Here’s a question I’ve been pondering: is it better for Democrats if Donald Trump gets 1,237 delegates to win the Republican nomination on the first ballot, or is it better to hope for a brokered convention?

In all the polls, Trump is the weakest opponent against Democrats, losing by double digits to both Hillary and Sanders, so I’m fairly sure Democrats want Trump as the GOP nominee. Trump’s actual political views are a moot point, since I view his closest competitor, Cruz, as even worse than Trump (an extreme-right ideologue who knows his way around government is more dangerous than a buffoon). If Trump wins on first ballot, then it’s done. However, a brokered convention might do more to split the GOP and affect down-ticket races. The danger of a brokered convention might be that the establishment might somehow wrest the nomination away from Trump and hand it to someone more palatable, and therefore a stronger opponent for Democrats.