How Rare Are Bright Blue Lobsters?
s of this happening nobody really knows,” he says.
David Spiegelhalter, professor for the public understanding of risk at Cambridge University in the UK, is inclined to pour a bit of cold water on the story.A rough analysis of overall catch tonnages suggests that about 200 million lobsters are caught in the North Atlantic every year, he says. That equates to 100 blue ones turning up in a year on average, if the one-in-two-million odds are correct.
“So for two to be caught three days apart, quite close to each other, does not seem at all surprising,” says Spiegelhalter. “I would imagine it happens most years.”