Comment

Video: No Global Warming in the Last 10 Years?

433
Mad Prophet Ludwig9/07/2009 5:44:51 pm PDT

re: #355 Salamantis

Actually, according to the link, a meter rise in the next century is the consensus Bristol/IPCC upper range; the lower range is a fraction of that.

You have some balls, when you tried this before I posted about five links to you showing different predictions all over a meter. Please don’t bring this here Sal.

I am writing for the range of 100-150 years.


This calls for, in 100 years, 1.4 meters as the upper range.

sciencemag.org

A semi-empirical relation is presented that connects global sea-level rise to global mean surface temperature. It is proposed that, for time scales relevant to anthropogenic warming, the rate of sea-level rise is roughly proportional to the magnitude of warming above the temperatures of the pre–Industrial Age. This holds to good approximation for temperature and sea-level changes during the 20th century, with a proportionality constant of 3.4 millimeters/year per C. When applied to future warming scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, this relationship results in a projected sea-level rise in 2100 of 0.5 to 1.4 meters above the 1990 level.

However, this is complicated by accelerated melts:

sciencemag.org

and see above.