Fox’s poll may be BS, but the polls have indeed tightened up…Obama has only a 1.2% lead in the composite national poll (Pollster aggregate). And most of the usual suspect swing states are in the tossup category, meaning the leader is up by 3% or less.

With voter suppression, tons of goper SuperPac money, a shitty economy and a Dem base less enthused than in 2008, this is no cakewalk. Nate Silver still has Obama at a 65% chance of winning, but that hardly makes me comfortable. And whatever the outcome Obama won’t win the decisive victory he did in 2008, so there won’t be any more compromises from the GOP in his 2nd term than his 1st—meaning basically zero. States like IN and NC aren’t even in play this time, so the election is likely to be very close with neither house of Congress changing hands. If Obama does win, he won’t be able to get anything done due to TP obstructionism. If Romney pulls it out, nothing much will get done because, other than tax cuts, he’s really got no plans to begin with.

Romney just wants the job; everything else is negotiable. If you have any doubts about this, just compare the guy he was 10 years ago (self-described “progressive moderate Republican”) to the “severely conservative” guy he claims to be today.