re: #195 Backwoods_Sleuth
Yeah, mainly on the fact that between October 2007 and January, 2008, polling among blacks shifted from being heavily in favor of Clinton to Obama, right after the Iowa caucus:
The stories I could find through October showed Clinton with a serious lead among blacks that they didn’t feel Obama could overcome.
Anecdote != data.
Edit. the Iowa caucus occurred on January 3rd.