1
gocart mozart  Nov 1, 2016 • 2:58:56pm
2
gocart mozart  Nov 1, 2016 • 2:59:41pm
3
Dr. Matt  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:01:45pm

Take a deep breath everyone. Don’t shoot the messenger. Some important and startling news about the possible outcome of the election:

Now have some whisky and chill.

4
Shiplord Kirel  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:02:53pm

Drudge highlights this pious headline from that most usual of the usual suspects, Greenwald:
Democrats’ Tactic of Accusing Critics of Kremlin Allegiance Has Long, Ugly History in U.S.

And that means there is no such thing as clandestine interference? Oh, only when the US and Israel, maybe the UK, are doing it.

This is all pretty ironic since it hasn’t been long at all since Republican leaders like Limbaugh and Coulter were screeching that “McCarthy was right!” They also continue to worship the image, spirit, and possibly the dirty underwear of Saint Reagan. As president of the Screen Actors Guild, this same Reagan was a major instigator of the Hollywood Blacklist and remained a red-baiter right to the end of his life.

5
EPR-radar  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:03:36pm

Over on Dailykos, I found someone using this name for Trump: “Snifflesgrabapuss.”

6
HappyWarrior  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:03:48pm

re: #3 Dr. Matt

Take a deep breath everyone. Don’t shoot the messenger. Some important and startling news about the possible outcome of the election:

[Embedded content]

It’s a good point they make about Obama being popular.

7
HappyWarrior  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:05:26pm

re: #4 Shiplord Kirel

Drudge highlights this pious headline from that most usual of the usual suspects, Greenwald:
Democrats’ Tactic of Accusing Critics of Kremlin Allegiance Has Long, Ugly History in U.S.

And that means there is no such thing as clandestine interference? Oh, only when the US and Israel, maybe the UK, are doing it.

This is all pretty ironic since it hasn’t been long at all since Republican leaders like Limbaugh and Coulter were screeching that “McCarthy was right!” They also continue to worship the image, spirit, and possibly the dirty underwear of Saint Reagan. As president of the Screen Actors Guild, this same Reagan was a major instigator of the Hollywood Blacklist and remained a red-baiter right to the end of his life.

Typical Greenwald. So sick of him whining about Democrats who have the audacity to criticize Putin and then to liken it to McCarthyism is even more fucked up given Putin’s American apologists as you say are the same people who tell us that McCarthy was right.

8
HappyWarrior  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:05:39pm

re: #5 EPR-radar

Over on Dailykos, I found someone using this name for Trump: “Snifflesgrabapuss.”

ROFL.

9
Dr. Matt  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:05:44pm

He’s not called “junior” by accident.

From: I’m The Big Boy

10
ObserverArt  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:06:12pm

re: #3 Dr. Matt

Take a deep breath everyone. Don’t shoot the messenger. Some important and startling news about the possible outcome of the election:

[Embedded content]

Cool…Moody’s is predicting Ohio for Clinton.

I commented earlier that Ohio seems to be lying low and keeping quite. Maybe it is reaction to all the big mouths of Trump and his followers and no one wants to get into it with them…so no yard signs, bumper stickers, no responding to polls, etc. Just keep quiet go to the polls or fill out your mail-in ballot and vote.

11
Charles Johnson  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:08:06pm
12
Varek Raith  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:09:09pm

re: #3 Dr. Matt

Take a deep breath everyone. Don’t shoot the messenger. Some important and startling news about the possible outcome of the election:

[Embedded content]

Needs moar doom.

13
darthstar  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:09:50pm

14
Dr. Matt  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:09:54pm

re: #6 HappyWarrior

It’s a good point they make about Obama being popular.

Trump getting 206 EVs is still 200 too many IMO.

15
Varek Raith  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:10:56pm

re: #14 Dr. Matt

Trump getting 206 EVs is still 200 too many IMO.

Hitler could run and get that much.
/FULL GODWIN AHEAD!

16
HappyWarrior  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:11:54pm

re: #14 Dr. Matt

Trump getting 206 EVs is still 200 too many IMO.

206 too many you mean.

17
HappyWarrior  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:12:37pm

re: #15 Varek Raith

Hitler could run and get that much.
/FULL GODWIN AHEAD!

Well, sure he says terrible things about Jews but he says what he means and he’s a patriot! Plus women love that mustache.//

18
Eclectic Cyborg  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:12:58pm

DELETED

19
Varek Raith  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:13:12pm

re: #15 Varek Raith

Hitler could run and get that much.
/FULL GODWIN AHEAD!

I’m to the point where I truly believe this.
Sad.

20
HappyWarrior  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:13:55pm

re: #19 Varek Raith

I’m to the point where I truly believe this.
Sad.

I know, I wasn’t kidding either. A lot of the crap that Trump and the alt-right direct at Hispanics, Muslims, and others is the same crap the Nazis did.

21
Dr. Matt  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:14:13pm

re: #12 Varek Raith

Needs moar doom.

22
Varek Raith  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:14:33pm

Anyways, does Firefox have issues with embedded videos or something? I can’t play what’s posted in the op.

23
Jebediah, RBG  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:14:38pm

re: #16 HappyWarrior

Yes. By rights he should win zero states. (And then, in his rage he implodes, leaving behind some orange ash and a destroyed business empire.)

24
Jebediah, RBG  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:15:29pm

re: #22 Varek Raith

My firefox played it OK.

25
Eclectic Cyborg  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:15:51pm

Good election humor from FB…

26
MsJ  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:15:52pm

re: #3 Dr. Matt

No Netflix? 😎

27
scottslemmons  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:15:59pm

re: #21 Dr. Matt

[Embedded content]

My brother wants me to play the new version of that game so much, and it just kicks my ass every time I run it, even on the lowest difficulty. One starts to suspect I’m just no good at video games…

28
Dr. Matt  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:16:23pm

re: #16 HappyWarrior

206 too many you mean.

I’m giving him Mississippi. I don’t think it will ever turn a shade lighter than deep blood red.

29
gocart mozart  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:16:34pm
30
Varek Raith  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:16:38pm

re: #25 Eclectic Cyborg

Good election humor from FB…

[Embedded content]

The Emperor’s Phone Call | Robot Chicken | Adult Swim

31
DodgerFan1988  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:16:50pm

Al Franken said it best when he described what the new Republican’s slogan should say, “Mr. Gorbachev, help us build this wall!”

32
HappyWarrior  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:16:51pm

re: #23 Jebediah, RBG

Yes. By rights he should win zero states. (And then, in his rage he implodes, leaving behind some orange ash and a destroyed business empire.)

How about this?

He chose poorly!

33
HappyWarrior  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:18:10pm

re: #29 gocart mozart

[Embedded content]

If he finds it vulgar and offensive, why did he use the word to describe Hillary Clinton? He’s sorry because there’s backlash. He’s not actually sorry. Fuck him and his trash party.

34
Dr. Matt  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:18:23pm

I think I’m turning off the computers for the night. It’s good for the soul at this point. Good night, Lizards.

35
allegro  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:18:30pm

re: #29 gocart mozart

[Embedded content]

His campaign was not aware that c*** is derogatory? Explains a lot.

36
ObserverArt  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:18:58pm

re: #22 Varek Raith

Anyways, does Firefox have issues with embedded videos or something? I can’t play what’s posted in the op.

Try a reload of the page and then immediately play the video. I’ve found that seems to happen a lot on LGF these days.

I use Chrome…but this works for me. Many times I find if I reload a comment something that wouldn’t play works. I don’t know enough to know what might cause this, but the last couple months have been like that for me.

Hmmm. I now wonder if it is a setting in my anti-virus where it won’t play any downloaded content or something?

37
gocart mozart  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:19:11pm
38
gocart mozart  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:19:58pm
39
HappyWarrior  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:20:10pm

re: #37 gocart mozart

[Embedded content]

Another reason to feel good.

40
Eclectic Cyborg  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:20:16pm

re: #28 Dr. Matt

I’m giving him Mississippi. I don’t think it will ever turn a shade lighter than deep blood red.

Mississippi is basically three moderate urban areas (Hattiesburg, Jackson, Biloxi/Gulfport) and whole lot of rural country in between.

I expect the GOP stranglehold to last at least another 20 years here.

41
MsJ  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:20:37pm

re: #22 Varek Raith

Anyways, does Firefox have issues with embedded videos or something? I can’t play what’s posted in the op.

Yes. There’s some bullshit instructions for fixing flash but it worked once and won’t work again. Every time flash updates, which is like weekly, flash won’t work.

I have to use chrome to watch any media. Sometimes a gif or YouTube video plays in FF, but only on the occasional wing and prayer.

42
blueraven  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:20:44pm

OK, so I have seen reports on cable about FBI twitter. FBI says it is just FOIA requests tweeted as they are ready. No push back from cable news so far.

Really? These are the first tweets in over a year. And since when were FOIA requests posted to Twitter?

Something stinks!

Last tweet before October 30, 2016

Receive response to your email acct…

43
HappyWarrior  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:21:51pm

re: #28 Dr. Matt

I’m giving him Mississippi. I don’t think it will ever turn a shade lighter than deep blood red.

I know. Just saying that ideally it’d be 538-0 and Trumpy finishing below 30% in the popular vote. A complete wipeout.

44
gocart mozart  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:22:47pm
45
Charles Johnson  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:23:13pm

re: #22 Varek Raith

Anyways, does Firefox have issues with embedded videos or something? I can’t play what’s posted in the op.

I was trying the Twitter video with this one for a change, but apparently some Firefox users are having trouble with Twitter videos. So I just edited the post to use the YouTube version instead, which should be fine.

46
The Very Reverend Battleaxe of Knowledge  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:24:12pm

re: #43 HappyWarrior

I know. Just saying that ideally it’d be 538-0 and Trumpy finishing below 30% in the popular vote. A complete wipeout.

If 100% of eligible people were motivated to vote, and then allowed to, that’s about how it would turn out.

47
gocart mozart  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:24:42pm
48
Varek Raith  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:24:55pm

re: #45 Charles Johnson

I was trying the Twitter video with this one for a change, but apparently some Firefox users are having trouble with Twitter videos. So I just edited the post to use the YouTube version instead, which should be fine.

Worked.
Thanks.

49
MsJ  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:25:05pm

re: #45 Charles Johnson

I was trying the Twitter video with this one for a change, but apparently some Firefox users are having trouble with Twitter videos. So I just edited the post to use the YouTube version instead, which should be fine.

Firefox is my browser of choice, but lately I just want to chuck it through a window.

50
Varek Raith  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:25:44pm

re: #49 MsJ

Firefox is my browser of choice, but lately I just want to chuck it through a window.

Yeah, getting there myself.

51
Jebediah, RBG  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:26:25pm

re: #32 HappyWarrior

That works! I still think the ashes/dust would be more orange, though.

53
gocart mozart  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:26:43pm
54
HappyWarrior  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:27:28pm

re: #47 gocart mozart

[Embedded content]

That’s the thing that the people who love to harp on about the Dixiecrats don’t get. Yes, those people were Democrats. But they left the Democratic Party and found a happy home in your party because your party’s leaders pandered to them and that includes your heroes like Reagan. Your not being yours obviously but yours being Republican heroes.

55
gocart mozart  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:29:19pm

“It’s only rape, it’s not like he is accused of emailing her! You can’t compare the two.”

56
freetoken  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:29:50pm

re: #55 gocart mozart

I thought it was a civil suit?

57
Charles Johnson  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:29:56pm

The British crime dramas on Netflix always seem so much darker and creepier than their American counterparts. Even the “heroes” are often deeply flawed, even criminal in their behavior. It’s a very interesting difference in approach.

58
Jebediah, RBG  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:32:05pm

re: #55 gocart mozart

That’s pretty amazing.

59
freetoken  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:33:38pm

re: #57 Charles Johnson

I very much was impressed by Happy Valley last year. I suppose it could have been done in the US if on HBO, but it would never have been done by broadcast television in the US.

60
wrenchwench  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:35:28pm

No help here. There’s an ad from FAIR at the start. At least it’s an anti-Obama ad, with only a brief appearance by Secretary of State Clinton. I did not watch the whole thing, though. It went on and on. Then they have a chiropractor who tells us

The APA goes even further to suggest that some people feeling stressed by the election may even be suffering from a mental disorder deemed Election Stress Disorder.

…and call for an appointment.

61
Ziggy_TARDIS  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:35:47pm
62
jaunte  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:37:46pm

Everyone who pumps gas in Texas has to read the deep thoughts of Sid Miller:

texastribune.org

63
allegro  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:39:41pm

re: #62 jaunte

Everyone who pumps gas in Texas has to read the deep thoughts of Sid Miller:

[Embedded content]

texastribune.org

Makes me want to make a whole bunch of copies of his c*** tweet and start sticking it on gas pumps.

64
Stanley Sea  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:39:44pm

re: #60 wrenchwench

I’m heading to the mountains Thurs -Sun. Events planned, hoping I can stay away from the computer enough to feel the zen I’ll need on Tuesday.

65
Brian J.  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:40:05pm

re: #40 Eclectic Cyborg

Mississippi is basically three moderate urban areas (Hattiesburg, Jackson, Biloxi/Gulfport) and whole lot of rural country in between.

I expect the GOP stranglehold to last at least another 20 years here.

Not looking good on this side of the river either, despite Governor Edwards’ election last year. We’ve got the cities of Baton Rouge and New Orleans, a few smaller cities and towns that vote for Democrats like Shreveport and my Monroe, the thinly populated river parishes, and rural reds by the boatload.

With one day to go in our early voting, the nonwhite vote has pushed just ahead of its 2012 total with about 130,000 voters… and the white early vote has jumped from 227,000 to 307,000 voters. It’d be nice to think these were folks who remembered the occasional thin reed of liberalism introduced by the Longs, but the number of registered Republicans voting is up by almost 50,000 from 2012.

66
freetoken  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:41:10pm

Looking at the time graph of 538 polls model:

Wheeeeeee……

There is a 30 and 60 day window, or so it would appear, by which the polling public forgets the past.

67
VegasGolfer  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:41:32pm

God damn, can that AJ Delgado be more of a bitch?
She was just on With All Due Respect, think even mark halperin has had enough of her. And that says a lot.

68
wrenchwench  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:43:06pm

re: #64 Stanley Sea

I’m heading to the mountains Thurs -Sun. Events planned, hoping I can stay away from the computer enough to feel the zen I’ll need on Tuesday.

Maybe I’ll save this for Tuesday:

GUIDED 10-MINUTE MEDITATION WITH ANDY PUDDICOMBE

69
freetoken  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:43:49pm

A graph like that makes me highly suspicious.

Remember, these polls and models built on them are not actually telling about the future, a very common fallacy into which many fall.

Rather, we are observing the system of society-electorate-entertainment.media-modelers as all the elements that make up that system interact.

70
Stanley Sea  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:44:18pm

re: #68 wrenchwench

Maybe I’ll save this for Tuesday:

[Embedded content]

Tuesday we’re drankin. Fuck it.

71
Ziggy_TARDIS  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:45:08pm

re: #69 freetoken

With what the FBI is doing, does this feel a bit like a Coup attempt, of sorts?

72
Varek Raith  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:45:31pm

e_e

73
gocart mozart  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:45:46pm

re: #56 freetoken

It is.

74
freetoken  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:46:55pm

re: #71 Ziggy_TARDIS

With what the FBI is doing, does this feel a bit like a Coup attempt, of sorts?

No.

Just American politics as usual.

Comey doesn’t even come within a parsec of what J. Edgar Hoover would do.

75
EPR-radar  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:48:56pm

re: #74 freetoken

No.

Just American politics as usual.

Comey doesn’t even come within a parsec of what J. Edgar Hoover would do.

I know the FBI under Hoover did all kinds of illegal crap vs. the US political left, but did they ever mess around with a general presidential election as blatantly as Comey is doing now?

76
[deleted]  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:51:55pm
77
gocart mozart  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:53:05pm
78
Timothy Watson  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:53:51pm

re: #76 Brian J.

Yep. Hillary’s likely to face an assassination attempt by the FBI not long after she hits 270 electoral votes; the right and the FBI have just worked themselves into a frenzy. And I’m not 100% sure the Secret Service will give a damn.

WTFITS

79
Varek Raith  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:54:05pm
80
Skip Intro  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:54:55pm

re: #74 freetoken

No.

Just American politics as usual.

Comey doesn’t even come within a parsec of what J. Edgar Hoover would do.

When did Hoover try to effect the outcome of an election? When did Hoover cover up one candidate’s involvement with the Russians?

Hoover was an ass, but in the modern Republican party he’d be a lefty.

81
freetoken  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:55:20pm

re: #75 EPR-radar

I know the FBI under Hoover did all kinds of illegal crap vs. the US political left, but did they ever mess around with a general election as blatantly as Comey is doing now?

The question is, what did Hoover do behind the scenes to mess with the Kennedys.

And, though not unique to Hoover, the nature of the FBI in those days reified the feelings people working for social justice were anti-Americans that ought to be kicked out or jailed.

We see this now raising its ugly head once again, in Drumpfskind supporters and their social media content. But in those days it was dominant in society.

If one was a government employee one had to be very careful not to be seen associating with the wrong person, or be outed as homosexual, etc.

82
Jebediah, RBG  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:55:21pm

re: #71 Ziggy_TARDIS

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

83
No Country For Old Haters  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:55:35pm

re: #78 Timothy Watson

WTFITS

A lunatic egging Ziggy on, by feeding into his delusions.

84
EPR-radar  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:55:36pm

re: #76 Brian J.

Yep. Hillary’s likely to face an assassination attempt by the FBI not long after she hits 270 electoral votes; the right and the FBI have just worked themselves into a frenzy. And I’m not 100% sure the Secret Service will give a damn.

If today is going to be a CT day, at least try to make it plausible. This is Alex Jones level stuff.

85
Brian J.  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:56:24pm

re: #84 EPR-radar

If today is going to be a CT day, at least try to make it plausible. This is Alex Jones level stuff.

A week ago, did you think the FBI would be jumping into bed with Trump and the Russians?

86
wrenchwench  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:57:06pm

re: #76 Brian J.

Yep. Hillary’s likely to face an assassination attempt by the FBI not long after she hits 270 electoral votes; the right and the FBI have just worked themselves into a frenzy. And I’m not 100% sure the Secret Service will give a damn.

Maybe you should see a chiropractor.

87
EPR-radar  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:57:59pm

re: #85 Brian J.

A week ago, did you think the FBI would be jumping into bed with Trump and the Russians?

Comey was on record as of July as being a GOP ratfucker somewhat constrained by reality (i.e., no recommendation to press charges). Everything that has happened since then remains consistent with this view.

88
freetoken  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:58:44pm

Hoover was bigger picture. For example, he would pick on leaders of the civil rights movement, like MLK. Hoover was working to control social movements and changes in society, which to me was a far more ambitious and insidious problem with the FBI than a director (in this came Comey) being irresponsible regarding a single candidate.

89
Charles Johnson  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:58:55pm
90
Brian J.  Nov 1, 2016 • 3:59:07pm

re: #87 EPR-radar

Comey was on record as of July as being a GOP ratfucker somewhat constrained by reality (i.e., no recommendation to press charges). Everything that has happened since then remains consistent with this view.

True, but no ratfucker has ever fucked the rat this openly. He’s sure he’s got protection.

91
Varek Raith  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:01:36pm

re: #71 Ziggy_TARDIS

re: #76 Brian J.

re: #81 freetoken

Relax.
Chill.
Smoke a joint.
Sheesh.

92
Jebediah, RBG  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:04:08pm

re: #89 Charles Johnson

That account alone is making me reconsider my avoidance of Twitter. (On the other you hand, you post them here, so I still get to see them.)

ETA: I love the “sanitized” “heck”

93
ObserverArt  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:04:34pm

re: #76 Brian J.

Yep. Hillary’s likely to face an assassination attempt by the FBI not long after she hits 270 electoral votes; the right and the FBI have just worked themselves into a frenzy. And I’m not 100% sure the Secret Service will give a damn.

WTF?

94
jaunte  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:05:56pm

Why is Hugh Hewitt constantly on my tv?

95
freetoken  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:06:04pm

Also from 538, their distribution of model simulation outcomes:

538 Simulations

I added the red arrow to show that one of the more likely scenarios is that Hillary eeks out the narrowest of EC wins.

96
Bass Reeves  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:06:18pm

re: #78 Timothy Watson

I was assuming epic level sarcasm minus the tags.

97
jaunte  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:06:21pm

It’s not like it’s ever a mystery what he’s going to say.

98
Stanley Sea  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:07:24pm

5FtP7TWZMu+8sHcAz5Mk7kwTzL/uxZ7/CNA444aME7ob577pNzgVZqaxvVSpkMb0

99
Ziggy_TARDIS  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:07:32pm

Oh, looks like we might have some good news!

100
freetoken  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:07:55pm

re: #94 jaunte

Why is Hugh Hewitt constantly on my tv?

He’s a God-talker who gets fed from the Salem Communications teat.

102
MsJ  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:08:14pm

re: #76 Brian J.

Yep. Hillary’s likely to face an assassination attempt by the FBI not long after she hits 270 electoral votes; the right and the FBI have just worked themselves into a frenzy. And I’m not 100% sure the Secret Service will give a damn.

Seeing what the SS allowed trump to do throughout the campaign season, along with their physically hurting* attendees, I find I’ve lost as much respect for them as the FBI.

EDITED: hurting not hitting

103
Stanley Sea  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:08:28pm

re: #92 Jebediah, RBG

That account alone is making me reconsider my avoidance of Twitter. (On the other you hand, you post them here, so I still get to see them.)

He’s a good dog Brent.

You must read all his tweets.

104
jaunte  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:09:02pm

re: #99 Ziggy_TARDIS

105
gocart mozart  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:09:13pm

How did Trump react when Obama was re-elected?

106
gocart mozart  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:10:11pm

re: #94 jaunte

Why is Hugh Hewitt constantly on my tv?

You must have done something very bad in a past life.

107
Varek Raith  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:11:24pm

re: #106 gocart mozart

You must have done something very bad in a past life.

/Yeah, thanks juante.

108
goddamnedfrank  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:12:01pm

Something very rotten is going on at the FBI.

109
gocart mozart  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:12:47pm
110
The Very Reverend Battleaxe of Knowledge  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:13:39pm

re: #95 freetoken

Also from 538, their distribution of model simulation outcomes:

[Embedded content]

I added the red arrow to show that one of the more likely scenarios is that Hillary eeks out the narrowest of EC wins.

538 seems to have embraced anxiety creation as a business strategy.

Chill out.

111
MsJ  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:14:23pm

re: #109 gocart mozart

[Embedded content]

There’s that dead end 20%. At least he’s on the low end so maybe there is a bottom to the “whatever the GOP does is good” thing.

112
Jebediah, RBG  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:14:26pm

re: #103 Stanley Sea

I think you’re right.

113
Skip Intro  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:15:12pm

re: #108 goddamnedfrank

Does giving all your money to your kid make you a philanthropist?

114
goddamnedfrank  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:15:21pm

re: #66 freetoken

Looking at the time graph of 538 polls model:

[Embedded content]

There is a 30 and 60 day window, or so it would appear, by which the polling public forgets the past.

Looks to me like as widely watched events like the conventions, debate and election near Nate’s model makes sure he gets paid.

115
EPR-radar  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:15:50pm

re: #106 gocart mozart

You must have done something very bad in a past life.

Law students at Chapman University have it worse — they have Hewitt as a professor of constitutional law.

116
jaunte  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:16:13pm

re: #113 Skip Intro

Maybe the FBI bot doesn’t know how to spell stamp collector.

117
Varek Raith  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:16:45pm

re: #108 goddamnedfrank

Something very rotten is going on at the FBI.

[Embedded content]

A bot?
Weaksauce, FBI, weaksauce.

119
freetoken  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:18:02pm

re: #114 goddamnedfrank

Looks to me like as widely watched events like the conventions, debate and election near Nate’s model makes sure he gets paid.

Yup, which I guess is really my point. The calendar of events is really what is in that graph. The numbers used to graph those lines are not really a foretelling of Nov 8th results, but rather how we humans lay out our calendar.

120
wrenchwench  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:19:18pm

re: #115 EPR-radar

Law students at Chapman University have it worse — they have Hewitt as a professor of constitutional law.

We have one of their graduates here. I don’t know whether their times at Chapman coincided.

121
jaunte  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:19:22pm

…but then….

122
Varek Raith  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:19:53pm

re: #119 freetoken

Yup, which I guess is really my point. The calendar of events is really what is in that graph. The numbers used to graph those lines are not really a foretelling of Nov 8th results, but rather how we humans lay out our calendar.

Stop focusing so much on 538 alone. He blundered the Trump nom and has been overcompensating ever since.

123
jaunte  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:20:26pm

That’s like a bullshit buffet.

124
HappyWarrior  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:20:46pm

re: #121 jaunte

[Embedded content]

Please every speech Trum makes is bullshit.

125
wrenchwench  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:21:15pm

re: #123 jaunte

That’s like a bullshit buffet.

With Mystery Meat!

126
jaunte  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:21:19pm

re: #124 HappyWarrior

It’s truly Bizzarro World at a Trump rally.

127
freetoken  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:21:40pm

re: #122 Varek Raith

Stop focusing so much on 538 alone.

But it is the most popularly referenced site (thanks to ESPN) in regards to polls, near as I can tell. PEC and RCP are also popular but even there they are compared to 538.

So I pay attention to them because that is the fashion.

128
Bill and Opus for 2016!  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:22:15pm

re: #118 Ziggy_TARDIS

So, apparently there is an issue with lagging turnout among African Americans.

Yeah, well, there is a very good reason for that - when fewer people are allowed to vote, then you get “lagging turnout”.

State NAACP office sues North Carolina, alleging voter suppression

129
ObserverArt  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:23:03pm

It’s time to take a rest from today’s bad crazy, some of it here at LGF…and go to a buddies to watch the World Series.

Go Cleveland Indigenous Peoples!!! You can do this…

Later all…keep ‘em in line.

130
gocart mozart  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:23:50pm
131
Backwoods_Sleuth  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:24:01pm

re: #42 blueraven

OK, so I have seen reports on cable about FBI twitter. FBI says it is just FOIA requests tweeted as they are ready. No push back from cable news so far.

Really? These are the first tweets in over a year. And since when were FOIA requests posted to Twitter?

Something stinks!

Last tweet before October 30, 2016

Receive response to your email acct…

[Embedded content]

132
Barefoot Grin  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:24:58pm

re: #113 Skip Intro

Does giving all your money to your kid make you a philanthropist?

Charity starts at home!

133
EPR-radar  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:25:03pm

re: #124 HappyWarrior

Please every speech Trum makes is bullshit.

Every speech made by any Republican running for Federal Office is bullshit.

134
Weaselone  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:25:55pm

re: #118 Ziggy_TARDIS

So, apparently there is an issue with lagging turnout among African Americans.

Didn’t we go over this yesterday?

135
Feline Fearless Leader  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:28:29pm

re: #49 MsJ

Firefox is my browser of choice, but lately I just want to chuck it through a window.

All of them are currently monster CPU hogs on my laptop. I just accept Chrome since it lets me disable all the Flash stuff by default. I keep Firefox around due to a few websites that won’t work well with Chrome (complaining about certificates and deems them unsafe.)

136
KGxvi  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:33:31pm

re: #120 wrenchwench

We have one of their graduates here. I don’t know whether their times at Chapman coincided.

That’s me. Hewitt was teaching con law while I was there, but I didn’t take his class (many of my classmates used to say that he used it for show prep). I actually took con law with John Eastman (Chairman of NOM). Tim Canova, who challenged DWS in Florida this year, was also one of my professors.

Politics aside, all three of them were good guys. Fair to everyone, regardless of where they came down on legal theories or politics. I was a bit more of an ideological libertarian back then, so I didn’t really agree with them on a lot of different things, but they were always fair. I also remember Hewitt giving me a hard time because I skipped some religion and law symposium to watch a Dodger game in the student lounge (even though a friend of my came down from another school to go to it).

137
451_Montag  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:35:30pm

re: #118 Ziggy_TARDIS

So, apparently there is an issue with lagging turnout among African Americans.

You really need to step away from all this. Things to consider:

For Trump to swing this, he needs to turn some voting blocks. Who is going to swing? Women, AAs, Hispanics? The best he can go is depress the vote. Early voting isn’t really showing this.

Early voting also shows the dems ahead, generally and where it counts, or at the very least eating heavily into Repugs historical leads. These are based on self identification through registration. Higher percentages of dems are going Hillary’s way than Repugs for The Prince of Puce. So I expect the early voting actually I’ll show a dem advantage. In this cycle I’m getting the feeling that the people crossing the line to vote, even when registered are going to come from the repugs.

The ground game is completely one sided. Being loud at a rally does not translate to legwork. Never underestimate the power of the ground game.

The polls always close, or at the least fluctuate.

There are flaws with polling, not deliberate but the last few years have shown a real difficulty with reaching 21st century citizens, demographics have changed, communication has changed, being able to predict the electorate has changed, so fluctuation based on old models is almost baked in.

Also the main point in my eyes is that while Trump has been shitty to everyone, he has really shown an ugly deep seated hatred for Hispanics. They have traditionally been low volume voters. For me this is going to be the story of this year, also one not really factored into a lot of polls, as the posters themselves show when looking at cross tabs.

I remember exactly the same site of woes in 2008 and 2012, didnt happen then, won’t happen know. Obama kicked it out of the park, and Hillary has been stronger for pretty much all of this.

fuck it. Hillary has got this.

Worry the 9th. Work now. Fuck it. Buy an Pizza and take it round to your local site. At least you’ll know you did something. Nothing wrong with losing, everything wrong with giving up.

138
The Vicious Babushka  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:35:30pm

re: #76 Brian J.

Do not even joke around with shit like that.

139
Backwoods_Sleuth  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:37:52pm

re: #113 Skip Intro

Does giving all your money to your kid make you a philanthropist?

apparently giving over $350,000 to NYC politicians during Mayor Ed Koch’s term qualifies…

140
Donkey With No Name  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:41:21pm

re: #127 freetoken

So I pay attention to them because that is the fashion.

That doesn’t make them more accurate.

141
SirMixALot  Nov 1, 2016 • 4:44:59pm

re: #7 HappyWarrior

Typical Greenwald. So sick of him whining about Democrats who have the audacity to criticize Putin and then to liken it to McCarthyism is even more fucked up given Putin’s American apologists as you say are the same people who tell us that McCarthy was right.

I think Greenwald and all other Putin apologists/admirers really need to be investigated for having financial ties from Russia. Think about how many years Greenwald, Alt Right websites and Republicans have been kissing Putin’s ass, praising him or providing him cover. Same goes with Wikileaks and Jill Stein’s Green Party.

The lengths at which the Russians have been interfering in our political process is just now coming to light. According to David Corn at Mother Jones, Trump was being groomed by Russia for 5 years. I think the Trump campaign is just the tip of the iceberg. All these seemingly different and unrelated groups all having the same talking points (Russia/Putin good. Obama/Hillary/USA bad). It can’t just be a coincidence. I think this conspiracy runs pretty deep and it needs a full investigation. All communications and financial information must be looked at.

I fear the Democrats will punk out because it does not look good on the surface level. I can see the conservative media spinning it as if its an attack on political opponents. But, I believe at this point Russia’s interference in our democracy is a real national security risk. National security concerns should outweigh concerns of bad PR. Who really knows who had been paid off at this point? The potential threat is there.

142
Nyet  Nov 2, 2016 • 2:07:00am

re: #56 freetoken

I thought it was a civil suit?

Not only is it a civil suit, it is not at all clear that there will be a trial.
That won’t stop many on the left claiming otherwise, of course.


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