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The Bob Cesca Podcast: Fun

144
Scottish Dragon2/26/2020 12:26:46 pm PST

re: #129 A hollow voice says, Guilty, guilty, guilty!

Okay, back to topic #1, could we maybe tone down the apocalypse? Hubei province has a population around 55 million. Infections are approaching 66,000, not even .2 percent. (Even if you limit it to Wuhan, 11 million people, less than one percent have an infection serious enough to be recorded.) And the death rate is a few percent of that.

On the Diamond Princess (again!), in close quarters, elderly population, about 20% infected, 4 dead. That’s .1% of the group.

I agree about reasonable precautions, but could we avoid the mass hysteria?

Preparation now leads to less panic down the road.

We already know that COVID-19 has a lethality of about 2% (higher in some reports but let’s stick with 2) and that reasonable projections show nearly the entire US population exposed in 12-15 months.

CDC is warning to expect significant disruptions to daily life…whatever that means.

Medical peeps on media are generally warning to keep 2 to 4 weeks on non perishable food on hand and stockpile meds.

Again, preparation NOW equals less panic down the line. If the 2% lethality rate continues, we can expect 1918 pandemic comparable effects here with overloaded hospitals and significant social effects.

This isn’t the end of the world by a long shot.

However.

We know what happened last time we had a major natural disaster with an incompetent, cronyist government. This will be worse by orders of magnitude while Trump is in office. We are all responsible for maintaining our own preparation networks and watching out for family and neighbors.

Don’t panic. Prepare and get ready.