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1 TDG2112  Wed, Jul 18, 2012 5:18:38am

The key word is Perception. Which in an insurgency is everything.

All the FSA has to do is stage enough attacks in the capital to keep disproportionate number of governmental Syrian troops pinned down there. And better yet, troops are going to likely be the most elite and loyal- leaving the least reliable, least trained, least supported to fight in other areas. So just a few hundred FSA fighters (or fewer perhaps, I don't have their OOB) will keep the Syrian army way busier than it can afford to be.

So yeah, this looks like it may be starting to turn around for the rebels. They don't need to win any actual fights to win the war. If this keeps up long enough the Syrian regime will begin to crack on its own.

2 Destro  Wed, Jul 18, 2012 5:36:16am

re: #1 TDG2112

The key word is Perception. Which in an insurgency is everything.

All the FSA has to do is stage enough attacks in the capital to keep disproportionate number of governmental Syrian troops pinned down there. And better yet, troops are going to likely be the most elite and loyal- leaving the least reliable, least trained, least supported to fight in other areas. So just a few hundred FSA fighters (or fewer perhaps, I don't have their OOB) will keep the Syrian army way busier than it can afford to be.

So yeah, this looks like it may be starting to turn around for the rebels. They don't need to win any actual fights to win the war. If this keeps up long enough the Syrian regime will begin to crack on its own.

Any rebel movement that the USA supports that also uses suicide bombers bodes ill for the future of secular Syria.

3 TDG2112  Wed, Jul 18, 2012 7:15:45am

re: #2 Destro

Any rebel movement that the USA supports that also uses suicide bombers bodes ill for the future of secular Syria.

I've seen (just now after I posted my original post here) that there was a bombing killing some pretty high level people in the Syrian regime. I see a lot of papers are saying it was a Suicide bomb but only site official Syrian News agencies as their source for declaring it such.

The fact is Syria is ripe for sectarian conflict. The Rebels aren't uniting. There are lots of ethnic groups. The Assad regime has been staging attacks against rebel towns using militia from nearby ethnic rival towns and villages in order to stoke the violence.

Whether the US backed this particular attack isn't going to change things. It's going to be bad in Syria for a long time to come.

My impression is the attack was not a suicide bomber and reports that it was are Syrian propaganda. I could be wrong, but I don't see how you get so many targets all at once with a suicide bomber with a vest bomb. Maybe a car bomb? But then they'd have to either get past the barricades or get the vehicle in place before the event. At which point you can put it on a timer or a remote.

4 TDG2112  Wed, Jul 18, 2012 7:30:05am

More details:
[Link: www.usatoday.com...]

Rebels say this was NOT a suicide attack. They got the bomb INTO the conference room and detonated it (which makes so much more sense than what Syrian state media have been saying)

However, before Destro posts this, there have been plenty of Suicide bombings in Damascus:

[Link: hosted.ap.org...]

I still maintain with or without foreign support for the Rebels it's going to be really bad in Syria regardless.

5 Destro  Wed, Jul 18, 2012 8:40:10am

re: #4 TDG2112

More details:
[Link: www.usatoday.com...]

Rebels say this was NOT a suicide attack. They got the bomb INTO the conference room and detonated it (which makes so much more sense than what Syrian state media have been saying)

However, before Destro posts this, there have been plenty of Suicide bombings in Damascus:

[Link: hosted.ap.org...]

I still maintain with or without foreign support for the Rebels it's going to be really bad in Syria regardless.

Let us not kid ourselves like it always seems on the TV where rebels are called the latest incarnation of the American Minute Men. Syria was a hodgepodge state cobbled together from the French mandate and when such artificial states collapse we have hell on earth. Be it in Rwanda or Yugoslavia or the USSR or Iraq or Libya. But I think the CIA/State Dept, etc could care less if all the Alawites and Syrian Christians get wiped out. I did not see Bush and his usually uber Christian right wing cry much for Iraq's Christians.


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