re: #293 Big Beautiful Door

That will be their narrative. Nate Silver’s nowcast just updated, presumably incorporating the devastating new polls this morning. Trump’s chances of victory if the election was today dropped to 10.4%

As always, attaching yourself emotionally to the NowCast is going to be a roller coaster ride. Stick with ‘Polls-Plus’, which gives him about a 30% chance. We should be happy, but still not comfortable.