re: #109 RogueOne

[Link: www.rasmussenreports.com…]

The dems are about to lose virgina and NJ is still in play with less than a week to go. That should tell you something.

Don’t get me wrong here, I’m not saying repubs are actually doing anything to get these numbers. I think they’re getting a big boost from the Dems shooting themselves in the foot. #1 issue is spending, people are sick of it. This has been building for 4-6 years now and they’re about to take it out on the party in control of the purse strings, dems.

Rasmussen is useless for anything but following trend lines. they use a likely voter model which they haven’t updated in several years, so when they do a poll, they’ll get say, 120 republicans, 180 democrats and 200 independents, and then adjust it to be 170 republicans 160 democrats and 170 independents.

They do this because they will claim they over sampled democrats and independents. so they adjust the responses and weight it as such.

And that’s why Rasmussen tends to give results that are vastly different than other pollsters.