re: #20 goddamnedfrank

This might just be wishful thinking but since my tendency is to find analogies in the natural world here goes: Trump’s solid base of support among Republicans isn’t as firm as it seems, but is instead like a volume of liquid that has just reached its freezing point. It will take a certain amount of time for the liquid’s temperature to drop further while the environment continues to extract the latent heat of fusion from the substance, finally allowing it to freeze.

This is probably a better explanation.

Why President Trump’s strong partisan approval ratings might be partly illusory. https://t.co/lq4kHP4WlY pic.twitter.com/tDraYetohq

— The Upshot (@UpshotNYT) July 19, 2017

If a GOP voter stops approving of Trump, she may also stop identifying as GOP, masking a decline in his approval rating among Republicans. https://t.co/2ww5Ql2Bjo

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) July 19, 2017