RYAN: I forgot about that.
TRUMP: December 16th.
RYAN: And—
TRUMP: I raped her at a party when she was 13.
RYAN:
TRUMP: She says.
RYAN:— Owen Ellickson (@onlxn) October 29, 2016
Hasn’t ANYONE in the GOP ever played “E-mails, Sexual Assault, Scissors”? Sexual Assault ALWAYS beats E-mails! Sheesh!
— Patton Oswalt (@pattonoswalt) October 29, 2016
Take a deep breath everyone. Don’t shoot the messenger. Some important and startling news about the possible outcome of the election:
Moody’s Analytics, which has correctly predicted every pres. race since 1980, is forecasting a big win for Clinton: https://t.co/SUaQCQts11
— Kyle Griffin (@kylegriffin1) November 1, 2016
Now have some whisky and chill.
Drudge highlights this pious headline from that most usual of the usual suspects, Greenwald:
Democrats’ Tactic of Accusing Critics of Kremlin Allegiance Has Long, Ugly History in U.S.
And that means there is no such thing as clandestine interference? Oh, only when the US and Israel, maybe the UK, are doing it.
This is all pretty ironic since it hasn’t been long at all since Republican leaders like Limbaugh and Coulter were screeching that “McCarthy was right!” They also continue to worship the image, spirit, and possibly the dirty underwear of Saint Reagan. As president of the Screen Actors Guild, this same Reagan was a major instigator of the Hollywood Blacklist and remained a red-baiter right to the end of his life.
Over on Dailykos, I found someone using this name for Trump: “Snifflesgrabapuss.”
re: #3 Dr. Matt
Take a deep breath everyone. Don’t shoot the messenger. Some important and startling news about the possible outcome of the election:
[Embedded content]
It’s a good point they make about Obama being popular.
re: #4 Shiplord Kirel
Drudge highlights this pious headline from that most usual of the usual suspects, Greenwald:
Democrats’ Tactic of Accusing Critics of Kremlin Allegiance Has Long, Ugly History in U.S.And that means there is no such thing as clandestine interference? Oh, only when the US and Israel, maybe the UK, are doing it.
This is all pretty ironic since it hasn’t been long at all since Republican leaders like Limbaugh and Coulter were screeching that “McCarthy was right!” They also continue to worship the image, spirit, and possibly the dirty underwear of Saint Reagan. As president of the Screen Actors Guild, this same Reagan was a major instigator of the Hollywood Blacklist and remained a red-baiter right to the end of his life.
Typical Greenwald. So sick of him whining about Democrats who have the audacity to criticize Putin and then to liken it to McCarthyism is even more fucked up given Putin’s American apologists as you say are the same people who tell us that McCarthy was right.
re: #5 EPR-radar
Over on Dailykos, I found someone using this name for Trump: “Snifflesgrabapuss.”
ROFL.
re: #3 Dr. Matt
Take a deep breath everyone. Don’t shoot the messenger. Some important and startling news about the possible outcome of the election:
[Embedded content]
Cool…Moody’s is predicting Ohio for Clinton.
I commented earlier that Ohio seems to be lying low and keeping quite. Maybe it is reaction to all the big mouths of Trump and his followers and no one wants to get into it with them…so no yard signs, bumper stickers, no responding to polls, etc. Just keep quiet go to the polls or fill out your mail-in ballot and vote.
Also: if Miller office’s “bad RT” excuse is believed, that means his staff copies alt-right nutjobs for content. https://t.co/vdNZbjcVIW pic.twitter.com/MxuTZodYRu
— Andrew Kirell (@AndrewKirell) November 1, 2016
@AndrewKirell Ugh. That “Ricky Vaughn” psycho is back. He’s one of the worst Nazis on Twitter.
— Charles Johnson (@Green_Footballs) November 1, 2016
re: #3 Dr. Matt
Take a deep breath everyone. Don’t shoot the messenger. Some important and startling news about the possible outcome of the election:
[Embedded content]
Needs moar doom.
re: #6 HappyWarrior
It’s a good point they make about Obama being popular.
Trump getting 206 EVs is still 200 too many IMO.
re: #14 Dr. Matt
Trump getting 206 EVs is still 200 too many IMO.
Hitler could run and get that much.
/FULL GODWIN AHEAD!
re: #15 Varek Raith
Hitler could run and get that much.
/FULL GODWIN AHEAD!
Well, sure he says terrible things about Jews but he says what he means and he’s a patriot! Plus women love that mustache.//
re: #15 Varek Raith
Hitler could run and get that much.
/FULL GODWIN AHEAD!
I’m to the point where I truly believe this.
Sad.
re: #19 Varek Raith
I’m to the point where I truly believe this.
Sad.
I know, I wasn’t kidding either. A lot of the crap that Trump and the alt-right direct at Hispanics, Muslims, and others is the same crap the Nazis did.
Anyways, does Firefox have issues with embedded videos or something? I can’t play what’s posted in the op.
re: #16 HappyWarrior
Yes. By rights he should win zero states. (And then, in his rage he implodes, leaving behind some orange ash and a destroyed business empire.)
re: #21 Dr. Matt
[Embedded content]
My brother wants me to play the new version of that game so much, and it just kicks my ass every time I run it, even on the lowest difficulty. One starts to suspect I’m just no good at video games…
re: #16 HappyWarrior
206 too many you mean.
I’m giving him Mississippi. I don’t think it will ever turn a shade lighter than deep blood red.
New statement from Sid Miller’s office abandons the hack defense: pic.twitter.com/pOGcHGd8lv
— Patrick Svitek (@PatrickSvitek) November 1, 2016
Al Franken said it best when he described what the new Republican’s slogan should say, “Mr. Gorbachev, help us build this wall!”
re: #23 Jebediah, RBG
Yes. By rights he should win zero states. (And then, in his rage he implodes, leaving behind some orange ash and a destroyed business empire.)
How about this?
re: #29 gocart mozart
[Embedded content]
If he finds it vulgar and offensive, why did he use the word to describe Hillary Clinton? He’s sorry because there’s backlash. He’s not actually sorry. Fuck him and his trash party.
I think I’m turning off the computers for the night. It’s good for the soul at this point. Good night, Lizards.
re: #29 gocart mozart
[Embedded content]
His campaign was not aware that c*** is derogatory? Explains a lot.
re: #22 Varek Raith
Anyways, does Firefox have issues with embedded videos or something? I can’t play what’s posted in the op.
Try a reload of the page and then immediately play the video. I’ve found that seems to happen a lot on LGF these days.
I use Chrome…but this works for me. Many times I find if I reload a comment something that wouldn’t play works. I don’t know enough to know what might cause this, but the last couple months have been like that for me.
Hmmm. I now wonder if it is a setting in my anti-virus where it won’t play any downloaded content or something?
Kander is closing fast in Missouri’s key Senate race, poll finds https://t.co/qG1XUGKGaW
— (((RuggedAmethyst))) (@GrooveSDC) November 1, 2016
#CrookedHillary needs a dozen people to check her tweets. My thoughts are my own. Healthy as a bull here. #wikileaks pic.twitter.com/1szpSDGFh8
— Sid Miller (@MillerForTexas) October 28, 2016
re: #28 Dr. Matt
I’m giving him Mississippi. I don’t think it will ever turn a shade lighter than deep blood red.
Mississippi is basically three moderate urban areas (Hattiesburg, Jackson, Biloxi/Gulfport) and whole lot of rural country in between.
I expect the GOP stranglehold to last at least another 20 years here.
re: #22 Varek Raith
Anyways, does Firefox have issues with embedded videos or something? I can’t play what’s posted in the op.
Yes. There’s some bullshit instructions for fixing flash but it worked once and won’t work again. Every time flash updates, which is like weekly, flash won’t work.
I have to use chrome to watch any media. Sometimes a gif or YouTube video plays in FF, but only on the occasional wing and prayer.
OK, so I have seen reports on cable about FBI twitter. FBI says it is just FOIA requests tweeted as they are ready. No push back from cable news so far.
Really? These are the first tweets in over a year. And since when were FOIA requests posted to Twitter?
Something stinks!
Last tweet before October 30, 2016
Receive response to your email acct…
Make FOIA requests electronically,receive your response to your email account. Open beta test of eFOIA at: https://t.co/RWylCwh2BX
— FBI Records Vault (@FBIRecordsVault) October 8, 2015
re: #28 Dr. Matt
I’m giving him Mississippi. I don’t think it will ever turn a shade lighter than deep blood red.
I know. Just saying that ideally it’d be 538-0 and Trumpy finishing below 30% in the popular vote. A complete wipeout.
Trump tweeted a link to an accurate version of the story, then realized he’s supposed to be lying about this so found a different story. pic.twitter.com/nIDmxxBXtg
— EMAILS! (@mattyglesias) November 1, 2016
This is amazing https://t.co/tyBV7WWfpi
— Christopher Hayes (@chrislhayes) November 1, 2016
re: #22 Varek Raith
Anyways, does Firefox have issues with embedded videos or something? I can’t play what’s posted in the op.
I was trying the Twitter video with this one for a change, but apparently some Firefox users are having trouble with Twitter videos. So I just edited the post to use the YouTube version instead, which should be fine.
re: #43 HappyWarrior
I know. Just saying that ideally it’d be 538-0 and Trumpy finishing below 30% in the popular vote. A complete wipeout.
If 100% of eligible people were motivated to vote, and then allowed to, that’s about how it would turn out.
If you want to understand what’s happening to the Republican party, you need to focus on the kooks https://t.co/hBf5jtnZhv pic.twitter.com/9wb6w0ujcS
— Jonathan Chait (@jonathanchait) November 1, 2016
re: #45 Charles Johnson
I was trying the Twitter video with this one for a change, but apparently some Firefox users are having trouble with Twitter videos. So I just edited the post to use the YouTube version instead, which should be fine.
Worked.
Thanks.
re: #45 Charles Johnson
I was trying the Twitter video with this one for a change, but apparently some Firefox users are having trouble with Twitter videos. So I just edited the post to use the YouTube version instead, which should be fine.
Firefox is my browser of choice, but lately I just want to chuck it through a window.
re: #49 MsJ
Firefox is my browser of choice, but lately I just want to chuck it through a window.
Yeah, getting there myself.
re: #32 HappyWarrior
That works! I still think the ashes/dust would be more orange, though.
White Nationalist’s Pro-Trump Robocall: McMullin Is Gay https://t.co/58Mv7L30H3
— BellsOfAbzug (@Christalsea) November 1, 2016
re: #47 gocart mozart
[Embedded content]
That’s the thing that the people who love to harp on about the Dixiecrats don’t get. Yes, those people were Democrats. But they left the Democratic Party and found a happy home in your party because your party’s leaders pandered to them and that includes your heroes like Reagan. Your not being yours obviously but yours being Republican heroes.
“It’s only rape, it’s not like he is accused of emailing her! You can’t compare the two.”
Reporter on CNBC mentions the truth on air! Trump has a federal court case pending involving child rape. Wake up! pic.twitter.com/J29mpmKoiO
— RiotWomenn (@riotwomennn) November 1, 2016
re: #55 gocart mozart
I thought it was a civil suit?
The British crime dramas on Netflix always seem so much darker and creepier than their American counterparts. Even the “heroes” are often deeply flawed, even criminal in their behavior. It’s a very interesting difference in approach.
re: #57 Charles Johnson
I very much was impressed by Happy Valley last year. I suppose it could have been done in the US if on HBO, but it would never have been done by broadcast television in the US.
Coping with election stress disorder https://t.co/PFGFSFXe92
— KOB 4 (@KOB4) November 1, 2016
No help here. There’s an ad from FAIR at the start. At least it’s an anti-Obama ad, with only a brief appearance by Secretary of State Clinton. I did not watch the whole thing, though. It went on and on. Then they have a chiropractor who tells us
The APA goes even further to suggest that some people feeling stressed by the election may even be suffering from a mental disorder deemed Election Stress Disorder.
…and call for an appointment.
WIth release of decade old Trump/Clinton docs by FBI, Dems & Repubs have 2 join together to protest this blatant attempt to impact election.
— Kurt Eichenwald (@kurteichenwald) November 1, 2016
Honestly, I am beside myself. I don’t even know this country right now. It’s a terrible feeling. https://t.co/hvR93z8ldy
— (((NastyWoman))) (@Chernynkaya) November 1, 2016
re: #62 jaunte
Everyone who pumps gas in Texas has to read the deep thoughts of Sid Miller:
[Embedded content]
Makes me want to make a whole bunch of copies of his c*** tweet and start sticking it on gas pumps.
re: #60 wrenchwench
I’m heading to the mountains Thurs -Sun. Events planned, hoping I can stay away from the computer enough to feel the zen I’ll need on Tuesday.
re: #40 Eclectic Cyborg
Mississippi is basically three moderate urban areas (Hattiesburg, Jackson, Biloxi/Gulfport) and whole lot of rural country in between.
I expect the GOP stranglehold to last at least another 20 years here.
Not looking good on this side of the river either, despite Governor Edwards’ election last year. We’ve got the cities of Baton Rouge and New Orleans, a few smaller cities and towns that vote for Democrats like Shreveport and my Monroe, the thinly populated river parishes, and rural reds by the boatload.
With one day to go in our early voting, the nonwhite vote has pushed just ahead of its 2012 total with about 130,000 voters… and the white early vote has jumped from 227,000 to 307,000 voters. It’d be nice to think these were folks who remembered the occasional thin reed of liberalism introduced by the Longs, but the number of registered Republicans voting is up by almost 50,000 from 2012.
God damn, can that AJ Delgado be more of a bitch?
She was just on With All Due Respect, think even mark halperin has had enough of her. And that says a lot.
re: #64 Stanley Sea
I’m heading to the mountains Thurs -Sun. Events planned, hoping I can stay away from the computer enough to feel the zen I’ll need on Tuesday.
Maybe I’ll save this for Tuesday:
A graph like that makes me highly suspicious.
Remember, these polls and models built on them are not actually telling about the future, a very common fallacy into which many fall.
Rather, we are observing the system of society-electorate-entertainment.media-modelers as all the elements that make up that system interact.
re: #68 wrenchwench
Maybe I’ll save this for Tuesday:
[Embedded content]
Tuesday we’re drankin. Fuck it.
re: #69 freetoken
With what the FBI is doing, does this feel a bit like a Coup attempt, of sorts?
re: #71 Ziggy_TARDIS
With what the FBI is doing, does this feel a bit like a Coup attempt, of sorts?
No.
Just American politics as usual.
Comey doesn’t even come within a parsec of what J. Edgar Hoover would do.
re: #74 freetoken
No.
Just American politics as usual.
Comey doesn’t even come within a parsec of what J. Edgar Hoover would do.
I know the FBI under Hoover did all kinds of illegal crap vs. the US political left, but did they ever mess around with a general presidential election as blatantly as Comey is doing now?
@JRBoh
If JFK had a black cousin, he would look like MLK.— gocart mozart (@gocartmozart1) November 1, 2016
re: #76 Brian J.
Yep. Hillary’s likely to face an assassination attempt by the FBI not long after she hits 270 electoral votes; the right and the FBI have just worked themselves into a frenzy. And I’m not 100% sure the Secret Service will give a damn.
WTFITS
re: #74 freetoken
No.
Just American politics as usual.
Comey doesn’t even come within a parsec of what J. Edgar Hoover would do.
When did Hoover try to effect the outcome of an election? When did Hoover cover up one candidate’s involvement with the Russians?
Hoover was an ass, but in the modern Republican party he’d be a lefty.
re: #75 EPR-radar
I know the FBI under Hoover did all kinds of illegal crap vs. the US political left, but did they ever mess around with a general election as blatantly as Comey is doing now?
The question is, what did Hoover do behind the scenes to mess with the Kennedys.
And, though not unique to Hoover, the nature of the FBI in those days reified the feelings people working for social justice were anti-Americans that ought to be kicked out or jailed.
We see this now raising its ugly head once again, in Drumpfskind supporters and their social media content. But in those days it was dominant in society.
If one was a government employee one had to be very careful not to be seen associating with the wrong person, or be outed as homosexual, etc.
re: #71 Ziggy_TARDIS
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
re: #76 Brian J.
Yep. Hillary’s likely to face an assassination attempt by the FBI not long after she hits 270 electoral votes; the right and the FBI have just worked themselves into a frenzy. And I’m not 100% sure the Secret Service will give a damn.
If today is going to be a CT day, at least try to make it plausible. This is Alex Jones level stuff.
re: #84 EPR-radar
If today is going to be a CT day, at least try to make it plausible. This is Alex Jones level stuff.
A week ago, did you think the FBI would be jumping into bed with Trump and the Russians?
re: #76 Brian J.
Yep. Hillary’s likely to face an assassination attempt by the FBI not long after she hits 270 electoral votes; the right and the FBI have just worked themselves into a frenzy. And I’m not 100% sure the Secret Service will give a damn.
Maybe you should see a chiropractor.
re: #85 Brian J.
A week ago, did you think the FBI would be jumping into bed with Trump and the Russians?
Comey was on record as of July as being a GOP ratfucker somewhat constrained by reality (i.e., no recommendation to press charges). Everything that has happened since then remains consistent with this view.
Hoover was bigger picture. For example, he would pick on leaders of the civil rights movement, like MLK. Hoover was working to control social movements and changes in society, which to me was a far more ambitious and insidious problem with the FBI than a director (in this came Comey) being irresponsible regarding a single candidate.
Oh h*ck look at this spookling right here. Fright level off the charts. 12/10 sufficiently spooked pic.twitter.com/BNy9IIJMb0
— WeRateDogs™ (@dog_rates) November 1, 2016
re: #87 EPR-radar
Comey was on record as of July as being a GOP ratfucker somewhat constrained by reality (i.e., no recommendation to press charges). Everything that has happened since then remains consistent with this view.
True, but no ratfucker has ever fucked the rat this openly. He’s sure he’s got protection.
re: #89 Charles Johnson
That account alone is making me reconsider my avoidance of Twitter. (On the other you hand, you post them here, so I still get to see them.)
ETA: I love the “sanitized” “heck”
re: #76 Brian J.
Yep. Hillary’s likely to face an assassination attempt by the FBI not long after she hits 270 electoral votes; the right and the FBI have just worked themselves into a frenzy. And I’m not 100% sure the Secret Service will give a damn.
WTF?
re: #78 Timothy Watson
I was assuming epic level sarcasm minus the tags.
It’s not like it’s ever a mystery what he’s going to say.
5FtP7TWZMu+8sHcAz5Mk7kwTzL/uxZ7/CNA444aME7ob577pNzgVZqaxvVSpkMb0
Oh, looks like we might have some good news!
But just days ago Donald Trump told me this battle was a total disaster. pic.twitter.com/vhpoomHoiW
— Josh Greenman (@joshgreenman) November 1, 2016
re: #94 jaunte
Why is Hugh Hewitt constantly on my tv?
He’s a God-talker who gets fed from the Salem Communications teat.
re: #76 Brian J.
Yep. Hillary’s likely to face an assassination attempt by the FBI not long after she hits 270 electoral votes; the right and the FBI have just worked themselves into a frenzy. And I’m not 100% sure the Secret Service will give a damn.
Seeing what the SS allowed trump to do throughout the campaign season, along with their physically hurting* attendees, I find I’ve lost as much respect for them as the FBI.
EDITED: hurting not hitting
re: #92 Jebediah, RBG
That account alone is making me reconsider my avoidance of Twitter. (On the other you hand, you post them here, so I still get to see them.)
He’s a good dog Brent.
You must read all his tweets.
re: #99 Ziggy_TARDIS
Iraqi special forces fought way into outskirts of Mosul on Tuesday, taking state-operated TV building - AP https://t.co/XWWuxKBdBZ
— Mike Walker (@New_Narrative) November 1, 2016
How did Trump react when Obama was re-elected?
We can’t let this happen. We should march on Washington and stop this travesty. Our nation is totally divided!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 7, 2012
Lets fight like hell and stop this great and disgusting injustice! The world is laughing at us.
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 7, 2012
Our country is now in serious and unprecedented trouble…like never before.
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 7, 2012
re: #94 jaunte
Why is Hugh Hewitt constantly on my tv?
You must have done something very bad in a past life.
Something very rotten is going on at the FBI.
And how did this bot decide to call Fred Trump a ‘philanthropist’? The documents listed are about a tax case, don’t mention philanthropy.
— Ken Gude (@KenGude) November 1, 2016
Newest Fairleigh Dickinson poll from NJ has Chris Christie’s job approval rating at 21%. His career looks finished.
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) October 19, 2016
re: #95 freetoken
Also from 538, their distribution of model simulation outcomes:
[Embedded content]
I added the red arrow to show that one of the more likely scenarios is that Hillary eeks out the narrowest of EC wins.
538 seems to have embraced anxiety creation as a business strategy.
Chill out.
re: #109 gocart mozart
[Embedded content]
There’s that dead end 20%. At least he’s on the low end so maybe there is a bottom to the “whatever the GOP does is good” thing.
re: #108 goddamnedfrank
Does giving all your money to your kid make you a philanthropist?
re: #66 freetoken
Looking at the time graph of 538 polls model:
[Embedded content]
There is a 30 and 60 day window, or so it would appear, by which the polling public forgets the past.
Looks to me like as widely watched events like the conventions, debate and election near Nate’s model makes sure he gets paid.
re: #106 gocart mozart
You must have done something very bad in a past life.
Law students at Chapman University have it worse — they have Hewitt as a professor of constitutional law.
re: #113 Skip Intro
Maybe the FBI bot doesn’t know how to spell stamp collector.
re: #108 goddamnedfrank
Something very rotten is going on at the FBI.
[Embedded content]
A bot?
Weaksauce, FBI, weaksauce.
re: #114 goddamnedfrank
Looks to me like as widely watched events like the conventions, debate and election near Nate’s model makes sure he gets paid.
Yup, which I guess is really my point. The calendar of events is really what is in that graph. The numbers used to graph those lines are not really a foretelling of Nov 8th results, but rather how we humans lay out our calendar.
re: #115 EPR-radar
Law students at Chapman University have it worse — they have Hewitt as a professor of constitutional law.
We have one of their graduates here. I don’t know whether their times at Chapman coincided.
Bobby Knight in Wisconsin: “Under a Donald Trump administration, ladies and gentleman, there will never be any bullshit”
— Holly Bailey (@hollybdc) November 1, 2016
…but then….
Rudy Giuliani introduced Bobby Knight who introduced Reince Priebus who just introduced Scott Walker who will presumably introduce Trump
— Holly Bailey (@hollybdc) November 1, 2016
re: #119 freetoken
Yup, which I guess is really my point. The calendar of events is really what is in that graph. The numbers used to graph those lines are not really a foretelling of Nov 8th results, but rather how we humans lay out our calendar.
Stop focusing so much on 538 alone. He blundered the Trump nom and has been overcompensating ever since.
re: #124 HappyWarrior
It’s truly Bizzarro World at a Trump rally.
re: #122 Varek Raith
Stop focusing so much on 538 alone.
But it is the most popularly referenced site (thanks to ESPN) in regards to polls, near as I can tell. PEC and RCP are also popular but even there they are compared to 538.
So I pay attention to them because that is the fashion.
re: #118 Ziggy_TARDIS
So, apparently there is an issue with lagging turnout among African Americans.
Yeah, well, there is a very good reason for that - when fewer people are allowed to vote, then you get “lagging turnout”.
State NAACP office sues North Carolina, alleging voter suppression
It’s time to take a rest from today’s bad crazy, some of it here at LGF…and go to a buddies to watch the World Series.
Go Cleveland Indigenous Peoples!!! You can do this…
Later all…keep ‘em in line.
Incredibly interesting @BarackObama riff in Columbus, OH just now (h/t @sahilkapur) pic.twitter.com/76Rr502YAY
— Mark Halperin (@MarkHalperin) November 1, 2016
re: #42 blueraven
OK, so I have seen reports on cable about FBI twitter. FBI says it is just FOIA requests tweeted as they are ready. No push back from cable news so far.
Really? These are the first tweets in over a year. And since when were FOIA requests posted to Twitter?
Something stinks!
Last tweet before October 30, 2016
Receive response to your email acct…
[Embedded content]
Just in: statement from the FBI on its release of documents today pertaining to the Marc Rich/Bill Clinton inquiry pic.twitter.com/SLBEmxNjmM
— Rebecca Berg (@rebeccagberg) November 1, 2016
So FBI out with statement saying it was just a bot. I would be more persuaded if said bot had not been dormant for more than a year… https://t.co/pFGCTRw4AH
— Ken Gude (@KenGude) November 1, 2016
re: #113 Skip Intro
Does giving all your money to your kid make you a philanthropist?
Charity starts at home!
re: #124 HappyWarrior
Please every speech Trum makes is bullshit.
Every speech made by any Republican running for Federal Office is bullshit.
re: #118 Ziggy_TARDIS
So, apparently there is an issue with lagging turnout among African Americans.
Didn’t we go over this yesterday?
re: #49 MsJ
Firefox is my browser of choice, but lately I just want to chuck it through a window.
All of them are currently monster CPU hogs on my laptop. I just accept Chrome since it lets me disable all the Flash stuff by default. I keep Firefox around due to a few websites that won’t work well with Chrome (complaining about certificates and deems them unsafe.)
re: #120 wrenchwench
We have one of their graduates here. I don’t know whether their times at Chapman coincided.
That’s me. Hewitt was teaching con law while I was there, but I didn’t take his class (many of my classmates used to say that he used it for show prep). I actually took con law with John Eastman (Chairman of NOM). Tim Canova, who challenged DWS in Florida this year, was also one of my professors.
Politics aside, all three of them were good guys. Fair to everyone, regardless of where they came down on legal theories or politics. I was a bit more of an ideological libertarian back then, so I didn’t really agree with them on a lot of different things, but they were always fair. I also remember Hewitt giving me a hard time because I skipped some religion and law symposium to watch a Dodger game in the student lounge (even though a friend of my came down from another school to go to it).
re: #118 Ziggy_TARDIS
So, apparently there is an issue with lagging turnout among African Americans.
You really need to step away from all this. Things to consider:
For Trump to swing this, he needs to turn some voting blocks. Who is going to swing? Women, AAs, Hispanics? The best he can go is depress the vote. Early voting isn’t really showing this.
Early voting also shows the dems ahead, generally and where it counts, or at the very least eating heavily into Repugs historical leads. These are based on self identification through registration. Higher percentages of dems are going Hillary’s way than Repugs for The Prince of Puce. So I expect the early voting actually I’ll show a dem advantage. In this cycle I’m getting the feeling that the people crossing the line to vote, even when registered are going to come from the repugs.
The ground game is completely one sided. Being loud at a rally does not translate to legwork. Never underestimate the power of the ground game.
The polls always close, or at the least fluctuate.
There are flaws with polling, not deliberate but the last few years have shown a real difficulty with reaching 21st century citizens, demographics have changed, communication has changed, being able to predict the electorate has changed, so fluctuation based on old models is almost baked in.
Also the main point in my eyes is that while Trump has been shitty to everyone, he has really shown an ugly deep seated hatred for Hispanics. They have traditionally been low volume voters. For me this is going to be the story of this year, also one not really factored into a lot of polls, as the posters themselves show when looking at cross tabs.
I remember exactly the same site of woes in 2008 and 2012, didnt happen then, won’t happen know. Obama kicked it out of the park, and Hillary has been stronger for pretty much all of this.
fuck it. Hillary has got this.
Worry the 9th. Work now. Fuck it. Buy an Pizza and take it round to your local site. At least you’ll know you did something. Nothing wrong with losing, everything wrong with giving up.
re: #76 Brian J.
Do not even joke around with shit like that.
re: #113 Skip Intro
Does giving all your money to your kid make you a philanthropist?
apparently giving over $350,000 to NYC politicians during Mayor Ed Koch’s term qualifies…
re: #127 freetoken
So I pay attention to them because that is the fashion.
That doesn’t make them more accurate.
re: #7 HappyWarrior
Typical Greenwald. So sick of him whining about Democrats who have the audacity to criticize Putin and then to liken it to McCarthyism is even more fucked up given Putin’s American apologists as you say are the same people who tell us that McCarthy was right.
I think Greenwald and all other Putin apologists/admirers really need to be investigated for having financial ties from Russia. Think about how many years Greenwald, Alt Right websites and Republicans have been kissing Putin’s ass, praising him or providing him cover. Same goes with Wikileaks and Jill Stein’s Green Party.
The lengths at which the Russians have been interfering in our political process is just now coming to light. According to David Corn at Mother Jones, Trump was being groomed by Russia for 5 years. I think the Trump campaign is just the tip of the iceberg. All these seemingly different and unrelated groups all having the same talking points (Russia/Putin good. Obama/Hillary/USA bad). It can’t just be a coincidence. I think this conspiracy runs pretty deep and it needs a full investigation. All communications and financial information must be looked at.
I fear the Democrats will punk out because it does not look good on the surface level. I can see the conservative media spinning it as if its an attack on political opponents. But, I believe at this point Russia’s interference in our democracy is a real national security risk. National security concerns should outweigh concerns of bad PR. Who really knows who had been paid off at this point? The potential threat is there.