Comment

And Now for "Something Helpful" Courtesy of Anna Meredith [VIDEO]

14
dnlS3/20/2020 7:36:44 pm PDT

Most recent doubling time in days. Link to excel here.
drive.google.com
Worldometer does a better job of most of this, but doesn’t do doubling (yet), which tells you how things are changing and lets you ‘guess’ where things may be, assuming you consider the population of the places you are comparing. Guessing may be better on an individual basis in regards to herd/mob behavior. If/when the US has 100k+ cases, or 200k, etc. the psychological impact will not be small.


Not much changed since yesterday. The US is accelerating (even with ‘averaging’) as testing catches up. Germany is very regular. Which is bad from a numbers perspective. However, from a % fatality Germany is doing very well. How/Why?

Below compares Italy, US, Germany on a per capita (cases per million) and % fatality per confirmed cases. How much of this is due to differences in testing, treatment regimes, stage of epidemic, age of population, etc confounds a simple analysis. In a week of bad news, at least the US is consistently closer to Germany’s fatality numbers than Italy. This will unfortunately likely change as the system becomes overwhelmed in Germany and here.