270towin.com , which seems to be more bearish than Electoral Vote dot com, has us now in today’s poll porn:

Safe-likely-lean: Democrats 290, Republicans 163, toss-up 85.

Toss-ups are ME-2, OH, NC, GA, FL, IA.

NE-2 moved to “leans Democratic.” NE-1 moved from safe to likely Republican. Texas and South Carolina moved from likely to leans Republican.