re: #101 Obdicut
Yeah. We all thought it was *probably* Islamists at first (although I will no longer make such an assumption in the future). Our probability estimates diverged somewhat over the course of the events, as was to be expected (with some extreme exceptions, which will not be mentioned because apologies have been made). But we more or less stuck to what little facts we had. But to go out of one’s way to construct CTs after the culprit has been identified?