Polls Find Huntsman Unacceptable to Many in Republican Base
fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com
I frequently cite the political futures market Intrade, where people can place bets on everything ranging from the likelihood that Charlie Sheen will get arrested to the identity of the next president. Sometimes, however, bettors at the market settle on odds that seem highly implausible.
One such example: right now, Intrade bettors give former Utah Governor Jon Hunstman a 15 percent chance of winning the Republican nomination. That’s barely lower than Tim Pawlenty, who is assigned a 19 percent chance.
Polls suggest, however, that Mr. Huntsman is likely to be an unacceptable choice for many Republican voters….
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