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1 CuriousLurker  Sat, Aug 27, 2011 5:12:45am

There's a pretty nice tracking map on the NY Times website that's powered by Google. I don't know how often it updates, but it's very well done in terms of being easy to read, zoom in & out, etc.

2 Bob Dillon  Sat, Aug 27, 2011 6:33:55am

All times posted are UTC / GMT / Zulu-time (1800z:)

27 August 2011

1200z: Irene weakens some during North Carolina landfall, but is expected to remain a hurricane as it hits the mid-Atlantic states later today and New England on 28 August.

1150z: President Barack Obama declares a state of emergency for New Jersey.

1136z: Hurricane Irene makes landfall in North Carolina; center come ashore near Cape Lookout.

1121z: Major New York airports will close to arriving flights at 1600 UTC, but will remain open for departing flights.

1048z: Flooding is also being reported in parts of North Carolina.

1031z: End of the Atlantic Beach Pier falls into the ocean in Atlantic Beach, North Carolina.

0958z: More than 90,000 people are now reportedly without electricity in North Carolina and Virginia.

0944z: Power outages reported in parts of Atlantic Beach, North Carolina.

0900z: A Tropical Storm Warning is no longer in effect for the South Carolina coast south of the South Santee River.

0836z: Irene is forecast to weaken after making landfall on 27 August but remain at hurricane strength as it moves north along the coast on 28 August.

0712z: Hurricane weakens to Category 1. The storm has maximum sustained winds of 90 mph/78 kt. Meteorologists at the National Hurricane Center stressed that the weakening would not significantly affect the impact of the storm, and that Irene remained dangerous.

3 What, me worry?  Sat, Aug 27, 2011 7:47:30am

I really think they're hyping this up. It's going to hit NY maybe as a low Cat 1, but probably just a tropical storm. That's basically some downed trees and possible power outages. It's moving at a pretty good clip, 13mph as of the 8:00a advisory. Andrew came through Miami at 15mph which hung over us about 2-3 hours (if I recall correctly). So I don't think it's going to hang out long. And this, of course, is nothing like Andrew (200mph winds - Cat 5).

The only other issue is flooding. I think they're predicting 8-10" of rain. If your area usually floods in a bad storm than that's a concern. Make sure you put away anything outside that can blow around, like lawn furniture or fixtures. And move your car to high ground.

I saw them boarding up in Massachusetts and I'm sorry, but that's ridiculous. It's not going to be powerful enough to knock out windows. The problem with the hype is that people won't believe them if another really bad storm comes along.

~ Meteorologist Marj at your service ~

4 Randall Gross  Sat, Aug 27, 2011 7:58:48am

re: #3 marjoriemoon

The latest track (just updated above) shows it moving more NW ward, meaning over land which should cause it to downgrade faster.

5 What, me worry?  Sat, Aug 27, 2011 9:29:08am

If this thing comes over NY as a thunderstorm (which is what I suspect), Lucy is gonna have some 'splainin to do.

6 What, me worry?  Sat, Aug 27, 2011 9:43:11am

One thing I want to mention (I said on the main thread) and this is of the UTMOST IMPORTANCE, most injuries and deaths occur AFTER the storm when people are trying to clear debris. Downed power lines with a lot of water is a recipe for disaster. Also trying to cut limbs hanging out of trees. Chain saw injuries and debris falling on your head. I really can't stress this enough. People are so relieved at getting through the storm, they don't think about the dangers of what's laying around outside.

Although I think that applies more to the folks in and around NC.

7 lawhawk  Sat, Aug 27, 2011 9:49:27am

Greets and saluts from the NYC metro area. We've already got some rain coming down - and the radar shows that this is the first of the outer bands. No wind to speak of, but the rain is going to be piling up quick as the day progresses and goes into tomorrow when the heart of the storm passes.

I've already been up on the roof to clean out the valleys to keep the water from backing up under the roofing and flooding.

With the storm already over land, we should see some further reduction in strength. The longer it lingers over land, the more the storm will weaken. It may regain some strength as it goes back over the ocean, but with cooler waters near NJ/NY, that isn't going to really recharge the system as much as if it were in the Gulf. The slow movement is going to allow the rain to pile up. Flooding is my main worry here in Northern NJ, but the winds will be quite substantial on the East End and directly along the coast.

8 Randall Gross  Sat, Aug 27, 2011 10:37:00am

Hopefully some are going to film this without putting themselves in too much danger - it's a rare chance to catch some areas empty of people.


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