re: #347 HappyWarrior

I actually feel good about NC as well honestly but it’s the least reliably Democratic of the three. However, Burr may have really stepped in shit with his gun owner comment and McCrory isn’t too popular either. The two I honestly once felt confident about that I no longer do are Iowa and Ohio and they may surprise me yet.

I was hopeful about Ohio until recently. The Comey letter probably put the nail in the coffin for those two states, if there was any chance at all there. About Iowa, Mike freaking Dukakis won Iowa in 1988. So, the demographic changes that are helping Dems in some places (mostly the upper South and Hispanic West) are being balanced out by shifts elsewhere (White Mid-West).