re: #231 Hecuba’s daughter

We do not know the true CFR because most mild or asymptomatic cases have never been officially diagnosed. Although this was more true at the beginning when testing was very limited, even now such people aren’t getting tests. There is a strong likelihood that the CFR is 1% or even as low as .5%.

at 70% and 1% death rates, you’re still looking at about 2.5 million people. And that doesn’t consider the downstream effects. How many people end up with new pre-existing conditions related to the virus? How many people who need treatment for other ailments can’t get them because hospitals are overrun? How many people end up unemployed/homeless because the epidemic kills the economy, and as a result end up in a bad state of health?