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Trump Tells Israel to Deny Entry to His Hate Targets, Ilhan Omar and Rashida Tlaib

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KGxvi8/15/2019 12:22:25 pm PDT

re: #104 MsJ

Two-thirds of Jill Stein voters plan to vote for the Democrat in 2020; however, this is a fairly small group (Stein got 1% of the vote in 2016). Of the 3.6% who voted for Gary Johnson, 30% plan to vote Democratic, 22% Republican — but most of Johnson’s voters who are leaning Democratic say they’ll “definitely” do so, while most of those who are inclined to go Republican are more tentative.

If you run with those numbers - 2/3 of Stein voters and 30% of Johnson voters to Clinton and 22% of Johnson voters to Trump, Clinton wins Wisconsin by about 6600 votes. I seriously doubt that either the Libertarian or Green Party will run anyone semi-credible, so I don’t expect third party candidates to get nearly 6% of the vote nationally this time. And my hunch is that most of that 6% is going to break against Trump.