks. I forget the first, which let you face Smoke, but the second was to win a round using only the Low Kick button, which let you face Jade. I actually managed to do that once, but was not able to beat Jade in the ensuing fight.

61 b_snark  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:25:10pm

re: #57 SanFranciscoZionist

The fat lady is clearing her throat.

She needs a drink.

62 HappyBenghazi  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:25:37pm

re: #60 Dark_Falcon

That was a riff on Mortal Kombat II, which had that line if you completed one of two special tasks. I forget the first, which let you face Smoke, but the second was to win a round using only the Low Kick button, which let you face Jade. I actually managed to do that once, but was not able to beat Jade in the ensuing fight.

Jade is tough in MKII. I recently got the MK collection for my PS3. Fun times. Still the best fighting series in all of video games.

63 SanFranciscoZionist  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:25:39pm

re: #31 HappyWarrior

Yeah Santorum would be even worse than Perry probably. Of course, I think Santorum would be a terrible general election candidate.

Santorum would be a disaster, but is not macho enough to be electable.

64 efuseakay  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:25:50pm

re: #28 Talking Point Detective

Out of curiosity - on what basis do you think that Romney's chances are double what Silver predicts?

I've been hawking this like crazy, but I strongly recommend you check out this site:

[Link: election.princeton.edu...]
He bases he predictions on swing state polls and nothing else. His track record is that he has been off by a total of one electoral college vote over the past two presidential elections combined. He has an Obama victory within the 95% CI range.

Even Scott Armstrong at Pollyvote - run by a libertarian predictions expert from Wharton with an excellent track record - has the popular vote margin at a similar gap as Silver (slightly larger, actually):

[Link: pollyvote.forecastingprinciples.com...]

And note this from Pollyvote re: the "Citizens Forecast:"

What is the analysis you are holding up against these guys?

Desperation.

65 Targetpractice  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:26:00pm

re: #60 Dark_Falcon

That was a riff on Mortal Kombat II, which had that line if you completed one of two special tasks. I forget the first, which let you face Smoke, but the second was to win a round using only the Low Kick button, which let you face Jade. I actually managed to do that once, but was not able to beat Jade in the ensuing fight.

God, talk about memories. I remember when Nintendo got a lot of shit for censoring the blood out of the first MK.

66 erik_t  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:26:07pm

re: #55 efuseakay

I doubt every poll until the one that matters on election day. Is it Wednesday yet?

Intelligent skepticism is a virtue in the eyes of science. One should always be circumspect about the prospect of fully and completely understanding the surrounding world.

Black-and-white data rejection is a vice in the eyes of science. Closing one's eyes and shouting 'NAH NAH NAH WE WON'T KNOW UNTIL IT'S OVER' is technically correct but entirely uninteresting and really brings nothing to the table.

67 erik_t  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:27:24pm

re: #28 Talking Point Detective

Out of curiosity - on what basis do you think that Romney's chances are double what Silver predicts?

He said 'believe', not 'think'.

68 SanFranciscoZionist  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:27:42pm

re: #44 DisturbedEma

taking my kids there for the event. My 22 year old is a HUGE re: #38 b_sharp

ok I do not BELIEVE in this paranormal bullshit but when my kids tell me that there was someone in a rocking chair wearing a Confederate uniform(I quizzed them) and we were in a hotel on the BATTLEFIELD and I told the "ghost" to go back to bed because I thought he was my 9 year old- ok you believe what you will and I will do likewise

I suppose I'm a little West County, but the place...that's a lot of death.

Who thought it was a good idea to build a hotel on the battlefield, anyway?

69 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:28:03pm

re: #63 SanFranciscoZionist

Santorum would be a disaster, but is not macho enough to be electable.

I think he'd rather see himself as a good father than a macho man.

70 aagcobb  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:28:16pm

re: #63 SanFranciscoZionist

Santorum would be a disaster, but is not macho enough to be electable.

Is there any electable Republican right now? Or has the Extreme Right so poisoned the well that there is noone the GOP could've nominated to beat the President?

71 dragonath  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:28:33pm

re: #51 HappyWarrior

He got a little more mellow (in some ways) as has he got older. He wasn't trying to be so opaque. Songs of the Doomed is probably the best place to start if you don't want to start on the heavy stuff.

There's an amazing quote of his that I thought described the 2008 election better than any contemporary political commenter did. Maybe I'll try to find it before election night.

72 makeitstopghazi  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:29:06pm

re: #51 HappyWarrior

I really need to get into reading him. Not sure what a good starting point would be though.

Read the early stuff - his Hell's Angels book is funny and harrowing.

'Fear and Loathing On The Campaign Trail' is also excellent. HST hated Nixon and painted the best portrait of how fucked up Nixon's whole operation was.

I miss Thompson. I wish he would have stuck around long enough to chronicle the Tea Party. He would have owned them.

73 SanFranciscoZionist  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:29:32pm

re: #61 b_sharp

She needs a drink.

Nah, she's just preparing to sing.

Either this is all over but the shouting, or Mitt Romney is about to pull off a political miracle of epic proportions.

74 ProGunLiberal  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:30:14pm

Katrina caused approximately $108 Billion in Damage, not counting Inflation (That is $128 Billion today) And about, with the confirmed dead, and the still 135 missing, had a death toll of at least 1,971.

Thus Far, Sandy has 90 dead in the US, in addition to 1 missing. Additionally, 72 died in the Caribbean, with an additional 21 missing in Haiti. Damage amounts have a low bar of $50 Billion in the US, with an additional $400 million (at the least) in the Caribbean.

It looks like we took the poor into account much more than during Katrina, and the death toll will be much lower.

However, while the surge wasn't as high with Katrina, it hit a much more populated area, with more destructive potential. I think it is going to be very close in terms of Damage amounts between Katrina and Sandy. Sandy could very well beat both damage totals.

75 Targetpractice  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:30:27pm

re: #69 Dark_Falcon

I think he'd rather see himself as a good father than a macho man.

Agreed, I think Santorum might have actually had an easier time of it when arguing topics like the economy. But he likely would have ended up bogged down in social issues before it was all over.

76 efuseakay  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:30:45pm

re: #66 erik_t

Intelligent skepticism is a virtue in the eyes of science. One should always be circumspect about the prospect of fully and completely understanding the surrounding world.

Black-and-white data rejection is a vice in the eyes of science. Closing one's eyes and shouting 'NAH NAH NAH WE WON'T KNOW UNTIL IT'S OVER' is technically correct but entirely uninteresting and really brings nothing to the table.

Only reason I doubt polls during election season... look what the SOS of Ohio is doing... that GOP operative tossing voter rolls (or whatever they were) in the dumpster... etc. etc. etc. People being turned away at the polls... And now with Sandy... Nobody knows what effect that's going to have. Just too much BS and a huge unknown to factor into all the math/analysis.

77 SanFranciscoZionist  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:30:58pm

re: #69 Dark_Falcon

I think he'd rather see himself as a good father than a macho man.

Undoubtedly, and I can respect at least that about him. But his manner is not one that can win a primary, let alone a presidential election.

78 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:31:53pm

re: #62 HappyWarrior

Jade is tough in MKII. I recently got the MK collection for my PS3. Fun times. Still the best fighting series in all of video games.

Indeed. The 3rd MKII special character, Noob Saibot (a reversal of the names of the game's designers, Boon And Tobias), was very hard to fight. You had to win 50 player-vs-player matches in order to face him. He was much like Scorpion and Smoke, except that he was only a black silhouette and so was very hard to see against the dark background of Goro's Liar.

/Ah, memory.

79 b_snark  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:31:59pm

re: #63 SanFranciscoZionist

Santorum would be a disaster, but is not macho enough to be electable.

And he's named after an icky substance - santorum. Ewww.

80 SanFranciscoZionist  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:32:09pm

re: #70 aagcobb

Is there any electable Republican right now? Or has the Extreme Right so poisoned the well that there is noone the GOP could've nominated to beat the President?

I think there are Republicans out there who would have been better choices, certainly. But it was a crazy year.

They'll probably be able to field a good candidate in four years, and please God, things will have calmed down a little by then.

81 Interesting Times in Benghazi  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:33:00pm

re: #80 SanFranciscoZionist

I think there are Republicans out there who would have been better choices, certainly. But it was a crazy year.

82 SanFranciscoZionist  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:33:20pm

re: #75 Targetpractice

Agreed, I think Santorum might have actually had an easier time of it when arguing topics like the economy. But he likely would have ended up bogged down in social issues before it was all over.

Santorum is a very smart man who would rather be right in the eyes of God than President.

I am happy to let him make that judgement call.

83 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:33:21pm

re: #79 b_sharp

Don't keep spreading that meme. It's not fair to his children.

84 Talking Point Detective  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:33:23pm

re: #64 efuseakay

Desperation.

My guess is that it's just wishful thinking - not based on any analysis at all.

85 danarchy  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:34:28pm

re: #79 b_sharp

And he's named after an icky substance - santorum. Ewww.

I still feel really bad about all of the perfectly innocent people who shared his name.

86 HappyBenghazi  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:34:34pm

I hope his daughter's health improves. The guy's ideology repulses me but he's a man with a family and no one should have to suffer like that.

87 erik_t  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:35:01pm

re: #83 Dark_Falcon

Don't keep spreading that meme. It's not fair to his children.

Santorum has never demonstrated the slightest hesitance to fuck over the lives of thousands or millions of people around him.

That dirty motherfucker can pound sand. Or spew santorum. Whatever, I don't care. He is a piece of shit. One of the worst human beings ever made famous by this nation.

88 steve_davis  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:35:09pm

re: #9 Dark_Falcon

Even if his chances are 20% (I believe they are fully double that), he still has better odds than did Pickett. Pickett's Charge never had more than a 5% chance, since it could only succeed if Gen. Hancock and the Union forces holding the center of the Army of the Potomac's line screwed up badly. Failing that, Pickett's Charge was doomed.

/Fredericksburg, Fredericksburg!

Ever seen the History Channel special on Gettysburg, where they show the concrete dummies getting blown apart by grape shot? It really just makes you wonder. Those guys had to know they were dying that day, at least after they'd gotten partway across the field.

89 SanFranciscoZionist  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:35:37pm

re: #85 danarchy

I still feel really bad about all of the perfectly innocent people who shared his name.

Shared? You mean, until they changed it to Santorini? Or Schlossenberger? Or anything really?

90 Mentis Fugit  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:35:50pm

re: #63 SanFranciscoZionist

Santorum would be a disaster, but is not macho enough to be electable.

Too thin and effeminate?

91 b_snark  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:36:07pm

re: #73 SanFranciscoZionist

Nah, she's just preparing to sing.

Either this is all over but the shouting, or Mitt Romney is about to pull off a political miracle of epic proportions.

And up here, we're in the good seats for the greatest show in the world.

A Quebec poli-sci prof did a study trying to prove a Republic gov't was better for Canada than a Dem gov't.

His hypothesis was falsified.

I saw him on the news but I can't find his report or study online. Aarrgh.

92 Talking Point Detective  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:36:27pm

re: #80 SanFranciscoZionist

I think there are Republicans out there who would have been better choices, certainly. But it was a crazy year.

They'll probably be able to field a good candidate in four years, and please God, things will have calmed down a little by then.

They have a very serious basic structural problem. Then need to appeal to their lunatic base, and they also need to appeal to moderates. I think it will be extremely tough for them to find a candidate that can pull that off.

Who would have had a better chance than Romney?

93 b_snark  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:36:41pm

re: #74 ProGunLiberal

Katrina caused approximately $108 Billion in Damage, not counting Inflation (That is $128 Billion today) And about, with the confirmed dead, and the still 135 missing, had a death toll of at least 1,971.

Thus Far, Sandy has 90 dead in the US, in addition to 1 missing. Additionally, 72 died in the Caribbean, with an additional 21 missing in Haiti. Damage amounts have a low bar of $50 Billion in the US, with an additional $400 million (at the least) in the Caribbean.

It looks like we took the poor into account much more than during Katrina, and the death toll will be much lower.

However, while the surge wasn't as high with Katrina, it hit a much more populated area, with more destructive potential. I think it is going to be very close in terms of Damage amounts between Katrina and Sandy. Sandy could very well beat both damage totals.

Two died in Canuckistan as well.

94 aagcobb  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:37:28pm

re: #90 Mentis Fugit

Too thin and effeminate?

A lot like Flanders, but not nearly as likeable.

95 ProGunLiberal  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:37:38pm

re: #93 b_sharp

Sorry about that Canada!

96 SanFranciscoZionist  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:38:05pm

re: #86 HappyWarrior

I hope his daughter's health improves. The guy's ideology repulses me but he's a man with a family and no one should have to suffer like that.

She's already beaten all the odds for Edwards. Trisomies suck, but this one is especially nasty.

97 Targetpractice  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:38:22pm

re: #94 aagcobb

A lot like Flanders, but not nearly as likeable.

Stupid, sexy Flanders.

//

98 danarchy  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:38:34pm

re: #89 SanFranciscoZionist

Shared? You mean, until they changed it to Santorini? Or Schlossenberger? Or anything really?

heh, perhaps I should have said "share".

99 SanFranciscoZionist  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:38:39pm

re: #90 Mentis Fugit

Too thin and effeminate?

Basically, yeah.

100 Interesting Times in Benghazi  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:38:48pm

re: #93 b_sharp

Two died in Canuckistan as well.

Yes! One of them killed in Toronto by a poorly maintained Staples sign that blew off and pinned her underneath

First Romney, now this...I'm going to have to find another place to get electronics and office supplies.

101 SanFranciscoZionist  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:39:59pm

re: #92 Talking Point Detective

They have a very serious basic structural problem. Then need to appeal to their lunatic base, and they also need to appeal to moderates. I think it will be extremely tough for them to find a candidate that can pull that off.

Who would have had a better chance than Romney?

A lesser-known governor, a relative unknown, with the ability to mollify the base without saying stupid things, and some grip on middle-class reality.

Or Jeb Bush.

102 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:40:14pm
103 Interesting Times in Benghazi  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:40:43pm

If we must disenfranchise voters, can we please make it the ones who are this fucking stupid?

104 b_snark  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:40:46pm

re: #83 Dark_Falcon

Don't keep spreading that meme. It's not fair to his children.

Yah, I know. I just had a tweet-fight with someone who is a creationist employing their favourite tactic of reversing cause and effect. That was a flippant example of the technique.

105 HappyBenghazi  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:41:12pm

re: #97 Targetpractice

Stupid, sexy Flanders.

//

Feels like I'm wearing nothing at all, nothing at all.
They really do need to have an episode where William H. Macy guest stars as Ned's secret twin brother. Doubt it would happen but I'm with Groening and the writers of the show who think Macy would be the perfect real life Flanders. Saw Fargo again the other night during the storm. Still awesome.

106 b_snark  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:42:00pm

re: #95 ProGunLiberal

Sorry about that Canada!

I just mentioned it so your numbers were complete.

107 aagcobb  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:42:13pm

re: #101 SanFranciscoZionist

A lesser-known governor, a relative unknown, with the ability to mollify the base without saying stupid things, and some grip on middle-class reality.

Or Jeb Bush.

Its too soon. Now '16 looks good for a Clinton/Bush rematch.

108 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:42:19pm

re: #88 steve_davis

Ever seen the History Channel special on Gettysburg, where they show the concrete dummies getting blown apart by grape shot? It really just makes you wonder. Those guys had to know they were dying that day, at least after they'd gotten partway across the field.

Some of them did know, I'm sure, but they feared being thought a coward far more than they feared death. To have run would have meant disgrace, and most of those men thought death preferable.

109 Targetpractice  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:43:38pm

re: #108 Dark_Falcon

Some of them did know, I'm sure, but they feared being thought a coward far more than they feared death. To have run would have meant disgrace, and most of those men thought death preferable.

"Honor" seems to be the number one cause of death on the battlefield.

110 DisturbedEma  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:44:20pm

re: #108 Dark_Falcon

despite our differences, based on my actual tour guide experience, I agree gallantry for sure

111 DisturbedEma  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:45:02pm

re: #109 Targetpractice

Especially on the Confederate side according to my tour guide

112 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:46:14pm

Nibiru!

113 Interesting Times in Benghazi  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:46:17pm

re: #101 SanFranciscoZionist

On a totally OT note, are you doing nano this year?

114 DisturbedEma  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:46:52pm

my now 22 year old, when he was 13, insisted that Gettysberg was the place for a family vacay- it was an awesome time and despite my non belief, I saw a ghost so I guess I am conflicted

115 Targetpractice  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:47:01pm

re: #112 Gus

Nibiru!

Gesundheit.

116 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:47:54pm

re: #115 Targetpractice

Gesundheit.

That's what God said to the Sun after it sneezed on Earth.

//

117 b_snark  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:47:55pm

re: #113 Interesting Times

On a totally OT note, are you doing nano this year?

I use nano because it's more intuitive than EMACs, vi or even gedit.

118 b_snark  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:48:25pm

re: #114 DisturbedEma

my now 22 year old, when he was 13, insisted that Gettysberg was the place for a family vacay- it was an awesome time and despite my non belief, I saw a ghost so I guess I am conflicted

You actually saw it?

119 DisturbedEma  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:49:51pm

re: #118 b_sharp

yup standing next to my bed at the Battlefield Bed and Breakfast thought it was my son, but he was wearing a gray uniform so not him

120 Targetpractice  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:49:53pm

re: #111 DisturbedEma

Especially on the Confederate side according to my tour guide

Oh, the Confederates were neither the first or last band of idiots who thought charging into the guns a great tactic. See also: Banzai Charge, The Charge of the Light Brigade, etc.

121 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:51:48pm

re: #109 Targetpractice

"Honor" seems to be the number one cause of death on the battlefield.

But it is also what allows some soldiers to accomplish incredible feats. It was was the honor ideals of the hoplite, that a proper man should keep him place in the ranks and that he was a far lesser man if he deserted his comrades, that allowed 64 Greeks hoplites in their phalanx, even those from lesser city-states, to take on the soldiers of Xerxes at the wrong end of 3-1 numerical superiority, and win. They won not because of superhuman strength or greatly superior weapons, but because their will to prove themselves worthy of the polis of which they were citizens was far greater than their fear.

122 SanFranciscoZionist  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:52:17pm

re: #113 Interesting Times

On a totally OT note, are you doing nano this year?

Maybe. I need to get started properly this weekend if so. Work is very intense right now, and I probably wouldn't finish...so I'm trying to decide if giving it the old college try is worthwhile to me right now.

123 moderatelyradicalliberal  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:53:58pm

Eat more chicken indeed.

Image: 484.jpg

124 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:55:24pm
A-well-a everybody's heard about the derp
B-b-d-derp, derp, derp, d-derp's the word
A-well-a derp, derp, derp, the derp is the word
A-well-a derp, derp, derp, well the derp is the word
A-well-a derp, derp, derp, d-derp's the word
A-well-a derp, derp, derp, well the derp is the word
A-well-a derp, derp, d-derp's the word
A-well-a derp, derp, derp, d-derp's the word
A-well-a derp, derp, derp, well the derp is the word
A-well-a derp, derp, d-derp's the word
A-well-a don't you know about the derp?
Well, everybody knows that the derp is the word!
A-well-a derp, derp, d-derp's the word
A-well-a...

A-well-a everybody's heard about the derp
derp, derp, derp, d-derp's the word
A-well-a derp, derp, derp, d-derp's the word
A-well-a derp, derp, derp, d-derp's the word
A-well-a derp, derp, d-derp's the word
A-well-a derp, derp, derp, d-derp's the word
A-well-a derp, derp, derp, d-derp's the word
A-well-a derp, derp, derp, d-derp's the word
A-well-a derp, derp, derp, d-derp's the word
A-well-a don't you know about the derp?
Well, everybody's talking about the derp!
A-well-a derp, derp, d-derp's the word
A-well-a derp...

Surfin' derp
Bbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbb... [retching noises]... aaah!

Pa-pa-pa-pa-pa-pa-pa-pa-pa-pa-pa-pa-pa-pa-pa-pa-
Pa-pa-pa-pa-pa-pa-pa-pa-pa-pa-pa-pa-pa-pa-ooma-mow-mow
Papa-ooma-mow-mow

Papa-ooma-mow-mow, papa-ooma-mow-mow
Papa-ooma-mow-mow, papa-ooma-mow-mow
Ooma-mow-mow, papa-ooma-mow-mow
Papa-ooma-mow-mow, papa-ooma-mow-mow
Papa-ooma-mow-mow, papa-ooma-mow-mow
Oom-oom-oom-oom-ooma-mow-mow
Papa-ooma-mow-mow, papa-oom-oom-oom
Oom-ooma-mow-mow, papa-ooma-mow-mow
Ooma-mow-mow, papa-ooma-mow-mow
Papa-a-mow-mow, papa-ooma-mow-mow
Papa-ooma-mow-mow, ooma-mow-mow
Papa-ooma-mow-mow, ooma-mow-mow
Papa-oom-oom-oom-oom-ooma-mow-mow
Oom-oom-oom-oom-ooma-mow-mow
Ooma-mow-mow, papa-ooma-mow-mow
Papa-ooma-mow-mow, ooma-mow-mow
Well don't you know about the derp?
Well, everybody knows that the derp is the word!
A-well-a derp, derp, d-derp's the word

Papa-ooma-mow-mow, papa-ooma-mow-mow

125 b_snark  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:56:26pm

re: #119 DisturbedEma

yup standing next to my bed at the Battlefield Bed and Breakfast thought it was my son, but he was wearing a gray uniform so not him

How long did you see him?
re: #124 Gus

What the fuck you listening to, other than the voices in your head?

126 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:57:52pm

re: #125 b_sharp

How long did you see him?
re: #124 Gus

What the fuck you listening to, other than the voices in your head?

War of the Worlds (2005) clips, Awakening, and a couple of other apocalyptic sci-fis. I decided I would rather face a War of the World instead of an astronomical event.

127 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:58:56pm

re: #120 Targetpractice

Oh, the Confederates were neither the first or last band of idiots who thought charging into the guns a great tactic. See also: Banzai Charge, The Charge of the Light Brigade, etc.

Pancho Villa's troops at 2nd Celaya. Villa could not accept that the Federales facing him were steady soldiers and that their combination of the trench, the Mauser, the machine gun, quick-firing artillery, and barbed wire had killed the of infantry or mounted charge stone dead. So he sent the Division del Norte to destruction against entrenched troops over ground preregistered for the Federal artillery and machine guns.

128 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:59:33pm

This will help.

129 efuseakay  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 8:59:56pm

Nightline just had a special about that TP/GOP group True The Vote. A group that sends "poll watchers" to poor minority neighborhoods to look for voter fraud. Wow. Charles. You need to do some digging. This group is dangerous. NL interviewed Catherine Englebrecht. What a snake.

They send out official-sounding letters to poor minority neighborhoods basically telling them they are in eligible to vote because of "Ohio law #####". One lady fought back though and she voted early.

130 b_snark  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:00:21pm

re: #126 Gus

War of the Worlds (2005) clips, Awakening, and a couple of other apocalyptic sci-fis. I decided I would rather face a War of the World instead of an astronomical event.

My favourite movies are apocalyptic sci-fis. I tend to prefer the same in books.

I think I'm going to go grab a snort of snotch.

131 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:00:43pm
132 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:01:00pm

re: #130 b_sharp

My favourite movies are apocalyptic sci-fis. I tend to prefer the same in books.

I think I'm going to go grab a snort of snotch.

I'm having some whiskey right meow, hear.

133 moderatelyradicalliberal  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:01:23pm

re: #129 efuseakay

Nightline just had a special about that TP/GOP group True The Vote. A group that sends "poll watchers" to poor minority neighborhoods to look for voter fraud. Wow. Charles. You need to do some digging. This group is dangerous. NL interviewed Catherine Englebrecht. What a snake.

They send out official-sounding letters to poor minority neighborhoods basically telling them they are in eligible to vote because of "Ohio law #####". One lady fought back though and she voted early.

These are terrible, awful no good rotten people. They can burn in Hell.

134 moderatelyradicalliberal  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:02:39pm

re: #129 efuseakay

Nightline just had a special about that TP/GOP group True The Vote. A group that sends "poll watchers" to poor minority neighborhoods to look for voter fraud. Wow. Charles. You need to do some digging. This group is dangerous. NL interviewed Catherine Englebrecht. What a snake.

They send out official-sounding letters to poor minority neighborhoods basically telling them they are in eligible to vote because of "Ohio law #####". One lady fought back though and she voted early.

Did anybody ask them why they only go into poor and minority neighborhoods? Or did the MSM decide that that would be rude to imply that they were racist or some shit?

135 Targetpractice  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:03:08pm

re: #126 Gus

War of the Worlds (2005) clips, Awakening, and a couple of other apocalyptic sci-fis. I decided I would rather face a War of the World instead of an astronomical event.

Ever listened to Jeff Wayne's musical version of War of the Worlds?

136 efuseakay  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:03:18pm

re: #70 aagcobb

Is there any electable Republican right now? Or has the Extreme Right so poisoned the well that there is noone the GOP could've nominated to beat the President?

Mark Kirk (IL) but he had that terrible stroke. :-/

137 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:03:26pm

re: #131 Dark_Falcon

[Embedded content]

138 moderatelyradicalliberal  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:04:58pm

re: #70 aagcobb

Is there any electable Republican right now? Or has the Extreme Right so poisoned the well that there is noone the GOP could've nominated to beat the President?

Jon Huntsman. But I doubt he could get through a GOP primary.

139 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:05:14pm

re: #135 Targetpractice

Ever listened to Jeff Wayne's musical version of War of the Worlds?

Listening now. Sounds like progressive rock of sorts? I like John Williams.

140 efuseakay  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:06:40pm

re: #134 moderatelyradicalliberal

Did anybody ask them why they only go into poor and minority neighborhoods? Or did the MSM decide that that would be rude to imply that they were racist or some shit?

They asked. And that Catherine chick deflected (As she clenched her jaw.... You could see it.).

I'm sure Nightline will post this online soon if its not up already. No desire for me to look now since I'm mobile. Anyone?

141 b_snark  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:06:51pm

CRAP!*

I have just 1 finger of Scotch left.

(The good die so young.)

*The liquor board stores are all closed right now.

142 kirghazi  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:09:14pm

re: #52 aagcobb

I have absolutely no doubt that the Confederacy could've won the Civil War if they had adopted the correct strategy. Lee was great on defense, but Pickett's Charge was no fluke; he frequently launched pointless attacks which accomplished nothing but get his men killed, and the South didn't have the manpower to spare.

No. Oh, I used to believe that, but then...

The two nominal avenues to victory both required your point - a defensive war. A war of attrition, with the south constantly losing more (proportionally), till one of two things happened. The first would have been for the North to give up. For it to decide reigning in the south was not worth the meat grinders. Unfortunately for the South, the anaconda plan was viable.

Which left the other hope, that another nation would be moved to come to the aid of the South. Read history - it wasn't going to happen. Despite much noise in Southern legislatures, their international supporters were dilettantes and minor powers within their own borders. Military observers were there for the reason military observers went (and go) to every conflict - to see how war is being waged, to see if new insights in tactics and weaponry can be learned, and to evaluate potential allies/foes.

Had Lee not charged futilely into the North, the south might have been able to last another year, possibly two. Counterweighting the reduced losses would have been the increasing loss of morale as the war was fought only on Southern soil.

Frankly, the south's only real opportunity for success was for Lee to have succeeded in capturing DC, and even better capturing northern Senators and even the President. To strike a blow in the minds of the leaders that led them to capitulate. Because in a straight up war the South was doomed.

143 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:09:48pm

re: #141 b_sharp

CRAP!*

I have just 1 finger of Scotch left.

(The good die so young.)

*The liquor board stores are all closed right now.

Dereliction of duty private!

144 b_snark  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:11:14pm

re: #143 Gus

Dereliction of duty private!

Sorry sir. I should have checked earlier.

I'll open up the vodka.

145 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:11:27pm

I'm not voting on Tuesday!

//

146 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:12:49pm

re: #139 Gus

Listening now. Sounds like progressive rock of sorts? I like John Williams.

And it is that feeling Williams provides that any new Star Wars movie must match. For it succeed, the writers must take Timothy Zahn's view, meaning that the fighter combat of the Battle of the Sluis Van Shipyards at the end of Heir to the Empire had to get readers to be hearing in their minds the music john Williams used for the Death Star battles in Episodes IV and VI.

147 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:12:56pm

Something is watching us.

They're here.

148 b_snark  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:13:30pm

re: #145 Gus

I'm not voting on Tuesday!

//

In that case, just get drunk.

149 b_snark  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:14:13pm

re: #147 Gus

Something is watching us.

They're here.

That's OK, I'm not wearing any pants.

150 Mich-again  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:14:41pm

re: #138 moderatelyradicalliberal

Jon Huntsman. But I doubt he could get through a GOP primary.

Agreed. I think he maybe missed his chance this time by not speaking out against Tea party radicalism during the primaries, which would have appealed to the centrists and moderates in the party, and Huntsman could have staked out that corner all by himself, leaving the rest of the clown car to fight over the Tea Party support.

151 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:14:46pm

re: #149 b_sharp

That's OK, I'm not wearing any pants.

I'm not either. Shorts.

152 bratwurst  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:15:40pm

One thing I have learned in this election cycle is that whatever follows the words "shock poll" is likely to be utter nonsense. This is certainly true to that form:

Shock poll: Obama could lose Illinois, Romney leads in Chicago suburbs

153 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:16:22pm

re: #147 Gus

Something is watching us.

They're here.

"They've come."

[banshee-like scream]

"Nazgul!"

[Fell-Beast roars]

154 b_snark  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:16:53pm

re: #151 Gus

I'm not either. Shorts.

I ran out of shorts.

155 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:17:11pm

re: #152 bratwurst

One thing I have learned in this election cycle is that whatever follows the words "shock poll" is likely to be utter nonsense. This is certainly true to that form:

Shock poll: Obama could lose Illinois, Romney leads in Chicago suburbs

Tucker Carlson is Still Full of Shit.

156 b_snark  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:17:57pm

re: #155 Dark_Falcon

Tucker Carlson is Still Full of Shit.

Yup. Big time.

157 dragonath  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:17:58pm

re: #129 efuseakay

If I remember correctly, Chief Justice Rehnquist got his start in GOP politics doing almost the same thing, a partial "poll-watcher" in minority neighborhoods.

Rehnquist was actually pretty sick. I think he might have done the most lasting damage to the body politic as it stands now, but almost no one talks about the guy.

Roberts is, frankly, a major improvement.

158 Mich-again  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:23:34pm

re: #157 dragonath

Roberts is, frankly, a major improvement.

I agree. Citizens United is a clusterfuck, but other than that he has done well. I think he wants to de-politicize the court, I give him credit for that.

159 Feline Emperor of the Conservative Tears  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:23:42pm

re: #135 Targetpractice

Ever listened to Jeff Wayne's musical version of War of the Worlds?

With Richard Burton as the narrator. :)

I have "Forever Autumn" on my iTunes play list.

160 Targetpractice  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:23:48pm

re: #157 dragonath

If I remember correctly, Chief Justice Rehnquist got his start in GOP politics doing almost the same thing, a partial "poll-watcher" in minority neighborhoods.

Rehnquist was actually pretty sick. I think he might have done the most lasting damage to the body politic as it stands now, but almost no one talks about the guy.

Roberts is, frankly, a major improvement.

Thought that was most telling with ACA, where (if rumor is to be believe) he broke ranks with his conservative-leaning compatriots because they refused to entertain any decision other than declaring the law unconstitutional in its entirety.

161 Targetpractice  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:38:01pm

*Scans the thread*

It's dead, Jim.

162 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:38:12pm

Some say that Rudolf Anderson's death may have helped save civilization.

13 days.

163 Joanne  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:39:11pm

re: #87 erik_t

Santorum has never demonstrated the slightest hesitance to fuck over the lives of thousands or millions of people around him.

That dirty motherfucker can pound sand. Or spew santorum. Whatever, I don't care. He is a piece of shit. One of the worst human beings ever made famous by this nation.

Exactly. He espouses Christian values but turns away from Christ's teachings, what he dedicated his life to; the poor, downtrodden, abused and those taken advantage of. Santorum is one who takes advantage. He is everything Christ despised.

What was the saying...Your Christians are not like your Christ. Gandhi had that right.

164 Joanne  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:42:36pm

re: #93 b_sharp

Two died in Canuckistan as well.

One in my town. It was shit-my-pants scary here. I did something I've never done before - in my life - I called my husband and asked him to come home because I was so scared.

165 Joanne  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:45:04pm

re: #114 DisturbedEma

my now 22 year old, when he was 13, insisted that Gettysberg was the place for a family vacay- it was an awesome time and despite my non belief, I saw a ghost so I guess I am conflicted

What happened?

166 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:46:54pm

Bats on Google! Ha!

167 Joanne  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:49:03pm

re: #129 efuseakay

Rachel Maddow has done a lot on this group. There was a great story (I think on Alternet) about a guy who infiltrated the group (I'm on the phone or I'd google it). FASCINATING read. All snake oil all the time. A scary group to be sure.

168 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:50:18pm

I was right.

169 Joanne  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:51:14pm

re: #136 efuseakay

Mark Kirk (IL) but he had that terrible stroke. :-/

This guy's in my district and I'd never vote for him. While he's no Inhofe or Joe Walsh, he's still pretty right.

170 Romantic Heretic  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:52:21pm

re: #32 Dark_Falcon

That's why that song is my Standing Answer to Neo-Confederates.

My standard answer is von Moltke the Elder: Amateurs study tactics. Professionals study logistics.

171 prairiefire  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:55:09pm

re: #169 Joanne

This guy's in my district and I'd never vote for him. While he's no Inhofe or Joe Walsh, he's still pretty right.

I bet my uncle $10 Kirk would lose, and I still owe him.

172 Shiplord Kirel  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:55:13pm

It's looking good for team Obama right now, but we need some insurance. I think I have some.

It's no secret that a lot of wingnuts are not crazy about Mitt. This is especially the case with Evangelicals, who are quite suspicious of his Mormon faith, to say the least.
This presents an opportunity to bring them over to Obama. As with any jackasses, we just have to offer some appropriate carrots:

-No FEMA camp for Obama voters
-Your address deleted from Drone-Contol's Master Target list.
-No gun confiscation in counties with Obama majorities.
-No church closings in the same counties (except GOP megachurches).
-One Bible per family still allowed if any adult member is on the Obama voter list.
-Daughters excluded from the Black Panther marriage lottery.

173 Joanne  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:55:28pm

re: #152 bratwurst

One thing I have learned in this election cycle is that whatever follows the words "shock poll" is likely to be utter nonsense. This is certainly true to that form:

Shock poll: Obama could lose Illinois, Romney leads in Chicago suburbs

No way he loses the Cook County burbs. Parts of Lake and DuPage maybe. Downstate is pretty red, but no way he loses IL.

174 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:57:33pm
175 Joanne  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:59:01pm

re: #171 prairiefire

I bet my uncle $10 Kirk would lose, and I still owe him.

I'm sorry. I'm not saying he wouldn't win (I'm in a wealthy - read Republican - area), but *I* wouldn't vote for him.

176 prairiefire  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 9:59:19pm

re: #172 Shiplord Kirel

A few Right wingers are throwing around the "10 million" Evangelicals sat out the 2008 election due to lack of enthusiasm. Somehow this implies they would vote for a Mormon, which has less probability. If Sister Sarah could not motivate them, then maybe their voting numbers have actually decreased.

177 SpaceJesus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:00:58pm
178 SpaceJesus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:03:17pm

:(

179 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:03:59pm

re: #177 SpaceJesus

Image: arUFe.jpg

Trippy.

180 Targetpractice  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:04:27pm

re: #177 SpaceJesus

Image: arUFe.jpg

Perhaps he's listening to some classics:

181 prairiefire  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:04:44pm

re: #174 Gus

White Lightning

[Embedded content]

They ain't wearing seat belts!

182 SpaceJesus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:05:22pm

re: #180 Targetpractice

I see Romney as liking this a bit more

183 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:08:03pm

re: #181 prairiefire

They ain't wearing seat belts!

Didn't have to!

//

184 SpaceJesus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:11:38pm

conversely, in obama town,

Image: EQqRH.jpg

185 Targetpractice  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:14:53pm

re: #184 SpaceJesus

conversely, in obama town,

Image: EQqRH.jpg

"Hello, Romney Campaign HQ? I'd like to donate $1,000 in name of Mr. Freely, first initials I.P."

186 Joanne  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:16:17pm

re: #177 SpaceJesus

Image: arUFe.jpg

That man always looks angry.

187 Kragar  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:20:13pm

re: #182 SpaceJesus

I see Romney as liking this a bit more

[Embedded content]

Definitely this

188 Mich-again  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:20:32pm

re: #186 Joanne

That man always looks angry.

He's listening to a Rush Limbaugh podcast. Whaddya expect? /

189 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:20:33pm

re: #136 efuseakay

Mark Kirk (IL) but he had that terrible stroke. :-/

He has recovered enough to attend some Senate sessions, and I believe he will still prove an effective Senator.

re: #171 prairiefire

I bet my uncle $10 Kirk would lose, and I still owe him.

He had the good fortune to face an opponent whose blunders exceeded his own, and who had lost a whole bunch of Bright Start money. Mark Kirk does not favor restrictions on abortion, so many otherwise Democratic women felt that with their uterus not at risk, they could vote their pocketbook.

190 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:21:31pm

America is an archaic society.

191 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:22:40pm

re: #185 Targetpractice

"Hello, Romney Campaign HQ? I'd like to donate $1,000 in name of Mr. Freely, first initials I.P."

Moe: "Hey Guys, I.P. Freely?"

Bar patrons: "Ha, ha, ha, ha, ha!"

Moe: "Why you little...!"

/Classic Simpsons

192 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:24:39pm

re: #190 Gus

America is an archaic society.

Nope. Not when there are places like Yemen and Pakistan around.

193 Kragar  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:24:41pm

re: #191 Dark_Falcon

Moe: "Hey Guys, I.P. Freely?"

Bar patrons: "Ha, ha, ha, ha, ha!"

Moe: "Why you little...!"

/Classic Simpsons

"I'm looking for Chablome, first name Haywood."

"Haywood Chablome?"

"HAHA!"

194 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:25:15pm

re: #192 Dark_Falcon

Nope. Not when there are places like Yemen and Pakistan around.

That's some tough competition right there.

195 prairiefire  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:27:54pm

re: #186 Joanne

That man always looks angry.

I see "oh, shit" in his eyes.

196 ghazidor  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:29:30pm

It seems the "Obama ordered a stand down and left people to die" guesswork theories of what happened in Benghazi are finally starting to be refuted by factual information.

New timeline of Benghazi attack notes quick response by defenders

A senior intelligence official has issued a new timeline for the events surrounding the attack on the U.S. consulate in Benghazi, Libya, indicating a series of tragic miscalculations that left CIA officers exposed at an annex near the consulate -- but no evidence of interference from Washington or of the CIA witholding aid from the State Department, as Republican critics have alleged.

According to the timeline, CIA officials in Libya sent a security team to the consulate within 25 minutes of the report of the attack, and the U.S. military sent an unarmed drone to provide intelligence information...

197 Kragar  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:32:40pm

re: #195 prairiefire

I see "oh, shit" in his eyes.

"Man, I would really feel this song if I could actually feel."

198 Targetpractice  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:35:28pm

re: #196 Tiny Alien Kitties are Watching You

It seems the "Obama ordered a stand down and left people to die" guesswork theories of what happened in Benghazi are finally starting to be refuted by factual information.

New timeline of Benghazi attack notes quick response by defenders

Even their hopes for an impeachment post-reelection are falling away from the GOP.

199 Kragar  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:36:27pm

There was a buddy of mine who used to man the Help desk when I was at Comm battalion who would answer the phone like this:

"Help desk, PFC Chewbacca speaking, how can I help you?"
".. Who is this?"
"Pfc *name withheld*, how can I help you?"
"I thought.. Didn't you..."
"Can I help you?"
"Um, yeah..."


Did it like 2-3 times a day, never got busted.

200 ghazidor  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:37:20pm

re: #177 SpaceJesus

Image: arUFe.jpg

He is listening to "Learn Chinese at home" audio, gotta study up for his next job as an outsourcing consultant.

/

201 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:37:36pm

re: #196 Tiny Alien Kitties are Watching You

It seems the "Obama ordered a stand down and left people to die" guesswork theories of what happened in Benghazi are finally starting to be refuted by factual information.

New timeline of Benghazi attack notes quick response by defenders

It's not like the movies. Have people forgotten Blackhawk down?

202 Targetpractice  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:39:02pm

re: #201 Gus

It's not like the movies. Have people forgotten Blackhawk down?

I must admit, I'm rather surprised that there's been no comparisons of Benghazi to Mogadishu.

203 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:39:12pm

If you don't think that will happen under Romney you're a fucking fool. Then again, I've seen many a fool.

204 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:39:50pm

re: #202 Targetpractice

I must admit, I'm rather surprised that there's been no comparisons of Benghazi to Mogadishu.

Try jamming with it.

205 Benghazzy Ben Ross  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:40:28pm

re: #203 Gus

If you don't think that will happen under Romney you're a fucking fool. Then again, I've seen many a fool.

Underestimate RomneyStrength at your peril!

206 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:41:51pm

re: #201 Gus

It's not like the movies. Have people forgotten Blackhawk down?

The effects of friction and the fog of war are lost on most people. You need to do a moderate bit of studying military history to understand those concepts.

The concept of opposing sides adapting to each other and the dynamic frustration that can produce is an even harder concept for an American to grasp unless they can find a better source of information than the mass media.

207 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:44:16pm

re: #206 Dark_Falcon

The effects of friction and the fog of war are lost on most people. You need to do a moderate bit of studying military history to understand those concepts.

The concept of opposing sides adapting to each other and the dynamic frustration that can produce is an even harder concept for an American to grasp unless they can find a better source of information than the mass media.

Beneath Still Waters - Emmylou Harris

208 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:44:39pm

The pages have been rather sad of late.

209 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:45:07pm

But it's really only about 9 people. So I don't care.

210 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:46:46pm

I'm not blind. Wasn't born a fool. I can see through the surface.

211 Targetpractice  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:47:56pm

re: #210 Gus

I'm not blind. Wasn't born a fool. I can see through the surface.

Is there a dream within a dream within a dream?

212 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:48:16pm

re: #202 Targetpractice

I must admit, I'm rather surprised that there's been no comparisons of Benghazi to Mogadishu.

It's very hard for politicians to explain the issue of battlefield confusion. An explanation of how the unclear situation did not allow for you to deliver a bombardment can all too easily be depicted as an excuse for incompetence by a political enemy and most politicians don't have enough credibility to decisively refute such an allegation. Further, such an explanation cannot be fit into a sound bite, which means that many members of the public will never hear the full explanation, just disjointed fragments of it.

213 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:48:17pm

I think we should remove negative down dings.

214 ghazidor  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:50:12pm

re: #208 Gus

The pages have been rather sad of late.

Well it is not like most of us are professional journalists or novelists. Mostly it is just people sharing things they found interesting or funny with a fair number of political rants thrown in here or there. Nothing wrong with that...

215 ghazidor  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:51:31pm

re: #213 Gus

I think we should remove negative down dings.

It would encourage people to be slightly less lemming like, wouldn't it.

216 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:51:44pm

re: #214 Tiny Alien Kitties are Watching You

Well it is not like most of us are professional journalists or novelists. Mostly it is just people sharing things they found interesting or funny with a fair number of political rants thrown in here or there. Nothing wrong with that...

The only response seems to be to down ding each other.

217 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:52:24pm

re: #215 Tiny Alien Kitties are Watching You

It would encourage people to be slightly less lemming like, wouldn't it.

Yes. No lemmings here.

[Dobro slide.]

218 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:53:26pm

re: #211 Targetpractice

Is there a dream within a dream within a dream?

If there are trains running through the streets, then yes.

//

219 Targetpractice  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:53:40pm

Geez, I'd forgotten how long New Vegas is. 5-6 hours later and I still haven't made it to Vegas itself.

220 Kragar  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:54:37pm

re: #205 Mocking Jay

Underestimate RomneyStrength at your peril!

Whenever I picture Romney at CiC, I picture Melchett

Melchett: The Germans seem to be able to anticipate our every move. We send up an aeroplane, there's a Jerry squadron parked behind the nearest
cloud; we move troops, the Germans have bought the whole town's supply of lavatory paper. In short: A German spy is giving away every one of our battle plans. You look surprised, Blackadder.

Edmund: I certainly am, sir. I didn't realise we had any battle plans.

Melchett: Well, of course we have! How else do you think the battles are
directed?

Edmund: Our battles are directed, sir?

Melchett: Well, of course they are, Blackadder -- directed according to the
Grand Plan.

Edmund: Would that be the plan to continue with total slaughter until everyone's dead except Field Marshal Haig, Lady Haig and their tortoise, Alan?

Melchett: Great Scott! Even you know it!

221 Kragar  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:55:20pm

re: #219 Targetpractice

Geez, I'd forgotten how long New Vegas is. 5-6 hours later and I still haven't made it to Vegas itself.

Taking the loop or going direct?

222 Targetpractice  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:56:25pm

re: #221 Kragar

Taking the loop or going direct?

The loop. Tried the direct route once...and only once.

223 ghazidor  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:56:56pm

re: #219 Targetpractice

Geez, I'd forgotten how long New Vegas is. 5-6 hours later and I still haven't made it to Vegas itself.

Yep, if you do all the side missions you can stay away from Vegas for quite some time.

224 efuseakay  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:57:09pm

re: #169 Joanne

This guy's in my district and I'd never vote for him. While he's no Inhofe or Joe Walsh, he's still pretty right.

My district too. He's been pretty good for the area as long as I can recall/been politically aware. His paling around with Dold has been a big turn off though. Regardless, given his condition, I don't think he can win again.

225 Kragar  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 10:59:26pm

re: #222 Targetpractice

The loop. Tried the direct route once...and only once.

I mean the far loop, you head down south of Nipton, swing up to Novac, then clear out Nipton with Boone to get his story points for his quest. If you do it right, you can have his personal quest all ready before you hit the 188 Trading Post so you can put him aside and get Veronica

226 ghazidor  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:00:12pm

re: #222 Targetpractice

Tried it too first time, discovered that you need to majorly boost that XP first, otherwise Ceaser's legion is gonna tear you a new one...

227 Targetpractice  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:00:37pm

re: #225 Kragar

I mean the far loop, you head down south of Nipton, swing up to Novac, then clear out Nipton with Boone to get his story points for his quest. If you do it right, you can have his personal quest all ready before you hit the 188 Trading Post so you can put him aside and get Veronica

Haven't tried that one just yet, but that's mostly because I don't like making enemies of the Legion too early in the game.

228 Kragar  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:03:54pm

re: #227 Targetpractice

Haven't tried that one just yet, but that's mostly because I don't like making enemies of the Legion too early in the game.

Nah, hit it right and you can bypass the legion, get faction with the NCR, then take the Monorail right into Vegas.

229 Targetpractice  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:05:29pm

re: #228 Kragar

Nah, hit it right and you can bypass the legion, get faction with the NCR, then take the Monorail right into Vegas.

Eh, I kinda like progressing through missions in the manner I figure the programmers intended. Though I've figured out that wasting my favor from The King on a passport is not the smartest thing to do.

230 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:11:02pm

Still kind of right wing. What can I say.

231 Ben G. Hazi  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:12:13pm

re: #230 Gus

Still kind of right wing. What can I say.

???

232 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:13:01pm

re: #231 MittDoesNotCompute

???

We had some folks defending the Confederate flag this morning.

233 Targetpractice  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:16:44pm

Romney To Deliver ‘Closing Argument’ Speech Friday

Mitt Romney will deliver a speech that his campaign says "will lay out the closing arguments for his candidacy for President of the United States" Friday morning in West Allis, Wisconsin.

The final jobs report before Tuesday's election is scheduled to be released early Friday morning.

"This is not a real recovery, I can do better, can't tell you how, you'll just have to trust me."

234 Kragar  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:17:40pm

re: #233 Targetpractice

Romney To Deliver ‘Closing Argument’ Speech Friday

"This is not a real recovery, I can do better, can't tell you how, you'll just have to trust me."

"All my plans are in this briefcase, but if you don't elect me, I burn it."

235 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:18:45pm

re: #220 Kragar

Whenever I picture Romney at CiC, I picture Melchett

Melchett: The Germans seem to be able to anticipate our every move. We send up an aeroplane, there's a Jerry squadron parked behind the nearest
cloud; we move troops, the Germans have bought the whole town's supply of lavatory paper. In short: A German spy is giving away every one of our battle plans. You look surprised, Blackadder.

Edmund: I certainly am, sir. I didn't realise we had any battle plans.

Melchett: Well, of course we have! How else do you think the battles are
directed?

Edmund: Our battles are directed, sir?

Melchett: Well, of course they are, Blackadder -- directed according to the
Grand Plan.

Edmund: Would that be the plan to continue with total slaughter until everyone's dead except Field Marshal Haig, Lady Haig and their tortoise, Alan?

Melchett: Great Scott! Even you know it!

Field Marshal Haig did learn later, though Lloyd George did not trust him. Passchendaele was a horrific failure, but Haig's unwillingness to accept defeat lead him to approve the mass tank attack that came to be known as the Battle of Cambrai. With that battle, the initial British attack won as much ground in two days as had been won in the whole of Passchendaele. The success of the Tank Corps ensured their place in the forefront of any future offensives.

The other side of the coin was that the successful German counter attack proved the viability of Germany's new infantry assault tactics and seemed to offer Germany as well a chance to break the deadlock of trench warfare and win the war. But even with that, the Tank Corps still managed a powerful local counter that stabilized a critical part of the line, an omen whose meaning would become clear in the months to come.

And so as the Battle of Cambrai ended on December 7th 1917, both sides felt they hand new abilities that would end the stalemate. Both were right, but how right remained to be seen. While the weary men who had fought the battle did not know it, World War One had entered its final year.

236 Ben G. Hazi  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:19:57pm

re: #232 Gus

We had some folks defending the Confederate flag this morning.

Yeah, in the Tom Horne thread...I saw that.

One or two of our resident RWNJs does not a quorum make, though; I thought satt got slapped down pretty hard from most everyone else in the thread.

You can't fix stupid...

237 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:20:01pm

re: #235 Dark_Falcon

Sorry about the long post, but I just got into the subject and ran with it.

238 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:21:21pm

re: #236 MittDoesNotCompute

Yeah, in the Tom Horne thread...I saw that.

One or two of our resident RWNJs does not a quorum make, though; I thought satt got slapped pretty hard from most everyone else in the thread.

Satt's not a nutjob, but the Confederate flag is problematic at best, and those who do not admit that are going to get clobbered in a fair debate.

239 SpaceJesus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:25:39pm

re: #232 Gus

We had some folks defending the Confederate flag this morning.

where? where did they go

240 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:26:35pm

re: #239 SpaceJesus

where? where did they go

Just some stupid shit from this morning.

241 engineer cat  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:26:38pm

re: #217 Gus

Yes. No lemmings here.

[Dobro slide.]

i'm not a lemming, but i have taken the lemming pledge

242 Kragar  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:27:49pm

re: #237 Dark_Falcon

Sorry about the long post, but I just got into the subject and ran with it.

I was doing some research just the other day;

Stormtrooper

Infiltration tactics were first formally proposed in the Allied armies by French Army captain Andre Laffargue.[1] Laffargue published a pamphlet "The attack in trench warfare" in 1915, based upon his experiences in combat that same year. He advocated that the first wave of an attack identify hard-to-defeat defenses but not attack them; subsequent waves would do this.

The French published his pamphlet "for information", but did not implement it. The British did not even translate it, but did gradually adopt the techniques, beginning with the Canadian Corps. The Germans, however, captured copies of the pamphlet in 1916, translating and issuing it to units,[2] but by this point they already had their own, more sophisticated infiltration tactics. An experimental Pioneer assault unit founded by Major Calsow and later commanded and refined by Hauptmann Willy Rohr had been formed in the spring of 1915, over two months before Laffargue's pamphlet was published.[3][4][5][6] The methods Rohr developed are the basis of all modern small-unit infantry tactics.[7]

Sturm Battalion Number 5 - Rohr

The men of Sturm (Assault) Battalion Rohr could make a fair claim to being the “Elite” of frontline fighters of the German Army (1914-1918). They were used in an Assault and Training role and were the seed out of which the assault units which followed were created. At Verdun, on the Chemin des Dames, in the 1918 Offensives, the men of Rohr were always in the thick of the action. Usually attached to other units they acted as examples, as advisors and as observers, taking their experiences back to the Sturmbataillon where developing new tactics and methods was the first order of the day.

243 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:28:25pm

re: #239 SpaceJesus

where? where did they go

Sorry. Just seeing a lot of right wingers on LGF. I hate right wingers.

244 SpaceJesus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:30:07pm

re: #243 Gus

i didn't know lgf still had that kind of shit

245 Gus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:30:17pm

If Obama loses I'm don't with LGF.

246 Decatur Deb  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:30:56pm

re: #199 Kragar

There was a buddy of mine who used to man the Help desk when I was at Comm battalion who would answer the phone like this:

"Help desk, PFC Chewbacca speaking, how can I help you?"
".. Who is this?"
"Pfc *name withheld*, how can I help you?"
"I thought.. Didn't you..."
"Can I help you?"
"Um, yeah..."

Did it like 2-3 times a day, never got busted.

Our 1960s Military Pay Section had a pay record for PVT Meoff, Jack. Sent newbies all over the building looking for matching 201 data.

247 SpaceJesus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:31:11pm
248 Targetpractice  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:32:45pm

re: #245 Gus

If Obama loses I'm don't with LGF.

Eh?

249 Kragar  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:33:22pm

re: #246 Decatur Deb

Our 1960s Military Pay Section had a pay record for PVT Meoff, Jack. Sent newbies all over the building looking for matching 201 data.

Oh, that tradition is still alive and well.

"Hey, run to the armory and get a can of backblast for the AT-4."

250 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:34:06pm

re: #242 Kragar

I was doing some research just the other day;

Stormtrooper

Sturm Battalion Number 5 - Rohr

Thanks much for that. The Kaiser's Cross site has been bookmarked.

251 Targetpractice  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:34:11pm

re: #249 Kragar

Oh, that tradition is still alive and well.

"Hey, run to the armory and get a can of backblast for the AT-4."

"Need about 10 feet of gig line."

252 Kragar  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:36:18pm

re: #251 Targetpractice

"Need about 10 feet of gig line."

"We're going to need a case of grid squares for the land nav class, go check in the stockroom."

253 Ben G. Hazi  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:38:56pm

re: #245 Gus

If Obama loses I'm don't with LGF.

You'd seriously leave here if Romney somehow wins, just because of a (rather small, from what I've seen) minority here? I respect you, man, but that just seems like the coward's way out.

Fighting ignorance is a lifelong vocation and you seem to be pretty good at it; I don't think that you leaving here in that instance would serve you or LGF well.

254 SpaceJesus  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:41:52pm

if romney wins, an internet blog is going to be the least of my concerns

255 Decatur Deb  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:42:15pm

re: #253 MittDoesNotCompute

You'd seriously leave here if Romney somehow wins, just because of a (rather small, from what I've seen) minority here? I respect you, man, but that just seems like the coward's way out.

Fighting ignorance is a lifelong vocation and you seem to be pretty good at it; I don't think that you leaving here in that instance would serve you or LGF well.

We need a thread for fallback 'Romney Wins' plans. Mine involve a short drunk and joining the IWW.

256 engineer cat  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:45:53pm

re: #255 Decatur Deb

We need a thread for fallback 'Romney Wins' plans. Mine involve a short drunk and joining the IWW.

i'm considering indentured servitude

257 Decatur Deb  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:46:33pm

re: #256 engineer cat

i'm considering indentured servitude

That's Romney's plan for most of us.

258 engineer cat  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:47:26pm

bronco bama

if obama wins a second term, he'll deserve a good nickname

259 Decatur Deb  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:48:22pm

re: #258 engineer cat

bronco bama

if obama wins a second term, he'll deserve a good nickname

Mittbuster.

260 Kragar  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:48:46pm

re: #256 engineer cat

i'm considering indentured servitude

I will continue a guerrilla campaign of mockery and sarcasm.

261 Ben G. Hazi  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:49:00pm

re: #258 engineer cat

bronco bama

if obama wins a second term, he'll deserve a good nickname

The Master of Disaster (Relief)

262 ghazidor  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:49:05pm

re: #257 Decatur Deb

That's Romney's plan for most of us.

Yeah but those who get the jump on it will get to choose who they work for...

263 ghazidor  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:50:56pm

re: #260 Kragar

I will continue a guerrilla campaign of mockery and sarcasm.

Four years of reminding people "I told you so, idiots" in various ways will get rather monotonous eventually...

264 Decatur Deb  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:53:02pm

re: #263 Tiny Alien Kitties are Watching You

Four years of reminding people "I told you so, idiots" in various ways will get rather monotonous eventually...

Got me through the Bush years.

265 Dark_Falcon  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:54:59pm

Guys, no matter who wins we'll get through it together.

We don't need to plan to run and hide, because the men running for president aren't monsters.

266 Ben G. Hazi  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:57:05pm

re: #264 Decatur Deb

Got me through the Bush years.

This is different; at least Bush came off as much more genuine and empathetic that Mitt does.

That's why the congressional races, as well as the local and state races, are just as important, because if Mitt does somehow win, Congress may be the only bulwark we might have.

267 freetoken  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:58:07pm

Cox cable is such a disaster at times. I pay online, every month, and when I went to check my bill tonight it denied that there was a bill. This even though I was logged into my Cox account, could see/change any information... but anything to do with seeing a bill or paying for one.

If they weren't a monopoly they would go out of business.

268 Decatur Deb  Thu, Nov 1, 2012 11:58:10pm

re: #266 MittDoesNotCompute

This is different; at least Bush came off as much more genuine and empathtic that Mitt does.

That's why the congressional races, as well as the local and state races, are just as important, because if Mitt does somehow win, Congress may be the only bulwark we might have.

Never thought Harry Reid would become my favorite politician.

269 Ben G. Hazi  Fri, Nov 2, 2012 12:00:09am

re: #268 Decatur Deb

Never thought Harry Reid would become my favorite politician.

He's not mine, but he has lots of institutional knowledge and knows how to get things done.

270 Decatur Deb  Fri, Nov 2, 2012 12:00:14am

re: #267 freetoken

Cox cable is such a disaster at times. I pay online, every month, and when I went to check my bill tonight it denied that there was a bill. This even though I was logged into my Cox account, could see/change any information... but anything to do with seeing a bill or paying for one.

If they weren't a monopoly they would go out of business.

We got a phishing scam on our Comcast billing yesterday. Wanted a new credit card number. We don't pay by card and the site wasn't https//.

271 Ben G. Hazi  Fri, Nov 2, 2012 12:01:50am

re: #270 Decatur Deb

We got a phishing scam on our Comcast billing yesterday. Wanted a new credit card number. We don't pay by card and the site wasn't https//.

Click on an link in an email purporting to be from Comcast? I don't ever do that; if I want to check on or pay my bill, I always open the browser and open my known safe bookmarks.

272 Decatur Deb  Fri, Nov 2, 2012 12:03:03am

re: #271 MittDoesNotCompute

Click on an email link in something purporting to be from Comcast?

No. That was the link they wanted us to hit. Would report it, but these things are so common it's likely in the Comcast bin.

273 Dark_Falcon  Fri, Nov 2, 2012 12:03:51am

re: #271 MittDoesNotCompute

Click on an email link in something purporting to be from Comcast?

My cell phone is not vulnerable to hacks targeting PCs, so I use it to open questionable emails. If they turn out to be scam I report them as such at once.

274 Decatur Deb  Fri, Nov 2, 2012 12:07:28am

re: #273 Dark_Falcon

My cell phone is not vulnerable to hacks targeting PCs, so I use it to open questionable emails. If they turn out to be scam I report them as such at once.

I'm sure they would have asked me for my CC if I had hit the referred link. I used to check these scams out, but they are rather routine. Comcast couldn't give a shit.

275 ghazidor  Fri, Nov 2, 2012 12:09:46am

Well it is back to Assassins Creed 3.
See you folks later. :)

276 Dark_Falcon  Fri, Nov 2, 2012 12:14:13am

Good Night, All.

277 Decatur Deb  Fri, Nov 2, 2012 12:15:15am

re: #276 Dark_Falcon

Good Night, All.

Night? Shit. It's 2AM here, time to switch from red wine to coffee.

278 Digital Display  Fri, Nov 2, 2012 12:23:29am

My reasons for voting for Obama and a few complaints about his staffers
1. Obama is a steady leader for America. unflappable ready from day one.
a. Remember in 2008 when the economy crashed? McCain freaked and suspended his campaign and had no ideas in the DC meeting what to do.
Obama said he can multitask and showed good leadership in the meetings..
Not shaken and really showed some bold character.
2. He connects with people..Communicates well
3. He makes me proud for him to rep America to the world.
4. On a side note.. I'm a huge basketball and it's great we have an athletic young man leading us into the new Century. Obama and I both are left handed. He is a classic wing man and I a point guard in college. I've read everything about him. SI stories, Sporting news, (His high school coach complained Obama shot to much sometimes )
He also plays physical on the floor. I love that..I got kicked off a church basketball league once..Boo fucking hoo.
5. Obama is a fine CIC..Strong..Concening the ME and Libya. Just like 9-11-2001 we get caught off caught and American should pull together to make sure this never happens again..It's unbecoming to try to make political hay from this..
Let me ask all of you and the whole world.. Does anybody on this God's green Earth doesn't think the terrorist aren't on a kill list being worked on this very day? They will be brought to Justice.
( One word to this terrorist...Short term Life insurance policy for the family)
_ _ _
I think Obama should have replace some staffers last 2 years

Can't wait till Tuesday to to keep going forward

279 researchok  Fri, Nov 2, 2012 12:26:47am

re: #278 Digital Display

Don't agree with everything here, but well said.

I'm a big Obama fan when it comes to national security.

280 freetoken  Fri, Nov 2, 2012 12:54:38am

Anna Moffo:

281 Sophist is the VillageGreen Preservation Society  Fri, Nov 2, 2012 12:56:57am

re: #194 Gus

That's some tough competition right there.

Tea Party: "Challenge accepted."

re: #260 Kragar

I will continue a guerrilla campaign of mockery and sarcasm.

So the usual then?

282 researchok  Fri, Nov 2, 2012 1:00:51am

Morning, all

283 researchok  Fri, Nov 2, 2012 1:09:27am

re: #280 freetoken

Voice of an angel.

Really, really beautiful.

284 goddamnedfrank  Fri, Nov 2, 2012 2:07:20am

For me this election boils down to two incredibly basic value issues:

1.) Integrity. Even Romney's staunchest supporter here admits he's a liar who stands for nothing but his own desire to be President. I don't understand how anybody could think a person with no personal integrity should hold that office, the entire idea is just completely anathema to how I view the entire concept and purpose of leadership. If the guy can't be trusted then it's impossible for anybody who holds honesty to be a bedrock value to vote for him.

2.) A fundamental question of civil rights and equality. Even if you don't know many gays there's no excuse for opposing marriage equality. Even if you don't have any real insight into how women think there's no excuse for believing they shouldn't be able to make their own health decisions, be able to control their own bodies, or be paid the same for performing the same job. To my mind this is simply fundamental Golden Rule shit that a decent human being would never even think of compromising. Especially not for some transparently bullshit voodoo economics confidence scam.

285 BeenHereAwhile  Fri, Nov 2, 2012 6:02:52am

re: #51 HappyWarrior

re: #50 dragonath

There are people who are gritty and romantic at the same time.

Hunter S. Thompson was a little like that.

I really need to get into reading him. Not sure what a good starting point would be though.

I'd start with his early more accessible stuff:

Hell's Angels: A Strange and Terrible Saga (1966)
[Link: www.amazon.com...]

Fear and Loathing: On the Campaign Trail '72 (1973)
[Link: www.amazon.com...]

Fear and Loathing at Rolling Stone: The Essential Writing of Hunter S. Thompson
[Link: www.amazon.com...]

286 SidewaysQuark  Fri, Nov 2, 2012 6:10:20am

80%? Good. I'm still nervous.

287 Skip Intro  Fri, Nov 2, 2012 11:39:08am

Silver uses math. What a snob!


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