re: #141 HappyWarrior

Just seems to me that Romney needs a lot to not only go right for him but wrong for Obama. And honestly I just don’t see that. Maybe it’s a bias on my part but what Silver is saying makes a lot more sense to me than those who seem to think Romney will win.

Ayep, Romney basically has to hope that the polls are not only wrong, but have been so for months. That he’s holding leads, even slim ones, that the polls aren’t showing. Or that voter turnout reflect ‘10’s turnout rather than ‘08’s.

Really, I’ve seen Texas Hold’em matches on TV that were closer than this. Silver’s odds right now seem like the ones you’d find on TV, watching Romney sweat that he can make his straight on the river without a suit card that would give Obama a flush.