re: #220 KGxvi

I keep saying this… in the modern era, no sitting president has been defeated via primary (the closest we came was Johnson in 1968, and that was still an older nominating process). However, no sitting president who has been challenged in the primary for his renomination has won the general election.

If he runs, Trump will be the nominee in 2020. And he will run, because he’s too vain to think he couldn’t win again (and he will think he has the traditional advantages of incumbency [narrator: he won’t]).

Their only hope to be rid of Trump is the same hope the rest of us have: Mueller (or now the House) comes back with real evidence of criminal malfeasance [narrator: there is so much], and they sign off on impeachment. This won’t be play out like Nixon, Trump doesn’t give a fuck about the office, the constitution, or the country, he will fight to the bitter end, it will have to be impeachment, conviction, removal from office, and barring from future office.

The GOP base still loves Trump too. They haven’t liked or trusted Ryan in a long time.