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61 comments

1
Ace-o-aces  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:17:36pm
2
Shiplord Kirel: Fan of USPS, Goodyear, and Oreo  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:18:52pm

The plot thickens:

3
dangerman  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:20:18pm

re: #2 Shiplord Kirel: Fan of USPS, Goodyear, and Oreo

The plot thickens:

[Embedded content]

read the fucking constitution
are they really that stunningly stupid or is this all ‘performance art’?

4
Jay C  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:23:06pm

re: #2 Shiplord Kirel: Fan of USPS, Goodyear, and Oreo

The plot thickens:

[Embedded content]

“Elect Obama as Speaker”?
Yeah, something’s *thick* here, and it ain’t the plot….

And let’s do it by the numbers…
6 - 21 - 3 - 11
20 - 18 - 21 - 13 - 16 !!!!

5
Anymouse 🌹🏡😷  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:24:05pm

re: #109 Eclectic Cyborg

From the last thread:

re: #125 Anymouse 🌹🏡😷

Trump has been pressuring Mitch McConnell to change the adjournment date of the US Senate, citing his authority to prorogue both Houses under the Constitution, Article II Section 3 (and I am certain he was told he could do this by someone else).

That section only permits the President to do that if the House and Senate cannot agree on an adjournment date, and Sen. McConnell has insisted the date is the same which Nancy Pelosi agrees to, January 3, 2021.

6
LeftyRambles2413 (HappyWarrior)  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:24:58pm

re: #2 Shiplord Kirel: Fan of USPS, Goodyear, and Oreo

The plot thickens:

[Embedded content]

That’s not how this works Dumb Dave.

7
Shiplord Kirel: Fan of USPS, Goodyear, and Oreo  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:26:54pm

re: #3 dangerman

read the fucking constitution
are they really that stunningly stupid or is this all ‘performance art’?

[Embedded content]

On the available evidence, they are indeed that stupid.

8
The Pie Overlord!  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:28:41pm

WTAF did he just blurt out that Joe should be assassinated?

9
Eclectic Cyborg  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:28:41pm

Because having Obama as President again would be the worst fucking thing ever…

10
🌹UOJB!  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:29:17pm

re: #3 dangerman

read the fucking constitution
are they really that stunningly stupid or is this all ‘performance art’?

[Embedded content]

Just remember when kiddie porn was found on Dave Daubemire’s home computer he made his son take the fall for him

dispatch.com

11
Eclectic Cyborg  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:29:26pm

re: #8 The Pie Overlord!

WTAF did he just blurt out that Joe should be assassinated?

[Embedded content]

I think he meant “tired”. He does call Biden “sleepy” all the time.

Terrible choice of words though.

And yes, Kamala is ready, bitch.

12
dangerman  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:29:27pm

they’re lining up….

13
Anymouse 🌹🏡😷  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:29:36pm

re: #6 LeftyRambles2413 (HappyWarrior)

That’s not how this works Dumb Dave.

He could be appointed as Speaker of the House (I could be appointed Speaker of the House, since you don’t have to be elected for that position).

That wouldn’t get former President Obama back in the driver’s seat of the White House though.

14
Eclectic Cyborg  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:30:36pm

Man, the wingnut brick shitting would be epic if Obama became Speaker of the House.

15
Anymouse 🌹🏡😷  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:30:53pm

re: #3 dangerman

read the fucking constitution
are they really that stunningly stupid or is this all ‘performance art’?

Why not both?

16
Charles Johnson  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:31:40pm
17
dangerman  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:32:16pm

18
Belafon  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:33:36pm

re: #13 Anymouse 🌹🏡😷

He could be appointed as Speaker of the House (I could be appointed Speaker of the House, since you don’t have to be elected for that position).

That wouldn’t get former President Obama back in the driver’s seat of the White House though.

Even if he was Speaker, and Biden and Harris suddenly died, he could only become president if there was less than two years left on the term. And he couldn’t run again.

Yes, zero understanding of how it works.

19
Shiplord Kirel: Fan of USPS, Goodyear, and Oreo  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:34:31pm

re: #4 Jay C

“Elect Obama as Speaker”?
Yeah, something’s *thick* here, and it ain’t the plot….

And let’s do it by the numbers…
6 - 21 - 3 - 11
20 - 18 - 21 - 13 - 16 !!!!

My advanced cryptographic algorithm decodes that as “May Cheeto fornicate with a gnarly flaming pine branch wielded by a syphilitic polar bear.”

20
dangerman  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:35:29pm
21
FormerDirtDart 🍕🐀 No Capt'n😷Trips  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:36:11pm
22
I Would Prefer Not To  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:37:19pm

re: #21 FormerDirtDart 🍕🐀 No Capt’n😷Trips

[Embedded content]

I don’t care, do you?

23
🌹UOJB!  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:37:49pm

Flack Dump Untrod
Flack Dump Rotund
Track Unfold Dump
Dotard Clump Funk
Mudflat Duck Porn
Mudflat Cord Punk
Mudflat Crunk Pod
Mudflat Ruck Pond
Mudflat Cop Drunk
Mudflat Crop Dunk
Updraft Clonk Mud
Updraft Clunk Mod

24
Anymouse 🌹🏡😷  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:37:59pm

Liar. Sonia Sotomayor.

25
LeftyRambles2413 (HappyWarrior)  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:38:45pm

re: #13 Anymouse 🌹🏡😷

He could be appointed as Speaker of the House (I could be appointed Speaker of the House, since you don’t have to be elected for that position).

That wouldn’t get former President Obama back in the driver’s seat of the White House though.

That’s obviously what I meant. Yeah Obama can be Speaker but it doesn’t retroactively make him eligible just like Albright wasn’t in the line of succession due to her Czechoslovakian birth.

26
LeftyRambles2413 (HappyWarrior)  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:39:51pm

re: #24 Anymouse 🌹🏡😷

[Embedded content]

Liar. Sonia Sotomayor.

Justice Sotomayor isn’t a mom but Judge Brown-Jackson is

27
LeftyRambles2413 (HappyWarrior)  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:40:55pm

re: #18 Belafon

Even if he was Speaker, and Biden and Harris suddenly died, he could only become president if there was less than two years left on the term. And he couldn’t run again.

Yes, zero understanding of how it works.

A moron’s understanding of Civics 101.

28
dangerman  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:41:02pm

A Michigan state judge blocked the Election Day ban on the open carry of guns near polling places, the Detroit News reports.

dave chappelle:

To solve school shootings and save the country, black people simply need to register for legal firearms, he reasoned. “That’s when the laws will change,”

i’d submit:
- every black person
- apply for, don’t even need to buy one

29
Jay C  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:41:13pm

re: #19 Shiplord Kirel: Fan of USPS, Goodyear, and Oreo

My advanced cryptographic algorithm decodes that as “May Cheeto fornicate with a gnarly flaming pine branch wielded by a syphilitic polar bear.”

Got it in one….. ;)

re: #5 Anymouse 🌹🏡😷

OK, only an amateur Constitutional scholar, but isn’t January 3 - as specified by the 20th Amendment - the starting date for the NEW Congress, not the termination (formal “adjournment”) of the old one?
ISTR that Congressional sessions usually end just before NYE (Jan 1 being a formal holiday), and the new lot swear in on 1/3. Though nowadays, who can tell WTF they might do….?

30
jaunte  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:43:11pm
31
dangerman  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:43:36pm

re: #24 Anymouse 🌹🏡😷

[Embedded content]

Liar. Sonia Sotomayor.

which has what to do with qualifications for the job?

32
dangerman  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:44:00pm

re: #25 LeftyRambles2413 (HappyWarrior)

That’s obviously what I meant. Yeah Obama can be Speaker but it doesn’t retroactively make him eligible just like Albright wasn’t in the line of succession due to her Czechoslovakian birth.

or kissinger
or Chao
or…

33
I Would Prefer Not To  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:44:10pm

re: #30 jaunte

[Embedded content]

doesn’t loan forgiveness have to be reported as income? At least in some cases.

34
dangerman  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:44:35pm

re: #26 LeftyRambles2413 (HappyWarrior)

Sonia isn’t a mom but Judge Brown-Jackson is

kamala’s a mom
past school aged
(and yes, i know)

35
Teddy's Person ✌  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:44:57pm

re: #31 dangerman

[Embedded content]

which has what to do with qualifications for the job?

Don’t recall Judge Beer being called a working dad. Fuck the patriarchy!

36
Kilroy was here  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:45:21pm

I got a laugh out to his..

The Fox News Cinematic Universe

37
Anymouse 🌹🏡😷  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:45:27pm

re: #26 LeftyRambles2413 (HappyWarrior)

Sonia isn’t a mom but Judge Brown-Jackson is

I’ll have to take that back then. I thought she had a child.

38
dangerman  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:46:10pm

re: #30 jaunte

[Embedded content]

presumably all of it reported as income, right?
i mean that’s the law and all

39
🌹UOJB!  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:46:40pm

Nate just kicked Joe up to 88/100 and Trump now kicked down to 12/100. Nate also tipped Georgia to Joe. Hearing Joe in Georgia right now. Wish Jimmy Carter could be with him!

40
jaunte  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:46:51pm

re: #38 dangerman

His crimes are under audit.

41
jaunte  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:49:04pm
42
Backwoods_Sleuth  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:49:52pm

mind you, Sean ain’t saying what condition it’s in…

43
Anymouse 🌹🏡😷  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:50:53pm

re: #30 jaunte

You are sent a form 1099-C “Forgiveness of Debt” for the tax year it was forgiven from the creditor.

In general, if you have cancellation of debt income because your debt is canceled, forgiven, or discharged for less than the amount you must pay, the amount of the canceled debt is taxable and you must report the canceled debt on your tax return for the year the cancellation occurs. The canceled debt isn’t taxable, however, if the law specifically allows you to exclude it from gross income. These specific exclusions will be discussed later.

There are some exceptions to the requirement to pay taxes.

In general, you must report any taxable amount of a canceled debt as ordinary income from the cancellation of debt [list of forms on which you can report it follows]

irs.gov

44
FormerDirtDart 🍕🐀 No Capt'n😷Trips  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:52:38pm
45
retired cynic  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:52:39pm

re: #42 Backwoods_Sleuth

[Embedded content]

mind you, Sean ain’t saying what condition it’s in…

I’d take it anyway!

46
🌹UOJB!  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:53:38pm

re: #44 FormerDirtDart 🍕🐀 No Capt’n😷Trips

[Embedded content]

Bring back the 90% top income tax rate.

47
sagehen  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:53:41pm

re: #28 dangerman

A Michigan state judge blocked the Election Day ban on the open carry of guns near polling places, the Detroit News reports.

dave chappelle:

i’d submit:
- every black person
- apply for, don’t even need to buy one

that’s how/why California bans open carry.

48
LeftyRambles2413 (HappyWarrior)  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:54:04pm

re: #37 Anymouse 🌹🏡😷

I’ll have to take that back then. I thought she had a child.

Nah. Not that it matters. Besides I thought they opposed identity politics.

49
retired cynic  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:55:44pm

Interview with Dave Wasserman, answering a lot of the drama of the past 18 hours here:

We’re watching an incumbent self-destruct

After talking with him I came away with the sense that Trump is not just toast, but burnt toast. To use a poker metaphor: In the last election, Trump won by pulling an inside straight. This time he’ll need nothing short of a royal flush—by pulling an ace from his sleeve.

50
sagehen  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:56:23pm

re: #30 jaunte

I can’t imagine Deutsche Bank forgave $300M out of the kindness of their heart.

The question is, why was the debt forgiven and who does Trump owe for this bout of capitalistic generosity?

I’m assuming an investigation was ended.

51
LeftyRambles2413 (HappyWarrior)  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:57:12pm

Lre: #49 retired cynic

Interview with Dave Wasserman, answering a lot of the drama of the past 18 hours here:

We’re watching an incumbent self-destruct

I do hope if it is a landslide that we don’t default by assuming 2024 will be like this year. We just have to be aware of political reality which is why I’m an optimist right now electorally.

52
dangerman  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:57:18pm

just looking at the maps

trump more or less needs:
NC, WI, MN, IA, MI, AZ, FL, GA, PA
to win

he’s behind on *all* of them ex GA which is a tie today
yes AZ IA and FL are very close
but MN down 10, WI down 7, MI down 9
and PA down 6

correcting for the 2016 errors -
- no late polling in the upper mid west
- no october surprise
- no accounting for education (then, they got it this time)

pollsters dont coordinate with each other.
*all* the polling can’t be wrong.

how does he make this all up?
.:. trump doesnt break 200 EV’s

53
Anymouse 🌹🏡😷  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:58:12pm

You wouldn’t get this break if you were a Muslim or an atheist.

re: #29 Jay C

Got it in one….. ;)

OK, only an amateur Constitutional scholar, but isn’t January 3 - as specified by the 20th Amendment - the starting date for the NEW Congress, not the termination (formal “adjournment”) of the old one?
ISTR that Congressional sessions usually end just before NYE (Jan 1 being a formal holiday), and the new lot swear in on 1/3. Though nowadays, who can tell WTF they might do….?

The XX Amendment says that members are elected from March 4 to January 3. It doesn’t speak of when Congress is adjourned.

The reason Trump wants this is so he can make recess appointments.

54
Barefoot Grin  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:58:28pm

re: #44 FormerDirtDart 🍕🐀 No Capt’n😷Trips

[Embedded content]

Tits Ahoy, matey.

Sorry, that was rude. But not as rude as when Anthony Bourdain, watching a pig get slaughtered in Sicily, compared it to a Kardashian.

55
BigPapa  Oct 27, 2020 • 2:58:40pm

My dealer come through with some fresh chronic. I’m high as a kite right now.

Hawaii Chili Peppers with lil Habanero sneakin in
56
Ace-o-aces  Oct 27, 2020 • 3:00:32pm
57
Backwoods_Sleuth  Oct 27, 2020 • 3:01:57pm

re: #30 jaunte

[Embedded content]

the entire amount of the forgiven debt should have been reported as taxable income.

58
NetworkKed  Oct 27, 2020 • 3:02:14pm

re: #39 🌹UOJB!

Nate just kicked Joe up to 88/100 and Trump now kicked down to 12/100. Nate also tipped Georgia to Joe. Hearing Joe in Georgia right now. Wish Jimmy Carter could be with him!

There are a lot of really neat little curlicues on 538. My favorite is the square-ish picture link to the forecast in the top right of the front page. fivethirtyeight.com

You’ll see it’s a a grid (not quite a square, I think it’s 18x22?) of red dots filling in from the left, and blue dots filling in from the right. These correspond directly to the forecast odds, and oddly enough provide the most fine-grained (each dot is about .25%) indicator on the site. You can see right there moment to moment what is happening. Right now there are six blue dots in the third column from the left - the best I’ve seen was seven when I looked early this afternoon. Even as the numbers sagged a little this weekend (and most of that is just a point or two of undecideds coming back to Trump) it was only down to 3 dots.

The thing I don’t like about Nate’s model is I think his simulations go too far off of the median results - if you look at the example outcomes on both sides, they’re just silly. (Colorado red? Kansas blue? Not worth considering.) But the end numbers are usually relatively fair because you’re trimming roughly proportional parts off both sides. When it gets to this stage, where Trump barely has anything left but the crazy scenarios, I think it overestimates his chances. See Wang with 99%+ Biden or Economist with 95%+ Biden. There are still benefits of doing it Nate’s way, but for honest prediction it’s a little iffy.

59
Anymouse 🌹🏡😷  Oct 27, 2020 • 3:02:52pm

re: #53 Anymouse 🌹🏡😷

You wouldn’t get this break if you were a Muslim or an atheist.

I left out part of that:

During yesterday’s hearing, Dave Daubenmire asked Marcelain to give his son a chance.

“I believe Zach has been greatly punished because of his association with me,” the father said. “I really believe in my heart that this case can be an example” of positive change by his son.

Marcelain seemed moved by the sentiments expressed by the father and son, as well as nearly 100 letters of support sent to him by people who know the younger Daubenmire and his family.

“I can see no purpose of incarceration,” Marcelain said. “I don’t know about your redemption. That’s handled by a different court.”

60
Jay C  Oct 27, 2020 • 3:09:50pm

re: #53 Anymouse 🌹🏡😷

You wouldn’t get this break if you were a Muslim or an atheist.

The XX Amendment says that members are elected from March 4 to January 3. It doesn’t speak of when Congress is adjourned.

The reason Trump wants this is so he can make recess appointments.

Recess appointments? Aren’t they only valid until said “recess” is over?
And (most of them??) expire with a new Congress anyway?

61
Renaissance_Man  Oct 27, 2020 • 3:22:28pm

re: #52 dangerman

just looking at the maps

trump more or less needs:
NC, WI, MN, IA, MI, AZ, FL, GA, PA
to win

he’s behind on *all* of them ex GA which is a tie today
yes AZ IA and FL are very close
but MN down 10, WI down 7, MI down 9
and PA down 6

correcting for the 2016 errors -
- no late polling in the upper mid west
- no october surprise
- no accounting for education (then, they got it this time)

pollsters dont coordinate with each other.
*all* the polling can’t be wrong.

how does he make this all up?
.:. trump doesnt break 200 EV’s

Polls don’t matter.


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