re: #122 KGxvi

Trump is going to get 40% of the vote in 2020, because that really is the low water mark in modern presidential elections in a two person race. The Democratic nominee is going to get 40% as well. The question will be the other 20%. Some will be moderate swing voters, some will be new voters, some will be people who sat out the last election (or two). The goal is to win an overwhelming majority of them. And Trump is doing what he can to lose them… that’s the important thing.

You’d have to go further into a state by state accounting, since the national polls wont address the distribution to get you to 270.

Overall, the popular vote will likely go for the Democrats again. But how that jibes with the EC is the mystery.