How a Wargaming Exercise Predicted the Past Few Months of the 2020 Presidential Race
There is audio at the top of the link with the entire conversation.
In the last few months, U.S. President Donald Trump has claimed the only way he could lose the next presidential campaign is if it’s rigged, deployed federal agents into Portland, Ore., to quell Black Lives Matter protests and threatened to block funding to aid mail-in voting.
Earlier this year, all those things were scenarios laid out in a wargaming exercise designed to explore how the outcome of the upcoming presidential election could end in tumult.
In June, about 100 political operatives, academics, journalists and former government officials gathered for a four-day simulation as part of the Transition Integrity Project to figure out what could go wrong in this year’s election.
The participants gamed out four scenarios ranging from Trump winning the electoral college to a landslide for Democratic candidate Joe Biden. Three of them ended “pretty catastrophically,” says Nils Gilman, co-founder of the project and vice-president of programs at the Berggruen Institute, a Los Angeles-based think tank.
Read the whole article: How a wargaming exercise predicted the past few months of the 2020 presidential race