re: #527 makeitstop

Wait. 58-41 is ‘narrow?’ Seriously?

I’ve pretty much abandoned confidence in 538. Dude’s pretty much all about the click bait now.

58-41 is a basically 3-2, so yeah, that’s kind of narrow.

re: #530 Belafon

What does 58-41 translate into the probability of winning back the Senate? Just because Democrats are favored by that much doesn’t mean we’ll flip enough of the 33 seats being voted on to gain control.

that 58% is actually the odds of taking a majority. Most likely outcomes are 50/50 or Democratic majority at 51/49, both come in at 14%.