Pages

Jump to bottom

8 comments

1 TedStriker  Tue, Nov 20, 2012 6:24:38pm

We already have that scenario here in Tennessee in our state capitol...except it's the other way around. Here, the GOP just stretched out its majority in both houses of our legislature to filibuster-proof supermajorities and the Democrats on our Capitol Hill are more or less powerless to put up more than token resistance on anything.

I love my state, because there is a lot of beauty and resources here, but as of right now, politics-wise, Nashville/Davidson County and Memphis/Shelby County are specks of blue in a sea of red.

2 watching you tiny alien kittens are  Tue, Nov 20, 2012 6:27:34pm

No worries, there is no risk of this happening, public moods shift with the wind. Just because they backed democrats this election does not necessarily mean that they will in the next. They have to produce some measure of progress and success at getting this country moving again or the voters will drop them like a bad habit.

Besides even with current levels of support I fully expect the Dems to get their butts kicked in 2014 and lose the *Senate. The religious right and the republican base will be out in force like always and without a presidential race to vote for half of the Dems will stay home like always. That will sure take some of the wind out of the sails of the "From now on the Dems rule!" over-exuberant crowd. :(

*20 democrat seats up for grabs and only 14 Republican ones.

3 watching you tiny alien kittens are  Tue, Nov 20, 2012 6:35:14pm

To me the people predicting this "permanent" demographic shift to the democrats sound about as delusional as Karl Rove did when he was predicting the same thing for the GOP just 8 years ago.

Just saying...

4 freetoken  Tue, Nov 20, 2012 6:36:09pm

The political parties seem to be undergoing ideological purification across the board.

5 CriticalDragon1177  Tue, Nov 20, 2012 6:47:59pm

Locker,

I doubt what's happened to California is an omen for the rest of America. The Republican party will eventually more to the left with the rest of the country. Otherwise, it won't survive. It may remain more conservative than the democrats, but if there comes a time when almost all Americans support things like gay marriage, the Republican party will not be able to use that as an issue for example. In fact in order for it to remain viable it will have to let people in who also support it.

6 palomino  Wed, Nov 21, 2012 3:02:56am

re: #3 watching you tiny alien kittens are

To me the people predicting this "permanent" demographic shift to the democrats sound about as delusional as Karl Rove did when he was predicting the same thing for the GOP just 8 years ago.

Just saying...

The demographic shifts are actually permanent, in the sense that the Hispanic population will continue to grow for decades, as will the Asian-American population, while the black population will stay about the same proportionally, and whites will shrink. This is all based on projections made by mathematicians and demographers, projections which have been quite accurate for decades now.

You're absolutely right that there's no permanent shift to the Dems. It's quite conceivable that a reformed Republican Party could do well with minorities. But the GOP, in its current incarnation, is at a disadvantage going forward in national elections; put simply, it hasn't diversified quickly enough. One GOP adviser put it bluntly, "This is the last time we can run, at a national level, a strategy that involves focusing almost exclusively on white voters and hoping to get over 60% of them."

7 palomino  Wed, Nov 21, 2012 3:08:08am

re: #1 Ben G. Hazi

We already have that scenario here in Tennessee in our state capitol...except it's the other way around. Here, the GOP just stretched out its majority in both houses of our legislature to filibuster-proof supermajorities and the Democrats on our Capitol Hill are more or less powerless to put up more than token resistance on anything.

I love my state, because there is a lot of beauty and resources here, but as of right now, politics-wise, Nashville/Davidson County and Memphis/Shelby County are specks of blue in a sea of red.

Good points. I think the real omen here is supermajorities...period. In states like CA, MA, NY, IL, that will mean Dems. In states like yours and other southern states, even TX (for a while anyway), plus places like UT, ID, WY, that will mean GOP supermajorities.

8 watching you tiny alien kittens are  Wed, Nov 21, 2012 5:05:53am

re: #6 palomino

The demographic shifts are actually permanent, in the sense that the Hispanic population will continue to grow for decades, as will the Asian-American population, while the black population will stay about the same proportionally, and whites will shrink. This is all based on projections made by mathematicians and demographers, projections which have been quite accurate for decades now.

You're absolutely right that there's no permanent shift to the Dems. It's quite conceivable that a reformed Republican Party could do well with minorities. But the GOP, in its current incarnation, is at a disadvantage going forward in national elections; put simply, it hasn't diversified quickly enough. One GOP adviser put it bluntly, "This is the last time we can run, at a national level, a strategy that involves focusing almost exclusively on white voters and hoping to get over 60% of them."

Oh I fully understand the demographic realities, I'm just saying that nothing in history indicates that any of these growing segments of the population "belong" to the democratic party in perpetuity.


This page has been archived.
Comments are closed.

Jump to top

Create a PageThis is the LGF Pages posting bookmarklet. To use it, drag this button to your browser's bookmark bar, and title it 'LGF Pages' (or whatever you like). Then browse to a site you want to post, select some text on the page to use for a quote, click the bookmarklet, and the Pages posting window will appear with the title, text, and any embedded video or audio files already filled in, ready to go.
Or... you can just click this button to open the Pages posting window right away.
Last updated: 2016-01-01 10:29 am PST
LGF User's Guide RSS Feeds Tweet

Help support Little Green Footballs!

Subscribe now for ad-free access!Register and sign in to a free LGF account before subscribing, and your ad-free access will be automatically enabled.

Recent PagesClick to refresh
Labor Nominee Acosta Cut Deal With Billionaire Guilty in Sex Abuse Case There was once a time — before the investigations, before the sexual abuse conviction — when rich and famous men loved to hang around with Jeffrey Epstein, a billionaire money manager who loved to party. They visited his mansion ...
Birth Control Works
6 hours, 53 minutes ago
Views: 84 • Comments: 0 • Rating: 0
Tweets: 0 • Share to Facebook
Shares: 0
Comments: 0
: 0
While Gorsuch Was Testifying, the Supreme Court Unanimously Said He Was Wrong About 40 minutes after Supreme Court nominee Neil Gorsuch began his second day of testimony before the Senate Judiciary Committee, all eight of the justices he hopes to join said a major disability decision Gorsuch wrote in 2008 was ...
Birth Control Works
7 hours, 2 minutes ago
Views: 63 • Comments: 0 • Rating: 0
Tweets: 0 • Share to Facebook
Shares: 0
Comments: 0
: 0
Black & Missing in America - a Short Film Published on May 7, 2015 From OSCAR® and 16-time EMMY award-winning producer Arnold Shapiro and Director/Producer Marlene McCurtis - a short film that highlights the work of the Black and Missing Foundation, and their quest to provide a voice ...
Birth Control Works
7 hours, 32 minutes ago
Views: 68 • Comments: 0 • Rating: 0
Tweets: 0 • Share to Facebook
Shares: 0
Comments: 0
: 0
500 Missing — Why You Should Pay Attention to DC’s Missing Girls if You Attended the Women’s March Though months have passed since the Women's March united women around the nation in January, its mission to stand up for the rights of those who are most vulnerable cannot afford to slip into the background. And this applies ...
Birth Control Works
7 hours, 35 minutes ago
Views: 80 • Comments: 0 • Rating: 0
Tweets: 0 • Share to Facebook
Shares: 0
Comments: 0
: 0
Rewire -‘Issues in Law & Medicine’: A One-Stop Journal for Anti-Vaccine, Anti-Abortion PseudoscienceUnsurprisingly creationists aren't the only ones who produce fake academic journals. It turns out that anti abortion, and anti vaccination ideologues do the same thing, only in the case of "Issues in Law & Medicine," the people behind it, arguably ...
CriticalDragon1177
7 hours, 43 minutes ago
Views: 156 • Comments: 0 • Rating: 0
Tweets: 0 • Share to Facebook
Shares: 0
Comments: 0
: 0
Trump Did to Merkel What Men Do to Women All the Time Tuesday 21 March 2017 06.00 EDT Last modified on Wednesday 22 March 2017 11.22 EDT A few years ago, my husband and I ran into a mutual acquaintance at a restaurant. This young man – a person who would ...
Birth Control Works
7 hours, 55 minutes ago
Views: 203 • Comments: 0 • Rating: 0
Tweets: 2 • Share to Facebook
Shares: 1
Comments: 0
: 1
‘Wife Beating Is Not a Matter of ‘Differences of Opinion”: Domestic Violence Groups Blast Oberweis - Aurora Beacon-News For a man intelligent enough to amass a fortune in business, state Sen. Jim Oberweis (R-Sugar Grove) can display a head-shaking lack of common sense and courtesy. You may have heard by now how ice-cream magnate Oberweis compared "wife ...
Birth Control Works
8 hours, 1 minute ago
Views: 184 • Comments: 0 • Rating: 1
Tweets: 1 • Share to Facebook
Shares: 0
Comments: 0
: 0
RNC Paid Intel Firm for Clinton Dirt As the general election was taking shape last summer, the Republican National Committee initiated a series of payments to a low-profile firm started by retired CIA officers that worked closely with an ex-Russian spy. The payments attracted attention in ...
Birth Control Works
15 hours, 16 minutes ago
Views: 201 • Comments: 0 • Rating: 0
Tweets: 0 • Share to Facebook
Shares: 0
Comments: 0
: 0
Whatever You Do, Don’t Say Yes When This Chatbot Asks, ‘Can You Hear Me?’ Another in my irregular series on privacy in our era, and how to defend yourself in digital venues. For your cell phone-Get TruCaller or some other good robo call screener/blocker. If you have an Ooma phone, set your virtual ...
Unshaken Defiance
16 hours, 45 minutes ago
Views: 158 • Comments: 2 • Rating: 2
Tweets: 0 • Share to Facebook
Shares: 0
Comments: 0
: 0
NOT ONE WOMAN: What’s Missing From This Photo of Politicians Deciding the Future of Women’s Health? President Donald Trump met with the arch-conservative House Freedom Caucus at the White House Thursday to try to hammer out a deal on Obamacare repeal. A major question in the final negotiations? Whether or not maternity care and mammograms ...
Birth Control Works
21 hours, 15 minutes ago
Views: 145 • Comments: 0 • Rating: 0
Tweets: 0 • Share to Facebook
Shares: 0
Comments: 0
: 0