Greets and saluts from the NYC metro area. The Israeli elections are once again confounding and not surprising in the slightest.
The balance of power remains split on razor thin margins (56-57, with Gantz’s coalition leading), but Bibi knows that he’s still got advantages here. Israeli law means that the President gets to choose who gets first crack to form the government. Rivlin might tab Bibi to form as he’s the outgoing PM, in which case Bibi could try to cobble together a government out of the fractured parties that make up the Knesset. Or he gives Gantz a shot, which means that Bibi’s truly out.
Ha’aretz runs down a bunch of possibilities, including that there’s no government formed and yet another election is held next year.