re: #14 Lidane
Yep. He called all 50 states correctly AND he also called the Electoral College vote exactly:
[Link: www.slate.com…]
The man is a stats god. That is all.
Well, honestly, I wouldn’t be surprised if a simple average of all of the latest state polls got you 50/50. It would certainly get you very close, 45/50 or better. Far, far better than Dick Morris.
That’s the thing. Nate Silver isn’t some sort of prognosticator extraordinaire (although he’s very, very good at explaining what he’s doing to a broader audience). Data told us what was going to happen.
Science, bitches. It works.