re: #20 Lumberhead

She’s been elected to one office in all these years of public life.

I never said she was as weak a candidate as Romney, just pointing out that there are some similarities. I don’t see her as some unbeatable juggernaut. She will be the one out there answering questions in the spotlight not her husband and she isn’t perfect.

Again, she’ll be the one on the ticket not Bill. I honestly don’t think Ann Romney had all that much to do with Mitt losing.

It seems like most Democrats believe that there isn’t a Republican candidate that can beat her but I’m not so sure.

She needs to find a way to motivate the Democratic coalition. Will the 18 - 30 year olds get out there for her the same way they did for Obama? I’m not convinced. My two oldest kids are of voting age now and they really have no memory of the Clinton years. Someone that will be 18 in 2016 was born in 1998.

If she starts distancing herself from Obama, will African-Americans get out there in force for her?

Where does she stand on immigration reform? I certainly have heard anything much from her on that subject or anything else recently. If she starts triangulating, will Hispanics get out there?

If the electorate in 2016 looks like a midterm electorate she loses.

“If the electorate in 2016 looks like a midterm electorate she loses.”

This is the key point.

When was the last time a Presidential election had turn out figures comparable to the midterm that came right before it?

In 2010 82.5 million people voted, in 2012 it was closer to 126 Million. Which is much more comparable to the 130 million votes cast in 2008.

In short midterms are zebras, presidential elections are horses, they may look similar but you can’t use one to accurately predict the behavior of the other.

That’s why I feel the democratic party is a flawed party that just got dealt a resounding defeat, but hardly on one the cusp of self implosion the way this piece talks about them.

If I am wrong I’ll buy you a round or two in the bar where I plan to take up drinking come November 2016…