re: #320 The Vicious Babushka
So, I got a chance to look at the poll’s cross tabs on their ethnicity breakdown.
66% white
13% black
1% American Indian
17.2% Hispanic
1% other.
According to the Census Bureau, the state’s demographics for 2015:
55.3% white
16.8% black
~1% American Indian
24.5% Hispanic
Anyone want to hazard a guess how the outcome gets skewed? If you said that the FAU poll favors Trump, gold star for you! It clearly oversampled whites, while undercounted Hispanics and Blacks - the very groups most opposed to Trump.