Climate Change Will Make America Much Warmer by 2050. See How These US Cities Will Change.
All science is arguable at the margins, results changeable according to knowledge or circumstances. The following starts off with a clip of where they got the data for the excellent charts and graphics. This is a great article for us keeping track. Red Hats will of course deny any and all validity here, hence my carefully selected clip. It’s about the data a,d it’s getting warmer, period. how much, why, how to cope are well worth discussing.
It’s very useful to see the benefit to the wallet in Los Angeles now for solar power. Our electricity comes tier priced. Mid afternoon July can cost 4x as much per kilowatt as the lowest tier. A few panels make a big difference in the wallet. Looks like a good bet…
To answer the question of how much temperatures in US cities will change by 2050, we looked at the average summer high and winter low temperatures in 1,000 cities in the continental US, comparing recorded and modeled temperatures from 1986 to 2015 to projections for 2036 to 2065. This offers us the best possible estimate on how much winters and summers will shift from 2000 to 2050.
With help from researchers at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory and the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, we built our analysis on the Localized Constructed Analogs data set, which draws on 32 different global climate models. The scenario we examined is known as Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5, one standardized set of assumptions of humanity’s trajectory in the coming years.
RCP 8.5 presumes that the world will continue increasing energy use at the same rate and in the same forms. It predicts the world will have warmed on average by 2°C, or 3.6°F, by roughly 2040.
There are very legitimate criticisms of RCP 8.5 — that it’s too pessimistic, ignores progress we’ve already made on decarbonization, and majorly overestimates how much coal we’ll burn. But two climate scientists we spoke to, Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick at the University of New South Wales, and Kate Marvel at the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, argued it was a realistic scenario for now.