I think the floor is +8 Biden in the PV. The EC is hard call because of rural advantage to the GOP.

I don’t see Trump getting much more voters than last time. If there’s a surge in turnout, and it appears there is, the vast majority goes to Biden. The COVID factor is just to hard to call. Trump has exploited hate and fear from a well that’s always been here. His problem is after 4 years he’s caused so much hate and fear against him. Hate and fear are great motivators but that cuts both ways.