Double Down on Whites? Good Luck With That
For purists - short term strategy = tactics. So the Republican Strategy may work for 2014 and maybe 2016, especially if Democrats don’t show up to vote, but it will surely start failing by 2020.
We might hypothesize that as the minority vote grows, the GOP might get a bigger and bigger share of the white vote. But a deeper look at the numbers shows that this is probably not a realistic expectation. As they argue, “the main reason that the gap between the Democratic margin in the overall electorate and the Democratic margin among white voters has increased over time is not because whites have become more Republican but because nonwhites, who are overwhelmingly Democratic, now make up a larger share of the overall electorate … In other words, the rapid growth of the very Democratic nonwhite share of the electorate makes it seem like white voters are becoming more Republican than they actually are.”