re: #130 Targetpractice
One of the problems with figuring out how well either party will do next November is planning for the unplannable. Thereās a better chance of some major event happening in the next 12 months that will totally upend the entire board than there is that current trends will continue. Right now, with the media looking for some escape hatch from the Russia scandal, I put my money on a major event that strengthens rather than weakens Trumpās control.
That could also go the other way, as you note, the āunplannableā (I would have gone with āunforeseeableā myself, but thatās just me.)
A botched hurricane or earthquake response, a ton of criminal indictments/convictions, a bad downturn in the economy, the GOP can get burned by unforeseeable events as well.
Screwing up the education system with vouchers will not play well with either red or blue state voters. That is a point that can be driven home.
Weāll have to see what happens. Throwing in the towel eighteen months before the election doesnāt seem like the wisest strategy, though running some candidates in every election might.
The folk that ran in Montana, Kansas, Georgia, and South Carolina all stepped up to the plate in essentially unwinnable districts and made all four races close. A win would have been a nice ego stroke, but that has to be making closer district GOP reps a bit nervous (even if they arenāt talking about it now).