re: #221 MsJ

NATE SILVER9:17 PM
Just to take a very broad-stroked overview: Big urban-rural divide, but it seems like O’Connor is outperforming his targets by meaningful margins in Franklin County than whereas Balderson is only matching or narrowly exceeding them in the rural counties. So that would point toward an edge for O’Connor, but … on the other hand, Delaware County looks good for Balderson based on the very early Election Day returns we have there. We’re still flying fairly blind.

Also depends on which Delaware precincts are in. Parts of that county are rural/parts cities and suburbs.