Comment

Self-Defense Statistics-When Stats Are Colored With Attitude

25
Obdicut (Now with 2% less brain)6/03/2014 8:24:28 am PDT

re: #24 Rightwingconspirator

When I said at risk I was speaking to at all not above normal.
Almost all of us are at risk it just varies by how much.

You see, that meaning of ‘at risk’ is meaningless. All of us are ‘at risk’. The common sense meaning of ‘not at risk’, like ‘not at risk for a heart attack’, is not that there is zero percent chance, but that there is a very low comparative chance.

Most people are not at risk of a violent assault from a stranger where a gun would help them defend themselves. Does this mean there is no chance of it happening? No, it means the chance is a very remote one.

When someone says “I’ve got no chance of winning”, they don’t mean that they have literally no chance, they mean that, resonably assessing the chances, their chances are very, very low.

So again, if you want to dance on a point of semantics, go ahead. It doesn’t matter to the actual point: Most people are at very low risk of being violently attacked by a stranger. Most people also overestimate that risk. That’s too bad, and it has a negative effect on our society, so we should educate people about how low their risk actually is.