Clinton is underperforming Obama 2012 in 10 of 12 traditional swing states, despite having a larger lead in the popular vote. pic.twitter.com/23iAiK49hB

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 1, 2016

Do you notice what Nate is doing here? He’s comparing Clinton’s 2016 polls to Obama’s 2012 actual election day performance in order to create the narrative that she’s doing worse in swing states at this point in the race. If he had compared her swing state polls to his swing state polls the horserace narrative he’s selling would’ve fallen completely apart.