re: #152 NO SMOCKING GUN!

However lots of Ia winners have been nominees, and the February caucuses and primaries will decide who is viable in super tuesday other than bloomberg.

Since 1972, the Iowa caucuses have had a 43% success rate at predicting which Democratic candidate for president and a 50% success rate at predicting which Republican candidate for president will go on to win the nomination of their political party at that party’s national convention

In nearly half a century, only three contested Iowa caucus winners ever became President:
Jimmy Carter — 1976
George W. Bush — 2000
Barack Obama — 2008