Public Policy Polling - ‘Palin not a serious candidate for president, but has a serious chance at the GOP nomination.’
steadily monitoring Gov. Blood Libel’s favoable ratings, and they are not good:
Over the last 5 months we’ve polled on Sarah Palin’s favorability in 27 different states. She has negative favorability numbers in all 27. Here are some more facts on Palin’s numbers:
-A majority of voters in 26 of the 27 states have a negative opinion of Palin- the only exception is West Virginia where just 47% rate her unfavorably to 41% with a position opinion.
-Palin’s favorability spread is -20 or worse in 19 of the 27 states we’ve polled.
-There are only three states where Palin’s favorability spread is better than -10: in addition to West Virginia they are Nebraska and Montana.
-There are eight states where her spread is -30 or worse: in addition to typically blue states like New Jersey, California, Massachusetts, Maine and Rhode Island that includes swing states like Colorado, New Mexico, and Virginia.
This paragraph made me giggle:
Bottom line Palin is not a serious general election candidate for President- but she would have a serious chance at the GOP nomination if she ran and that’s why we keep polling her
As I see it, if she runs (and I can’t say either way if I think she will) she’s got the GOP base pretty much locked up - which shows just how base the GOP base really is. Sane Republicans and convservatives - all 3 of them - will have trouble supporting her, which is why the other GOP contenders are going to have to outcrazy themselves in what will be a vain effort to get the base in their corner. Huckabee has been willing to go there with his kinda-birther-but-not-really comments, Gingrich has no shame at all, and even Romney may take a dip in that wading pool.
If you like watching crazy people in action, the GOP primary season could be fun to watch…but the reality that one of them could actually win in 2012 is sobering indeed (I am not convinced that Obama will run as brilliant a campaign as he did in ‘08, but that’s another story).