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1 Timmeh  Thu, Oct 4, 2012 8:07:16am

I don't think that's quite correct.

If you look at the first question for example (page 8), it says that 25% thought that Obama won, and 67% thought that Romney won (of the total). But if you look at the figures for whites, it is a little different: 20% thought Obama won and 71% thought that Romney won. So there must have been some non-whites in the sample. Otherwise the two numbers would be exactly the same.

The "N/A" probably just means that the sample size is too small to report (it would have a big margin of error).

If you look at the "favorability" thing, though, it seems that this was a fairly pro-Romney sample to begin with, compared to the national average. In most polls I've seen, Obama has a higher favorability than Romney, but in this one it was reversed. And the numbers for both candidates barely budged between before and after the debate.

2 jc717  Thu, Oct 4, 2012 8:38:38am

re: #1 Timmeh

I don't think that's quite correct.

If you look at the first question for example (page 8), it says that 25% thought that Obama won, and 67% thought that Romney won (of the total). But if you look at the figures for whites, it is a little different: 20% thought Obama won and 71% thought that Romney won. So there must have been some non-whites in the sample. Otherwise the two numbers would be exactly the same.

The "N/A" probably just means that the sample size is too small to report (it would have a big margin of error).

If you look at the "favorability" thing, though, it seems that this was a fairly pro-Romney sample to begin with, compared to the national average. In most polls I've seen, Obama has a higher favorability than Romney, but in this one it was reversed. And the numbers for both candidates barely budged between before and after the debate.

That's a good point. There had to be at least some non-whites in the sample. If you look at the details for over/under 50 and region, it seems that the majority of the sample was over 50 Southerners. Still very skewed and not disclosed in the story.

3 Sophia77  Thu, Oct 4, 2012 9:11:46am

Oh. So you start with a GOP leaning base then are surprised when they support the GOP.

4 Charles Johnson  Thu, Oct 4, 2012 11:14:59am

Please note that CNN recently hired right wing hack Frank Luntz to do election analysis. I wouldn't be surprised to discover he had a hand in this.

5 Daniel Ballard  Thu, Oct 4, 2012 12:08:10pm

I'm a little lost. where does it give the age and ethnic background of the poll respondents?

Found it never mind.


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