re: #172 goddamnedfrank
Nate’s model this year has been incredibly reactive compared to Sam Wang’s PEC and other aggregators. I don’t think it’s a coincidence that this is 538’s first general election under ESPN ownership. There’s a big push to increase ad revenue by generating interest in a close race.
Even back in 2008 and 2012, Nate was criticized for having a reactive model that included a bunch of stuff that really didn’t affect the election. In a lot of views I read, Nate was instrumental in bring poll analysis into the modern age, though he’s not the best at it.
Edited.