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1 Bob Levin  Fri, Aug 24, 2012 8:42:38am

I think the Israelis have already re-conceived the notion of war. The pundits are way behind the curve. I have no idea what is coming up, but I’m pretty sure it’s going to look like the Iranians are having one terrible streak of bad luck.

2 sliv_the_eli  Fri, Aug 24, 2012 9:14:22am

All the liberal and other pundits who have been busily wringing their hands over even the mere possibility that the Israeli government might take its obligation to protect its population seriously continue to ignore — willfully, in my opinion — the key point that Krauthammer points out:

Time is short. Last-ditch negotiations in Istanbul, Baghdad and Moscow have failed abjectly. The Iranians are contemptuously playing with the process. The strategy is delay until they get the bomb.

Iran has been gaming the international system for at least the last decade. The IAEA first reported Iran’s non-compliance with its obligations under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, to which Iran is a signatory, in 2003. The UN Security Council took jurisdiction over Iran’s violations in Mach 2006, nearly 6 1/2 years ago. Anyone interested in educating themselves about the long history of this issue can find much useful information at the following link to the Eye on the UN Web site:
As of today, it has been 3,341 days since the IAEA first reported Iran’s violation of the NPT.

For all the hue and cry by Israel’s critics of an alleged rush to war by Israel’s leadership, Israel’s government has actually shown incredible patience and deference to the international community in this matter, even while the genocidal rhetoric of the Iranian leadership has grown increasingly strident in seeming lock-step with the advances they make in the weaponization program.

I, for one, do not envy Israel’s elected government the difficult choice they face. Simply waiting for the “international community” to de-fang Iran’s nuclear weapons program is likely, if the past decade is any guide, to lead to the world waking up one morning to find that Iran has announced its creation of a nuclear weapon and the means to deliver it. For all of the American government’s rhetoric, most Israelis do not believe that the U.S. will act militarily to destroy Iran’s facilities, either. Together with the mullahcracy’s promises to annihilate “the Zionist entity”, and their long track record of fomenting, financing and carrying out violent acts against Israeli and Jewish targets world-wide, that is likely not a prospect that any sane Israeli leader would want to have to contend with. (Not to mention Iran’s non-Shi’a adversaries in the Persian Gulf, the Middle East and the Maghreb). On the other hand, Israel taking overt military action against Iran’s nuclear weaponization facilities is likely, as Krauthammer points out, to trigger massive retaliatory barrages from Hizb’allah in Lebanon and Hamas an others in the Gaza Strip, as well as a world-wide wave of anti-Jewish and anti-Israel terrorist activity.

Faced with this choice, successive Israeli governments have shown incredible restraint in limiting their response to generally covert activities designed to slow Iran’s rush to nuclear weaponization in the hopes that the international community, led by the U.S., ultimately manages to halt the process completely. The Iranians, for their part, continue to try and buy time until they can present the world with a fait accompli. Who will reach the finish line first is anyone’s guess.

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