Sunday update: Nate Silver makes Obama 85 percent favorite
New York Times stats guru Nate Silver has elevated the likelihood of President Obama’s re-election to better than 85 percent in his latest update.
In an early morning update Sunday, Obama improved to an 85.1 percent favorite of winning a second term.
That’s the highest Obama has scored in Silver’s influential polling model — which balances a wide variety of state and national polls and weighs them according to past performance and likely accuracy — since he topped 87 percent just before the first presidential debate in Denver.
Silver currently has Obama winning 306.9 electoral votes to Mitt Romney’s 231.1.