re: #140 KGxvi

Actually, not really. Looking at the numbers for the Libertarians and the Greens from 2012 and 2016 in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, this is what we see:

Libertarian
Michigan (12/16) 7,774/172,136
Wisconsin (12/16) 20,439/106,674
Pennsylvania (12/16) 49,991/146,715
Total increase: 347,321

Green
Michigan (12/16) 21,897/51,463
Wisconsin (12/16) 7,665/31,072
Pennsylvania (12/16) 21,341/49,941
Total increase: 81,573

It’s fairly safe to assume that most of the increase in votes for Gary Johnson were from disgruntled Republicans, and there were significantly more of them than there were disgruntled Democrats voting for Stein.

That isn’t a safe assumption, since non-GOP libertarians are pro gay rights and drug legalization. Republican voters are more white nationalist and social conservative than libertarian.